SOL at resistance, has work to doCRYPTOCAP:SOL is at major resistance High Volume Node just below the daily pivot.
The local trend has flipped bullish but a strong move may not be on the cards until we climb the wall of worry through resistance. Price is riding the daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI did not print bullish divergence or reach oversold.
Safe trading
Trade ideas
$SOL Bullish Engulfing Weekly CloseSolana is looking good here 👍🏽
Reclaimed the 50WMA and closed above the 50% Gann Level.
Note the Bullish Engulfing candle for the Weekly Close.
However CRYPTOCAP:SOL Still trading within the DANGER ZONE ⚠️
Need these next couple weeks to close outside of this POI.
You can see the Liberation Day lower trendline still remains intact for support and we had the Bullish Cross a few weeks ago on the 20 / 50 WMA 🤓
$SOL – Dual Bull Flags & Parallel Channel StructureSince the April lows across both equities and crypto markets, CRYPTOCAP:SOL has been one of the standout performers, printing a powerful bullish trend structure defined by two major bull flags — each followed by significant measured-move extensions.
Phase 1 – The First Bull Flag
The first rally delivered a 97% gain, followed by a 30% retracement, forming a textbook flag structure.
After a clean breakout and retest of the upper trendline in late June, Solana launched into a 60% measured move, aligning closely with a ≈1:1 projection of the initial flagpole.
This breakout confirmed strong underlying momentum, accompanied by increasing volume and trend confirmation across the broader crypto space.
Phase 2 – The Second Flag Formation
The breakout from the first flag initiated a second 100% run, moving from $126-$253, before undergoing another 30% retracement down to $172.
This pullback mirrors the previous structure almost perfectly, consolidating within another bull flag as the market digests gains.
Currently, price is holding above $190, sitting just beneath the upper flag boundary. The consolidation remains healthy, and if momentum continues to build within this pattern, a volume-backed breakout could lead to a retest of the upper trendline and continuation toward higher levels.
Trend Channel & Structure
The broader move from early June forms a dual-trendline bull channel, where both sets of parallel trendlines are aligned near a 45° slope. This structure reinforces the bullish bias, showing consistent rhythm between impulses and corrections — a strong sign of a well-organized uptrend rather than random volatility.
The pattern also shows proportional price swings, with both measured moves (~1:1) maintaining the same amplitude, suggesting institutional order flow and algorithmic consistency.
Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
$253.61 Flag target & prior swing high
$213–$214 Local resistance cluster
$190.82 Current support zone (holding above)
$172.78 30% retrace support
$155.75 / $126.03 Structural supports / prior flag bases
A confirmed close above $213–$214 on rising volume would be the first signal that the breakout is underway. Failure to hold $190 would risk extending the flag lower toward the $172 zone.
Measured Move & Projection
If the breakout mirrors the first flag’s performance, a measured move equal to the previous flagpole projects a potential target near $323 — aligning with the upper bound of the extended bull channel.
That projection maintains symmetry with previous rally amplitudes (97%, 60%, ~100%), further validating the trend continuation scenario.
Technical Summary
✅ Trend: Bullish (higher highs & higher lows)
✅ Pattern: Dual bull flags within rising parallel channel
📊 Momentum: Strong; price holding above 8/13 EMA cluster
⚙️ Support: $190 → $172 → $155
🎯 Target: $323 (1:1 projection from current flagpole)
🔍 Trigger: Breakout above top trendline on increased volume
Final Notes
CRYPTOCAP:SOL remains technically one of the strongest large-cap crypto charts — clean structure, repeatable patterns, and consistent retracement depth between impulsive legs.
While short-term volatility is expected inside the flag, the 45° upward channel and consistent measured-move behavior keep the medium-term bias bullish through Q4.
As always, volume confirmation will be key, a breakout supported by expanding participation could mark the start of the next leg toward $323.
For educational and technical analysis purposes only.
Solana (SOL): Wave 5 Starting or Set to Crash?Solana (SOL): Wave 5 Starting or Set to Crash?
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: SOL holds support at ~$197, then breaks through ~$260.83 → possible rise to ~$300+.
Consolidation: The price trades in the ~$197–$260 range without a clear direction, preparing for momentum.
Bearish scenario: A breakout below ~$183 with volume → possible correction to ~$174 and below.
✅ Conclusion
Weekly analysis shows: SOL is at a crossroads.
A hold of support near ~$197 and a break of resistance at ~$260.83 could trigger a new uptrend.
However, a breakout below ~$183 significantly increases the risk of a correction.
Monitor the wave structure, volatility levels, and volume confirmation before choosing a strategy.
