Tesla: Uptrend Intact – Eyeing the 470 Target AheadHello everyone,
Tesla (TSLA) has been extending its rally since mid-July. On the H4 chart, the uptrend remains intact with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, signalling that buying pressure continues to dominate. The recent breakout above the $460 mark further strengthened the bullish trend.
Currently, the price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, while the $457–460 zone provides a short-term support cushion. In case of a pullback, the $450–445 area would act as a deeper support. On the upside, targets are set at $465, followed by $470 and $475. Rising volumes during breakouts indicate that institutional money is still flowing into the stock.
From a fundamental perspective, Tesla’s Q3 earnings exceeded expectations thanks to strong growth in Model 3 and Model Y sales, providing major momentum for the stock. At the same time, plans to expand into the lower-priced EV segment and renewable energy business add long-term sustainability to its outlook. In a rapidly expanding global EV market, Tesla maintains a competitive edge in both technology and brand strength.
On the macro side, while investors remain cautious about the Fed, the tech sector overall – and Tesla in particular – continues to benefit from the positive sentiment across equity markets.
What do you think – will Tesla reach the $470 target in this leg up, or does it need a short pullback before breaking higher?
Trade ideas
TSLA SELL++++ $360-370 to be testedAs I posted last week, and, clearly too early TSLA needs to test the $370 range where it broke out from. I do pat myself on the back for the epic bounce off support at $324.80 that needed to hold to see $426's and TSLA always goes further then we think both ways. We're way overdone and todays reversal shows it. $370's imminent in coming weeks
TSLA TeslaToday’s session printed a dark candle with heavy pressure and big price action — not the best look from a candlestick perspective. The immediate support sits at the uptrend line near 433. If price can hold that level tomorrow, the uptrend remains intact. But if we get a decisive close below, expect a sharper drop. First downside target would be 405, and if that fails, we could see an extension toward 370–360, lining up with the previous lower uptrend line. Tomorrow’s price action at that 433 support is critical — watch it closely. follow me on X Enginv777
$TSLA – Weekly Outlook📊 NASDAQ:TSLA – Weekly Outlook
Price is holding above equilibrium (~400) after reclaiming structure.
Strong base formed in discount zone (~345–300) now acting as support.
RSI on weekly = 71.4 → momentum strong, trending into overbought.
Long-term projection points toward $1,217.56 (extension target).
🎯 Scenarios
Bull case (70%)
Hold >400 → momentum unlocks premium zone.
Next upside pivots: 470 → 600 → 1,217 (extension).
Bear case (30%)
Break <400 → return to equilibrium/discount at 345–300.
SMA 20: The most used, simple, and useful indicatorThe 20-period Simple Moving Average ( SMA 20 ) is easy to calculate and widely used, though often undervalued by traders eager for novelty. Its presence is notable in popular technical indicators like Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels. Even the most purist price action traders include it on their charts, valuing its ability to identify trends and key support and resistance levels. Today, I want to explore the practical uses traders can derive from this versatile indicator.
Behavioral Patterns
Technical Analysis emerged from the detection and study of repetitive patterns or phenomena. These patterns are intrinsically tied to investor psychology, and their influence on decision-making is fundamental.
Repetitive patterns around an SMA 20 typically indicate that a trend has strength and stability, attracting investors and paving the way for highly effective systems or methodologies. One of my favorites involves identifying entry points in strong trends that have clearly respected the SMA 20.
Figures 1 and 2 illustrate this type of approach:
Figure 1:
Figure 2:
Price Overextensions
A price overextension in trading refers to an extreme price movement that significantly deviates from its average or reference level. This phenomenon often indicates that the price has moved too far, too fast in one direction (bullish or bearish) over a short period, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.
The SMA 20 is extremely useful for visually detecting these phenomena. Moreover, when trading in high-volatility contexts like overextensions, the SMA 20 can serve as a safe exit zone.
In Figure 3, you can observe how the price extends twice, significantly diverging from the SMA 20. The first overextension wouldn’t have been sufficient for an entry, but the second overextension generated a clear bearish divergence, which, combined with price action, would have validated a short entry.
