The most important number for silver$37.80. No other number on the price chart has as much significance as this number. When each candle represents 3M the textbook Cup and Handle on Silver suddenly reveals itself. More importantly the breakout! The Real breakout in Silver isn't $50. The Real breakout in silver just happened. And since it happened on 3M candle chart, one could assume this is a lasting breakout, much like $2000 Gold. We all saw what happened there.
Trade ideas
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41.198 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAGUSD Holding Firm Above $41, Bulls Eye Higher LevelsSilver continues to consolidate after its recent strong rally, holding above the $41.00 handle while respecting its rising trendline. Recent bearish interest rate news has pressured the U.S. dollar, further boosting precious metals. With this macro tailwind, silver’s bullish structure remains intact as long as key supports hold.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: $41.17.
Price has maintained momentum above the ascending trendline since August.
Immediate consolidation near recent highs signals market strength rather than exhaustion.
Multiple layered supports sit below, keeping the bullish case intact.
🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines):
🟢 $39.87 – 1H Support (High Risk)
First short-term defense.
Stop-loss: $39.52
🟡 $37.22 – 4H Support (Low Risk)
Stronger structural zone.
Stop-loss: $36.95
🟠 $34.76 – Daily Support (Long-Term Entry)
Major macro base. Attractive for longer-term positioning.
Stop-loss: $34.16
🔼 Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: $41.50
Break above → opens path toward $42.20 and $43.00.
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Consolidation above $41.00 + breakout past $41.50 → continuation to $42+.
Bearish Case: Failure of $39.87 → correction into $37.22 or $34.76 before renewed demand.
Bias: Bullish while above $39.87 and trendline remains intact.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
Silver benefits from a dual role: a precious metal hedge against monetary easing and a key industrial input.
Bullish tailwind: Bearish U.S. rate news has weakened the dollar, lifting silver alongside gold.
Caution: Stronger-than-expected USD rebounds or risk-on sentiment could trigger pullbacks.
✅ Conclusion
XAGUSD remains in a bullish structure above $41.00, with demand stacked across multiple support zones. A break above $41.50 confirms continuation toward higher levels, while pullbacks into $39.87 or $37.22 offer attractive long setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals.
Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows:
wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1
wave 3 target = $48
wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3
wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start)
I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones.
Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves.
Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Pullback Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in the MakingSilver is in an uptrend channel both in the short term and the medium term. Significant bullish pressure is coming from gold, rising technology investment that boosts demand for silver, persistent inflation risks, and the Fed being on the verge of cutting rates. Fundamentally, everything supports silver, and upward pressure is likely to continue.
However, in the short term, upward momentum has started to ease despite the push from gold, which could be an early signal of a small correction. The upward move is still expected to continue, but if the green trendline and the 40.50 support both fail, there is a zone between 39.10 and 40.50 with previous low trading volume that could be filled by a selloff. Such low-volume zones often behave similarly to gaps, though not always.
In either case, silver has stronger potential over the medium term, and any sudden selloffs are likely to remain buying opportunities.
SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 4,131.3.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 4,170.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test | PULLBACK/CORRECTION PENDINGFOREXCOM:XAGUSD
📊 SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Silver rejected at 41.65 (key resistance). Buyers are active from 41.00–41.15, but a breakout above 41.65 is needed for further continuation.
Market Overview
The market is consolidating near resistance. A push above 41.65 could extend gains, but failure will drag price back to demand zones near 41.00 and below.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 41.45
Target 2: 41.65
Target 3: 41.90 – 42.00
Stop Loss: Below 41.00
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 41.15
Target 2: 41.00
Target 3: 40.52
Stop Loss: Above 41.65
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 41.65
Support 🟢: 41.15 – 41.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41.252 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41.509.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver is in an 11-year Uptrend using Time@Mode MethodThe Silver market has been chopping around between $50 at $8.5 for the last 20 years but has been following the methodology I call "Time At Mode" from the observation that markets tend to trend for the same amount of time as the most common price across an accumulation level (or distribution level).
As you can see here with Silver, from 1993 to 2002, it went sideways and every year touched the $5 level and if you look carefully the "highest low" was in 1999 at $4.87. That is the official mode for the uptrend starting from the low in 1991.
Why did the uptrend start in 1991? 1991 was the lowest low for the following 5 bars, so we can methodically label the 1991 low the "start" of the uptrend. Counting forward from 1991 we can see the wide range from $4 to $7 across the following 10 years.
In 2003 I have marked a "range expansion" bar where the advance to the high that year was greater than the previous year's range. That "range expansion" is the sign of a change in the market and a signal that the market has detached from the mode and is ready to trend. What I have noticed is that the market will trend for the same number of bars as touch one single price line across the mode.
The 10th year wasn't the highest high of the uptrend of 10 years, but it was the "highest low" for the uptrend. You can also notice that the price moved up by 3x the range around the mode. The "range" is the highest to lowest measurement of those bars that between the start and end of the mode line.
By adding the "RAM" (range around mode) to the mode, you establish a likely price target for the trend. In this case, silver moved 3x the RAM or Range.
Since the peak in silver in 2011, silver has built a new mode at the $15 level and it too started to trend in 2019 by Range Expanding but then 2020 reversed that jump start and stopped out that signal.
2020 again saw a range expansion out of the mode and triggered a new 11-year uptrend which is labeled now ending in 2030.
The upside target is measured using a %-graph and measuring from $8.458 in 2008 to the high in 2011 at $48.8 and using that % to project up from the mode at $15.1897, which is the low of the year 2017.
So, the target is for $93 by the year 2030 which sounds impressive but is a bit over 143% spread out over 5 years for a compound gain of 19.5% per year.
The typical way to trade Time@Mode is to hold 2 positions, one to exit when the price target is hit and one to exit when the time expires.
See you in 2030 to see if this trade panned out.
Cheers,
Tim
8/27/2025 10:39AM EST
Silver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial streSilver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial strength
Technical Perspective
XAGUSD is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern that implies a bullish breakout post accumulation phase.
Bullish alignment of EMA cross also reinforces the positive outlook within consolidation.
Currently, XAGUSD is testing the upper boundary of the sideways range. A close above the 41.50 upper bound resistance would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target at 44.80 based on the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, failure to break above 41.50 may trigger a pullback toward the ascending trendline. A breakdown below this line would expose the key psychological support at 40.00.
Fundamental Perspective
Silver maintains a high correlation with gold, often rallying alongside it when gold prices rise.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding silver, boosting demand.
Industrial demand remains robust, especially in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, with China driving consumption. Meanwhile, years of persistent supply deficits have tightened the market, providing strong fundamental support.
Geopolitical risks and safe-haven flows attract capital into broadly precious metals including silver.
In summary, silver’s latest rally is supported by monetary easing expectations, strong industrial demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions that reinforce safe-haven demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
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📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.