XAG to the Moon?Is this the golden Ticket the Price of gold is expensive... Imagine working at a mine for this material vs the guy who owns the money / the mine.
SILVER trade ideas
SILVER H9 | Market OutlookPotential for a bullish pullback on the XAGUSD H9 which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 40.300. BUY levels from 39.500
Silver | Long Setup | Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025📌 XAGUSD | Long Setup | Historic Undervaluation + Industrial Demand Breakout | Aug 27, 2025
ROI: $160M
Risk: $5.7M
🔹 Thesis Summary
Silver remains one of the most structurally undervalued assets in the commodities space. With accelerating institutional accumulation (COT data), surging industrial demand, and constrained mine supply, this setup offers asymmetric upside into the next commodity supercycle.
🔹 Trade Setup
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: $27.00 – $38.50
Stop Loss: $10.65 (below liquidity shelf and structural invalidation)
Take-Profits:
TP1: $44.50 (previous high retest)
TP2: $64.14 (channel median + prior fib confluence)
TP3: $83.12 (partial TP near long-term resistance)
Max Target: $128.22+ (structural breakout projection)
Risk/Reward: Up to 7.5R
Timeline: Multi-year (targeting 2030–2036 commodity rotation cycle)
🔹 Narrative & Context
Silver’s current technical posture reflects a multi-decade accumulation breakout within a rising channel structure dating back to 2011. Institutional positioning confirms smart money is re-entering (per COT data), aligning with surging industrial demand from solar, electronics, and EV sectors.
From a relative value lens, the silver-to-gold ratio remains elevated, historically signaling upside reversion potential. The undervaluation is amplified by physical shortages, as indicated by U.S. Mint supply constraints and rising dealer premiums.
As a dual-purpose metal, silver benefits from both risk-off macro hedging and real-world industrial pull. It remains accessible to retail yet remains institutionally underweighted.
🔹 Macro Considerations
Tailwinds:
Global inflation persistence or fiat distrust (BRICS dedollarization)
Renewed solar/green energy investment cycles
Physical shortages or COMEX delivery strains
Fed pause or dovish pivot sustaining commodities bid
Risks:
Strong USD resurgence / higher real yields
Industrial demand substitution (e.g., graphene or other conductors)
Regulatory interventions or taxation shifts on precious metals
🔹 Forward Path
Should this thesis gain traction, a follow-up will cover:
Monthly timeframe structural pivots
Silver-to-Gold ratio mean reversion mechanics
SLV ETF flows and miner outperformance signals
Key levels to watch for parabolic breakout validation
Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements.
Silver reached an important supply range!According to the previous analysis, the trend of silver was exactly bullish, and currently silver has reached an important supply range, in which we have the possibility of a 3D formation, after which we can have our own expectations and predictions of the rise or fall of this metal, in case of penetration or non-penetration.
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 40.740 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the SILVER pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver Eyes 40-Resistance for a Record High BreakoutIn line with gold’s momentum and the industrial demand for silver—particularly from the growing tech and AI sectors—a clear hold above the 40 mark may extend gains toward 42, aligning with the upper border of the uptrending channel respected since 2023. A breakout beyond that border may offer a more comfortable bullish outlook for silver, with potential upside toward 46 and 50, in line with the 2011 peaks and possibly beyond.
On the downside, should momentum pull back, a clean break below 37 may extend losses toward the channel’s mid-zone near 35, where a potential rebound could emerge. If not, the next key level I’m eyeing is the lower boundary of that channel near the 30 mark, which may offer another long-term bullish positioning opportunity on the silver chart.
— Razan Hilal, CMT
SILVER RELATIVE TO GOLD/SILVER RATIO - 3 possible deep correction.
target price : 20.50$/oz.
trade invalidation level : daily close above 33.00$/oz.
good luck.
Silver XAGUSD Overextended With Range-Bound Price Action🥈 XAGUSD (Silver) is overextended in my view 📈. Price has recently pushed into new highs 🔼 and is now moving sideways in a range 📊—often a sign that larger entities 💼 may be working their orders.
⚖️ This could be a form of distribution, as silver has moved into a zone of thin liquidity 🌊. To facilitate bigger positions, institutions may need to generate liquidity by keeping price sideways ⏸️ before the next move.
📉 My current bias is for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ and towards an unresolved bullish imbalance 🔍 that remains below.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice 📚
VIOLENT BOS on SILVER takes place! HOW FAR it goes this time?!?This is where momentum strategys eventually lead to...
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 38.994 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 39.250.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Beware...one more drop very possible!It would be a typical market maker move to drop the metals mkts one more time early next week following the elation we all felt on Friday...I find it a bit suspicious that everyone is now stating "to the moon" for PMs...yes metals will almost certainly be higher a month or two than they are right now, but...done be surprised if they dump on us early next week trying to shake loose some weak hands!
XAGUSD Channel Up still valid, targeting $40.500.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 07 market bottom. Right now it is consolidating with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as Support, following the recent 1-month pull-back.