The SMA 20 is a discreet target for taking profits without excessive exposure. This leverages a widely applied statistical concept in markets: mean reversion.
Figure 3:
Breakout Trading
Breakout trading involves entering the market when an asset’s price breaks through a key support or resistance level, with the expectation that the movement will continue in the breakout direction.
A price action phenomenon that significantly increases the likelihood of a successful breakout is pre-breakout tension , a state of compressed supply and demand characterized by a narrow range, low volatility, and order accumulation at key levels.
The SMA 20 is extremely useful for clearly identifying the dominance between buying and selling forces, as well as visually highlighting pre-breakout tension.
In Figure 4, I use a 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20) to increase sensitivity to the indicator’s changes.
Notice how the EMA 20 seems to compress the price against the range’s boundaries, as if trying to push it out.
Figure 4:
Retest Patterns
A retest occurs when, after breaking a significant support or resistance, opposing forces push back to test the strength of the prior level.
In Figure 5, you can see how, after a bearish breakout from an exhaustion pattern, bulls attack strongly but encounter resistance at what was previously a breached support. An SMA 20 aligned with this zone increases the level’s robustness, which is defended by sellers who see an excellent profit opportunity.
Figure 5:
Figure 6 shows an opposite example.
Figure 6:
Conclusions
With this brief overview, I aim to demonstrate that it’s not necessary to rely on novel or complex technical indicators to make sound market decisions. In Technical Analysis, simplicity, combined with deep understanding, often yields significant results.
Final Note
If you’d like to take a look at my analysis record, you can find my profile in Spanish, where I transparently share well-defined market entries. Send your good vibes if you enjoyed this article, and may God bless you all.
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair/Asset: TSLA (Tesla Inc.)
Trade Type: Buyside trade
Date: Friday, 26th Sept 2025
Session: London to New York Session AM (11:00 AM)
Trade Details
Entry: 427.51
Profit Level (TP): 465.20 (+8.82%)
Stop Level (SL): 425.82 (-0.40%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 22.3
Technical Narrative
Pre-Trade Context:
The price consolidated above a demand zone at 423–427, which coincided with the origin of a prior order block. Inducement & BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed bullish intent.
Several fair value gaps (FVGs) were present on the climb, supporting bullish continuation.
Entry Justification:
*Entry at 427.51 aligns with the mitigation of the demand zone and FVG fill.
*The structure flipped bullish after the sweep of local lows, setting the stage for an upside liquidity grab.
Target Rationale:
*TP aimed at 465.20, aligning with the previous swing high and liquidity above.
*Clean imbalances left on the rally offer magnets for price.
Risk Management:
Tight SL at 425.82, just below the demand origin to invalidate trade if broken.
Observations & Notes
The accumulation structure within demand was well-formed before the breakout.
Entry captured an early move with FVG alignment + inducement sweep.
Monitor for potential rejection near 448.96 (intermediate resistance) before TP.
"old" news on $TSLA keep recycled ...I draw to establish various trading hypotheses!
bull support: $420
greedy target: $550
--------------------------------------
Tesla news this week centers around record vehicle deliveries spurred by a last-minute rush to claim the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit before its expiration, surging share prices, and anticipation for the unveiling of Tesla's robotaxi next week. Momentum is strong in some European markets due to Model Y updates, but overall global deliveries and profit margins remain challenged by competition and the end of EV incentives.
### Upcoming Catalyst Events
- Tesla will announce Q3 delivery figures on October 2. The results will set the tone for year-end and investor sentiment.
- The official unveiling of Tesla’s robotaxi is scheduled for October 10, positioned as a major innovation for 2026. Production lines for new affordable models are also expected to be discussed soon.
- Ongoing debates continue about Musk’s trillion-dollar compensation package, to be voted on by shareholders in November.
### Product and Market Developments
- The facelifted Model Y Performance launched in select regions with significant upgrades, but the refreshed model is not yet in the U.S. market.
- Tesla’s next major move involves scaling production of cybercab robotaxis and further advancing self-driving technology amid increasing regulatory scrutiny.
