SILVER trade ideas
SILVER (XAG/USD)-RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT (READ CAPTION)Hello!
Resistance: 40.700
Support: 40.500
Demand Zone: 39.600
Risk Level (Invalidation): 41.200
Silver is currently consolidating between 40.500 support and 40.700 resistance.
If buyers defend the support, price may attempt a move toward resistance.
A breakout above 40.700 could extend the bullish momentum.
If support fails, the next strong demand zone is at 39.600, where buyers may step back in.
For risk management, 41.200 is the invalidation level — if price moves above this, bearish setups become unsafe
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SILVER Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,886.6.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 4,040.5 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,065.8
Target Level: 3,972.4
Stop Loss: 4,128.0
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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XAGUSD 4HTrading Outlook for Major Currency Pairs and Indices, Especially Gold and Silver, in the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks.
As can be seen, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance area near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or break of these levels will determine the subsequent price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to identify key price levels and potential market reactions, and the analyses provided should not be considered as trading signals.
Silver Wave Analysis – 29 August 2025
- Silver broke the key resistance level 39.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 41.00
Silver recently broke above the key resistance level 39.50 (former top of wave (3) from the middle of July, as can be seen from the daily Silver chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 39.50 continues the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the end of July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 41.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
XAGUSD Final TP Hit BeautifullySILVER Hit our TAKE PROFIT PRICE LEVEL which doesnt surprise us " SOMFX TRADING TEAM " because this was what we were eagerly waiting for weeks.
The structure of the market was clear to every one who understands the dynamics of the market move.
if you go back to the original post of silver at 29/July/2025 you will clearly see that i have predicted the first move, the second move and also i have clerly pointed that the sellers will try to come back to the market at 39.00 and they will be doomed by point a horizontal line saying " So many willing sellers will be doomed here " and that is clearly what happened.
GUYS HAPPY TARDING.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 38.963 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 38.858.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER AT RESISTANCE ZONE-READ CAPTIONHi trade's
Silver price is currently approaching the resistance zone near 39.100, while the risk level remains at 39.500.
If price respects this resistance, we may see a rejection and a move back toward the demand zone at 37.900.
However, if buyers push above 39.500, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
This setup highlights a short opportunity from resistance with demand zone as the key target. Risk management is crucial, as a breakout above 39.500 may shift the trend
Resistance 39.100
Demand 37.900
Risk 39.500
XAGUSD (SILVER) BUY TRADE PLAN*PAIR & DATE:** XAGUSD – 29 Aug 2025
**PLAN OVERVIEW:**
* Category: Swing / Intra-Day Hybrid
* Trade Type: Breakout-Continuation (Buy)
* Direction: Buy
* Confidence: 78%
* Min R\:R: 1:3
* Status: VALID
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**MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE:**
✅ WITH Trend & WITH Macro Bias — Precious metals supported by softer USD outlook, steady inflation expectations, and ongoing geopolitical hedging. D1/H4 structure remains bullish with recent higher lows; macro bias leans pro-metal on Fed rate-hold expectations and resilient commodity demand.
---
**LEVELS CARD – PRIMARY SETUP (Higher Probability)**
* Entry: **38.70 – 38.80** (H4 demand & breakout retest)
* Stop Loss: **38.20**
* TP1: **39.40**
* TP2: **39.80**
* TP3: **40.20** (stretch target if USD weakness accelerates)
* Order: Market after confirmation (H1 engulf or strong bullish close off zone)
* Session Preference: London → NY overlap
---
**ALTERNATE SETUP** *(Only if price sweeps major highs first)*
* Type: Tactical Short from overextension
* Entry: **40.10 – 40.20** (D1 supply / liquidity above swing high)
* Stop Loss: **40.55**
* TP1: **39.60**
* TP2: **39.30**
* Rationale: Sweep into unmitigated D1 supply with clean downside space before next demand.
* Macro Alignment: Counter Trend, Counter Macro Bias → reduced size 0.5–1% risk.
---
**EXECUTION CHECKLIST:**
1. Avoid execution 15m pre / 30–60m post red USD or commodity data.
2. Price taps zone during London/NY overlap.
3. Confirmation: H1 engulf / BOS / pin rejection.
4. TP1 partial 30–40% → SL to BE.
5. Trail stops by structure after TP1.
6. Skip if no valid trigger or zone invalidated.
---
**FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS:**
* CB Bias: Fed leaning rate-hold; no hawkish acceleration expected.
* Key Data (7d): US Core PCE, NFP; watch USD Index reaction.
* Cross-Asset Sentiment: DXY soft; gold firm; equities stable; yields easing.
* Positioning: COT shows net-long metals bias.
* Macro Lean: Bullish metals unless USD sentiment sharply reverses.
---
**MARKET MAP:**
* D1/H4 Structure: Bullish; higher lows intact; breakout retest in play.
* Liquidity Pools: Above 39.80; demand base 38.70–38.80.
* OB/FVG: Clean H4 OB at entry; minor H1 imbalance aligning with zone.
* Play Type: Breakout-Continuation (Primary) / Sweep-Reversal (Alternate).
---
**RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT:**
* Risk per idea: 1–2% (Primary), 0.5–1% (Alternate – counter nature).
* Min R\:R: 1:3.
* Spread Filter: ≤ typical metal spread in active sessions.
---
**CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE):**
78% — Macro, USD weakness, and HTF bullish structure align for continuation; alternate short only valid if overextension hits unmitigated D1 supply with reversal trigger.
---
**FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE:**
* **Primary:** Zone is fresh; first touch pending. Buy only with H1 bullish engulf from 38.70–38.80.
