US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,422.01 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,148.32 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Trade ideas
Us30 Trade Set Up Oct 16 2025Price is trading in between PDH/PDL and has filled a 4h and 1h bearish FVG so for sells id want to see London highs/BSL swept but closed under followed by internal 1m bearish structure to take sells to Asia lows/SSL or PDL but for buys id want to see Asia lows/SSl swept first to then look for bullish structure on the 1m to catch buys to PDH
US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/16/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/16/2025
US30 showing strength again after defending the 46,200 zone 💪 Bulls holding control short-term but facing heavy resistance near 46,480–46,680. Market looks coiled for a breakout move soon ⚡️
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Strong bounce off 46,200 support zone
🔹 EMAs crossing bullishly on lower timeframes
🔹 Price retesting mid-range resistance — watching for momentum continuation
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,485 → intraday barrier
46,632 → strong resistance
46,680 → breakout confirmation 🚀
46,893 → extended target
🔹 Support Zones:
46,282 → short-term support
46,200 → major pivot
45,837 → lower demand
🧠 Bias:
Bullish–Neutral 🟢
➡️ Above 46,680 → room toward 46,900
⬅️ Below 46,200 → momentum shift back to bears
Dow Jones Returns to the 46,000 Level Since the beginning of the week, the Dow Jones Index has maintained a notable bullish bias, extending a two-day winning streak as the equity benchmark posts a gain of around 2.20% in the short term. For now, buying pressure has supported the price recovery following the sharp correction seen last Friday, which was triggered by the escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States.
Although no major trade agreement has been announced, the aggressive tone of the tariff threats appears to have eased slightly, helping the market regain confidence in the short term. However, it’s important to note that if tensions escalate again, the Dow Jones could once more show heightened sensitivity to such developments, quickly reactivating selling pressure in the coming trading sessions.
Uptrend at Risk
The uptrend line, which had been sustained through much of 2025, has started to weaken following last Friday’s sharp correction. As a result, the average bullish momentum has entered a neutral zone in the short term. Currently, there is a recovery attempt from the previous downward move, though it has not yet been strong enough to bring prices back to recent highs.
If buying pressure fails to remain decisive over the next few sessions, a period of market indecision could emerge, potentially leading to a sideways range in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line continues to hover around the 50 level, reflecting a neutral momentum over the past 14 sessions. As long as the indicator stays within this range, neutrality may dominate the market bias, leading to indecisive price movements in the coming days.
MACD
The MACD histogram also remains near the neutral (0) level, indicating that there is no clear directional strength in short-term moving averages. This reinforces the idea of indecision in the market, suggesting that the price action may remain range-bound without a defined trend in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
46,790 points – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the all-time high area of the index. Buying activity approaching or surpassing this level could reactivate the bullish trend and establish a dominant buying bias.
45,741 points – Near-Term Barrier: Aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. As long as prices continue to fluctuate around this level, a new short-term consolidation range could form.
44,834 points – Critical Support: Represents the most stable neutral zone in recent weeks and coincides with the Ichimoku cloud boundary in the short term. A decisive break below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the year-long uptrend at risk and potentially signaling the start of a new downward phase in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DOW JONES LONE WITH MOTHLY DEMNADDOW JONES – MTF Trade Setup (Long)
Trend Overview
All MTF & ITF aligned UP → Strong bullish structure.
Confluence Zones: Quarterly & Monthly demand.
Current Levels: Standing on Weekly & Daily MIPs.
Secondary Entry: Weekly MIP 42,711 (if price dips).
Key Levels
Timeframe Trend Demand Logic Avg / Key Level
HTF Avg (Yearly/Half/Qtr) UP Support 36,682
MTF Avg (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) UP DMIP / BUFL 42,580
ITF Avg (240M/180M/60M) UP DMIP / BUFL 109,230
Trade Plan
Parameter Value
Entry-1 44,500
Stop Loss (SL) 43,318
Target 54,000
Risk 1,182 (3%)
Reward 9,500 (21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio 8.04
Net RR 6.63
Capital & Profit
Parameter Value
Qty to Buy 1
Total Buy Value 44,500
Brokerage & Taxes 218
Net Profit (Target Hit) 9,282
Net Loss (Stop Hit) 1,400
Real ROI (4 Months) 21%
Gann Points
High (Uptrend) → 104,985
Low (Downtrend) → 93,395
Summary: Strong bullish trend across all timeframes. Key entry at 44,500 with secondary support at 42,711. Risk-Reward favorable; target achievable in ~4 months.
US30US30 – H4 Chart Analysis
Price action currently forming Higher Highs and Higher Lows, confirming a bullish structure.