Tesla’s record delivery boost from U.S. incentives may be short-lived as competition and regulatory changes mount, but anticipation for new products and technology keeps shares strong and investors alert for next week’s pivotal announcements.
TSLA Testing $462 – Gamma Ceiling or Breakout? (Oct 2)Intraday (15-Min Chart)
Tesla has pushed strongly into the $461–$462 zone, where sellers are starting to show up. On the 15-min chart, price is hugging the upper trendline of the short-term channel. Momentum is extended, but both MACD and Stoch RSI suggest buyers are still pressing their advantage.
* Support levels: $457.5 (near-term pivot) and $452 (channel base).
* Upside trigger: If bulls clear $462.5 with conviction, next upside targets open toward 465–468 intraday.
* Downside risk: Failure to hold $457 risks a pullback to 452–445, where dip-buyers may look to reload.
Bias intraday stays bullish above 457, but stretched oscillators warn of potential rejection if $462 caps the move too strongly.
Options / GEX (1-Hour Chart)
Gamma exposure provides a clear map of where TSLA could move next.
* Call walls: Heavy concentrations sit at 465–470, with $470 acting as the largest resistance zone (gamma ceiling).
* Put walls: Anchored around 432–425, setting downside boundaries.
* Sentiment: Call flow dominates (≈74% bullish options positioning), aligning with recent price momentum.
This paints a classic setup: TSLA is coiling directly beneath the $470 gamma wall. A breakout through 470 could trigger a gamma squeeze toward 475–480, but repeated rejections here trap longs and drag price back into mid-450s.
My Thoughts
For Oct 2, TSLA is at an inflection. I’d favor scalps on dips above $457 targeting 465+ with stops tight under $452. For options traders, a 465–470 call spread lines up well with the gamma map, offering defined risk into resistance. Conversely, if $457 fails, short-term puts targeting 445–448 provide hedge coverage.
Bias: Bullish above 457, but watching $470 as the true breakout line that decides whether momentum continues or stalls.
$TSLA: Let The Rally Speak For Itself - 9/16/2025Based on the analysis, it’s confirmed that NASDAQ:TSLA has initiated a new rally following the completion of a lengthy and complex corrective structure at $288.
The stock bounced twice off the 50-week moving average, signaling strong support as the correction neared its end.
Due to the depth and complexity of the structure, Wave 3 is expected to unfold with high momentum, potentially delivering an explosive rally. Key upside targets are displayed in the chart — we’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts at those levels.
📚 Note: The internal structure and labeling were intentionally left visible in the chart for educational purposes. This is especially useful for traders interested in Modern Trading Algorithms and their structural variations.
Happy Trading, and let the rally speak for itself. 🚀
$TSLA to $5,000 #CathiesBack!!! #Bullflag #AlwaysHasBeenSome Bull #corn for the PermaBulls out there after this V recoVery on Indices...
Just some log scale mathematical measurements from one flagpole to the next...
#AnythingIsPossible if Physics allows... Tesla at 5k is simply tesla at 5Trillion valuation... once self driving fulfilled? Odds increasing with GPU/AI capabilities...
NASDAQ:NVDA should be a major green light for the next leg up in markets or rejection... definitely leaning bullish still after V , dips to be bought in this environment...
TSLA – Watching for Wave 3 Extension Toward 455–460 Zone Tesla (TSLA) is completing a contracting triangle (ABCDE) as wave (iv), setting up for a potential wave (v) of 3. With delivery numbers scheduled for Thursday, momentum could build into the report, creating a rally toward the 455–460 zone, which also aligns with channel resistance and the 1.618 extension. This would complete a ABCD harmonic pattern.
Telsa - NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INCOMING (price action simplified)Here's a simplified version of my short term targets. On July 29th Tesla was around $321 and I suggested that after a long downtrend, Tesla would breakout, retest and continue up ("without any major retraces)", to between $400-$600.
Tesla has now hit my T2 (currently $460) and I am anticipating a small retracement, before new all time highs in the near term.
Congrats to all of you who have made gains from my charts.
May the trends (continue) to be with you.
Tesla - NEW ALL TIME HIGH INCOMING (small pullback first?)On July 29th Tesla was around $320 and I suggested that after a long downtrend, Tesla would breakout, retest and continue up ("without any major retraces)", to between $400-$600.