* **Alternate:** Only execute short on liquidity sweep + BOS at 40.10–40.20.
* No changes to original levels from initial plan. Stay flat if structure breaks below 38.20.
Silver breakout support at 3830The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3830 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3830 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3965 – initial resistance
4000 – psychological and structural level
4040 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3830 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3800 – minor support
3755 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 3830. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVER Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing
And we are bullish biased
Mid-term but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 39.52$ from where a local
Bearish pullback is to
Be expected
Sell!
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Silver Outlook: $120+ on Deck?XAGUSD has been grinding higher with the kind of energy we only see before major parabolic moves. The long-term chart shows decades of coiling and multiple breakouts that all share one thing: when silver runs, it explodes.
With inflation sticky, industrial demand climbing, and precious metals back in the spotlight, silver sitting at $39 today could be the calm before the storm. A breakout through the $50 zone sets up a straight shot toward $76, and in a full 2025 commodity supercycle, $120+ is not just possible, it looks like history repeating itself.
This chart doesn’t whisper, it shouts: silver’s next chapter could be its biggest yet.
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 38.994 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 39.250.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Breaks Out of Key Trend Range with Multiple Supporting FaSilver Breaks Out of Key Trend Range with Multiple Supporting Factors
Technical View
Silver has broken out above the triangle’s upper boundary, signaling a potential shift from consolidation to bullish momentum.
A decisive break above the July peak at 39.50 would confirm an uptrend and open the way toward 41.50, aligned with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Failure to clear the psychological barrier at 39.00, however, could trigger a pullback toward 38.00 or the ascending trendline support.
Notably, a golden cross across multi-period EMAs has just formed, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Fundamental View
The key driver for an uptrend in precious metals, including silver, is political turmoil after President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook raised concerns over the Fed’s independence. Markets now price in an 85% chance of a September rate cut, up from 78% a week ago.
The dollar weakened on rate-cut expectations, supporting metal prices, though it stabilized slightly mid-week.
Markets are awaiting US Q2 GDP data (3% growth expected) and July PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred gauge, which is likely to remain above the 2% target.This is likely to create volatility in the market.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Continuation AheadFollowing a retest of a previously breached structure, SILVER has demonstrated a resumption of its bullish trend.
The bullish breakout observed above the resistance line of a bullish flag pattern offers robust confirmation of a continued bullish trend.
It is anticipated that the price will rise towards the 39.18 level.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Classic Trend-Following Setup
I see a very classic bullish model on Silver:
after a strong bullish wave, the market started to correct
within a bullish flag pattern.
Its resistance breakout always provides a reliable confirmation to buy.
I expect a rise to 39,16 now.
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Bullish Bounce Off 50% Fib Retracement?Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 38.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 37.58
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 39.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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A 45-Year Trend Breakout Signal in the Silver/S&P 500 Ratio
This analysis presents a long-term case for a secular trend reversal in the Silver-to-S&P 500 ratio. The ratio appears to be breaking out from a multi-year consolidation pattern that is nested within a massive 45-year descending channel. This alignment of short-term and long-term patterns, supported by fundamental drivers, suggests the extended period of equity outperformance over silver may be approaching a major inflection point.
Technical Analysis: A Generational Reversal
The monthly chart displays a rare confluence of technical formations, with each pattern reinforcing the others across different time horizons.
* The 45-Year Descending Channel: The entire modern history of the ratio is framed by a massive descending channel originating from the 1980 peak. This structure has defined the long-term bear market. The key insight is that the ratio bottomed at the lower boundary of this channel in the early 2000s and has spent two decades building a base in the lower half of the channel.
* The Macro Rounding Bottom: The large green arc (highlighted by the white circle) visualizes the generational bottoming process that has been forming since the 2011 peak. This classic reversal pattern suggests a gradual but powerful shift from a bearish regime to a new bullish accumulation phase.
* The Nested Triangle Breakout: Within the larger rounding bottom, the price has been consolidating in a multi-year symmetrical triangle. The ratio is currently attempting to break out from this nested pattern, signaling the potential start of the next major upward impulse.
* Bullish Moving Average Crossover: Confirming this breakout is a rare "golden cross" on the monthly chart, with the 12/24-month SMAs crossing above the 50-month SMA. This signals a significant shift in long-term momentum, mirroring a similar event that preceded the major bull market that peaked in 2011.
Fundamental Drivers
This technical setup is underpinned by powerful fundamental catalysts:
* Strategic Mineral Classification: The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has designated silver as a "Critical Mineral," essential for national security and the economy.
* Emerging Sovereign Demand: Reports indicate potential new interest from sovereign entities, like Saudi Arabia and Russia, in adding silver to their national reserves.
* Structural Supply Deficit: This new demand is emerging against a backdrop of a persistent structural deficit in the silver market.
Synthesis and a Two-Stage Thesis
The technicals suggest a two-stage process for a major trend reversal. The breakout from the nested triangle, driven by the rounding bottom, represents the initial move. This is the start of a potential journey from the lower half of the 45-year channel toward its upper boundary.
Should the initial breakout be confirmed, it could represent the beginning of the parabolic, multi-year phase of outperformance that many long-term investors have anticipated for decades.
- Stage 1 Confirmation: A sustained monthly close above the 0.0060 level is the critical threshold for confirming the breakout from the nested triangle.
- Stage 2 Macro Target: A successful breakout would imply an eventual long-term move toward the upper boundary of the 45-year descending channel.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investment decisions should be made with the consultation of a qualified professional.