XAGUSD H1 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 40.96, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 40.22, which is a pullback support.
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SILVERCFD trade ideas
SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 4,131.3.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 4,170.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Silver Pullback Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in the MakingSilver is in an uptrend channel both in the short term and the medium term. Significant bullish pressure is coming from gold, rising technology investment that boosts demand for silver, persistent inflation risks, and the Fed being on the verge of cutting rates. Fundamentally, everything supports silver, and upward pressure is likely to continue.
However, in the short term, upward momentum has started to ease despite the push from gold, which could be an early signal of a small correction. The upward move is still expected to continue, but if the green trendline and the 40.50 support both fail, there is a zone between 39.10 and 40.50 with previous low trading volume that could be filled by a selloff. Such low-volume zones often behave similarly to gaps, though not always.
In either case, silver has stronger potential over the medium term, and any sudden selloffs are likely to remain buying opportunities.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
Silver’s Bullish Transition: $50 and BeyondSilver OANDA:XAGUSD FX:XAGUSD TVC:SILVER COMEX:SI1! has completed a multi-decade accumulation phase and is now entering a global bullish supercycle, capable of reshaping the balance of power in the precious metals market. Below is the current view across timeframes, structures, and macro drivers.
🔭 Global Perspective
Since the early 1980s, silver has been moving within a broad corrective structure, with two major corrections: from 1980 to 1995 and from 2011 to 2020.
Now there is strong evidence that a transition phase — wave (III) — has begun, which could potentially break historic highs and push prices toward $100+.
Upon reaching the $50 mark, the chart would complete a classic institutional "cup with handle" pattern, similar to gold, potentially triggering an exponential rally.
⏱ Mid-Term View
Since August 2022, silver has been developing an impulsive structure.
The deep correction we observed in April 2025 likely represents wave C of a flat correction, completing wave (4) of the current impulse.
Currently, silver is building wave (5). Within it, the first subwave (i) has either been completed or is still forming.
In the coming weeks or month, a local pullback is possible, followed by a continuation of the bullish rally, with a medium-term target in the $42–50 range.
🌐 Macro and Fundamental Drivers of Growth:
📈 Inflation and declining real interest rates — Silver, like gold, acts as an inflation hedge, especially during periods of monetary easing.
💵 Weakening U.S. Dollar — A falling DXY and potential QE strengthen demand for silver.
⚙️ Growing industrial demand — Silver is essential for solar panels, electronics, electric vehicles, and the medical sector.
🌍 Green energy transition — Silver is a critical material for photovoltaic technologies and the expansion of renewable energy.
📉 Structural supply deficit — Declining mining investment and ore grades are forming a long-term supply shortage.
🏦 Increasing institutional interest — ETFs, hedge funds, and banks are expanding their exposure to silver, boosting liquidity and long-term price support.
⚠️ Geopolitical risks — Metals act as a safe-haven amid rising global instability and de-dollarization trends.
📌
The supercycle is intact — we are likely within wave (III).
Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall structure remains bullish.
Medium-term target — $42–50.
The full cycle may take years, but the directional bias is clear.
Fundamental factors strongly support the technical outlook, pointing to significant long-term upside.
SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test | PULLBACK/CORRECTION PENDINGFOREXCOM:XAGUSD
📊 SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Silver rejected at 41.65 (key resistance). Buyers are active from 41.00–41.15, but a breakout above 41.65 is needed for further continuation.
Market Overview
The market is consolidating near resistance. A push above 41.65 could extend gains, but failure will drag price back to demand zones near 41.00 and below.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 41.45
Target 2: 41.65
Target 3: 41.90 – 42.00
Stop Loss: Below 41.00
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 41.15
Target 2: 41.00
Target 3: 40.52
Stop Loss: Above 41.65
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 41.65
Support 🟢: 41.15 – 41.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,066.6
Target Level: 3,923.7
Stop Loss: 4,160.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
SILVER DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS let’s break this XAG/USD (Silver, Daily timeframe) chart down step by step:
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1. Current Market Context
Price is trading at 40.95, very close to recent highs.
Momentum is clearly bullish, with strong impulsive candles breaking above previous resistance zones.
Structure shows consistent higher highs & higher lows, confirming a bullish trend.
---
2. Key Institutional Zones (Marked on Chart)
🔴 Supply / Short Zones
39.57 – 38.81:
This red zone was a major supply area where sellers previously stepped in.
