Alternate paths to same destination...I am beginning to think that we have two alternate paths to the same destination...many have turned bearish and are saying we are headed back to $40-$42...I do not see that playing out...there is simply too much demand for silver globally for us to drop to those levels imo...I see one of these paths playing out...near term.
Trade ideas
Gold, Silver Outlook: Haven Sentiment, Reversal Patterns on HoldFollowing the heated headlines on gold and silver — driving long lines outside jewelry stores and fueling intense media coverage and momentum — a contrarian signal has emerged. This signal was confirmed by classic reversal patterns, triggering the 300+ point selloff we witnessed this week.
Gold Outlook:
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices have formed a double-top pattern near the $4,380 peak, pulling back toward $4,000 support — a level that now defines two potential scenarios:
A sustained move below $4,000 — the double-top target and key support — could trigger another 300-point decline, with the next support zones around $3,920 and $3,780.
As price action remains above the target but below the neckline, the bearish bias persists. A clean break above $4,200–$4,240 would be required to reignite upside momentum toward $4,300–$4,380, after which new record highs could extend toward $4,900–$5,000.
Silver Outlook
On the 4-hour chart, silver has traced a head and shoulders reversal pattern, targeting the $47.30 level. If prices close back above the neckline at $50.80, gains may resume toward record levels, with key targets at $52.40, $54.40, and $56.60. Holding below $47 could extend losses toward $44.40 and $42.90, aligning with the trendline connecting consecutive higher highs between January 2023 and October 2024, setting up a potential bullish rebound.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
SILVER Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER SMC based analysis shows price reacting from the horizontal demand area where liquidity has been swept and bullish order flow may soon resume. Expecting a possible push upward toward the next target level once internal structure confirms a shift. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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Silver corrective pullback support at 4737The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4737 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4737 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4980 – initial resistance
5066 – psychological and structural level
5166 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4737 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4667 – minor support
4600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4737. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Patiently waiting to buy Silver at an advantageous priceWith Silver very bullish I'm keen to buy and am waiting for a suitable opportunity to enter a long position with the intention of holding for several weeks. I am watching four likely scenarios on the 4-hour chart as follows:
A - green dotted line
Price forms a pennant before breaking through resistance at $52.50
1 - green solid line
Price finds support at $48-49 and breaks through resistance at $52.50
2 - blue line
Price drops further but finds support at $44
3 - black line
Price climbs to $52.50 then drops through support at $48-49 and through support at $44 but finds it at $41 where it starts its move higher.
Another scenario might be some combination of #2 and #3.
I am using these ideas as a guide although what actually unfolds might be completely different.
I drew the chart yesterday (Thu 24 Oct) since when price is currently following the blue line.
SILVER USDHI GUYS,
SILVER USD has formed the HS PRICE PATTERN H2, H1.
We are to find buy entries today in London session. take profit GRAND FINAL H4 HS (55.13932).
I Expect the trade to hold for possibly 1 week to profit area of interest
NOTE,
THE PATH AS ILLUSTRATED HAS NOT CHANGED, WE ARE STILL ON TRACK ON SCRIPT.
Silver in a double 3 pattern, a side ways behavior.On the larger time frame I am bearish for Gold and Silver both, but before that we are stuck in side ways price action visible on the 15 minutes chart. I think we will be done with the side ways price by the end of Friday or around the European session on Monday.
Three Failed Probes Hint at Silver UpsideAfter three failed probes beneath $48 and a bullish engulfing candle, some upside may be in store for silver.
While entry on a pullback would be preferred, longs could be considered around current levels with a stop below $48 for protection, targeting $51, which acted as both support and resistance earlier this month.
Even though the momentum picture has changed dramatically over the past week, RSI (14) has flattened just above 50 while MACD remains in positive territory despite crossing the signal line from above. Combined, the message is one of diminished upside pressure, not an outright bearish signal. As with this setup, more emphasis should be placed on price action rather than retaining a specific directional bias.
Good luck!
DS
Silver Punches 45-Year Trend Line and Gets A Return PunchSilver prices reached a 45-year trend line going back to 1980 and has since retreated. The monthly candle for October is drafting a large wick to the upside similar to a shooting star candle formation.
In the video, we discuss some downside targets for XAGUSD of this correction that would be considered 'normal' after such a large runup.
Typical Elliott Wave patterns like this would call for a retracement back to the mid-40s and possibly $36-37.