Golden Zones and Moving AveragesSOL is at the O.5 Fibonacci golden zone area and resting at the 50 EMA. If it breaks below 173.88 area, price may possibly head to 155$ price range. We have some red candles, however bulls still have the upper hand; bulls need bullish candles at the 190$ area, for the pullback to be hopefully over.
Solana: Key Levels to WatchSolana has been in a downward trend since October 6th, but we are seeing some hints at a reversal. This is not yet confirmed, and weekend price action tends to be a poor indicator of the week ahead. This chart tries to plot the key levels that SOL/USD needs to break through in order to show strong bullish momentum going into the end of October.
The levels to watch are $192, as the first resistance. And if Solana can break above that, it needs to smash through the $200 level. If that were to play out, keep in mind that $205 has frequently been a key support/resistance level as well. A break above $200 may stall at the $205 level for a while, and bulls will need to see it stay above $200.
The USDT.D chart is an important indicator of the allocation of capital into, or out of crypto. Traders should watch for a drop in USDT dominance to confirm that there is ample liquidity to maintain a Solana rally. The key levels to watch for is a USDT.D break below 4.88% (1), 4.72% (2), and 4.53% (3). With each break of these support levels, we should see bullish momentum in the broader crypto market, which could translate into a Solana rally.
Keep in mind that Solana, while hinting at a run for $192 this morning, could find strong resistance there. Whatever plays out today, its still a weekend, which means you should look for further confirmation into the trading week ahead. Aggressive traders may want to take positions here before SOL breaks these key levels, but this carries considerable risk that the downward trend line continues to be resistance. If that proves to be the case, watch for the next support to be around $175.
Monthly Crypto Analysis: Solana (SOLUSD) – Issue 100 The analyst expects Solana’s price to decline by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level only indicates the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating just a portion of your funds keeps overall risk minimal.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio principles — not the all-in or blow-up trading style often seen on social media.
Results are measured over the full time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
Friday Massacre - cash ready! Another Friday massacre
The chart is looking extremely bearish.
I think the price is going to move to the $95-107 zone where the V-shape recovery happened after April liberation day.
Many people stayed on the sideline without getting into the market. I think the price wants to come back to that level for reset before the next big move up.
It structurally makes sense as well. You can see the fib retracement level in the chart from the previous cycle's ATH to the bear market bottom.
I often (not always) see Fib 0.786 and Fib 0.236 work as the last line of defence. So when the price breaks and closes above Fib 0.786, it eventually moves to the upside even if it temporarily pulls back.
In case of the down trend, if the price breaks and closes below Fib 0.236, the price will eventually move to the downside.
When you look at the Solana weekly chart, the price broke above 0.786 in Nov 24. It failed to continue to move up and spent months consolidating in the tight range. So I think it will eventually go up, but the chart is not telling me no so fast.
All weekly momentums indicate bearish momentum is building up.
I think the price might go to the following areas:
1) $135 - Fib 05, previous lower high, ascending support line, the level the final bull trap happened in 2022
2) $106.5 - Fib 0.382, liquidity pool, April liberation day bottom
3) $100 - psychological level
4) $ 68 - 100 - Fib 0.236-0.382 - absolute capitulation zone.
Another Friday crush?? Price action is extremely bearish. I can see the same price action of the last Friday is unfolding in 1H chart.
When I analyse a chart, I use trendl ines, Fib retracement, EMAs, and momentum indicators. But when the action is so volatile and I feel like I no longer know what the hell is going on, I remove all the indicators and look for clear liquidity zone in higher time frames: Where did the price move up too quickly and left unfilled buy orders, and when did the price drop too quickly and left unfilled well orders?
The problem of Solana is the price has moved down and moved up way to fast at the end of last bull cycle and in the beginning of this bull cycle.
Solana price fell from $250 to $82 in two months at the end of 2021. And after the bull trap in March 2023, the price again fell rapidly from $140 to $36 in two months. After the spectacular fall, Solana spent 16 months basing between 8 and 46 for 16 months. However, when it started to move up in October, it went up too quickly again. It moved from $22 to $200 in 6 months.
The past 18months, Solana spent most of the time in the range bound between $126 and $260, satisfying both buying and selling demands. The price can eventually go up, but I see lots of downwards pressures in every time frame:
Monthly:
Large unmitigated fair value gap between $45 and $80.
Price is trapped inside the descending wedge pattern. It is a bullish pattern. However, if the price does not break and close above the descending resistance line, the price is likely to move to the downside.
Momentum indicators are also in the bull zone. However, RSI and MACD are starting to move to the downside. It makes me think the price correction is happening. It is a monthly chart, so it won't resolve quickly.
