$SOL (4-HOUR): LONG $187, reasoning. CRYPTOCAP:SOL has had $154M in #ETF inflows this week, not bad for the first few days on the market. But this is not a reason for a LONG ($187) I have just opened.
The original plan was to LONG the $205 breakout for a while, but a HIDDEN BEARISH RSI divergence flashed and the $205 resistance got retested, printing a LOWER HIGH again, and the price dipped to retest the 200 MA + the ascending trendline (confluence of SUPPORT).
It was the 4th retest this month and it has been solid, each time giving us a HIGHER LOW as well.
I highlighted in light-blue also a horizontal SUPPORT ZONE and #solana has been sitting inside of it, so there is plenty of support of all kinds, including a GOLDEN POCKET ($172 - $176).
A sequence of 2 HIDDEN BULLISH OBV divergences triggered this LONG at the end.
And below the pocket is where I would EXIT this trade — 2 or 3 candle closes (4-hour ones, not the daily ones) and I'm out.
I also highlighted an interesting fractal of price action: notice the Q4 2024 resemblance to the current behaviour — DOWNTREND toward the same horizontal support ZONE supported by the 200 MA, followed by a huge SURGE.
This is quite a risky trade due to the general market circumstances, and I will monitor the reaction very closely around $200 again, and possibly add to size on a BREAKOUT as originally intended.
💙👽
#long
Trade ideas
SOL (31/10/25 - Long position) TP1($189.98) - filled "Single Prints" from 30/10/25
TP2($193.64)- confluence (Oct. POC + weekly VWAP + previous week VAH + crucial Fibonacci on 4h time frame), good level to Scalp short if not crazy buying volume (depends on the context)
TP3($199.99) - psychological level, October's VWAP, weekly POC, 4h time frame fibonacci confluence
SL($175.00)
SOLANA - SHORT - THE WICK AND THE WHISPERTraders,
This is how I see SOL.
1. The level I care about
For me the key area is 205 to 207. Call it VAH, call it range high, call it supply. It is the place where price got stuffed before and where a lot of trapped memory lives.
What I expect is simple.
Wick it. Slip it. Fade it.
In other words I am looking for SOL to run into that 205 to 207 pocket, spike through it, clean the liquidity resting above those highs, and then fail to hold. That failure after the wick is the trigger for me. That is where I want to be heavy.
If SOL trades above that range high and then instantly falls back inside, that is a swing fail pattern at the high of the range. That is the same story I am hunting on BTC at 117.5k. Liquidity first, conviction second.
2. The downside path
If the wick and slip happens, my downside path is not small. My next meaningful target sits all the way down at 150 to 155. That zone is not just a guess.
It is where the last real demand block sat before we impulsed higher.
It is also where liquidity was never fully re balanced after the violent breakout.
Call it unfinished business. Call it imbalance that still needs to close.
The market eventually comes back to drink from the well it skipped.
3. Now we look under the hood
Price has pushed up into 200 again, yes. But the flow behind the move tells a different story than the candles.
Spot CVD
Spot CVD is bleeding down hard. Real buyers paying cash are not supporting this move. Spot is distributing into strength, not accumulating under it.
Stablecoin margined CVD
Stablecoin perp flow is also down. That means most of the USDT perp side is either taking profit into this move or outright selling into it. They are not chasing it. They are leaning against it.
Coin margined CVD
This is the biggest one. Coin margined CVD is aggressively down. That tells me coin collateral traders are smashing into the bid, basically leaning short into this push.
So ask yourself. If spot is selling, and perp flow is selling, and coin margined flow is selling, then why is SOL still pressing up
4. Open Interest is the answer
Stablecoin OI is grinding up.
Coin margined OI is going vertical.
That means positions are being added at the top, not closed. New size is entering into this level.
When coin margined OI spikes like that while coin margined CVD is negative, the usual read is this. People are opening fresh short exposure using SOL itself as collateral, hitting the bid all the way up, and still not getting the breakdown.
They are trying to fade the move. The move refuses to die. That is short fuel.
This is why SOL can still squeeze into 205 to 207. Shorts are stepping in early, and if you squeeze them one more time you get the wick.
But here is the catch. After the wick and slip, once that last round of shorts is blown and once fresh late longs FOMO in above VAH, there is nothing under price.
Spot buyers did not build a floor.
Perps did not build a floor.
The whole thing is hollow.
That is how you get air pockets.
5. How I am trading this
I am not here to wave a bull flag or scream bear. I am not interested in labels.
I am here to execute around the level.
