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Tesla (TSLA) – Final Wave 5 to Complete Cypher HarmonicTesla is progressing through its final impulsive Wave 5, with upside targets aligning at $563–$564, confluencing with the 1.272–1.618 Fib extensions and the completion of the Cypher harmonic (point D). Once this target is reached, a corrective decline is anticipated, forming the Cypher retracement and potentially filling untested gaps below. Key levels to watch: Upside target: $488.5, then $563–$564 zone (Cypher completion). Downside retracement: possible move back toward the $350–$360 region (0.618–0.786 support). Invalidation: A breakout above $565 would invalidate the Cypher completion zone and suggest extended bullish continuation. A breakdown below $400 before reaching $488 invalidates the Wave 5 structure. This scenario blends Elliott Wave 5 projections with harmonic Cypher confluence for a potential high-probability setup.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
TSLA - Tesla - Possible Pull-Back to 400 or 365Hello Everyone , Followers Tesla is the second one that i would like to mention today. It hit the Resistance level of 451 and then it did not achive to break this level. Now i am expecting 2 possible scenario Yellow pattern : pull back till 400 and get power from this level and try to break 451 again. Or Red Pattern : pull back till 365 then get support from trend line and go up again and try to break 451. If it breaks the 451 then next station is 515 - 516 . All in all , i am expecting the Pull-back next week and you could follow the price levels that you can see in Chart. I am neutral in Tesla for the time being. This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis. Have a lovely Sunday to all.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by streak35
Smart Money Support/Resistance + ATAI Volume Analysis —PracticalApplication When these two indicators work together — Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action — the chart begins to speak a clearer language: one defines where the reaction zones form, and the other explains what happens inside them. The purpose is not prediction but understanding the balance between smart money pressure and retail momentum. 1. Parameter Alignment On the right side of the chart, the green info panel confirms that both indicators share identical configurations. In this example, the lookback period is set to 52, chosen deliberately because it must be smaller than the total number of LTF coverage bars (65). For the Smart Money Support/Resistance indicator, the projection is set to 26 — extending the detected zones forward without adding excessive visual noise. This alignment is crucial; mismatched parameters can desynchronize volume readings and structural boundaries. 2. Reading the Chart In this sample chart, the upper red area represents a Smart Money resistance zone — a region of concentrated selling pressure detected from lower timeframe volume. Simultaneously, ATAI Volume Analysis signals an Overbought (6/7) condition, meaning multiple oscillators confirm exhaustion while seller volume (S.Max) begins to outweigh buyer volume (B.Min). This overlap suggests that liquidity has shifted and the prior bullish impulse is weakening. From here, price may consolidate within the zone or initiate a structured retracement toward the blue support area, previously defined by accumulation volume. The red projected path simply visualizes one potential structural scenario; it is not a prediction or trade signal. 3. Broader Context This example serves only as a demonstration of how these two tools interact when properly tuned. Different assets and timeframes naturally yield unique structures and behaviors, yet the principle remains consistent: define the territory first with Smart Money Support/Resistance, then interpret market behavior within it using ATAI Volume Analysis. This content is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. User feedback and practical observations play a key role in refining future versions of both indicators.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ata_sabanci
2