See our written post from Sept 5 (attached below) when we mentioned "if silver does plow above $4.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction."
a longer and deeper correction likely imoIn my opinion (IMO), we may be seeing the start of a longer and deeper correction...I could be off on this, however the bounce we are seeing at the moment is weekand looks corrective...this tells me we will likely see another major 5 wave move down...so either we see a 5-3-5 wave sequence or a 3-3-5 wave sequence...either way...I see us going back down to $38-$40 range in what will likely take a month or two to complete. I know this is not what we want to hear as silver bulls...but in the near to medium term I am bearish.
POSSIBLE XAGUSD SHORT SETUPANALYSIS
Last week:
>FRD(first red day) on Fri last week closing below Thurs low facilitating a CISD
This week:
>Mon price closed as an inside day
>Tues price closed in breakout(CIB) making the second day of bearish orderflow.
>Wed price closed in breakout as well however the price action was more of a range hence perceived as reaccumulation(acc)
>Thur: anticipating a purge and revert off Wed high and continuation of the bearish trend
XAGUSD BuysMain idea of this position is doji candle in my nearby Daily Demand zone with nPOC.
My first TP is on nPOC of closest Supply. At this level i will take 50-80% of the position and rest will be runner till price action will start weakening or reversing with Beak Even SL.
As we can see, Todays candle went bellow the openig price, and now we are pushing up above previous daily high. If this candlestick closes strong we can speculate that price will continue to my TP1
Tell me you opinions...
SILVER (XAG/USD): Potential Pullback Trade ExplainedThe price of ⚠️SILVER is currently consolidating within a strong horizontal support structure.
To initiate a long position with a confirmation, wait for a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range on a 4H time frame.
A 4H candle closing above 49.40 will confirm a violation.
A Subsequent bullish momentum is anticipated, potentially reaching the 50.50 resistance level.
The setup will be invalidated if the price establishes a new lower low.
SILVER | Head & Shoulder Breakdown After All-Time HighAfter reaching a new all-time high, #SILVER seems ready for a healthy correction before the next bullish rally.
🔹 On the 1H timeframe, price has clearly formed a Head & Shoulder pattern.
🔹 The neckline has been broken, confirming the start of a bearish move.
🔹 This indicates a possible short-term correction phase before bulls take control again.
Trade Idea:
Taking a short position at CMP with strict risk management looks favorable.
Potential targets: near recent support levels.
Stop loss: above the right shoulder.
Always wait for candle confirmation and use proper position sizing.
What’s your view — will #Silver continue the correction or bounce back soon?
Comment your thoughts below and don’t forget to like, follow, and share if you find this analysis helpful!
#Silver #XAGUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #Commodities #Forex #Metals #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TradeIdeas #BearishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #TradersLife #TrendReversal
XAGUSD – Silver Analysis | Technical & Fundamental Outlook by RaXAGUSD – Silver Analysis | Technical & Fundamental Outlook
by Rami Hajj Bakour – Emara Capital Group
🔹 Technical Analysis:
Silver completed a clear five-wave impulsive structure, followed by a corrective phase labeled as (A)(B)(C).
Currently, prices are expected to make a short-term corrective rise toward the 51.68 – 52.00 zone — aligning with the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement — before resuming the downward wave (C) targeting 46.50 – 45.00 levels.
Resistance zones:
49.05
51.68
Support zones:
46.50
45.76
45.02
📉 The bearish scenario remains valid as long as the price stays below 52.78.
🔸 Fundamental Analysis:
Silver prices are stabilizing after recent declines, supported by a weaker US dollar and softer bond yields. However, tightening monetary policy expectations continue to limit gains.
Bullish factors:
Market expectations for rate cuts in H1 2026.
Strong industrial demand, especially from solar energy and electronics sectors.
Potential further weakness in the US dollar.
Bearish risks:
Hawkish comments from Fed officials.
Rising long-term yields.
Weak Chinese manufacturing demand.
📊 In summary:
The short-term bias remains corrective, with potential bullish momentum building near 45–46 USD if reversal signals appear. The 51.7–52 zone remains the key resistance area to watch.
📍Author: Rami Hajj Bakour
Financial Consultant | Emara Capital Group
#XAGUSD #Silver #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #TradingView #EmaraCapital #RamiBakour #Commodities #MarketOutlook #Forex
Correction Incoming – Silver Eyes Fib ZoneSILVER Weekly Analysis 🪙
At first, Silver faced strong rejection from the resistance zone, but once it finally broke out, the price came back to retest that same resistance — which then turned into a powerful launchpad, sending prices to new all-time highs.
Currently, the price is showing early signs of a correction. I’m expecting a possible retest of the Golden Fib Zone (0.5–0.618), where there’s also an unfilled gap near the 0.5 level. A move toward that area would make sense before the next major leg higher.
Resistance becomes the launchpad.
DYOR, NFA
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