My plan is to stalk shorts on a failed breakout of that 205 to 207 key. I do not need to nail the exact top tick. I want to see the wick into VAH, and then the rejection back inside the range. That is my trigger to build size.
Will I hold it all the way to 150 No blind loyalty. But that is where I believe the next true re balance sits, and that is the map I am working with.
If SOL breaks through 207, accepts above, and starts building structure above VAH, then this idea is invalid. I step aside. No ego. Survival first.
6. Summary
SOL is approaching a thin ceiling where liquidity sits. I believe we get a final run of that high near 205 to 207, a wick and slip, and then rotation lower. The flow supports that view.
Spot is not bidding.
Perps are selling into the move.
Open Interest is exploding at the highs.
That is the recipe for a squeeze candle into resistance, followed by a rug.
My destination if this plays out is 150 to 155, the next pool of imbalance where the market still owes a visit.
The chart is loud, but the flow is louder.
The candles brag.
The data whispers.
I listen to the whisper.
SOLUSDT – Bullish Trend Supported by Technical Structure and NewAfter a brief correction, SOLUSDT is showing strong signs of a continued upward movement. The ascending triangle pattern on the H4 chart indicates that SOL is building a solid base, with higher lows and testing the resistance at 200.00 USD. The price is currently above the EMA34, signaling strong buying momentum.
Notably, the price has recently broken through the important 200.00 USD resistance and is now approaching 216.00 USD. If SOL continues to hold above the 200 USD mark and confirms further upward movement, the next target would be 216 USD.
With positive news surrounding Solana and increased investment interest, SOL is likely to maintain its bullish momentum in the short term.
Strategy: Buy around 200.00 USD, target 216.00 USD, stop loss below 195.00 USD.
Summary: The short-term bullish trend remains strong, and SOLUSDT may reach the 216 USD target if it holds above the 200 USD support level.
$solana long
### 🟢 SOLUSDT | 15-Minute Long Setup - Awakening from Accumulation
**Concepts: ICT | SMC | Bill Williams**
SOL is showing a compelling bullish structure after a period of consolidation. The price is currently testing the convergence point of the Bill Williams Alligator, indicating the market is "waking up" from its sleeping phase. The alignment of the Lips above the Teeth and Jaw suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse.
**ICT & SMC Perspective:**
* **Liquidity Sweep & Demand Zone:** A clear sweep of sell-side liquidity occurred below **194.91**, tapping into the previous demand zone and creating a mitigation block. The subsequent rejection confirms buyer presence.
* **Break of Structure (BoS):** The swing high at **~196.07** has been breached, confirming a minor bullish shift in market structure.
* **Fair Value Gap (FVG):** The strong bullish move from the lows has created an FVG which the price is now retesting, offering a potential premium entry for longs.
* **Targeting Liquidity:** The next significant pool of buy-side liquidity rests above the **207.88** swing high.
**Bill Williams’ Alligator Confirmation:**
The Alligator is perfectly aligned for an upward move:
* **Lips (195.24) > Teeth (195.03) > Jaw (194.91)**
* This alignment, with price trading above all three, signals the Alligator is "awake" and hunting to the upside. The expanding mouth confirms building bullish momentum.
**Trade Plan:**
* **🟩 Entry:** On retest of the Alligator confluence zone (**195.20 - 195.00**) or a break above the local high (**196.10**).
* **🔴 Stop Loss:** **191.50** (below the Jaw and the recent liquidity sweep low).
* **🎯 Take Profit 1:** **202.00** (Previous resistance)
* **🎯 Take Profit 2:** **207.88** (Key swing high and liquidity target)
**RRR > 3:1**
**Conclusion:**
With a successful liquidity sweep, a confirmed Bullish BoS, and the Alligator fully aligned and awake, SOL is poised for a move toward the **202.00 - 208.00** resistance zone. Longs on a retest of the Alligator support offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
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Solana is still within range... SOL just got some bullish news with a Western Union relationship. Could this be a catalyst that will allow the PA to exit the range? The current upward channel has been respected on the D1, although the trend has been our friend; trendline liquidity has been building. Regardless, the SOL price is at an important POI.
SOL Consolidation — Watching 218 Target or 193 PivotLast week, the price also followed our orange plan. Right now, it’s in a phase of local consolidation.
If the descending trendline breaks, the price is likely to continue rising toward the 218 target. If the local low breaks instead, a correction toward the weekly pivot point at 193 is possible — I expect to see a bounce and a quick recovery from there; otherwise, the price may continue falling toward the ascending trendline .