We have seen the very same consolidation pattern after every Higher High, as also shown on the 1D RSI.
As long as it holds, this is a strong buy opportunity near the bottom of the Channel Up, targeting $40.50 based on the +11.90% rise that the previous Bullish Leg did.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XAGUSD--Ascending Channel--yearly,monthly,weekly bullish
--entry and tp levels are as shown on chart
--check my last week XAGUSD chart as well
XAGUSD Final TP Hit BeautifullySILVER Hit our TAKE PROFIT PRICE LEVEL which doesnt surprise us " SOMFX TRADING TEAM " because this was what we were eagerly waiting for weeks.
The structure of the market was clear to every one who understands the dynamics of the market move.
if you go back to the original post of silver at 29/July/2025 you will clearly see that i have predicted the first move, the second move and also i have clerly pointed that the sellers will try to come back to the market at 39.00 and they will be doomed by point a horizontal line saying " So many willing sellers will be doomed here " and that is clearly what happened.
GUYS HAPPY TARDING.
Silver breakout support at 3830The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3830 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3830 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3965 – initial resistance
4000 – psychological and structural level
4040 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3830 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3800 – minor support
3755 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 3830. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
A 45-Year Trend Breakout Signal in the Silver/S&P 500 Ratio
This analysis presents a long-term case for a secular trend reversal in the Silver-to-S&P 500 ratio. The ratio appears to be breaking out from a multi-year consolidation pattern that is nested within a massive 45-year descending channel. This alignment of short-term and long-term patterns, supported by fundamental drivers, suggests the extended period of equity outperformance over silver may be approaching a major inflection point.
Technical Analysis: A Generational Reversal
The monthly chart displays a rare confluence of technical formations, with each pattern reinforcing the others across different time horizons.
* The 45-Year Descending Channel: The entire modern history of the ratio is framed by a massive descending channel originating from the 1980 peak. This structure has defined the long-term bear market. The key insight is that the ratio bottomed at the lower boundary of this channel in the early 2000s and has spent two decades building a base in the lower half of the channel.
* The Macro Rounding Bottom: The large green arc (highlighted by the white circle) visualizes the generational bottoming process that has been forming since the 2011 peak. This classic reversal pattern suggests a gradual but powerful shift from a bearish regime to a new bullish accumulation phase.
* The Nested Triangle Breakout: Within the larger rounding bottom, the price has been consolidating in a multi-year symmetrical triangle. The ratio is currently attempting to break out from this nested pattern, signaling the potential start of the next major upward impulse.
* Bullish Moving Average Crossover: Confirming this breakout is a rare "golden cross" on the monthly chart, with the 12/24-month SMAs crossing above the 50-month SMA. This signals a significant shift in long-term momentum, mirroring a similar event that preceded the major bull market that peaked in 2011.
Fundamental Drivers
This technical setup is underpinned by powerful fundamental catalysts:
* Strategic Mineral Classification: The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has designated silver as a "Critical Mineral," essential for national security and the economy.
* Emerging Sovereign Demand: Reports indicate potential new interest from sovereign entities, like Saudi Arabia and Russia, in adding silver to their national reserves.
* Structural Supply Deficit: This new demand is emerging against a backdrop of a persistent structural deficit in the silver market.
Synthesis and a Two-Stage Thesis
The technicals suggest a two-stage process for a major trend reversal. The breakout from the nested triangle, driven by the rounding bottom, represents the initial move. This is the start of a potential journey from the lower half of the 45-year channel toward its upper boundary.
Should the initial breakout be confirmed, it could represent the beginning of the parabolic, multi-year phase of outperformance that many long-term investors have anticipated for decades.
- Stage 1 Confirmation: A sustained monthly close above the 0.0060 level is the critical threshold for confirming the breakout from the nested triangle.
- Stage 2 Macro Target: A successful breakout would imply an eventual long-term move toward the upper boundary of the 45-year descending channel.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investment decisions should be made with the consultation of a qualified professional.
Silver - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal
Level of 39.53$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAGUSDSuccess in the FX, indices, and gold markets comes from discipline, not luck — I win by combining deep market analysis with strict risk management, keeping emotions out of trading, and focusing on long-term consistency rather than quick gains. Every trade is based on research, patience, and clear strategy, allowing me to grow steadily while protecting capital.
Uptrend in silverThe trend we expect in silver is a ping-pong and upward movement until it reaches the main supply range, but in the long term it is an upward trend.
SILVER AT RESISTANCE ZONE-READ CAPTIONHi trade's
Silver price is currently approaching the resistance zone near 39.100, while the risk level remains at 39.500.
If price respects this resistance, we may see a rejection and a move back toward the demand zone at 37.900.
However, if buyers push above 39.500, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
This setup highlights a short opportunity from resistance with demand zone as the key target. Risk management is crucial, as a breakout above 39.500 may shift the trend
Resistance 39.100
Demand 37.900
Risk 39.500
