TSLA trade ideas
TSLA – Testing Key Gamma & Structure Levels. TA for Aug. 6TSLA – Testing Key Gamma & Structure Levels
Technical Overview
TSLA has been consolidating just under a key resistance zone at 310–312, which also aligns with the highest positive GEX / gamma resistance area. Price is forming a higher-low structure off the 303–305 support trendline, suggesting buyers are still defending key levels despite recent selling pressure.
MACD is flattening out and Stoch RSI is cycling near mid-range, indicating a potential momentum build but no confirmed breakout yet.
GEX / Options Sentiment
* Gamma Resistance: Heavy call wall at 312 with 52% concentration, and further stacked resistance into 320–325. This creates a ceiling unless strong bullish momentum steps in.
* Gamma Support: Large put positioning at 300 (-64% concentration) and 295 acting as a key defensive floor.
* Dealer Positioning: Above 312, gamma flip could drive momentum toward 320–325 quickly. Below 300, dealer hedging could accelerate selling into 295 and possibly 290.
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case
* Trigger: Break & hold above 312 with volume.
* Target 1: 320
* Target 2: 325
* Stop: <305
Bearish Case
* Trigger: Close below 300 with momentum.
* Target 1: 295
* Target 2: 290
* Stop: >312
Options Thoughts
* Bullish: Consider short-term calls if price breaks above 312 with strong volume and momentum confirmation.
* Bearish: Consider puts targeting 300 if rejection occurs at 310–312 and sellers regain control.
* Neutral / Premium Selling: Selling an iron condor around 295–325 could work if expecting continued range trading until a catalyst emerges.
📌 My Take: TSLA is coiling for a decisive move. GEX shows a tight battle between 312 call resistance and 300 put support. A break in either direction could lead to a fast expansion move. I’m leaning neutral-to-bullish as long as 305 holds, but I’ll switch bearish if 300 breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TSLA Don't Miss Out
### 🔥 TradingView Viral Post Format 🔥
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### 📢 **Title:**
**TSLA Options Surge? \$330 Call Could Double in 3 Days — Here's the Setup** 🚀📈
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### 📝 **Description:**
Tesla’s options market is flashing **moderate bullish signals** this week! 📊
✔️ Call/Put Ratio: **1.39** (Bullish)
✔️ RSI (Daily & Weekly): **Rising**
⚠️ Volume is light, but sentiment leans bullish.
🎯 **Trade Idea:**
Buy TSLA \$330 Call (Exp: Aug 8)
💰 Entry: \$0.85
🎯 Target: \$1.70
🛑 Stop: \$0.43
⏱️ Confidence: 65%
⚡ Gamma risk rising with time decay — tight execution is key.
Is this the breakout or a bull trap? Let’s watch it play out 👀
👇 Drop your thoughts or setups in the comments!
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### 🏷️ **Tags (for TradingView):**
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#TSLA #Tesla #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #BullishSetup #TSLAOptions #StockMarket #WeeklySetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeIdea #MomentumTrade #UnusualOptionsActivity #TradingView
Tesla wedge and volatilityTesla has been riding this wedge downward after a false breakout on terrible earnings. BBWP has flashed blue, which has not happened since 2017, which is a signal for me. Stochastic has reset, and a stall candle is forming. Volume is generally up.
My plan:
TSLL shares, possible cash secured puts
Sitting Right on the 200-Day EMATSLA is sitting right on the 200-Day EMA here while holding this wedge for quite some time. TSLA's Bollinger Bands are starting to squeeze, indicating a significant move is forthcoming, and moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum. It will be interesting to watch from here.
7/24/25 - $tsla - Duh 7/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Duh
- ppl focused on ST FCF (all over X!) is 100% of the reason why when you put the pieces together, you realize that while ST this might not behave like anyone expects... LT, TSLA is v likely going to in, elon's own words, be the largest cap in the history of capital markets
- two leading robots with leadership position in IRL AI
- profitable, is all that matters
- have not yet hit the S-curve
was super lucky to trim some of this last week
now i'm back to sizing into a full position, not yet there like on that silly political dump, but i'm nearly 10% (20% is my max size).
