XAGUSD - Signal#XAGUSD - Signal
H4 - Formation of the 3rd wave + breakout of the trend line. Stop behind the high of the 2nd wave.
Entry: 47.72828
TP: 46.31355 - 45.58804 - 44.36677 - 41.16757
Stop: 49.09465
Trade ideas
Silver Forms Classic Head & Shoulders Pattern: Wait for retestPrice was in a strong uptrend, with buyers clearly dominating. Each push higher showed strong momentum, but bullish strength started to fade.
The first pullback formed the left shoulder, showing early signs of hesitation. Buyers tried to regain control, pushing price to a new high, "the head", but that move lacked follow-through. This is a big clue.
When price pulled back again and formed a lower high, the right shoulder, sellers stepped in more aggressively. This was the first real sign that the trend might be shifting.
Once the neckline broke, it confirmed that sellers had taken control. A retest of the neckline could now serve as a perfect short entry point, anticipating a move toward around 47.000.
Silver XAGUSD – Wave 3 Structure Formation and ContinuatioSilver (XAGUSD, 4H) – Wave 3 Structure Formation and Continuation Scenario
Current price: $48.37
Silver is forming a potential impulsive sequence, following a completed ABC correction. The current rebound from the $47.00 area marks the possible start of wave 3, aligning with Fibonacci projections for a broader bullish continuation.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The metal has rebounded from the $47.00–$47.20 support zone, where multiple technical factors converge (Fib 0.236 retracement + previous swing low).
• A breakout from the short-term descending structure indicates renewed upward momentum.
• The next phase of the pattern targets higher Fibonacci extensions, confirming the start of a new impulsive leg.
📈 Bullish Scenario
• Stop-loss: below $47.10, under the recent low.
• Upside targets:
– $50.25–$50.30 — short-term confirmation zone
– $51.30–$51.35 — next resistance / 1.0 Fib projection
– $53.00–$53.10 — mid-term target (1.618 Fib)
– $56.20–$56.30 — extended objective (1.2 Fib expansion of the broader structure)
• A close above $49.00–$49.20 would confirm bullish continuation toward the $51–$53 range.
⚙️ Market Context
• Silver continues to mirror broader metal sector strength, supported by a moderate USD retracement and rising commodity momentum.
• Technical structure supports the idea of a completed corrective wave C, now transitioning into a new growth cycle.
• Volume and momentum indicators show early divergence signals consistent with a bullish reversal base.
🧭 Summary
Silver is showing clear signs of trend reversal and wave continuation.
• While price remains above $47.10, bias stays bullish, targeting $50.25 → $51.30 → $53.00 → $56.20.
• A breakout above $49.00 would validate the start of wave 3, whereas a drop below $47.00 would delay the scenario.
Bounce BackIn Upper Level Warn In Advance, Don't Make new Positions here.
Now Silver down 16.8 % in just 2 weeks.
Now 44.88/45.88$ some Support zone.
Some Bounce Back Possible at this level.
Keep in mind we play only for dad cate bounce.
XAGUSDHow to become successful in forex and stock trading:
1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis.
2.Build and follow a solid trading plan.
3.Apply strict risk management (4–6% rule).
4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed.
5.Record and analyze every trade.
6.Focus on high-quality setups only.
7.Diversify across assets and markets.
8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 4,652.6.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 4,606.3 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver - 3 drives to 46Silver is in correction before the next leg up. Presently within a intraday consolidation.
A suggestion for 3 drives and price to test 46. Some call this the bouncing ball and is a trend continuation pattern.
A short consideration on chart.
Long term I am bullish on this metal.
Silver: Metals Enter a Confident Correction PhaseSilver, like other metals, is also aiming for lower levels.
A short position is reasonable here too — stop above today’s high, target 44.75.
Entering at current levels looks appropriate.
Stop above today’s high.
Colleagues, this is not a trend reversal and not a metals crash — it’s a correction within an ongoing uptrend.
The trend remains upward, so let’s work carefully: use stop-losses and avoid going all-in!
I believe that before the New Year we’ll see growth again and enter another bullish cycle — but for now, we’re moving lower.
XAGUSDTrading forex based on strong fundamentals is beneficial because it allows investors to make informed decisions grounded in real economic data rather than speculation. By analyzing key indicators like interest rates, inflation, GDP growth, employment, and geopolitical stability, a trader can anticipate currency movements driven by macroeconomic forces. This approach helps identify long-term trends and reduces emotional or impulsive trading, offering more consistent and sustainable profits. In essence, good fundamentals turn forex trading from a gamble into a strategic investment rooted in economic reality.
Market Insight: Silver’s Next Move Hinges on MA Breakout!🎯 XAG/USD: The Great Silver Heist - Bearish Breakout Setup! 💰
📊 ASSET OVERVIEW
Pair: XAG/USD (Silver vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Precious Metals
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: 🐻 BEARISH
🎭 THE HEIST PLAN (Trading Setup)
🔴 Entry Zone: The Breakout
Level: $49.50 (MA Breakout Zone)
Signal: Waiting for price to break below moving average support
Confirmation: Clean break with volume + momentum shift
🛑 Stop Loss: The Safety Vault
Level: $52.00
Purpose: Protection for potential pullback scenarios
Note: This SL accommodates a possible bounce before continuation down
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Fellow traders, this stop loss is MY risk tolerance. YOU decide your own risk parameters. Trade what YOU can afford to lose. Your money, your rules! 🎰
🎯 Target: The Escape Route
Primary Target: $47.00
Why This Level?
