SOLUSDT – Gains Limited, Price Faces a Key Decision ZoneHello everyone, SOL experienced an impressive upward move over the past weekend, but the current momentum has noticeably weakened as the price hits the EMA 89 (blue), an area that has previously created strong selling pressure last month.
After bouncing around the 145 USD mark, SOL retraced to test both EMA 34 (red) and EMA 89, forming a critical convergence zone to determine the next direction. Recent candles show long upper wicks accompanied by decreasing volume, indicating that buyers are losing strength compared to the previous breakout while profit-taking pressure is rising. The market structure has yet to confirm an uptrend, as SOL has only slightly broken local highs without forming a clear higher-high, explaining why the price was rejected at EMA 89.
From a macro and capital flow perspective, over the past 48 hours, the Solana ecosystem has shown a positive recovery, with several DeFi projects and memecoins rallying. However, capital inflows into altcoins have paused as investors await updates from the Fed and US economic data. Bitcoin is currently moving sideways, meaning the primary market momentum supporting altcoins, including SOL, is insufficient to drive a breakout. Therefore, even positive news is not yet strong enough to establish a new trend.
Wishing everyone successful trading!
Trade ideas
SOLUSD: Breakout from Bottom Structure Inside Downtrend ChannelHi!
SOL has been trading inside a descending channel, consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. Recently, price formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders at the bottom of the channel, signaling potential bullish reversal momentum. The neckline breakout aligns with the break of the minor descending trendline, strengthening the shift in structure.
If price holds above the neckline, the pattern projects a move toward the 160–165 USD zone, which also aligns with the channel’s upper boundary, a strong confluence area and natural target for bulls.
However, failure to sustain above the neckline could lead to a pullback toward the right-shoulder region, though the setup remains valid as long as price stays above the head level.
Overall, SOL is showing a bullish reversal signal, with upside continuation favored while above the breakout zone.
SOL very Bullish , Stronger Fundamentalafter ranging for long period of time finally we enter a supercycle, after we watch fed meeting the path is clear. there is no more hawkish, there is more cuts on 2026, we also have Kevin Hassett to make sure everything will goes as Trump's plan. 165k-200k BTC is very possible , 9K-12k ETH is very possible, and 900-1200 SOL is likely the output. Keep stack and buy more. there is only one chance to see this price is only on 2025, there is no cheap BTC ETH SOL in the future. buy as much as you can on SPOT , not in futures market.
Good luck i hope to see you with more wealth in 2026
Solana Rebounds Weakly with No Clear Trend SignalsSolana on the 4H timeframe is only showing a mild pullback, as neither technicals nor news indicate fresh inflows strong enough to shift momentum. Price remains capped below the 138–142 FVG resistance cluster, and although small rebounds occur, their narrow range highlights the lack of aggressive buying. The Ichimoku cloud and multiple overhead FVGs form a thick supply layer, causing every upward attempt to be sold off — making a breakout relatively unlikely.
Volume behaviour also supports the idea of a technical retracement: it picks up slightly at the lows but fades as price climbs, signalling reactive buying rather than committed inflows. If SOL fails to break above 142, a move back down to fill the lower FVG at 128–123 remains a reasonable scenario.
Solana could rapidly fall to $40A massive potential Head and shoulders topping exists on Solana. And many other Altcoins exhibit similar tops.
Keep nimble and protect your gains if you have them.
On the positive side, I believe the bear market will be swift and we could potentially see this number as early as next March.
Why because Solana's network effect topped on the #Trump memecoin release last January.
The solana ecosytem also enjoyed a full cycle of activity unlike other chains.
I believe there will be plenty of buyers at those prices.
SOLANA UPDATE - H2A small yet Important update for the recent analysis.
1st, we have a Strong red resistance line stretching back to the origin of this whole big bearish leg from the Top of SEP 18. This line has been respected several times & has proven to be powerful.
That same line was retested today with clear rejection.
2nd, we have a second ascending purple channel, next to the major blue one. It is more visual in the 30mn time frame.
Also, the chart has just broken this channel.
So We have Retested blue channel 1 for the 2nd time & just broken purple channel 2.
Add to this that we have also reached Fibonacci 1 in a Potential corrective wave C.
These 4 Signals are giving the upper hand for a more downward move while we are approaching the FVG zone.
We might witness a retest of the channel 2 lower border before proceeding down.
An upward move is still valid yet getting weaker by the minute.
Safe Trade.
Solana Sitting in Wholesale Zone: Here’s What the Chart ShowsA **Fibonacci retracement** from ~95 (0 level) to ~296 (1.0 level).
The major levels highlighted:
0.382 ≈ 171.87
0.618 ≈ 219.37
1.0 ≈ 296.25
1.618 ≈ 420.63
Price currently around 135–136
Region coloring:
Wholesale zone** (green, ~95–140)
Equilibrium zone** (yellow/green, ~170–220)
Retail zone** (red, ~296+)
The dotted trendline beneath price suggests long-term support rising over time.
