SILVER lets go pump it.Community discussions
SILVER lets go pump it.
XAGUSD 51.805 sell executed more sell 51.951only analysis let see
SILVER a base coil apparently forming.. get ready to rock and roil to a string spike... look at long term chart and you will know why... if bullion especially silver is to go down or major correct, it should have done 1 week or days ago
XAGUSD Potential bear flag in Gold:Sil ratio (meaning Silver to outperform Gold). Move will happen before month end, which way is unclear. Above 82:1 bearish metals, below 78:1 very bullish. Currently 80:1
SILVER miners are way up pretty positive there
XAGUSD checkout my update on xag today
SILVER DXY is falling. Looks like $56-$58 is feasible by mid DecemberSILVER While the retail crowd is distracted by geopolitical headlines and "inflation hedge" narratives, the real story in late 2025 is happening in the plumbing of the banking system. We are witnessing a structural liquidity withdrawal that historically precedes major corrections in non-yielding assets like Silver.1. The "Dash for Cash" is Real (and Institutional)
Smart money is tracking a massive spike in Synthetic Risk Transfers (SRTs) and direct asset disposals by major banks.
• The Signal: In Q3/Q4 2025, institutions like ING Group, Ally Financial, and Truist didn't just rebalance; they aggressively offloaded billions in risk-weighted assets to raise immediate Tier 1 capital.
• The Implication: When banks are engaging in "strategic repositioning" (selling securities at a loss to raise cash) and utilizing repo facilities at 2021 highs, they are signaling a desperate need for liquidity.
• Why it hurts Silver: Silver is a liquidity-sensitive asset. When the banking sector hoards cash to meet Basel III Endgame capital requirements (fully effective mid-2025), they reduce the repo financing available for speculative commodity carry trades. The "bid" under precious metals isn't just vanishing; it's being repriced higher due to the cost of capital.
2. Technical Structure: The "Double Top" Trap
Looking at the charts, the fundamental liquidity drain is perfectly aligned with a bearish technical distribution pattern.
• Price Action: We are seeing a classic Double Top formation near the $54.00 handle, capped by a textbook "Shooting Star" reversal candle in mid-November.
• Momentum: The RSI on the daily timeframe is showing a bearish divergence—price made a higher high (or matched high), but momentum failed to follow. This is a hallmark of institutional distribution while retail chases the breakout.
• Key Level: The price is hovering precariously above the $50.00 - $51.50 support zone. This is the "neckline" of the distribution structure.
3. The Trade Setup
The "SRT" boom is the smoking gun that the credit cycle is tightening. In a liquidity-constrained environment, Silver's industrial demand cannot offset the loss of speculative financial flows.
• Trigger: A daily close below $50.00 confirms the Double Top validation.
• Target 1: $47.00 (50-day EMA and high-volume node).
• Target 2: $44.50 (retest of the Q3 breakout structure).
• Invalidation: A sustained weekly close above $54.50 would negate the liquidity squeeze thesis.
Conclusion:
Don't fight the Fed, but more importantly, don't fight the banks' balance sheets. They are raising cash, and they aren't doing it to buy Silver. They are doing it to survive. We are fading the rally.
Status: Watchlist / Pending Breakdown
Entry: Sell Stop @ 49.85
Stop Loss: 54.60
SILVER my opinion is this what are you thinking tell me in comment?
SILVER Nice breakout and retest from the 4h cup and handle. Expecting at least a $54