After the recent Higher High, price retraced back to the zone where it had previously formed a Higher Low.
📍 From this Higher Low to Higher High, a Fibonacci Retracement was applied.
✅ Entry taken from the 0.5 Fibonacci level, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) placed just below the previous Higher Low for structure-based invalidation.
🎯 Risk to Reward: 1:1
Structure: Bullish
Strategy: Pullback Entry in Uptrend
Timeframe: H4
Tool: Fibonacci Retracement
Dow Jones v/s Gold Ratio — History Repeating?Currently both DJI & Gold are at there peak levels, but the ratio has already breached a historical support, signaling further downfall.
Whenever the Dow-to-Gold ratio tests or breaks the 12.0 level, stories are created in history.
* 1929: Great Depression hit — stocks crashed, gold outperformed.
* 1973: Oil shock & stagflation — gold surged as inflation soared.
* 2008: Global Financial Crisis — stocks collapsed, gold became the safe haven.
- 2020: COVID tested the level but failed to break it.
Now, in 2025, the ratio has again breached the historic level of 12.0 — the same zone that preceded past market meltdowns.
Each time stocks looked strong relative to gold, the cycle turned
* Gold rallied.
- Stocks corrected.
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What is the Dow-to-Gold Ratio?
Dow/Gold Ratio = Value of Dow Jones Index ÷ Price of Gold (per ounce)
This ratio tells us how many ounces of gold it takes to buy one unit of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
For example:
If Dow = 46,000 and Gold = 4000 → Ratio = 11.5.
That means it takes 11.5 ounces of gold to buy one unit of Dow.
If the ratio falls to 6, which the chart is signaling, then it will mean:
1. Stocks might weaken or
2. Gold might become stronger or
3. If both weaken, then stocks will fall more than gold
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Interpretation
1. Whenever the ratio is high, it means stocks are expensive compared to gold (risk-on period) .
2. Whenever the ratio falls, it means gold is outperforming stocks (risk-off, crisis or correction phase) .
Overall, the Dow to Gold ratio suggests that this is not a normal period - a period of crisis & correction - a risk-off period
Each time this ratio reached around current levels, a major stock market downturn followed
US30 SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 45,553.8
Target Level: 46,661.5
Stop Loss: 44,818.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
US30 – 45,000.00 Level Under Pressure: Wait or Act?After the sharp selloff that followed the tariff announcement shock, US30 broke below 46,400.00 and 45,700.00, plunging toward the key 45,000.00 psychological zone.
This level coincides with prior demand from mid-August and could act as the first real test of buyers’ strength after the October breakdown.
Support at : 45,000.00 🔽 44,000.00 🔽 43,323.50 🔽
Resistance at : 45,700.00 🔼 46,400.00 🔼 47,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Only if 45,000.00 holds and price reclaims 45,700.00 — showing that buyers are defending the zone despite tariff fears.
🔽 Bearish: If price closes below 45,000.00 daily, momentum could accelerate toward 44,000.00 and 43,323.50 before November’s policy deadline.
📊 Fundamental Note:
Markets are hypersensitive to trade news. The tariff agreement between Trump and China (deadline Nov 1) is likely to dictate direction. Until clarity comes, volatility and uncertainty will dominate — meaning patience could be wiser than premature entries.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 Eyes 46,200 Support as Bulls Prepare for Next Leg Higher!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring US30 for a potential buying opportunity around the 46,200 zone. The Dow Jones remains within a clear uptrend, and price is currently in a healthy correction phase, approaching a key confluence of support and trendline structure near 46,200.
A sustained reaction from this level could signal a continuation of bullish momentum in the broader equity market.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Dow Jones (US30) Analysis:The Dow Jones index continues to move in a short-term bearish trend, currently testing a key support level around 46,300.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 46,300 and holds, it may head toward the liquidity zone near 46,100.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the index rebounds from the current support and breaks above 46,490, it could push higher toward 46,650.
📌 Best Buy Zones: On a rebound from 46,300 or 46,100
📍 Best Sell Zone: Below 46,300
US30 long idea-Price broke previous daily high 1 hour before the start of London session indicating the search for new highs.
- 3am volume should be enough to continue the bullish momentum until a new level of resistance is hit or until buyers lose their power.
- 50% Gann key zone broke then used as sturdy support to climb 80 pips so far
- Bearish FVG at 46,882 created on Oct 22 9am is still yet to be filled/hit.
I am not a financial advisor. This is simply my opinion/bias






