$TSLA — Structural Forecast + Macro & Catalysts ContextNASDAQ:TSLA – Macro, Technicals & Institutional Confluence ⚙️ 📍 Current Price: $429.83 📊 Timeframe: 1D 🧠 Model Context: VolanX Institutional Forecast v2.3 Technical Setup Tesla has been moving inside a well-defined ascending channel, currently testing the upper boundary near $460–$470, consistent with a premium liquidity sweep. Price is slightly below its 10-day SMA ($437.99) but remains well above the 50-day ($363.66) and 200-day ($335.19) — confirming a strong medium-term trend. RSI (~59–60) cooled off from overbought levels, suggesting a healthy pause rather than reversal. The near-term risk is a retracement to the equilibrium zone ($414–$376), matching structural and moving-average support. Macro & Catalysts EV Demand Pulse: Q3 deliveries boosted by expiring U.S. EV tax credit — short-term tailwind but may front-load demand. Robotaxi & FSD Expansion: Pilot rollout in Austin marks long-term disruption potential, but regulatory friction remains. Next-Gen Platform: New low-cost “Cybercab / Model 2” architecture expected to reshape Tesla’s cost curve into 2026. Competition & Margins: BYD, NIO, and European EV makers pressing pricing power; tariff impacts remain a headwind. Macro Headwinds: Higher rates and policy uncertainty could compress valuations in growth sectors. Institutional View (VolanX DSS) Short-term bias: Controlled pullback to equilibrium (414–376). Medium term: Reaccumulation phase as institutions rebalance. Long term: Expansion target near $514+ once liquidity resets and RSI re-enters strength above 60. “My models can project structure — not human emotion. If fear overshoots $414, it may mark the next institutional entry before expansion.” 🧠 Structure always rebalances. Emotion never does. #TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #AITrading #LiquidityZones #Macro #FSD #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TSLA - False breakout?TSLA back in the april channel. In this market everything is anchored from low of April I feel and I have drawn a vwap band from the April lows which spans from 316-333 which can be the next bounce zone in case price pulls back , this is where TSLA made base before the next leg up. Most likely price may revisit $400 area to gap fill and also has a anchored vwap from last swing low around 405. So far seems like a false breakout from the channel and volume has really picked up to the downside in recent days. New base can be formed around 400 mark if thing stabalize for next leg up in coming days, lets see as its tsla. For more chart requests please ping me on X - vickg81.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by v_gaur
TSLA: Last chance under $500, $400Nice run up. We're still in a overall bull market, which Tesla has only started becoming a part of. We could see a gap fill (seen on the daily and weekly chart) at ~$395. Potentially even a retracement to ~$350. However, we'll eventually see the stock above 600 in the next year or more. Don't know when.... Could ltake more time, but I think the "more affordable" Model Y will be the first catalyst before any Robotaxi revenue comes in. Strategically it makes sense to release the more affordable EV after the tax credits go away. No other EV manufacturer OR legacy auto company can produce and sell vehicles as cheaply as Tesla without it. Haters truly will hate it.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by HassiOnTheMoon
TSLA Roadmap: $563 ABCD Compl → Bat Harmonic → $631 Three-DriveTesla (TSLA) appears to be completing its final impulsive wave toward the $563 region, which also aligns with the D point completion of the ABCD harmonic pattern. Once this move is finished, the expectation is for a corrective phase that forms a Bat harmonic. This retracement would also work to fill in the untested gaps left behind during the recent rally, with a potential bottom around the 78.6% Fibonacci level. From there, the next bullish leg could initiate, targeting the 127.2% extension at $631. This move would not only confirm the harmonic reversal but also complete a larger Three-Drive pattern that originates from the initial ABCD structure. Key Levels to Watch: ABCD Harmonic D point: ~$563 Bat Harmonic completion zone: ~78.6% retracement Next rally target: $631 (127.2% extension, Three-Drive pattern confirmation) Invalidation Scenarios: A clean breakout above $563 without corrective rejection would invalidate the Bat harmonic setup and suggest an extended bullish run. A failure to hold above ~$367 (channel/structure support) would weaken the harmonic roadmap and risk a deeper bearish continuation instead of a Three-Drive completion. This roadmap suggests a critical short-term top before a deeper correction sets the stage for a much larger rally.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