V
Shorted TSLA 319 Look at TSLA hit 50 day and 200 day MA and failed and know under them
Look at the lower highs and see the stoch heading down
Know lets look weekly stoch heading down and lower highs
Target is 100 day ma 294.22 take some off. When it breaks will add back on
Have trailing stop in place
Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them?Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them?
Not every stock is created equal. One of the biggest distinctions is cyclical vs non-cyclical—those that grow or decline alongside economic conditions and those that are less sensitive. In this article, we explore the key differences between the two, how to analyse both, and how to trade them.
What Are Cyclical Stocks?
Cyclical stocks are those that rise and fall in line with the broader economy. They’re more sensitive to consumer spending and include those in the travel, automotive, construction, and luxury goods sectors.
Simply put, when consumers have more disposable income, they’re likely to buy new cars, travel abroad, or invest in home improvements. Demand boosts corporate earnings and pushes share prices higher. However, when consumers have less money or face economic uncertainty, they reduce and delay spending on these discretionary purchases, dampening company earnings and stock valuations.
Nike and Starbucks are good examples here—both are cyclical companies that see higher demand when consumers are in a stronger financial position and feel comfortable purchasing brand-name clothes or buying coffee on the go.
Cyclical stocks tend to be more volatile than non-cyclical ones. Their sensitivity to cyclical business conditions offers potential opportunities for traders to capitalise on a growth phase, but timing matters—getting caught in a temporary or prolonged downturn can lead to sharp drawdowns.
Cyclical Sectors
- Automotive
- Airlines & Travel
- Luxury Goods & Apparel
- Construction & Materials
- Banking & Financial Services
- Technology & Semiconductors
- Restaurants & Entertainment
- Retail (Discretionary Spending)
Is Tesla a Cyclical Stock?
Yes, Tesla is a cyclical stock. Demand for electric vehicles moves in line with economic conditions, consumer spending, and interest rates.
Is Amazon a Cyclical Stock?
Amazon is partly cyclical. Its retail business depends on consumer spending but its cloud computing division (AWS) sees constant demand and provides diversification.
What Are Non-Cyclical Stocks?
Non-cyclical stocks belong to companies that sell essential goods and services. Contrasting with cyclical stocks and their sensitivity to consumer spending, non-cyclical companies sell things people buy regardless of economic conditions. They’re often referred to as defensive stocks because they tend to hold up when the economy weakens.
Non-cyclical sectors include healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Supermarkets, pharmaceutical companies, and electricity providers see relatively steady demand because people still need food, medicine, and power whether the economy is growing or contracting.
For example, consumer non-cyclical stocks, like Procter & Gamble, which owns brands like Oral-B, Charmin, and Gillette, continue to generate revenue year-round because consumers still buy everyday household items. The same goes for Johnson & Johnson, which sells medical products that hospitals and pharmacies need.
Compared to cyclical stocks, non-cyclical stocks are usually less volatile because their earnings are more consistent. While their potential returns are relatively limited vs their more growth-oriented cyclical counterparts, non-cyclical stocks are believed to not dive as sharply during a downturn.
Non-Cyclical Sectors
- Consumer Staples (Everyday Goods)
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
- Utilities (Electricity, Water, Gas)
- Telecommunications
- Grocery & Essential Retail
- Defence & Aerospace
How Traders Analyse Cyclical Stocks
In a market where going long or short volatile cyclical stocks is an option (such as with CFDs), many prefer to trade them over non-cyclical stocks. More broadly, traders analyse a few key indicators to determine whether cyclical stocks are in a growth phase.
Macroeconomic Indicators
When GDP expands, businesses and consumers spend more, and free-flowing spending boosts demand in cyclical sectors. Similarly, interest rates determine spending on more big-ticket purchases, like cars, homes, and luxury goods. Lower interest rates encourage borrowing and vice versa.