Price consolidated, then broke above strongly.
This zone is now flipped into demand — meaning institutions may defend it on any pullback.
🔵 Demand / Long Zones
36.53 – 35.77:
Strong institutional demand zone. Previous breakout base.
If price retraces deep, expect institutions to re-enter longs here.
35.01 – 34.25:
Secondary demand zone. Historically defended with multiple reactions.
33.49 – 32.73:
Key structural base where the last big rally originated. Very strong institutional footprint.
---
3. Trendline & Price Action
The ascending trendline drawn from May – July 2025 supports the bullish continuation narrative.
Price respected it multiple times before the breakout toward 40+.
If price corrects, watch for retests of trendline + demand zones aligning (confluence)
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4. Next Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation (Most Probable)
A breakout and sustained close above 41.00–41.20 could accelerate a move toward 42.50 – 43.00 (next liquidity pool).
Momentum buyers likely target liquidity sitting above 41.85.
🔵 Bullish Pullback
A correction toward 39.50 zone (recent breakout level) would be healthy and could serve as a high-probability long re-entry.
Deeper retracement could retest 36.50 – 35.70 (major demand), offering swing long opportunities.
🔴 Bearish Reversal (Low Probability for Now)
Only a daily close below 35.70 would threaten the bullish structure.
That would open doors for a bigger drop back toward 34.20 – 33.50 demand.
---
5. Institutional Positioning Perspective
Longs or Buy orders are likely built around the 36.50 → 35.00 demand levels.
Short-term profit-taking could occur near 41.00 – 42.00 supply, but unless institutions dump massively, dips remain buy opportunities.
Current momentum suggests institutions are defending longs and running price into higher liquidity pools.
---
✅ Summary:
Silver (XAG/USD) is in a strong bullish trend. As long as price holds above 39.50, buyers remain in control with targets at 42.50–43.00. Pullbacks into 39.50 or deeper 36.50–35.70 zones are opportunities for institutional re-accumulation (longs). A bearish reversal would only be confirmed below 35.70.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver(XAG/USD)-BullishBreakout&Continuation Setup Towards$4,200Silver has completed a prolonged sideways consolidation and successfully broken above the resistance area, showing strong bullish momentum. Price is now retesting the breakout zone, which may act as support before the next upward move. If the bullish trend holds above $3,750–$3,800, the next target lies near $4,200.
Key levels:
Resistance: $4,000 – $4,202
Support: $3,600 – $3,750
Trend Bias: Bullish above support zone
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice
(Alchemy Markets) Silver Sees 45 Year Trend LineSilver has rallied nearly 45% from the April low reaching $41/oz. Silver prices can now see a very long-term trend line connecting the 1980 and 2011 price highs , a 45-year trend line in the making. (red line)
If Silver were to rally that high, a bearish reaction would likely be felt.
However, Silver has a wall of Elliott wave relationships and market geometry it needs to contend with first.
The rally from the September 2022 low is quite mature from an Elliott wave perspective. The rally is unfolding as an impulse wave pattern labeled 1-2-3-4-5 and it appears Silver is in the late stages of wave 5.
Wave 5 would need to subdivide as 5-waves and current prices appear to have completed wave ((iv)) at the July 31 low.
If this wave labeling is correct, then Silver is in wave ((v)) of 5 of (C)...an ending wave at 3 degrees of trend.
We can use common wave relationships and market geometry measurements to estimate where this current up wave may travel to.
There is a cluster of wave relationships between 41.59 - 44.92 plus a parallel price channel to help hold down Silver.
Lastly, there is some histogram divergence noted on the MACD indicator.
All of these symptoms mixed together suggest rallies in Silver may be limited with the bulk of the trend behind it.
IF this is correct, then another down-up sequence may finish silver off and lead to a decline back to the wave 4 extreme, near $29.
Though not expected, if silver does plow above $44.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction.
XAGUSD 4HTrading Outlook for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we review trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to—or breakout from—this zone will determine the next price movement toward the specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight key levels ahead of the price and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
SILVER XAGUSD SILVER BULLS WINS ON ECONOMIC DATA REPORT AND KEEPS GAINS
BREAKDOWN.
Indicator Current Forecast Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Non-Farm Employment Change 22,000 75,000 79,000
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
Fed Interpretation:
Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% m/m): In line with forecasts and previous data, showing steady wage growth. Stable wage growth suggests moderate inflation pressure from labor costs.