TSLA Elliott Wave Count with ABC Harmonic or Flat Corrective Tesla (TSLA) is forming a potential Wave 4 correction that aligns with an ABC harmonic structure. Price action suggests a possible deeper retracement into the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone (436–449 area) before resuming its larger uptrend. If Wave 4 completes near the harmonic “D” zone (highlighted support box), the next leg higher could target the 1.236–1.414 Fibonacci extensions around 488–501, in line with Wave 5 projection. Key levels to watch: Support: 436.9 (0.618 retrace), 425 psychological, 397 strong support. Resistance: 444.7, 470.8 (previous high), 501–505 (Wave 5 target). Bullish scenario: Wave 4 completes soon, leading to a strong Wave 5 breakout towards 500+. Bearish scenario: Breakdown below 425–397 support could invalidate the bullish count and extend correction lower. The other possibility is that it is actually unfolding a flat correction in Wave 4 after completing Wave 3 near the recent high. The structure suggests price may continue to consolidate within the corrective channel before setting up the next impulse leg. Bullish scenario: Flat correction completes, setting the stage for Wave 5 rally toward 490–505. Bearish scenario: Breakdown below 397 invalidates the bullish count and signals deeper retracement.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
17
$TSLA – 15m Downtrend Channel📊 NASDAQ:TSLA – 15m Downtrend Channel Price stuck in a descending channel, now consolidating around 429. Short-term candles showing a pause, but momentum still bearish. 🔽 Bearish Path (favored): Rejection below 433–434 fib zone keeps pressure down. Downside targets: 424.7 (fib 1.0) 419–416 zone Major magnet: 411 (fib 1.618 extension). 🔼 Bullish Path: Breakout above 434 trendline → relief bounce possible. Next upside checkpoints: 436 / 439 / 443. ⚖️ Summary: Trend still bearish until 434+ reclaimed. 411 remains key downside liquidity level.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TSLA eyes on $409.56: Golden Genesis fib to hold "High Ground"TSLA has been surging based on various news. Now retracing towards a Genesis fib at $409.56 Clean bounce would indicate very strong trend. Golden Genesis fibs are important milestones. High gravity fibs can capture price into orbit. Expect consolidation around it then sling shot. . Previous analysis that caught a PERFECT BOTTOM: Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. ======================================================== .
NASDAQ:TSLA
by EuroMotif
Tesla (TSLA) – RSI Signals New Bull Cycle, Not Near the TopTechnical View: Trend intact. Momentum constructive. Cycle still maturing. The RSI roadmap suggests the story is far from over — and the most explosive phase may still lie ahead. Summary: Back in April , we identified the $270–$320 region as a decisive long-term support zone — a confluence of the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels and the lower boundary of Tesla’s decade-long rising channel. That analysis has played out perfectly: TSLA retested this zone, built a solid base, and resumed its uptrend. Today, with the stock trading above $430 and advancing toward the channel median — already within proximity of the next resistance zone around $480–$500 — the most powerful signal comes from momentum rather than price. The monthly RSI tells us something crucial: we are not near a cycle top. In fact, historical patterns suggest Tesla is entering the expansion phase of a new multi-year bull cycle , with much higher prices still ahead. RSI and Market Cycles: What History Tells Us Tesla’s two previous major bull markets — in 2013–2014 and 2019–2021 — followed a remarkably similar script before topping out: The first euphoric peak of each cycle coincided with a monthly RSI above 90 , not in the middle of the channel but as price pushed into — and slightly above — the upper boundary. After that first RSI > 90 event, the stock posted two higher highs with lower RSI peaks , a textbook sign of momentum exhaustion (bearish divergence). The result each time: a sharp correction of 45–75% . Today, RSI sits near 56 — nowhere close to overbought extremes. This strongly implies that Tesla is still in the mid-cycle expansion stage — a phase historically associated with sustained institutional accumulation, accelerating price gains, and multiple expansion. Even more importantly, if history repeats, RSI > 90 will not occur until price reaches the upper boundary or slightly breaks above it . Based on current channel geometry, that implies a potential first euphoric peak in the $1,200–$1,600 range — far above where the stock trades today. My Prediction and Trade Idea I believe Tesla is now in the second phase of a new multi-year bull cycle, likely playing out over the next 18–30 months . The technical setup — price structure, channel dynamics, and RSI behaviour — all point to continued upside. My base-case roadmap: Near-term: Tesla approaches the $480–$500 resistance area (upper half of the channel) in the coming months. Mid-term: A breakout above $500 could trigger a sustained expansion leg toward $650–$700. Late-cycle: As momentum