Employment rates also play a key role. More layoffs and a higher unemployment rate mean consumers dial back purchases of discretionary goods and services. Employment conditions, along with economic and policy uncertainty, drive consumer confidence. When optimism is high, cyclical stocks often rally.
Earnings Trends & Sector Data
Unlike non-cyclical companies, cyclical firms see earnings fluctuate based on economic cycles. Traders pay attention to quarterly reports and especially forward guidance. If a company expects strong sales growth due to rising demand, this can drive its stock price higher and possibly signal an upswing in the sector.
Industry-specific data, like auto sales figures or airline bookings, is also a useful gauge for assessing the future performance of a company.
Market Sentiment & Seasonal Trends
Cyclical stocks are prone to seasonal patterns—retailers surge in the holiday season, while travel stocks perform well in summer. Market sentiment is another important factor; for instance, if economic uncertainty is growing but investors on the whole believe it to be a temporary blip, then cyclical stocks may still rise.
Analysing Non-Cyclical Stocks
While traders often favour cyclical stocks for their higher potential returns, many still turn to non-cyclical companies as a possible form of short-term defence against downturns, to balance a long-term portfolio, or when unique occasions arise (earnings reports, company-specific news, etc.).
Earnings Stability & Cash Flow
Since non-cyclical companies sell essential goods and services, their earnings tend to be more consistent. Traders look at revenue trends, gross margins, and free cash flow to assess a firm’s ability to generate relatively steady income. Consistent earnings—even during downturns—can be a marker of a strong non-cyclical stock.
Dividend History & Payout Ratios
Many non-cyclical stocks pay dividends. That makes them attractive for those looking for income-generating assets. A company with a long track record of consistent or growing dividend payments is often a sign of financial strength. The payout ratio (dividends paid as a percentage of earnings) is another metric traders examine—too high, and it could indicate unsustainable distributions.
Market Conditions & Defensive Rotation
If economic uncertainty rises, investors will generally shift into defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Many will monitor fund flows—where institutional money managing exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and large portfolios is headed—to understand if risk aversion is growing.
Likewise, outperformance in certain sectors can be a signal. If sector indices like the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Index or the S&P 500 Healthcare Index outperform the overall S&P 500, it may indicate capital moving into non-cyclical stocks.
Trading Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Stocks
Now, let’s take a closer look at how traders engage with these stocks.
Short-Term Trading
Short-term traders generally focus on stocks or sectors expected to move over hours or days. One strategy might be to examine the broader conditions and trade ahead of earnings reports. If summer is approaching and the economy is doing well, Delta Air Lines could rise in the weeks before an earnings release as traders anticipate strong quarterly performance and positive forward guidance.
Another strategy is trading macro themes. If inflation rises, traders might focus on companies with strong pricing power, like consumer staples firms that can pass costs onto consumers. If economic data points to a slowdown, they might focus on healthcare stocks.
Medium-Term Trading
Medium-term traders take a broader view and typically adjust their portfolio weightings based on economic conditions. During expansions, they may overweight cyclicals like construction and travel stocks, while shifting into non-cyclicals as recession risks grow. That could mean just rebalancing a collection of ETFs, over/under-weighting a set of stocks, or a mix of both.
Here, the focus is usually on broader economic trends while also staying alert for possible strengthening or weakening consumer demand.
Long-Term Trading
Long-term traders often hold a mix of cyclical and non-cyclical stocks to maintain a balanced portfolio across economic cycles. While they may still adjust weightings over time, they tend to be more concerned with long-term sector trends and income generation.
With a longer time horizon, these traders may be more willing to allocate more capital to cyclical stocks during a downturn, especially to otherwise strong companies or sectors, to take advantage of potential rebounds months down the line.
The Bottom Line
Understanding the difference between cyclical and non-cyclical stocks is fundamental to trading them. Careful analysis—macroeconomic, sectoral, and company-specific—can help traders identify potential opportunities across all time horizons.
FAQ
What Are Examples of Cyclical Stocks?
