Dollar Index (DXY) – Watching Both Sides LiquidityOn the daily timeframe, we can clearly identify liquidity resting on both sides of the chart:
Relative equal lows acting as sell-side liquidity.
Low-resistance highs representing buy-side liquidity.
From my perspective, the main draw on liquidity remains the sell-side lows. However, before targeting that area, price may first reach higher to grab the buy-side liquidity. Once this liquidity is collected, I expect a potential shift in momentum and a move to the downside.
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USDX trade ideas
DXY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in a
Downtrend and the
Index made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 97.200
So we are bearish biased
And we think that a
Further price decline is
Likely to happen
Sell!
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Us Dollar Index
Hi traders
I will provide you with an analysis of dxy, maybe it will be useful.
Considering reaching the support zone as well as the bottom of the descending channel on the 4-hour time frame،I expect an upward trend (dollar strengthening)
Of course, a trend change may occur after a fake breakout and the trend may become bullish after reaching the number 96.
warninggggg
If today's and tomorrow's news, which are very important, invalidate this analysis, a new analysis will be presented soon.
DXY - Dollar Extended Wave DownNow, I am not one familiar with FOREX, and I'll start by saying, that this wavecount isn't the most likely especially with expected rate cuts on the horizon. We could have bottomed on the low the dollar made in June, however, that structure appears clearly corrective and I cannot ignore the solidity of it.
Again, we could transfer into a double or triple three to finish this last move, it's too soon to fully tell.
Just using this chart for context to my other plays not taking any trades.
DXY on the move - where to next?This chart has three key elements:
fib fan from the high in 1985
fib fan from the low in 2008
fib retracement. The blue arrows show the anchor, top and 50% retrace
Note how perfect the 50% retrace is. This validates the fib. Also note that we pinned the .236 level which is also the teal fib fan line, where we've found previous support. .236 generally offers a bounce, especially combined with another key level (ascending teal trendline).
RSI momentum looks to be pulling us down. Also note the grey fib fan centerline. This is the basis for this fib fan and we touched it twice, once in 2008 and once in 20011. I believe the dollar will get back to this grey trendline, likely where I've circled, somewhere around the intersection of the 50% fib and this trendline. I would not be surprised to see a bounce to 104. We could also see 75 sometime in june/july of 26 if things start getting crazy.
First day of the week and Dollar dropWith the market opening, the Dollar Index continued its decline and reached a key support level. However, I think it could bounce from this area and move up toward the middle of the range. We’ll have to see how long this level can hold the price, since the Dollar Index has been bearish for quite some time. ✅
DXY: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 96.860 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 96.957 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bearish drop formation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.63
1st Support: 97.12
1st Resistance: 100.21
Disclaimer:
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DXY Weekly Fundamental factors: The US domestic economy and the imposition of additional tariffs on consumer goods from China and Russia, as well as the confidence building of global opinion that the US will not start a war, all of these factors can help the index grow.
Technical factors: The oversold situation and the gap between the Keysin and Tensin lines increased, as a result, there is a possibility of price growth.
DXY FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25🌍FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25
📊 DXY FRGNT Breakdown + Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs
1. Higher Timeframe Context (Weekly)
Trend: Bearish → clear lower highs & lower lows since mid-summer.
Unmitigated Imbalance (IMB): 99–101 zone above current price → acts as a long-term liquidity magnet but not yet tested.
Bias: Weakness dominates until price proves otherwise.
2. Daily Timeframe
Supply Zone: 98.200–98.500 (aligns with Daily 50 EMA).
Demand Zone: 96.800–97.000 (next liquidity draw).
Expectation: Retrace into 98.2 supply, then continuation lower toward 97.0 demand.
3. Intraday (4H)
Supply Overlap: 97.800–98.200 (Daily + 4H confluence).
Structure: Still bearish, repeated rejections from the 50 EMA.
Projection: Price likely taps 98.0 area, then drives into 97.0 demand.
Summary
Bias: Bearish.
Watch for liquidity sweep above 98.0 → rejection → sell setups toward 97.0 demand.
🌍 Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs
GBPUSD
Effect: Dollar weakness supports bullish setups.
Expect retrace into 1.2670–1.2720 demand before price extends higher.
Targets: 1.2800–1.2850, with potential stretch toward 1.2950.
Narrative: As long as DXY stays capped under 98.2, GBPUSD should continue higher.
EURUSD
Effect: Also benefits from USD weakness, though less aggressively than GBP.
Look for longs around 1.0850–1.0880 demand.
Targets: 1.0950–1.1000.
Narrative: Similar structure to GBPUSD, but GBP is likely to outperform EUR.
EURGBP
Effect: GBP stronger than EUR → bearish bias.
Shorts valid below 0.8520, aiming for liquidity under 0.8430–0.8450.
Narrative: Even if both EUR and GBP rise against USD, GBP is leading.
Other USD Cross Pairs
USDJPY: Likely to weaken, targeting 144.50–145.00 liquidity.
USDCAD: Bearish pressure, could reach 1.3600 demand.
USDCHF: Lower toward 0.8850–0.8900 demand.
✅ Overall Picture
DXY Bearish = Favor longs on GBPUSD & EURUSD.
GBP stronger than EUR = EURGBP shorts are attractive.
JPY & CHF weak = Pairs like GBPJPY and EURJPY can push higher.
👉 In short: DXY’s weakness is the engine, driving GBPUSD and EURUSD higher. The Pound has the edge, making EURGBP a sell candidate while GBPJPY becomes a standout buy.
TVC:DXY
FRGNT
US Dollar: Upside Price Target vs. GoldSince the historic print low of 70.69 in 2008, the US dollar has risen more than 55% to its current levels north of 110. There is no telling just how high the dollar can run amid the parabolic move upward from its 2021 low. An inverse head and shoulder pattern suggests a minimum upside price target of 117.64 or around 7% north of current levels. Fibonacci time cycles portend potential turning points this October and in November 2023. Despite all the headline inflation, the rise in the dollar is, by definition, deflationary. This suggests that given inflation remains steadily on the rise, the dollar needs to go significantly higher for its deflationary effects to manifest in the real economy. One item of particular note is the dollar-based price of gold today vs. at the dollar lows in 2008. At the all-time lows of 2008, Gold was trading in the $800-$1000 range. Contrast that to today, with a dollar that is 55% higher, and we see Gold trading at $1700. That says a lot about Gold's ability to hold its value amid a rising dollar, which is typically bearish for Gold.
Pre-FOMC Crossfire US DOLLAR INDEXPre-FOMC Dollar War Map
The weekly chart just printed a fourth straight lower high—
a slow grind down while Friday’s close stayed red.
Liquidity is stacked behind us, perfect fuel if the desks want to run stops before the Fed.
Order flow shows massive resting bids around 96.962, the last structural block.
If that line cracks, expect the move to be fast and brutal.
Cross-markets are whispering the opposite:
equities, metals, and crypto are coiled to run if the dollar slips.
The headlines will call it a surprise.
It isn’t. The map was drawn weeks ago.
Focus on levels, not noise.
Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
DXY 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead
In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!