🧠 What This Chart Appears to Communicate (Educational Interpretation)
1. **Price is currently in the “Wholesale” or Discount Zone
Visually, this means:
According to the chart’s structure, this is the lower end of the recent multi-year range.
This part of the chart is often interpreted as the “accumulation” region.
This is NOT advice, just a description of how the chart is labeled.
Equilibrium Levels Above Price (171–220 Zone)
These levels are often seen as:
Areas where previous sellers and buyers met
Places where price consolidates before choosing direction
3. Retail Zone (296+)
This is where:
Prior highs exist
Buyers in that zone historically may have been late
Higher risk of reversal historically in charts marked this way
Again, not advice, just technical labeling.
4. The 1.618 extension (≈420) marks the aggressive upside target
This is a classic Fib extension often referenced in trend-continuation models.
💡 Neutral, Educational “Trade Idea Structure” Based on the Chart
🟩 Scenario A: Range Reversion Toward Equilibrium (Educational)
If price stays above the rising trendline near ~130:
Hypothetical target zones:
First structural zone: **0.382 (~171.87)**
Secondary zone: **0.618 (~219.37)**
Reasoning (educational only):
Price often revisits equilibrium after spending time in deep discount zones.
🟧 Scenario B: Midrange to High-End Rotation (Hypothetical)
If price breaks above ~220 and holds weekly structure:
Targets shown on chart:
1.0 Fib (~296)
1.618 extension (~420)
This represents a trend-continuation idea.
🟥 Scenario C: Breakdown of Wholesale Zone
If the weekly structure fails and price falls below ~95:
Risk zone technically identified:
Price could revisit prior demand zones not shown on this chart.
This is what invalidation could look like from a purely chart-structural perspective.
Observations (No prediction)
Solana's weekly structure has made *higher lows since Oct/Nov*, which can indicate strengthening relative structure.
Price is currently sitting on trendline-like support.
The 171–220 band is a major pivot region visible on the chart.
SOL Breakdown: Still No Bull Signal Below $133SOL has been chopping sideways after the broad downtrend. Price failed to reclaim previous supply layers (~$180–$200), holding under resistance again.
Indicators:
RSI: ~43 (bearish-short term)
MACD: flat to slightly bearish, no strong bullish cross
Structure:
Lower lows still intact. No bullish MSB breakout confirmed above the recent range.
Position: Short bias
Entry Idea: Short below $133
Stop: Above $140
Targets: $120 → $110
Reasoning: Bearish continuation unless price breaks structure and flips back above the recent swing high.
SOL PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $132SOL PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $132
Currently $132
Targeting $136 or Above
(Trading plan IF SOL
go down to $128 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
$SOL Solana is currently in a clear accumulation phase following a strong reaction from the major demand zone.
The horizontal accumulation in this zone indicates both a re-intensification of liquidity and the market gathering energy for the next directional breakout.
As long as the region holds, the structure is positive, and this accumulation will be the key to the next expansion phase.
SOLANA - M15 ScalpingWe are expecting at least a 3.5 % drop from this point towards lower Support zones.
The descending channel is still holding.
Scenario 1: a brief upper correction facing the red zone & probably slightly crossing the channel, thus collecting liquidity.
Scenario 2: a Sharp drop from here towards the green rendezvous support zone.
Safe Trade.
SOLANA MACRO VIEW !
1. Macro Trend: Ascending Channel
The most dominant feature of this chart is the massive ascending parallel channel (the two long black lines sloping upwards).
Long-Term Bullish: Despite volatility, the price has generally trended upward over the last several years, respecting the boundaries of this channel.
Current Status: The price is currently in the lower half of this channel. After being rejected near the top of the channel (around the ATH region), it is retracing downward.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance (The Ceiling):
~$263 - $270 (Red Zone): This is the major historical resistance area, aligned with the All-Time High (ATH). The chart shows three distinct rejections (marked by black downward arrows) in this area over the last year, indicating strong selling pressure whenever SOL approaches this price.
Upper Channel Line: The diagonal upper line acts as dynamic resistance.
Support (The Floor):
~$125.72 (Purple Line): The price is currently trading at $131.50, just above this crucial horizontal support level. This level previously acted as resistance during the recovery phase; holding this line is critical for bulls.
~$79.10 (Dotted Line): If the $125 level fails, the next major historical support is around $79.
Lower Channel Line: The diagonal bottom line is the "trend defender." Every time the price has touched this line (marked by green triangles), it has bounced significantly.
3. Indicator Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The bottom panel shows the RSI, which measures momentum.
Approaching Oversold: The RSI is currently at 34.45.