Weekly:
I can see a diamond pattern. The price is trapped in the shape of the diamond. It is usually a bearish pattern.
The price was moving up strongly along the ascending support line (purple line). However, the last Friday's crush went down to sweep the liquidity (orange rectangular box) and I can see two more fair value gaps sitting below it.
All weekly momentum indicators are still in the bull zone, however, RSI lines and Stochastic lines are now crossed to the downside. MACD lines are very close to cross as well.
Daily:
The price is still above EMA 200 and also above the support line, however, EMA 55 is about to cross over EMA 12 and 21. Yesterday's candle retested EMA 12/21/55 and closed below it.
MACD are deeply in the bear zone and has no sign of recovery.
RSI and Stochastics are reset to move to the downside.
1H:
EMA12/21/55/200 are perfectly lined up for the bear move.
Before last Friday's crush, the price held above $217 for a few days, but it eventually capitulated. I can see the same set up unfolding. And it is Friday again.
There is an unmitigated fair value gap in the $212-218 zone (immediate one) , so the price can move up there to fake out and move down. I have no idea what the market will do. I can see in a daily chart the price is moving inside the descending parallel channel. So if the price can hold above the purple ascending trend line, it might recover from there.
It is a very difficult market. When you have a strong bias, you will always find what you want to see. I have to pay attention to what the price is doing and hopefully react to it correctly.
Good luck.
Another dip coming? Buy the strength, insteadThe current price action is very similar to that in May/June 2025 (see yellow rectangular box in the charts).
In May, the price started to finally recover from April's bottom. It started to move above the major support/resistance line (purple line in the chart) that was forming a massive cup and handle pattern, but it ende up to be a fake out and the price started to move to the downside again. The real recovery started after the price dropped to the unmitigated fair value gap (blue rectangular box). I am seeing a very similar set up in the current price action.
On last Friday, the price aggressively dropped to the same major support/resistance line (purple line) . The price held that level and spectacularly bounced up on weekend. It was the great buy the dip opportunity, but I had a feeling that there would be another deeper dip to follow.
The reason for that is that higher time momentum indicators were incredibly bearish and it didn't give me any sense of a V-shape recovery. Also a skeptical side of me makes me think that when there is such a clear bounce at the key area, it becomes so obvious where people place S/L (just under Friday's wick). If I were a market maker, I would definitely try to push the price down to take all the liquidity out.
What I am seeing in the charts:
Daily:
Both RSI and MACD are in the bear zone and pointing to the downside.
Stochastic indicator formed positive divergence, but Stochastic is more reactive and when the direction of the stochastic is contradicting RSI and MACD, it is almost always a corrective move.
EMA200 is cutting across three candles. When EMA200 is dead horizontal and sitting on the candles, EMA200 works like a magnet. The price tends to oscillate until strong momentum builds up to push the price to one direction.
4H:
When you see the price in the 4H chart, it bounced up to Fib 0.618 level and EMA 200 (proper pull back) and now it is starting to move to the downside.
But the most important thing is that there is a cluster of unmitigated fair value gap in the $135-$155 zone (orange rectangular block). It takes a lot for the price to move to that level, however, yesterday's daily candle in both SP500 and Nasdaq is trapped inside Friday's massive bear candle. If traditional market starts to break down, Solana will definitely fall further.
Stochastics formed negative divergence and started to roll to the downside.
MACD is still in the best zone and starting to lose bullish momentum.
RSI slow MA line is still in the bear zone and RSI line is already rolling to the downside.
Conclusions:
It is not a bad zone to nibble, but definitely not the time to open a leveraged position!!
It is better to miss the absolutely bottom and buy the strength.
Good luck !
Long —Low Leverage (if any)
In a bullish case for Solana trading around $220, is poised for significant growth due to strong network adoption, with a record $13.9 billion stablecoin supply and robust DeFi activity, coupled with whale accumulation and partnerships like Sharps Technology’s integration with Jupiter Exchange. Technical indicators, including bull flag patterns and EMA crossovers, suggest minimal resistance up to $250, with short-term targets of $230-$260 by October’s end, medium-term goals of $290-$350 by early 2026, and long-term projections potentially exceeding $500 by 2030. The potential approval of spot Solana ETFs could drive billions in institutional inflows, further fueling a rally, though risks like market volatility remain.
SOLUSD H4 | Bullish ReversalSOL/USD is reacting off the buy entry which is a pullback support and oculd rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 204.32, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 187.97, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 228.36, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Solana Wave Analysis – 13 October 2025
- Solana reversed from key support level 150.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 210.00
Solana recently reversed up sharply from the key support level 150.00, which has been reversing the price from July, as can be seen below.
