AAPLE Inc. High Probale Plummet To Be TriggeredAAPL which has been on a quite an ecstacy in the past few weeks might have its Joy short-lived due to activities its did below. Activities being 'The change of character"
Trade ideas
APPLE: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The price of APPLE will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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AAPL LongBroader Market Structure (AAPL 1H):
The broader structure has shifted bullish after a strong recovery from the lows near $223.78, which marked the prior Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside. Since then, price has reclaimed higher levels and printed a clear Break of Structure (BOS) above $241.32, confirming bullish continuation. This transition suggests sellers have lost control and the market is now favoring higher highs unless a key demand zone is broken.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The demand zone between $237–239 is fresh, formed after buyers stepped in with strength and drove price impulsively higher. This makes it a strong candidate for a retest and bounce. The deeper demand around $228–230 remains significant since buyers created a clean rally from that base, but given that it has been tapped once already, it is somewhat weaker than the higher zone. On the supply side, there’s no immediate strong resistance overhead until new highs are formed, giving bulls open space to extend the move.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
At present, price is consolidating near the top after breaking higher, and the projection suggests a pullback into the $237–239 demand zone before resuming upside. The candles are showing reduced momentum after the breakout, hinting that a corrective retracement is likely before continuation.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias is bullish, with the expectation that price will dip into demand before resuming higher toward $245–248. The invalidation level for this bullish outlook would be a break below $228, which would erase the recent BOS and tilt structure bearish again.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum favors buyers, as seen in the impulsive move that cleared prior highs. However, current candles show signs of slowing, which supports the idea of a short-term pullback before buyers re-enter. No reversal patterns have formed yet at the highs, so the structure still supports continuation.
AAPL Sept 5th Playbook
On the 4H chart, Tuesday’s green candle is still holding — looks like a possible bull flag forming. On the 2H, AAPL is stacking green candles and trending up.
If price dips, it’s gotta fight through **238.17** and **238.06** before momentum breaks. If it holds and pushes pre-market highs, upside levels to watch are **241.96 → 250**.
3 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish:
* Hold above 238 → push through PMH → breakout attempt toward 241.96 then 250 test.
* Above 241.96 could open momentum for a stronger run.
Sideways:
* Chop zone between 238 – 241, consolidation before the next leg.
🔴 Bearish:
* Lose 238 → break below PDL → quick fade back to 236 / 234 zone.
Key Levels
* Support: 238.17 / 238.06 → 236
* Resistance: 241.96 → 250
* Bias: Bullish as long as 238 holds.
💡 My take → watching for a **consolidation bounce off 238** → possible breakout toward 241.96+.
AAPL Clean HTF setup to ATHsAfter creation of another bullish fair value gap in the monthly timeframe, AAPL looks destined to get to and through the current all time high.
Low resistance draw on liquidity.
I think we get a blow off top.
Trap late bulls, then smart money will send us to Hades so they can reposition and get lower prices.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stocks
Analysing the chart in early August, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ noted that, given the aggressive rally (accompanied by bullish gaps) and a strong fundamental backdrop, any corrections were likely to be limited.
Since then:
→ AAPL has moved higher, justifying the expansion of the blue channel;
→ the pullback (marked by an arrow) was minor, as expected, confirming the median line of the expanded channel as support;
→ in the short term, we could identify grounds for a new upward trajectory (shown in orange).
Yesterday’s price action in AAPL:
→ produced a wide bullish gap at the open (which may act as support);
→ broke through the long-term descending trendline (R), which had been acting as resistance;
→ indicated that the $235 level (around the August high) now functions as support.
Within this context, we could assume that:
→ in the short term, AAPL may maintain its upward trajectory within the orange channel;
→ in the longer term, bulls may target the upper boundary of the blue channel – located near the psychological $250 mark. Reaching this level could trigger stronger selling pressure.
In the event of a significant correction (for example, due to disappointment with new product launches), potential support levels could include:
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the trendline R.
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Thrives on iPhone and Service SalesApple Inc. (AAPL) is one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, known for its iconic products like the iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and AirPods. The company also generates strong recurring revenue through services such as the App Store, Apple Music, and iCloud. Apple’s growth is fueled by constant product innovation, a loyal global customer base, and expanding services that complement its hardware ecosystem.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume shows bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone by moving above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while allowing room for more upside potential.
The key is whether the price can rise above 240.55 and hold
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(AAPL 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
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The HA-High to DOM(60) range on the current 1D chart is 229.27-232.78.
Therefore, if the price remains above the 229.27-232.78 range, a step-like uptrend is highly likely.
However, looking at the chart overall, the 226.67-240.55 range corresponds to the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to check for support within the 226.67-240.55 range.
If it rises above 240.55, it is expected to attempt to rise to the 250.42-260.10 range.
The 250.42 and 255.59 levels correspond to the DOM(60) indicator on the 1M chart and the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart, respectively.
Therefore, to sustain the mid- to long-term uptrend, the price must rise above 250.42-255.59 and maintain its position.