peaks and RSI nears 90, price could accelerate into the $1,200–$1,600 zone — the area historically associated with euphoric tops. For long-term investors and swing traders, the current risk-reward profile remains compelling. As long as Tesla holds above the $320 accumulation zone, the path of least resistance remains higher. Profit Targets and Stop Loss First Target : $480–$500 (upper half of the channel) Second Target : $650–$700 (mid-cycle breakout extension) Third Target : $1,200–$1,600 (historical RSI > 90 / euphoric top zone) Stop-Loss Strategy: A sustained monthly close below $320 would invalidate the mid-cycle thesis and suggest a deeper corrective structure. For traders, this remains the technical “line in the sand.” Risks to Consider While the technical backdrop is bullish, several risks could challenge this thesis: Macro Shifts : Higher-for-longer rates or a global recession could compress growth multiples. Execution Risk : Delays in autonomy, robotics, or the energy business could dampen investor enthusiasm. Valuation Pressure : Tesla’s premium valuation makes it sensitive to changes in growth expectations. Momentum Signals : If RSI fails to advance significantly during the next leg higher, it may signal internal weakness and an earlier-than-expected cycle peak. Conclusion Tesla’s long-term uptrend remains robust, key support has held, and momentum indicators show we are still early in a powerful new bull cycle. Historical RSI behaviour strongly suggests that the first euphoric phase — where RSI exceeds 90 and a true cycle top begins to form — will occur at much higher levels , likely $1,200–$1,600 . Until then, price action, structure, and momentum all point to continued appreciation. As long as support holds above $320, the base-case scenario is clear: Tesla’s next major move is higher — and the market is still writing the early chapters of this bull cycle .
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by tex071173952
1
TSLA At a Crossroads: Bounce or Breakdown for Oct 3? Intraday Technical Outlook (15m Chart) Tesla (TSLA) saw a sharp selloff, sliding from the mid-$470s to close near $439.35. On the 15-minute chart, the structure is now hugging a descending support line: * MACD: Still deep in bearish territory but showing early signs of momentum cooling as histogram bars lighten. * Stoch RSI: Reset from extreme oversold levels, suggesting potential for a relief bounce. * Key Levels: Immediate support rests around $435–432, with a breakdown exposing $425–420. On the upside, first resistance is $445, followed by a more critical level at $452.5. Intraday takeaway: Short-term traders should watch if TSLA holds above $435. A sustained bounce can spark a retrace to $445–452, while failure risks another leg lower toward $425. Options Sentiment & GEX Outlook (1H Chart) The 1-hour GEX map paints a decisive risk zone for tomorrow’s trade: * Gamma Walls: * $452.5–460: Strong call resistance cluster, where sellers likely re-emerge. * $439.5: Key gamma pivot — trading below this opens up bearish flows. * $432 / $425 / $420: Heavy put walls acting as magnets if weakness persists. * Implications: * Holding above $439.5 can squeeze shorts toward $445–452.5, offering upside for quick calls. * Losing $435 confirms dealer hedging pressure lower, opening room to $425–420, favoring puts. * Volatility Context: IVR at 26.9 vs IVx avg 65.2 shows premiums are mid-range but still elevated. This means intraday traders may prefer spreads over outright calls/puts to balance risk/reward. My Thoughts & Recommendation For Oct 3 trading, Tesla is sitting right at a critical gamma pivot. * Intraday (scalping/trading): Look for a bounce play off $435, with upside targets at $445–452 if momentum aligns. A breakdown below $432 favors continuation toward $425–420. * Options trading (swing/0DTE): Call positions only make sense above $439.5, with tight stops and targets capped near $452. Put strategies (vertical spreads or debit puts) look stronger if price fails at $439.5 and rolls back toward $425. Bias heading into Oct 3: Cautiously bearish unless $439.5 is reclaimed with volume. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla: Uptrend Intact – Eyeing the 470 Target AheadHello everyone, Tesla (TSLA) has been extending its rally since mid-July. On the H4 chart, the uptrend remains intact with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, signalling that buying pressure continues to dominate. The recent breakout above the $460 mark further strengthened the bullish trend. Currently, the price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, while the $457–460 zone provides a short-term support cushion. In case of a pullback, the $450–445 area would act as a deeper support. On the upside, targets are set at $465, followed by $470 and $475. Rising volumes during breakouts indicate that institutional money is still flowing into the stock. From a fundamental perspective, Tesla’s Q3 earnings exceeded expectations thanks to strong growth in Model 3 and Model Y sales, providing major momentum for the stock. At the same time, plans to expand into the lower-priced EV segment and renewable energy business add long-term sustainability to its outlook. In a rapidly expanding global EV market, Tesla maintains a competitive edge in both technology and brand strength. On the macro side, while investors remain cautious about the Fed, the tech sector overall – and Tesla in particular – continues to benefit from the positive sentiment across equity markets. What do you think – will Tesla reach the $470 target in this leg up, or does it need a short pullback before breaking higher?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmmaChartist
23
TSLA TeslaToday’s session printed a dark candle with heavy pressure and big price action — not the best look from a candlestick perspective. The immediate support sits at the uptrend line near 433. If price can hold that level tomorrow, the uptrend remains intact. But if we get a decisive close below, expect a sharper drop. First downside target would be 405, and if that fails, we could see an extension toward 370–360, lining up with the previous lower uptrend line. Tomorrow’s price action at that 433 support is critical — watch it closely. follow me on X Enginv777
NASDAQ:TSLA
by EchoOfMarkets
$TSLA – Weekly Outlook📊 NASDAQ:TSLA – Weekly Outlook Price is holding above equilibrium (~400) after reclaiming structure. Strong base formed in discount zone (~345–300) now acting as support. RSI on weekly = 71.4 → momentum strong, trending into overbought. Long-term projection points toward $1,217.56 (extension target). 🎯 Scenarios Bull case (70%) Hold >400 → momentum unlocks premium zone. Next upside pivots: 470 → 600 → 1,217 (extension). Bear case (30%) Break <400 → return to equilibrium/discount at 345–300.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SMA 20: The most used, simple, and useful indicatorThe 20-period Simple Moving Average ( SMA 20 ) is easy to calculate and widely used, though often undervalued by traders eager for novelty. Its presence is notable in popular technical indicators like Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels. Even the most purist price action traders include it on their charts, valuing its ability to identify trends and key support and resistance levels. Today, I want to explore the practical uses traders can derive from this versatile indicator. Behavioral Patterns Technical Analysis emerged from the detection and study of repetitive patterns or phenomena. These patterns are intrinsically tied to investor psychology, and their influence on decision-making is fundamental. Repetitive patterns around an SMA 20 typically indicate that a trend has strength and stability, attracting investors and paving the way for highly effective systems or methodologies. One of my favorites involves identifying entry points in strong trends that have clearly respected the SMA 20. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate this type of approach: Figure 1: Figure 2: Price Overextensions A price overextension in trading refers to an extreme price movement that significantly deviates from its average or reference level. This phenomenon often indicates that the price has moved too far, too fast in one direction (bullish or bearish) over a short period, suggesting a potential reversal or correction. The SMA 20 is extremely useful for visually detecting these phenomena. Moreover, when trading in high-volatility contexts like overextensions, the SMA 20 can serve as a safe exit zone. In Figure 3, you can observe how the price extends twice, significantly diverging from the SMA 20. The first overextension wouldn’t have been sufficient for an entry, but the second overextension generated a clear bearish divergence, which, combined with price action, would have validated a short entry. The SMA 20 is a discreet target for taking profits without excessive exposure. This leverages a widely applied statistical concept in markets: mean reversion. Figure 3: Breakout Trading Breakout trading involves entering the market when an asset’s price breaks through a key support or resistance level, with the expectation that the movement will continue in the breakout direction. A price action phenomenon that significantly increases the likelihood of a successful breakout is pre-breakout tension , a state of compressed supply and demand characterized by