The upward reversal from the support level 150.00 stopped the earlier sharp downward ABC correction 2 from September.
Given the recent breakout of the round resistance level 200.00 and the strongly bullish crypto sentiment seen today, Solana can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 210.00.
Preparing for 3 of 3 on SolanaI believe we have completed a leading diagonal on solana and are preparing to head into a 3 of 3 phase and break the massive cup and handle pyscological formation. Cup and handle target is quite high on log, $7500 range. This may be a longer term consideration, but my target range is 1k initialy, 3500 on the next leg after a consolidation around 1k.
The second attempt to complete a massive cup and handle ?Solana is forming a massive cup and handle in the daily chart. In early November, Solana finally broke above the resistance line and (temporarily) completed the cup and handle pattern.
It is only the speculation, but if we did not have the US tariff drama, Solana (and the rest of the market) would have started a strong bull cycle.
In August 2025, the price finally broke above the resistance line again. It looked like the price was going to finally start to move to the upside. Then, we experienced another crypto bloodbath due to the US-China tariff issue last Friday. I have no idea how the next few weeks will unfold, but at this stage, the price managed to stay above the support line and it is recovering.
I already hold Solana positive for long term investment, but I intend to open a swing trade position when:
1. Daily RSI lines cross to the upside and break above the descending resistance line.
2. Stochastic move to the 50 zone.
3. MACD lines can stay in the bear zone, but the lines needs to cross and tilt to the upside.
SOLUSD Long Idea: Bullish Reclaim of Key Support/Resistance LeveHello TradingView Community,
This post outlines a potential long trade setup for the Solana / U.S. Dollar (SOLUSD) pair, based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
The chart shows a key horizontal price level that has acted as a significant pivot point, serving as both support and resistance. After a sharp breakdown below this level, the price has shown considerable strength by rallying and breaking back above it.
This is a bullish signal, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to reclaim control. The trading idea is based on a classic "break and retest" pattern. The price is currently consolidating on top of this former resistance zone. The expectation is that this level will now act as new support, providing a solid base for a potential move higher.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan for this bullish scenario:
Entry: Approximately at the retest of the new support line.
Stop Loss: $184.43 (placed below the key support structure to invalidate the idea if the level fails to hold).
Take Profit: $232.24 (targeting a new potential higher high).
This setup provides a structured plan with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a potential continuation of the bullish momentum.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Please conduct your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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What's up with Solana?As we can see, Solana is currently sitting at a resistance level and has managed to hold up well there. In addition, the uptrend has not been broken, since the candle closed back above the potential trend break.
The long wicks we’ve seen across several cryptocurrencies occurred because many trading algorithms on crypto exchanges were not designed to handle such situations properly. These algorithms often compare prices, demand, and supply across different exchanges to determine fair pricing.
For example, if $1 billion were to flow into Solana in a single day, it would have a much larger price impact than $100 million per day over ten days. That’s why traders should always wait for candle closures before making decisions.
The recent crash was triggered by an announcement from Donald Trump, which wasn’t directly related to cryptocurrencies themselves. The broader uptrend remains intact and continues.
Given the current uncertainty, prices are moving sideways. I would consider buying Solana around the $180 level or below, as that still represents a good entry price for this asset. If we soon see rate cuts and the U.S. dollar weakens further under Trump, more investors are likely to move into alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies and Solana remains one of the leading projects in that space.
Solana Scenarios for the monthMonthly Scenarios
Bullish Scenario
SOL holds support in the $180-$184 range and breaks above $184-$190.
This will provide impetus to targets in the $230-$300+ range, especially if the market turns out favorable and there is positive news regarding SOL/ETF/on-chain activity.
Consolidation/Sideways
The price may remain stuck in the $180-$190 range without a clear direction, especially with light volume.
In this scenario, it is important to monitor reactions at the range boundaries.
Bearish Scenario
If SOL breaks below $180-$184 with volume, a decline to the lower support level of $143-$153 or even lower is possible.
Such a correction could serve as a "normalization" after a significant rise.
✅ Conclusion
The current monthly trend for SOL appears generally bullish, with strong potential for continued growth upon a breakout of resistance.
But the key area to watch is the $184–190 zone: if there's a breakout with volume, we expect an upward acceleration.
The $180 and especially $153–143 support zones are areas to monitor for trend stability.
The CoinCodex forecast (~3-5%) suggests moderate growth, but with the potential for strong momentum under favorable conditions.






