Bullish Momentum Building for Solana (SOL) – Targeting $300!Solana (SOL) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The ascending curve pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with price currently hovering around $234.87 and a projected move toward $300 .
🔍 Key Highlights:
Strong Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows confirm bullish structure.
Technical Setup: Ascending pattern with clear breakout potential.
Target: Price projection points toward $300.
Risk Management: Stop loss level marked to protect against reversals.
This setup offers a great opportunity for swing traders and crypto enthusiasts looking to capitalize on Solana’s momentum. Stay tuned for updates and trade smart!
$SOL - LONG - ABOUT TO POP?Analysis:
Following up on my Oct 14th BTC note — “Wait for arbitrage to balance spot markets” — we’re now nearing that blue box. As BTC approaches equilibrium, I’m eyeing CRYPTOCAP:SOL for a clean long setup.
Here’s why 👇
AVWAP Confluence Zone:
We’ve got the lower band of a HTF auction colliding with the VWAP line from another HTF auction — strong mean reversion and liquidity overlap. (Didn’t draw them out to keep the chart clean.)
Fibonacci Confluence:
A completed AB=CD right at 175.0, perfectly inside the HTF golden pocket (0.618). That’s a key structural retrace aligning with measured move completion.
Bullish Harmonic (4H):
A textbook bull harmonic forming — early signs of reversal pressure building.
No position yet. Waiting for SOL (CME) to close the gap at ~174.7 — that’s my trigger to go long.
🎯 Target: 223 — with a possible sweep of the 229–230 zone where shorts are stacked. Expecting a short squeeze flush through that region.
Seeing solid order flow confluence across the board.
Will update this post as things unfold.
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October 27, 2025Hello everyone,
This idea presents a bearish (short) outlook on Solana as of October 27.
Currently, Solana has entered a short-term overheated zone,
and we are beginning to observe a gradual inflow of selling pressure.
First Basis — (DEEP) GARTLEY Pattern
Solana is currently located within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of a (DEEP) GARTLEY pattern.
This zone is typically recognized as the terminal phase of a short-term upward wave,
where a trend reversal to the downside often occurs due to overbought conditions.
Second Basis — WAVE.M = WAVE.N × 0.786
The ongoing M-wave has formed approximately 78.6% of the length of the previous N-wave,
which represents a classic reversal structure commonly observed within the GARTLEY pattern.
Therefore, entering a short position within this range is considered technically valid.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 184.97 USDT.
Depending on future price developments,
I will provide further updates on refinements to this idea and position management strategies.
Thank you for reading.
SOL — Snap → channel → midline: same song, new verseHere’s an interesting pattern on the chart. SOL tends to form these clean channels where price action bounces between the rails almost rhythmically. In the previous leg, price tapped the bottom of the channel three times before curling back up toward the midline.
Now a new channel that started forming around late August is showing similar behavior. Another solid bounce off the lower rail which is marked by #3, staying true to the same structure. If it behaves like the last one, the next step would be a revisit of that midline to test direction.
Cool to see how consistent SOL is with these channel dynamics. It’s like it respects its own geometry.
Educational observation only — not a trade signal or advice.
SOL - Ranges overview Let's have a look at SOL and its current trading range.
I know a lot of you young traders are still hyped and enjoy trading SOL so I'll give you my take on it.
Personally, I've never had a stake in it and don't plan on getting any merely based on the fact that since its inception a hyped fueled and based crypto - BUT for the sake of trading let's have a look at the chart.
We are currently trading back towards the sellside liquidity sitting around 140$.
IF we fail to hold it expect some more pullback towards 120-100$.
IF we hold the 140$ sellside liquidity range (and BTC manages to reclaim 150K) expect SOL to aggressively retrace towards 216$.
As always PATIENCE...PLAN AND EXECUTE.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
SOL/USDT 4H AnalysisSolana continues its bearish correction phase after failing to hold above the premium zone (206–210 USDT).
The price broke market structure (BoS) downward and is currently consolidating below the 186–187 resistance, which used to act as strong support.
EMA and order blocks show clear dominance of sellers — every retest of the red supply zones leads to rejection.
Now we see local demand (blue zone) around 145–155 USDT, where buyers are trying to defend liquidity.
If SOL fails to hold 159–162, the next liquidity sweep could target 145–148 USDT before a potential rebound.
For bullish confirmation, we’d need a strong candle close above 187, ideally with growing volume — that would open the way toward 194–206 zones.
🧭 Trading bias:
Short-term → Neutral to Bearish
Mid-term → Possible long opportunity only if price holds above 162 and breaks 187 with volume.






