Non-Farm Employment Change (22,000): Significantly below forecast (75,000) and previous month (79,000), indicating a sharp slowdown in job creation. This suggests labor market cooling, potentially reflecting economic slowdown or more cautious hiring by employers.
The agency responsible for the US Non-Farm Employment Change data is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor
The report, often released on the first Friday of each month, measures the change in the number of people employed in the US excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
It is based on the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey which covers about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 worksites.
The data provides detailed insights into employment, hours worked, and earnings across various industries.
The report is closely watched as a key indicator of labor market health and overall economic performance.
Unemployment Rate (4.3%): Slightly increased from previous 4.2%, matching forecast. A rising unemployment rate confirms some softening in labor market conditions.
The agency responsible for measuring and reporting the Unemployment Rate in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL).
Key Points:
The Unemployment Rate is part of the monthly Employment Situation Report produced by the BLS.
It measures the percentage of the labor force that is jobless but actively seeking work.
Data for the unemployment rate is collected through the Current Population Survey (CPS), which surveys approximately 60,000 households.
The BLS releases the unemployment rate and other labor statistics on the first Friday of every month.
The Department of Labor oversees the BLS, which is responsible for gathering and disseminating this critical labor market data that influences economic policy, including Federal Reserve decisions.
Summary:
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): the official source for the unemployment rate.
U.S. Department of Labor (DOL): the parent department supervising BLS operations.
The unemployment rate data helps assess economic health and guides policy decisions on employment and inflation.
Overall Fed Takeaway:
The marked slowdown in job growth combined with a slight rise in unemployment signals weakening labor market strength
Stable wage growth limits upside inflation risks from labor costs.
These signals suggest easing inflation pressures and a slowing economy, which might encourage the Fed to pause further rate hikes or consider cutting rates soon to support growth.
The Fed will likely weigh this data alongside other inflation and economic indicators to decide the next policy step but may lean cautiously towards easing given the weaker jobs data.
In summary, today’s data points to a moderating labor market with controlled wage inflation that supports a more dovish Fed approach in upcoming meetings.
DXY DEFENDED 97,428 ON DATA RPORT AND CLOSE THE 4HR ABOVE KEY SUPPORT STRUCTURE TO 97.722 AS AT REPORTING.
THE US 10Y BOND YIELD 4.056% SINKING TODAY BUT ON STRUCTURE THE US10Y IS ON DEMANDFLOOR AND BOND BUYING COULD OFFSET GOLS GAINS TODAY.
OPEN OF NEXT WEEK GOLD WILL CORRECT BECAUSE ITS OVER BOUGHT.
#GOLD #DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR
Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but I’m still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- I’d like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
SILVER’S SUPERCYCLE: $40 Retest Could Ignite a Moonshot to $66Silver OANDA:XAGUSD ) has finally broken out of a multi-year resistance zone, soaring past $40 for the first time since 2011. With technical momentum building and macro tailwinds in place, this could be the beginning of a supercycle rally in precious metals.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: Watching for a pullback to $40.00 – a former resistance turned key support
🔹 Stop Loss: $38.00 (below support, invalidates breakout if breached)
🔹 Targets:
• TP1: $44.00 – $48.00
• TP2: $58.00 – $66.00
Why This Setup?
✅ Breakout from multi-decade cup & handle formation
✅ Bullish momentum driven by inflation hedging, weak USD, and rising industrial demand
✅ Historical precedents suggest that confirmed breakouts in silver often move fast and far
Watchlist:
🕵️ Keep an eye on volume, RSI divergence, and how price reacts near $40. A healthy pullback and strong bounce would validate the setup.
#Silver #XAGUSD #SilverStackers #Commodities #PreciousMetals #GoldVsSilver
#BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MetalsTrading #SpotSilver #TradingSetup
#MacroTrading #SafeHavenAssets #InflationHedge #SilverSqueeze #Supercycle
Silver is once again on a path that will lead to higher goals!Given the trend that began at the beginning of 2020, it seems that this precious metal has found a special place among investors and is consolidating itself in this position.
It should be noted that for whatever reason this consolidation occurs, the goals above $ 100 per ounce of silver are achievable.
The lagging behind the price of silver in comparison to the growth of the price of gold indicates attractive investment opportunities and, to quote us "noble Iranians", "maybe too soon is too late!"