Cyclical stocks include Tesla (TSLA), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Nike (NKE), Caterpillar (CAT), Marriott International (MAR), and Ford (F).
Which Industries Are Most Cyclical?
Highly cyclical industries include automotive, airlines, hospitality, construction, luxury goods, and consumer discretionary retail.
Is Coca-Cola a Cyclical Stock?
No, Coca-Cola is considered a non-cyclical stock. Demand for its wide range of products remains stable regardless of economic conditions.
Is Starbucks a Cyclical Stock?
Yes, Starbucks is a cyclical stock. Coffee purchases aren’t essential, so demand fluctuates based on disposable income and consumer confidence.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bearish Pennant & Long Term Bearish DivergenceBearish pennant formed and sharp bearish divergence on the RSI, Elon personally receiving billions from the pockets of the company. This alludes to possible instability on the inside, despite being up a significant amount this year. Companies are like icebergs, cracks on the surface run deep, negative information is repressed.
In my opinion, a drawdown of over 25% seems in order
TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level. Aug. 5TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level 🚀
Technical Overview (1H)
TSLA is consolidating just below the critical $312 resistance, aligning with the Highest Positive GEX and 2nd Call Wall (57.55%). A breakout above this level could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $317.5 and potentially $325.
Support sits at $300 (Major Put Support -58.42%). If this fails, bears could push toward $295 and $290. Price is currently forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern if confirmed.
GEX & Options Flow Insights
* Highest Positive GEX: $312 – Strong resistance; breaking above can fuel upside momentum.
* Major Call Walls: $317.5, $325 – Profit-taking zones for bulls.
* Major Put Support: $300 – Bears will defend here; losing it invites heavier selling.
* Call/Put Positioning: CALLs 31.3% vs Puts – Skew still leans slightly bullish, but gamma flip is near $300.
My Thoughts
TSLA is coiling for a potential move. As long as price holds above $300, the risk/reward still favors a bullish breakout play. However, failure to clear $312 could see a pullback into $305–$300 range before another attempt.
Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: On a breakout above $312 with strong volume
* Targets: $317.5 → $325
* Stop-Loss: Below $305
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection at $312 and loss of $305
* Targets: $300 → $295
* Stop-Loss: Above $315
15-Minute Short-Term Setup
* Intraday traders should watch for a mini breakout retest above $310 for scalps to $312+.
* If $307 fails intraday, momentum could stall toward $304–$302.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry.
At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout.
I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward.
Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
Tesla Builds Momentum - Can It Reach $490?Tesla Builds Momentum - Can It Reach $490?
From a technical perspective, Tesla is showing signs of volume accumulation and appears to be forming a contracted triangle pattern.
The price seems to have found solid support around 287, suggesting this corrective phase might be nearing its end.
If the price breaks out of the triangle, especially above 330, the dominant bullish trend is likely to resume.
On top of that, Tesla’s quarterly results beat expectations, which further strengthens the bullish outlook.
My eyes are on price targets around 400, 450, and 490.
News:
📊 Tesla approves share award worth $29 billion to CEO Elon Musk
Tesla has granted CEO Elon Musk 96 million shares worth about $29 billion, a move aimed at keeping the billionaire entrepreneur at the helm as he fights a court ruling that voided his original pay deal for being unfair to shareholders.
📊Tesla signed on Wednesday a $4.3 billion battery deal with LGES, source says, reducing China reliance. South Korea's LG Energy Solution has signed a $4.3 billion deal to supply Tesla with energy storage system batteries, said a person familiar with the matter, as the U.S. company looks to reduce reliance on Chinese imports due to tariffs.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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UPTADE TESLA -- 250 USD still potentialTesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Potential TP still 250 USD
TSLA: Here is what I see in TSLA"Zoom In. Follow the Sequence."
Just analyzing sequential wave patterns across multiple timeframes.
You can zoom in and see how structure evolves — impulse, correction, then continuation.
Maybe there’s a strategy here that repeats. Maybe not.
But if there is... it’s worth finding.