🚧 Strong resistance zone acting as support (role reversal)
📈 Overbought conditions on lower timeframes
Potential bull trap zone - perfect profit extraction point
⚠️ Profit Disclaimer: This is MY target based on MY analysis. YOU make your own profit decisions. Lock gains when YOUR strategy says so. Always secure the bag at YOUR comfort level! 💼
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
Key Factors:
Moving Average Breakdown - Price rejecting MA as new resistance
Market Structure - Lower highs forming on H4/D1 timeframes
Resistance Cluster - Multiple confluences at $52 area
Volume Profile - Decreasing buy pressure
What I'm Watching:
📉 Sustained close below $49.50
📊 Volume confirmation on breakdown
🕒 Time alignment with USD strength cycles
💱 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch)
Metals Family:
XAU/USD (Gold) - Moves in tandem with silver ~70% correlation
GC1! (Gold Futures) - Leading indicator for precious metals sentiment
HG1! (Copper Futures) - Industrial metals correlation
USD Strength Plays:
TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation with metals
FX:EURUSD - Risk-on/risk-off sentiment gauge
FX:USDJPY - Safe haven flow indicator
Key Point: When DXY 📈 = Precious metals 📉 typically. Watch Fed policy signals and real yields for directional bias!
🎪 THE "THIEF STYLE" STRATEGY PHILOSOPHY
This setup follows the "steal profits when the market sleeps" approach:
🎯 Identify overextended moves
⏰ Wait for breakout confirmation
💨 Execute with precision
🏃 Escape before the reversal
It's all about timing, patience, and taking what the market gives!
Conduct your own research (DYOR)
Use proper risk management
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
Consider consulting a licensed financial advisor
💼 No Guarantees: No trading outcome is guaranteed. Markets are unpredictable. Trade responsibly!
📢 ENGAGEMENT FOOTER
✨ "If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!"
🏷️ HASHTAGS
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🎬 End of Analysis | Trade Safe, Trade Smart! 🎬
Silver Buy PlanSilver Buy Plan
I’ll wait for confirmation before taking a buy trade.
Recently, a CISD formed, which may push the price lower. There’s a strong bullish order block sitting much lower, and that zone can act as the base for an upward move.
For now, I’ll just observe the market closely. Once price action aligns with my criteria, I’ll look for a buy setup.
We already have a sweep of the previous low, and my first target will be around the equilibrium or the previous week’s level.
SILVER-BULLISH POTENTIAL ZONESILVER has shown bullish momentum as it has retraced to 0.5-0.6 fib level and made a falling wedge with a bullish divergence .
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 48.271 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Possible long positionthis is what expected for XAGUSD.A possible long position with marked target( blue lines).
Gold, Silver Outlook: Haven Sentiment, Reversal Patterns on HoldFollowing the heated headlines on gold and silver — driving long lines outside jewelry stores and fueling intense media coverage and momentum — a contrarian signal has emerged. This signal was confirmed by classic reversal patterns, triggering the 300+ point selloff we witnessed this week.
Gold Outlook:
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices have formed a double-top pattern near the $4,380 peak, pulling back toward $4,000 support — a level that now defines two potential scenarios:
A sustained move below $4,000 — the double-top target and key support — could trigger another 300-point decline, with the next support zones around $3,920 and $3,780.
As price action remains above the target but below the neckline, the bearish bias persists. A clean break above $4,200–$4,240 would be required to reignite upside momentum toward $4,300–$4,380, after which new record highs could extend toward $4,900–$5,000.
Silver Outlook
On the 4-hour chart, silver has traced a head and shoulders reversal pattern, targeting the $47.30 level. If prices close back above the neckline at $50.80, gains may resume toward record levels, with key targets at $52.40, $54.40, and $56.60. Holding below $47 could extend losses toward $44.40 and $42.90, aligning with the trendline connecting consecutive higher highs between January 2023 and October 2024, setting up a potential bullish rebound.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
SilverXAGUSD
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Wave
- Break of Structure
- Supply Zone
- Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
- Order Block
New target for silver $71 after current consolidationNew target for silver $71 after current consolidation. If you're on leverage/margin, good luck with in-between roller coaster rides.
Three Failed Probes Hint at Silver UpsideAfter three failed probes beneath $48 and a bullish engulfing candle, some upside may be in store for silver.
While entry on a pullback would be preferred, longs could be considered around current levels with a stop below $48 for protection, targeting $51, which acted as both support and resistance earlier this month.
Even though the momentum picture has changed dramatically over the past week, RSI (14) has flattened just above 50 while MACD remains in positive territory despite crossing the signal line from above. Combined, the message is one of diminished upside pressure, not an outright bearish signal. As with this setup, more emphasis should be placed on price action rather than retaining a specific directional bias.
