Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
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AMD trade ideas
Advanced Micro Holds Previous HighAdvanced Micro Devices has sat calmly with other AI chip stocks rallying, but some traders may see upside potential.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between mid-August and mid-September. AMD is now past that falling trendline, which could suggest the downtrend is fading.
Second is the November high of $150.71. AMD crossed that level in mid-July and bounced at it a week later. It’s been retested again twice this month without breaking. Has old resistance become new support?
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its long-term trend has gotten more bullish.
Next, narrowing Bollinger Bandwidth reflects tight price action. Some traders could see potential for movement to resume after the volatility squeeze.
Finally, AMD is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 665,000 contracts ranks seventh in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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AMD reversal pattern and long-term growth potentialOn the AMD chart price holds the key support around 149–150 forming a base for continuation of the bullish trend. Above the consolidation zone at 160 targets open at 183, 217 and 259. In the longer-term perspective the structure points toward 326 and even higher as the trend remains bullish. Should a correction occur the 129 zone acts as major support to preserve the upward structure.
AMD keeps strengthening its market share in processors and GPUs, expanding rapidly in the server and AI segments. Strong demand for company products and its growing role in the AI ecosystem continue to attract institutional investors. Looking ahead to 2026, some analysts expect the stock to potentially reach levels around 900 per share.
Both the technical setup and fundamentals support further upside with near-term targets at 183, 217 and 259 while in the long-term a scenario above 300 and potentially up to 900 stays in focus for strategic investors. Risk-to-reward conditions provide a strong basis for holding existing positions and considering new entries. Additionally, investors may also look at opportunities through the AMD-linked ETF (AMDL).
AMD at a Crossroads: Deep Correction or a Launch to New Highs?
🔎 Technical Analysis (Based on the Chart)
Recent Trend:
After a sharp rally from around $100 to nearly $180, the stock entered a corrective phase.
A series of lower highs and lower lows suggests the start of a short-term downtrend.
Price is now trading below the 50-day moving average (yellow line), which is a bearish signal.
Patterns & Price Action:
The chart shows a possible Head & Shoulders structure or at least a similar bearish formation.
The red arrow indicates potential downside movement toward lower levels.
📉 Short-Term Outlook (2–6 weeks)
Bias: Bearish
Targets:
First target: $150
Second target: $140 (if support breaks)
Stop-loss: A confirmed close above $166–168 (back above the moving average and resistance).
📈 Long-Term Outlook (3–6 months)
If the current correction extends, the stock could dip toward $135–140, then potentially start a new bullish phase.
Upside Targets:
First target: $180 retest
Second target: $200–210 if the historical high breaks
Stop-loss (long-term): A confirmed close below $135 (break of major support, trend reversal to bearish).
✅ Summary:
Short-term: Likely correction toward $150–140.
Long-term: As long as $135 holds, bullish targets toward $200 remain valid.
AMD - good DCA candidateAMD has dropped close to 50% from it's all time high, during the height of the AI exuberance. It's now in a speakerphone pattern and has entered the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level. I believe this is a good opportunity to start a position, using a DCA approach, in the hope it drops more for further accumulation.
It could well drop another 20-30% from here, where I would add more for a long term hold. If you're bullish on AI and if we are indeed in the early innings of a new industrial revolution, AMD presents an excellent opportunity to get in on the longer term growth of this cyclical trend. It's true AMD is no Nvidia but the upside potential for Nvidia is far less that AMD.
Looking back at the price action, you will notice similar patterns have played out before a strong push to the upside.
This is not financial advise, do what's best for you.
AMD Corrective - possible buy pointAt AMD, I currently see two possible scenarios:
1. The five-wave structure is not yet complete, and the stock could push above the current high. However, I consider this scenario less likely.
2. We are currently forming wave B of a correction. In this case, the stock should at least correct down to around $131, where both the 200-day moving average and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward move are located.
In the following upward move, a target range of $250–$300 looks realistic.
Trading $AMD to the $250 in the next 6 monthsCloud & Data Center Partners
Amazon EC2, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure: These major cloud providers integrate AMD’s EPYC processors into their infrastructure, offering scalable and efficient computing solutions.