TeslaIn regard to Tesla, not a lot happened last week. Price started to raise back up towards the orange target box the week prior but failed to make new local highs. After that slight raise, it spent the last week grinding lower and breached the prior local low. If it can manage to breach the orange c wave low @ $288.77 (marked by red dashed line), we're headed to the grey target box.
That red dashed line is very significant. The reason being is it invalidates the potential triangle if it gets breached. Should that happen, the only pattern I see is pointing to the grey box. If we do head to the lower target box, the $220's looks like the sweet spot for minor A to complete. I say this due to the green 1.618, yellow 1.618, & white 0.618 fibs being in that area. As you know, all levels of .618 are some of the strongest fibs if not THE strongest.
Should orange prevail, and we have in fact carved out a triangle, the likely target would be the 0.786 @ $429.81 IMO. We have to wait to find out though as price is still refusing to lift its skirt and show the goods so to speak.
To repeat and summarize, below $288.77 and we're likely headed to the gray box. Above the orange (D) high @ $338.88 (orange dotted line), and we're most likely headed to the orange target box. If we can manage to get into the grey box, I will begin looking for an entry very likely in the $220's or $230's.
$TSLA: Branching Effect🏛️ Research Notes
Reaching branching effect through cross-cycle interconnection. Alongside I'll test some elements mentioned below.
Local Progressions
Rhyme and levels derived from apparent cycle compression.
Added channels with darkening gradient that cover bullrun from mid 2019, driven by angle of tops.
In the local scope, as price deepens into denser zone the probability of disproportional reaction gets higher. t would probably complete its intermediate and even longer-term cycles before escaping the boundary.
TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025
🔻 **TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025** 🔻
🚨 **Multi-Model Consensus Signals a Tactical Put Opportunity**
### 🔍 Market Snapshot:
* **Daily RSI:** 39.9 (Bearish)
* **Weekly RSI:** 53.2 → Falling
* **Volume:** Weak (0.8x last week)
* **Options Flow:** Neutral (C/P Ratio \~1.04)
* **VIX:** 20.38 → Favorable for Options Plays
* **Institutional Support:** Weak
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### 🔮 Model Consensus:
📉 **All major models (xAI, Google, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek)** confirm:
* Bearish momentum on both daily + weekly RSI
* Weak volume = cautious institutional behavior
* Volatility setup perfect for short-dated puts
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### 🎯 Viral Trade Setup:
**💥 Trade Type:** PUT (Short TSLA)
**🔻 Strike:** \$300
**📆 Expiry:** 2025-08-08
**💰 Entry Price:** \$6.65
**🎯 Target Exit:** \$10.64 – \$13.30 (60%-100% gain)
**🛑 Stop Loss:** \$3.99
**📊 Confidence:** 65%
**📍 Entry Timing:** Monday open
**🕒 Signal Timestamp:** 2025-08-03 01:33:56 EDT
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### ⚠️ Key Levels:
* Support to watch: **\$297.82**
* News/event risks: Stay alert ⚡
* Use tight risk controls for weekly plays!
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🔥 **If you trade TSLA — don’t sleep on this one.**
Bearish consensus + clean setup = **high-probability weekly play.**
Don’t Be Surprised to See $TSLA at $100/Share Down the LineTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has spent the last 5 years ranging between $100 and $300, with only two spikes — November 2021 and December 2024 — both of which failed to hold above $400. Structurally, this is a long-term range stock at this point.
Unless we see breakout with volume above the $400 level, the odds still favor a continued range. Long-term investors and traders should remain open to the idea of a retest toward the bottom of the channel ($100) — especially if Tesla's financials’s face pressure.
TESLA: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
TESLA
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry Point - 302.63
Stop Loss - 296.98
Take Profit - 312.87
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Make or Break point for TSLAlots of bulls and bears for TSLA. Wedging for a bit now. Filled the 296 gap and gap above, now its time to see if TSLA wants up or down. RSI MACD stabilized, volume thinned out, so whatever direction it chooses I think will be explosive. Plenty of Call and Put flow on both sides.