Good luck!
DS
XAG/USD – SELL Entry (H1- Wedge Breakout Pattern)The XAG/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Wedge Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. OANDA:XAGUSD
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 46.91212
💰TP: 41.26205
⛔️SL: 50.07903
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals have fixed intraday decline records early this week. For now, the likelihood of continued declines is higher, and a reversal is more likely. A strong factor for continued declines in silver would be the formation of an accumulation between levels 47 and 48. In this case, a drop to level 38 could be expected. The declines in metals are explained with profit-taking, thereby strengthening the USD.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Silver at critical resistance, is a great collapse next?Silver has a long history of dramatic price spikes, each coinciding with significant global macro events:
June 1980, the Hunt Brother’s squeeze sent silver parabolic before collapsing
March 2011, post Global Financial Crisis (GFC) stimulus + QE mania led to another blow off top
Present day, amidst chaotic politics and incomprehensible levels of debt price action is once again testing the same resistance zone around $50
This area has proven to be a multi-decade resistance. Each prior approach ended in a swift and brutal correction.
Technical analysis
Monthly chart: Price action has surged aggressively. 300% since the lows of 2020 to the $45-50 resistance band, mirroring the same vertical rallies of 1980 and 2011.
RSI: A long term descending RSI resistance line connects the 1980 and 2011 tops. Current RSI is once again colliding with this barrier, hinting at exhaustion.
Momentum: While silver is undeniably strong, history suggests the upside risk may be limited at these levels compared to the downside potential.
Risk reward breakdown
Upside potential: A clean breakout above $50 could open the door to a true price discovery phase possibly $60+ if silver enters a secular commodities super cycle.
Downside risk: Failure here would mimic the historic collapses:
1980: -90% drawdown
2011: -70% drawdown
A pullback to $25-30 would not be unusual, especially if macro liquidly tightens.
Trading strategy ideas:
Aggressive traders: Consider short setups or profit taking near the $50 resistance, with stops above $52-53 to manage risk.
Conservative traders: Wait for confirmation, either a monthly breakout or close above $50 (bullish) or a strong rejection signal.
Conclusion
Silver has once again like Gold reached historic levels. The risk/reward profile favours caution here on. History shows that vertical rallies into this level tend to end poorly for late longs. Unless silver breaks and holds above $50, the probability of a deep correction remains high.
Is it possible price action continues higher? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Silver Punches 45-Year Trend Line and Gets A Return PunchSilver prices reached a 45-year trend line going back to 1980 and has since retreated. The monthly candle for October is drafting a large wick to the upside similar to a shooting star candle formation.
In the video, we discuss some downside targets for XAGUSD of this correction that would be considered 'normal' after such a large runup.
Typical Elliott Wave patterns like this would call for a retracement back to the mid-40s and possibly $36-37.
See our written post from Sept 5 (attached below) when we mentioned "if silver does plow above $4.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction."
SILVER XAGUSDSILVER IS POSITIONING FOR BUY FROM THE CURRENT PRICE ACTION BY CLOSE OF THE WEEK.AS THE MARKET OPENS I EXPECT A BULLISH CORRECTION INTO BREAK OF THE ASCENDING TRENDLINE (BAR).
SILVER IN CONTEXT.
Silver is a multifaceted precious metal valued for both its industrial applications and status as a store of value. It plays an essential role in various sectors due to its unique physical and chemical properties.
Key Characteristics of Silver
High Electrical and Thermal Conductivity: Silver is the best conductor of electricity and heat, which makes it indispensable in electronics and electrical applications.
Antimicrobial Properties: Silver is widely used in medical settings for wound dressings, coatings, and sterilization due to its germicidal capabilities.
Reflectivity: Its high reflectivity makes it useful in solar panels and certain optical applications like mirrors.
Major Industrial Applications
Electronics: Components such as switches, connectors, and conductive adhesives rely heavily on silver.
Solar Energy: Photovoltaic cells in solar panels use silver paste for efficient electricity generation.
Healthcare: Used in antimicrobial coatings and medical devices.
Jewelry and Silverware: Traditional uses, often mixed with other metals in alloys.
Other Uses: Batteries, photographic films (though decreased with digital), and catalysts.
Investment and Market Insights
Silver is traded actively as bullion, ETFs, futures, and options.
It tends to have higher price volatility compared to gold due to its dual role as an industrial metal and investment asset.
Price movements are influenced by industrial demand, inflation expectations, USD strength, and geopolitical factors.
Silver often has a strong correlation with gold but can diverge due to shifting industrial demand.
Summary
Silver’s importance spans from critical industrial applications in electronics and green energy to safe-haven investment. Its market price reflects a complex balance between industrial use and investment-driven demand, contributing to its volatility and attractiveness.
This makes silver an important commodity for diversified investment and industrial strategy.
TRADING STRATEGY.
WATCH US10Y
WATCH DXY DOLLAR INDEX
WATCH KEY SUPPLY AND DEMAND STRUCTURE FROM THE CHART.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY.
#XAGUSD #SILVER #DOLLAR #DXY