Dell Technologies, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Lenovo, Supermicro, and Cisco: These OEMs design and manufacture servers powered by AMD's processors, catering to enterprise and high-performance computing needs.
IBM: In August 2025, AMD and IBM announced a collaboration to develop scalable, open-source platforms, combining IBM's quantum computing innovations with AMD's high-performance computing and AI accelerators.
🧠 AI & High-Performance Computing (HPC)
OpenAI: During AMD's "Advancing AI" event in June 2025, OpenAI announced its intent to utilize AMD's upcoming MI400 chips for its AI infrastructure.
Meta, xAI, Oracle, Microsoft, Astera Labs, and Marvell Technology: These companies are collaborating with AMD to integrate its AI chips into their platforms, enhancing AI capabilities across various applications.
Liquid AI: AMD led a $250 million funding round for Liquid AI, a startup specializing in generative AI. This partnership aims to optimize Liquid AI's models using AMD's hardware.
🎮 Gaming & Consumer Electronics
Sony (PlayStation): AMD and Sony are working together on "Project Amethyst," an initiative to enhance gaming graphics and gameplay using AI technology across platforms, including PlayStation and PC.
11 bit studios: AMD has partnered with this Polish game developer to optimize future games like "Frostpunk 2" and "The Thaumaturge" for AMD hardware, incorporating technologies like FidelityFX Super Resolution 3.
🧪 Research & Development Collaborations
Absci Corporation: AMD has formed a collaboration with Absci to advance AI-driven drug discovery, leveraging AMD's computational power to enhance research capabilities.
Micron Technology: AMD and Micron share a vision of enabling and supporting customers with leading computing, memory, and storage solutions, collaborating on development and enablement to provide high-performance, secure, and efficient customer deployments.
🌐 Global & Strategic Collaborations
HUMAIN: AMD and HUMAIN have formed a strategic collaboration, investing up to $10 billion to deploy 500 megawatts of AI compute capacity over the next five years, aiming to power AI workloads across various markets.
ZT Systems & Sanmina: AMD has reached an agreement to sell the server-manufacturing division of ZT Systems to Sanmina for $3 billion, while retaining control of ZT's AI systems design business, strengthening U.S.-based production of AI data center systems.
AMDechnical Analysis – AMD (NASDAQ: AMD)
Current Price Action:
AMD is trading around $158.57, after rebounding strongly from the recent bottom.
The stock has broken out of the short-term downtrend line, which is a bullish signal.
Major Trend:
The chart shows a long-term uptrend (black trendline), which has been respected since 2018.
Each correction has formed higher lows, confirming AMD’s overall bullish structure.
Support Levels & Buy Zone:
Key support zone: $115–$95 (highlighted as the “waiting correction buy zone”).
If AMD retraces to this area, it would provide a high-probability buying opportunity aligned with the major trend.
Stronger support lies at $72, marked as the stop-loss level if long-term structure fails.
Resistance & Target Levels:
Immediate resistance is around $160–$180.
A breakout above this zone could lead to acceleration toward the previous all-time high ($229), which is the major upside target.
If $229 is cleared, AMD could enter a new bullish cycle toward uncharted highs.
Trend Outlook:
Short-term: Potential pullback from current levels due to overextension, with a likely retest toward $130–$115 before continuation.
Mid-term: As long as the stock stays above $95, the bullish trend remains intact.
Long-term: Target remains at $229 (new high), provided the uptrend is sustained.
Risk Management:
Aggressive traders may hold at current levels, but best R:R entries are in the $115–$95 correction zone.
Stop-loss: $72 to protect against a major trend reversal.
Conclusion
AMD remains in a major long-term uptrend with strong bullish momentum. Current levels ($158) are closer to resistance than ideal entry points, so a correction into $115–$95 would be the most favorable buying opportunity. Long-term investors can target $229, while keeping $72 as the invalidation level.
AMD net longAMD settled into the range I had predicted a while back. I told myself if this happened and it pulled back to about 150, I would enter with size. I have decided to do just that and add it to my leading portfolio. We note an OBV breakout and hold, alongside a cooled BBWP. A rejection of the supply zone (red box), and no wicks into the demand zone yet. Volume is rising.