Historical Bounce Zone: The red horizontal line at 34.45 on the RSI panel suggests this is a historical "floor" for momentum. In previous instances (like late 2020 and mid-2022), when the RSI hit this low, the price eventually found a bottom and reversed upward.
Divergence: The RSI is making lower lows, confirming the strength of the current downtrend, but it is reaching a point where sellers often become exhausted.
4. Chart Patterns & Behavior
Rejection at ATH: The "Double Top" or "Triple Top" formation near the $260-$270 level is a bearish reversal pattern, which explains the significant correction SOL is currently experiencing.
Correction Phase: Since hitting the top of the channel, the price has been in a consistent downtrend (lower highs and lower lows on the weekly timeframe).
Summary
The chart depicts a critical decision point for Solana.
The Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the $125 support, it could flush down to the $80 region or the bottom of the channel to find liquidity.
The Bullish Case: The RSI hitting historical support (34) combined with the horizontal price support at $125 suggests a potential bounce area. If buyers step in here, the trend remains intact
-------------------
1. Historical "Bottom" Zone (Momentum Support)
Looking at the bottom RSI panel, whenever the RSI line touches or approaches the 34 level (the red horizontal line), we see that selling pressure tends to exhaust and buyers step in.
Past Examples: Looking at the left side of the chart (late 2020 - early 2021), when the RSI dropped to these low levels, the Solana price found a bottom (around $1) and subsequently launched a massive bullish trend.
Meaning: This level acts as a psychological floor where "bear" (seller) strength runs out and "bulls" (buyers) prepare to take over momentum.
2. Approaching Oversold Signal
RSI typically considers anything below 30 as "oversold." The 34 level is very close to this zone.
The fact that the RSI is currently at 34.45 indicates that the price has dropped sharply and quickly, and this decline is approaching an unsustainable point.
Technically, this is interpreted as a zone where it is "too late to sell, but time to look for buying opportunities."
3. Confluence of Price and RSI
The price is trading at $131.50, trying to hold the $125 support.
The fact that the RSI has hit the 34 support at this exact same moment creates a condition of "Double Support" (support in both price and momentum).
This alignment increases the probability of a reaction bounce from this area.
4. Risk Warning
While the RSI 34 level is strong support, if this level is broken to the downside (meaning RSI slides below 30 into the 20s), it indicates that the downtrend is extremely strong and panic is continuing. In this scenario, there is a risk of the price retracing to the next major support zone around $79.
In Summary: The 34 RSI level is currently a "Make or Break" decision point for Solana. Historical data suggests that this level usually marks a reversal point.
+
SOL/BTC 1w
SOL Dominance
SOLUSD (4h) — Bearish Rejection PatternSOL/USD is in a sustained downtrend, characterized by a series of "Lower Highs." The current price action suggests another rejection is underway, continuing the bearish momentum.
1. Price Action: The "Lower High" Structure
The chart visually highlights (via purple boxes) a classic bearish market structure. Since the high near $240, SOL has failed to reclaim previous peaks.
The Pattern: Each rally attempt (purple box) runs out of momentum at a lower price point than the previous one ($240 -> $210 -> $180 -> $160 -> $140).
Current State: The price recently rallied into the $150-$160 zone (the right-most purple boxes) and is currently reacting negatively, dropping to $139.83.
The current setup suggests a short opportunity as the price rejects off the most recent lower high.
Solana Wave Analysis – 5 December 2025
- Solana reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 130.00
Solana cryptocurrency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 145.25 (former strong support from October and November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
This resistance zone was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
Solana cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 130.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from June).
SOL Near Inflection PointCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding well above the mid S/R zone and showing solid strength. If it continues to rebound from this area, price could push back toward the upper resistance.
But if SOL breaks below this zone, it may slide down toward the $80 levels.
DYOR, NFA
Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
SOLANA Elliott Waves Analysis - 2D time frame - Christmas GiftSolana is showing strong signals of a solid downtrend.
1st, the Blue Diagonal Trend line which we cannot miss, was broken, but also Retested & so confirming the Break. These Trend lines are powerful when they are traced correctly. This line connects 6 solid bottoms since 2022 as seen on the chart, thus breaking it is simply a very clear & loud declaration of a trend change.
2nd, we have reached a TOP/ATH in JAN 2025, followed by a deep correction of -68%. We had bullish trend after that in APRIL, that failed to breach that top.
That last top of SEP25 created a Head & Shoulder with NOV24.
The chart had a chance to prove its bullish intentions on 2 FAILED occasions. 1, 12-28OCT (weak green pullback) & 2, 5-11NOV (also weak green PB). these 2 Pullbacks were critical since they landed on strong support zones (180-187 & 146-157). both went to the drainage. this is already alarming by itself.
The WHOLE GREEN LEG from APRIL 7 till SEP 18 was doomed @ the 2nd Failed Pullback.