Tesla has now hit my T2 (currently $460) and I am anticipating a small retest before new all time highs in the near term.
Congrats to all of you who have made gains from my charts.
May the trends (continue) to be with you.
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold extensions10 1 2005 I am really happy with this video because it did so many things that could have been helpful to your trade looking at the market the way we've been looking at it for a long time. The tools that I look at work. The only thing that concerns me is that I told you how you could have made money on gold by shorting it and then when it came back to support you could have made money on gold in both directions and each Direction was nearly 3000,,, so in 2 4-hour periods of time you could have made over $6000..... But I would guess that at the beginning Trader is going to get in trouble with this without some more screen time and observation if your trades at the end of the day when you start doing an analysis from early that day. Actually on today you could have been long then short then long and it looks obvious it is very stressful trading that way. So look at it, get a feel and whenever you do don't over trade it's very important to avoid drawdowns because if you are starting and you try to train hot markets that are going to trade in both directions and you blow it and you get an 8000 drawdown... You will never appreciate the attributes of the market because it's very difficult to get back and trade when you're not prepared for the volatility. And it's very hard psychologically to go long and then go short and vice versa... But the patterns the market. And all the reversals would have minimal drawdowns and none of them would have been touched in this particular Market earlier today.
TSLA Oct. 1 – Eyeing the $450 Breakout Zone! 🚀Intraday View (15-Min Chart)
TSLA rebounded sharply intraday and is now consolidating around $443–$444 just under key resistance. Price action has formed a rising channel, but momentum is stalling.
* Support Levels: $442.20, $438.60, $433.08
* Resistance Levels: $445.00, $450.99, $452.50
* Indicators: MACD histogram rolling red, showing fading momentum. Stoch RSI sitting low, suggesting room for a relief bounce.
📌 Intraday Thought (Oct. 1): If $442 holds, expect attempts to push into $445–$450. A breakdown below $442 could trigger a move back toward $438 and $433. Scalpers can play long near $442 support with tight risk, or fade $450 resistance if tested and rejected.
Options & Swing View (1H + GEX)
Gamma exposure shows critical levels:
* Upside: Heavy call wall at $450–$452.5, with more stacked toward $465–$470.
* Downside: Strong put support near $432–$425, deeper wall at $417.5.
This suggests TSLA is coiling between $432–$450. A breakout over $450 could ignite momentum into $465–$470, while losing $432 risks a slide back to $425.
* Bullish Play (Oct. 1): Calls or debit spreads targeting $450 → $465 if price breaks $445 with volume.
* Bearish Hedge: Puts toward $432 → $425 if $442 breaks down.
* Neutral Play: Iron condor between $432–$452 to capture premium during consolidation.
My Thoughts (Oct. 1)
TSLA is parked right below a heavy $450 gamma wall. If bulls clear $445 and sustain, we could see an explosive push toward $465+. But failure to hold $442 opens the door to retesting $432 quickly. For now, this is a make-or-break level, and I’d keep risk management tight with options plays centered around the $450 breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Tesla: breakout mode, Elon’s rocket fuel for the chartTechnically , Tesla broke out of a symmetrical triangle while holding above EMA/MA supports, which confirms bullish control. The breakout unlocks targets at 368.46 (Fibo 1), followed by 411.38, 432.03, and the 1.618 extension at 464.30. Volume profile confirms strong accumulation below, leaving the upside path less crowded.
Fundamentally , Tesla keeps investor attention alive. EV sales stabilized, but the focus has shifted to AI and robotaxi — Musk’s latest promises of disruption. With Fed rates peaking and yields easing, growth stocks regain momentum. Risks remain from Chinese competitors, yet Tesla’s margins are still leading the industry.
Tactical plan : entry zone stands at 323–336. As long as price holds above it, buyers target 368.46 → 411.38 → 464.30. A break below 323 would flip the bias back toward 291.
Bottom line: Tesla’s chart looks ready for lift-off. Musk might be dreaming of Mars, but for now, bulls are happy if he just launches the stock a few hundred dollars higher.