My plan:
I decided to stop waiting and pulled the trigger on a ~20,000$ LEAP spread
I chose this because I am very confident in the fundamentals here. I expect the stock to double in 3-5 years. I currently have zero direct chip exposure and wanted to solidify this entry.
Jan 2027 150/200 Spreads, I plan to exercise some of the ITM 150s, and sell the 200s as we roll along up and to the right, possibly buying shares with the profits.
$AMD - No hesitation — risk defined, structure clear.The open looked heavy.
Momentum cracked, bids faded, and the short lined up clean.
We stepped in.
No hesitation — risk defined, structure clear.
Then came the grind.
Buyers absorbed, shorts pressed, and the squeeze built brick by brick.
The stop clipped, not with fireworks but with precision.
That’s the truth of trading:
Sometimes the story flips mid-chapter.
You follow the plan, take the loss, and move on.
Not every hand pays.
But every hand played with discipline keeps you in the game.
AMD 200 THEN 240 BY 2026 Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth.
3 sources
Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg.
$AMD Sell the News: FOMC Rate Cut Pullback April ‘24 Setup
NASDAQ:AMD Daily – April ‘24 Setup Returning
Last time the 10D crossed below the 50D (April ‘24), price tried to reclaim but got rejected on both the 10D & 50D backtest → led straight into the 200D.
Now we’re seeing the same structure: wedge already broke, sitting under the 50D trendline. If rejection holds and we roll under the 10D again, the path toward the 200D is wide open.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis. My buyAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis
AMD, listed on NASDAQ, has generally been on an upward trend. However, the last 2 weeks, the stock experienced a brief flash downturn, dropping to around the $157 level and witnessed a good recovery last week, reaching $186 zone.
Since then, it has pulled back and is currently trading at approximately $176 share.
Outlook:
I remain bullish on AMD with entries from $176 - $172 and anticipate a potential move toward the $200 level, with a longer-term target around its all-time high near $226.
For my entry strategy, I am adding positions at different levels, with an initial entry around $176 and another if it drops further
Position (s) are for a mid- to long-term hold.
Let’s see how it unfolds! If you have any insights or thoughts, please share them in the comments. I’d love to connect with you. Don’t forget to follow, share, and subscribe. Thank you.
AMD 1D Time frameMarket Snapshot
Current Price: ~$155.82
Daily Change: +2.9%
Recent Trend: Up more than 30% year-to-date, but momentum has slowed in the last few weeks.
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): ~54 → Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold.
MACD: Slightly negative → Mild selling pressure.
Moving Averages:
5-day MA: ~$154.6 → Supportive (bullish short-term).
50-day MA: ~$157.9 → Acting as resistance.
200-day MA: ~$168.3 → Major long-term resistance.
Summary: Short-term momentum is holding, but medium to long-term averages are pushing down on price.
📈 Support & Resistance
Immediate Support: ~$150 – $155 zone
Resistance Levels: ~$158 (50-day), then ~$168 (200-day)
📅 Outlook
Bullish Case: If AMD sustains above ~$158, upside targets near $170–175 open up.
Bearish Case: A break below ~$150 could drag it toward $140–145.
Bias: Neutral to mildly bearish in the near-term, with long-term upside still intact if it reclaims the 200-day MA.
AMD 3Hour Time frameAMD 3-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: $155.82
Change: +2.91% from the previous close
Market Cap: $252.87 billion
P/E Ratio: Not specified
Beta: 1.89
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $160.00 (recent high)
R2: $165.00 (next resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $150.00 (immediate support)
S2: $145.00 (next support level)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Not specified
MACD: Not specified
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Not specified
50-period SMA: Not specified
200-period SMA: Not specified
📌 Market Sentiment
Recent Catalyst: Positive momentum following recent gains and analyst upgrades.
Sector Performance: Semiconductor sector showing strength, with AMD leading gains among peers.
Options Activity: Significant trading in call options at $160 strike price, indicating bullish sentiment.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $160.00 could lead to a push toward $165.00 and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $150.00 may test support around $145.00.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.