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Based on the basic trading strategy mentioned earlier, this is currently within the range for a partial sell-off.
Buying in this range requires a short and quick response, so be cautious.
Buying is possible when the 226.67-240.55 range shows support.
If it falls below 226.67, cut your losses and wait to see how the situation develops.
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a medium- to long-term downtrend, so a countermeasure is needed.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 192.31.
This point is located within the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 182.94-199.62, making the 182.94-199.62 range an important support area.
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(1M chart)
The area highlighted by the circle represents an important area.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Apple Wave Analysis – 3 September 2025- Apple broke the resistance level 234.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 240.00
Apple recently broke with the upward gap above the resistance level 234.00, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1 at the start of August.
The price earlier reversed from the support level 225.00 (former strong resistance from March and April).
Given the multi-month uptrend, Apple can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 240.00, former resistance from the start of March.
AAPL Technical Analysis-Sep. 3Apple exploded higher off the 227.5 – 228 support zone, staging a sharp rally that broke through short-term resistance and reclaimed momentum. The move was confirmed by a strong MACD bullish cross with expanding histogram, and Stoch RSI pushing deep into overbought, signaling strong momentum but also potential near-term exhaustion.
Price is now pressing into 237–238, a heavy resistance cluster from both prior supply and options positioning. This zone represents the immediate test for bulls. A clean breakout would open the path toward 240, and potentially 242.5, where the next resistance bands align.
On the downside, 232.5 – 233 is now first support. Below that, 230 and then 227.5 serve as key demand levels. Losing those would negate today’s breakout momentum and shift control back to sellers.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance:
* 237 (20% GEX concentration) → current rejection zone.
* 240 – 242.5 → stacked resistance confirmed by call positioning.
* Support:
* 233 – 232.5 (3rd call wall / structural support) → bulls must defend this to keep momentum.
* 230 → strong pivot zone.
* 227.5 → deep support and base of the breakout.
Options flow confirms exactly what the chart is showing: 237 is a key battleground, while 240–242.5 remains the ceiling until bulls prove control.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Hold above 233 and break through 237 with volume → targets 240, then 242.5.
* Bearish: Failure at 237 and a drop back under 233 → downside targets 230 → 227.5.
Apple’s rebound was explosive, but the 237–238 zone is the real test. If buyers can push through, upside momentum extends toward 240–242.5. If not, watch for a pullback to 233 or even 230 before attempting higher.
AAPL STRONG MONTHLY BULLISH REVERSALA very strong August for AAPL. My previous view had been for price to drift lower to $200 support over the quiet summer weeks. I was wrong. Strong bullish reversal on the monthly chart. Does it have what it takes to climb back to previous highs and beyond? Will watch September price action.
Apple September SetupSeptember hasn’t been Apple’s friend historically — average return is around –4.5% and over the last 5 years we’ve seen more red than green. Institutions usually use this month to rebalance into Q4, which can weigh on tech.
This year we’ve also got the Sept 9 “Awe Dropping” event (iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch updates, maybe AirPods). That’s a clear catalyst, but sometimes it’s “buy the rumor, sell the news.”
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
⬆Bull Scenario (Breakout)
If Apple clears 234 with volume and holds above, bulls could push it higher. Clean breakout = momentum continuation 🚀.
🔄 Sideways Scenario (Chop)
Apple tags 234, stalls, and just chops. No clear trend, just range trading while the market waits for a catalyst .
📉 Bear Scenario (Double Top / Puts)
Apple rejects at 234, goes sideways, then dumps. That would set up a **double top** and open downside risk back toward 219 .
For me → last week wasn’t great P\&L-wise, so I’m focusing on patience this month. Not trying to predict which path plays out, just mapping the if/then so I’m ready.
👉 What’s your bias going into September?
AAPL | Money will Rotate into this MEGA CAP | LONGApple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other varieties of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, AppleCare, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in April 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.
APPL Premarket setupAAPL Setup:
Bias: Bullish → Needs confirmation
Watching price action after open (first 15m candle)
CALL Setup
Break & Hold Above: 233.41 (PDH)
TP1: 234.14
SL: 232.40
Additional Confirmation: 9 & 21 EMAs stays above 50 EMA
No-Trade Zone:
Between 232.76 (PMH) and 231.26 (PML)
Expect chop / fakeouts here — wait for clean break & retest
PUT Setup
Break & Close Below: 231.26 (PML)
TP: 230.59 (200 EMA)
SL: 231.60
Additional Confirmation: 9/21 cross back below 50 EMA
Wait for structure. First 15m sets tone.
AAPL SELL 249.7On the daily chart, AAPL is fluctuating upward. Currently, we can pay attention to the resistance near 249.7 above. This position is a short-selling position for a potential bearish bat pattern. At the same time, this position is in the previous supply area.
AAPL....What's next....The Good
Recovery off lows: That sharp reversal from ~$165 back above $230 shows strong buyer support. The +36% bounce (highlighted on chart) is impressive.