Some might argue that we still have the 120 level as a support. TRUE, yet I don't think it stands a chance with the coming Tsunami.
It makes more sense now that we are in ABC correction as seen on the chart starting JAN 25. the C wave has completed 3 waves within its 5 legs. 5th wave has already started on NOV 25 @ around 6. the proof for this, is the depletion in the last red leg (check 4hrs time frame) and also, the new top we made Wednesday NOV26 reached 99% retracement of the previous top. telling us: I AM WAVE 2. wave 3 started with sub waves 1 & 2, and sub wave 3 just started at 15:30 today and showing its might at 1 am, 1st of December.
Wave C has 2 main potential landing sites. one, around 78 which coincided with Fibonacci extension 1 (perfect for C waves), and another deeper one which i favor around 37 which coincides with 1.618 Fibonacci (extended C). the latter has a more powerful support zone when you look at dates May 22 till Nov 22 (as seen on chart).
The wave 5 will have to be quite extended though to reach the 37 mark.
Safe Trade.
SOLANA: Wave Energy on the Threshold of ImpulseSOLANA: Wave Energy on the Threshold of Impulse
Based on the current wave structure, Solana is completing its corrective phase and preparing to form a new movement. The chart shows a transition from sideways momentum to a more pronounced impulse, which could set the direction for the near term.
Primary scenario: After the correction ends, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. Alternative scenario: If the market consolidates above recent highs, it could continue to rise, delaying the start of a new downward wave.
Idea for traders: Watch for confirmation of the structure on lower timeframes and enter only after clear reversal signals appear.
Risk management: Use clear stop levels and adjust your plan as new impulses emerge.
Friends, more wave analysis is available in our profile.
Subscribe to stay up to date with wave analysis!
SOLUSDT Solana against the U.S. Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, with several technical elements highlighted to visualize a potential bearish reversal setup
🔹 Overall Structure
The price recently climbed into a rising wedge pattern, indicated by two converging trendlines. These trendlines slope upward but gradually tighten, showing weakening bullish momentum as the price attempts to push higher. The rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially when it forms near a strong resistance area.
🔹 Resistance Zone
At the top of the wedge, there is a clearly marked resistance zone between approximately $145 and $147.50. This zone is shaded in red, representing a potential area where buyers might exhaust and sellers begin to dominate the chart illustrates a possible fake out or final push upward, where the price momentarily spikes above the wedge before sharply falling. This pattern often traps late buyers and triggers a strong downward move.
Support Levels
Two key support zones are marked:
1st Support: Around 132
2nd Support; Around 128
These zones represent areas where the price may temporarily pause or consolidate during the decline.
If you find it helpful please like and comments for this post and share thanks.
SOL: Major Breakout Structure Forming — Watching This Key PivotSummary
Solana has just reclaimed a key horizontal level at $144, following a clean break of the multi-week horizontal trendline. This move puts SOL back inside its prior macro structure and opens the door for continuation if the retest zone holds. It's currently retesting this for a potential SR flip.
This is not confirmed escape velocity yet — but it's the strongest bullish structure SOL has printed in weeks.
Bullish Structure Points
✔️ Break of descending trendline
✔️ Reclaim of critical horizontal level ($144)
✔️ Double bottom on the daily
✔️ MACD turning up with momentum
✔️ RSI breaking its own downtrend
✔️ BTC dominance pausing = alt rotation potential
What I'm Looking For
A daily close above $144 followed by confirmation via:
A retest and hold
OR a clean impulse over $150
If that happens, the next major targets are:
TP1 — $158
38.2% retrace + previous structural pivot.
TP2 — $182
Golden pocket resistance + major supply block.
TP3 — $200–205
0.5 retrace + psychological resistance.
Break this level and SOL enters full trend continuation mode.
Invalidation
A daily close below $142.9 invalidates this breakout and likely returns SOL to the low-$130s for another base-building phase.
My Position
I am already long from lower levels and added more on the breakout.
I will trim on strength into TP1/TP2 but keep a runner for the $200 zone.
Stop is below $142.90.
Final Thoughts
SOL is one of the cleanest breakout structures in the market right now.
If the retest holds, this could be the start of a multi-leg move.
But we wait for confirmation — no guessing, no “feelings,” just structure.
SOL — WEEK 49 TREND REPORTSOLUSD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT
Ticker: COINBASE:SOLUSD — 12/02/2025 @ 139.43$
Timeframe: WEEKLY
This is a reactive structural classification of SOL based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition
• Trend Duration: +8 weeks (Bearish)
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish): 179.71$
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish Confirmation): 187.51$
⸻
3) Temperature :
Cooling Phase
⸻
4) Momentum :
Bearish
⸻
Author’s Note
This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached.
Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions.
The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.






