a narrow range, low volatility, and order accumulation at key levels. The SMA 20 is extremely useful for clearly identifying the dominance between buying and selling forces, as well as visually highlighting pre-breakout tension. In Figure 4, I use a 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20) to increase sensitivity to the indicator’s changes. Notice how the EMA 20 seems to compress the price against the range’s boundaries, as if trying to push it out. Figure 4: Retest Patterns A retest occurs when, after breaking a significant support or resistance, opposing forces push back to test the strength of the prior level. In Figure 5, you can see how, after a bearish breakout from an exhaustion pattern, bulls attack strongly but encounter resistance at what was previously a breached support. An SMA 20 aligned with this zone increases the level’s robustness, which is defended by sellers who see an excellent profit opportunity. Figure 5: Figure 6 shows an opposite example. Figure 6: Conclusions With this brief overview, I aim to demonstrate that it’s not necessary to rely on novel or complex technical indicators to make sound market decisions. In Technical Analysis, simplicity, combined with deep understanding, often yields significant results. Final Note If you’d like to take a look at my analysis record, you can find my profile in Spanish, where I transparently share well-defined market entries. Send your good vibes if you enjoyed this article, and may God bless you all.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Especulador96
5
Long trade Trade Journal Entry Pair/Asset: TSLA (Tesla Inc.) Trade Type: Buyside trade Date: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 Session: London to New York Session AM (11:00 AM) Trade Details Entry: 427.51 Profit Level (TP): 465.20 (+8.82%) Stop Level (SL): 425.82 (-0.40%) Risk–Reward (RR): 22.3 Technical Narrative Pre-Trade Context: The price consolidated above a demand zone at 423–427, which coincided with the origin of a prior order block. Inducement & BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed bullish intent. Several fair value gaps (FVGs) were present on the climb, supporting bullish continuation. Entry Justification: *Entry at 427.51 aligns with the mitigation of the demand zone and FVG fill. *The structure flipped bullish after the sweep of local lows, setting the stage for an upside liquidity grab. Target Rationale: *TP aimed at 465.20, aligning with the previous swing high and liquidity above. *Clean imbalances left on the rally offer magnets for price. Risk Management: Tight SL at 425.82, just below the demand origin to invalidate trade if broken. Observations & Notes The accumulation structure within demand was well-formed before the breakout. Entry captured an early move with FVG alignment + inducement sweep. Monitor for potential rejection near 448.96 (intermediate resistance) before TP.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by davidjulien369
1
"old" news on $TSLA keep recycled ...I draw to establish various trading hypotheses! bull support: $420 greedy target: $550 -------------------------------------- Tesla news this week centers around record vehicle deliveries spurred by a last-minute rush to claim the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit before its expiration, surging share prices, and anticipation for the unveiling of Tesla's robotaxi next week. Momentum is strong in some European markets due to Model Y updates, but overall global deliveries and profit margins remain challenged by competition and the end of EV incentives. ### Upcoming Catalyst Events - Tesla will announce Q3 delivery figures on October 2. The results will set the tone for year-end and investor sentiment. - The official unveiling of Tesla’s robotaxi is scheduled for October 10, positioned as a major innovation for 2026. Production lines for new affordable models are also expected to be discussed soon. - Ongoing debates continue about Musk’s trillion-dollar compensation package, to be voted on by shareholders in November. ### Product and Market Developments - The facelifted Model Y Performance launched in select regions with significant upgrades, but the refreshed model is not yet in the U.S. market. - Tesla’s next major move involves scaling production of cybercab robotaxis and further advancing self-driving technology amid increasing regulatory scrutiny. Tesla’s record delivery boost from U.S. incentives may be short-lived as competition and regulatory changes mount, but anticipation for new products and technology keeps shares strong and investors alert for next week’s pivotal announcements.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by KhanhC.Hoang