Trend alignment: Shorter EMAs are stacked above longer ones again, suggesting bullish momentum is back.
Volume: Decent participation on the rebound, not a weak drift higher.
The Bad
Heavy resistance overhead: $235–$240 is a supply zone. Price has stalled there multiple times, and you can see past rejection points at 235, 260. This area must be cleared for continuation.
Lower high risk: Unless AAPL breaks above $260, it could be setting up a “lower high” compared to past peaks (Feb & July 2024).
Valuation risk: Apple isn’t cheap right now. Macro risk (Fed cuts, consumer spending slowdown, China supply chain issues) could make it more vulnerable than Nvidia/semis.
The Ugly
Previous deep drawdowns: AAPL saw nearly a -36% correction not long ago. That’s a reminder this is not a low-risk hold anymore. One earnings miss or weak iPhone cycle could re-trigger that.
Crowded trade: Everyone owns Apple. Hedge funds, ETFs, retail. If big money rotates out, selling pressure is brutal.
Cost vs. Benefit
Benefit: If Apple breaks $240 convincingly, next stop is likely $260 (prior high). That’s ~12% upside.
Cost: If it fails here and rolls over, you could be looking at a drop back to $215 (near 50-day/200-day confluence) or even $200 (~15% downside).
AAPL Re-entry PotentialAPPLE is pulling back to the 13 EMA, if it holds there around 232.51, could be a good Call entry to the heavy resistance area for a T/P around 234.21. Place S/L right underneath the EMA for a tight risk management or at 231.60 at PMH. APPLE has been respecting the 9 and 13 EMA.
AAPL Bullish Stock Going UP and Confirmed!Hello,
Ayrfolio trade ideas are based on weekly charts and momentum, so remember to be patient! No day trades here unless the stock soars up intraday. Today we’re covering:
COMPANY: Apple Inc
STOCK SYMBOL: AAPL
POSITION: Long
TP1 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.59
TP2 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.18
Stop Loss: must wait AFTER daily candle closes to exit trade (regular candle, NOT Heiken Ashi)
Ultimate Stop Loss: can exit IMMEDIATELY if price reaches this level during any trading hours
EXPLANATION: Weekly momentum increased and confirmed on Monday 8/11/25 at $231.59/share. Although the stop losses are listed on the chart, if momentum has been lost then we can exit before the price reaches the stop loss.
DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence before making any decisions.
P.S. - Stocks can soar. YOU can soar. Soaring is possible!
-Ayrfolio
AAPL ShortBroader Market Structure (AAPL 15M):
The broader trend recently shifted after a sustained bearish leg that produced consecutive lower lows. A Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred at $235.12, signaling a potential reversal as price broke through prior supply and disrupted bearish order flow. However, despite the temporary bullish rally, the last confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside at $223.78 remains significant, keeping the higher timeframe structure bearish unless price can sustain above $235.12. This leaves the market in a corrective phase where short-term upside rallies may serve as liquidity grabs before continuation lower.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The supply zone around $233–235 has acted as a ceiling where price previously dropped sharply, showing strong selling pressure. Buyers stepped in with strength near $224–226, creating a demand zone that supported the recent rally, but since price already retested parts of this zone, it is moderately weakened. Deeper demand levels around $222–223 remain stronger, as buyers drove a strong impulsive reaction from there during the last reversal attempt.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
Currently, price is trading inside the prior supply zone and pressing into resistance with diminishing momentum. The projection suggests a rejection from this zone, aligning with the expectation of a move back toward demand levels. If price respects supply, the next likely path is a retracement into $226–224. Should that area hold, buyers could attempt another bounce, but if it fails, continuation into $222–223 becomes the probable scenario.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias is bearish at this stage, with sellers favored at supply. Expected direction is down toward $226–224 initially, with a potential extension lower. The invalidation level for this bearish outlook would be a clean break and sustained hold above $235.12, which would flip the structure into a stronger bullish continuation.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum currently favors sellers, with wicks appearing on the upside rally suggesting absorption of buying pressure. No strong bullish engulfing or continuation candles are forming at supply, reinforcing the idea of exhaustion at these levels.
Apple: Another Run at Key ResistanceApple shortly dipped back below the $230.20 mark but has since begun another push higher. We expect the stock to soon break through the $230.20 level sustainably and – as part of the green wave – move up toward the next major resistance at $260.10. The following wave pullback should remain above $230.20, allowing the broader green upward trend to continue gaining momentum.
Apple Thoughts
Sellers tried to push it down to 223.81 (PDL) but couldn’t hold it. Buyers stepped in, and now price looks like it wants that 235 level.
On the 4H chart, it’s looking like a double bottom that turned into a bull flag. So far holding EMAs and riding trend clean.
If it breaks under 229 with momentum, I’ll probably chill. But as long as it holds here, I think the move isn’t done yet.
Not advice. Just how I see it today.
What do y’all think? Fakeout setup or clean continuation?
