SPX500 Bullish Plan in Motion with SMA + Kijun Confirmation🚀 US500/SPX500 INDEX MARKET SWING TRADE MASTERCLASS 🎯
📊 ASSET: S&P 500 Index (US500 | SPX500)
Timeframe: 4H-Daily | Strategy Type: Swing Trade | Market Context: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
🎲 TRADE SETUP: THE "THIEF PROTOCOL" STRATEGY ⚡
✅ TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
🔹 Primary Signal: Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback Retest
🔹 Secondary Confirmation: Kijun-sen (Ichimoku MA) Retest
🔹 Market Structure: Higher Lows Formation + Bullish Consolidation
🔹 Bias: LONG with Layered Entry Methodology
💰 ENTRY STRATEGY: MULTI-LAYER LIMIT ORDER APPROACH
The "Thief Layering Method" - Stack multiple buy limit orders for optimal risk distribution:
🟢 Layer 1 Entry: $6,750.00 - Initial Probe Entry (30% Position Allocation)
🟢 Layer 2 Entry: $6,800.00 - Aggressive Add (35% Position Allocation)
🟢 Layer 3 Entry: $6,850.00 - Final Confirmation Entry (35% Position Allocation)
Entry Flexibility: Adjust layers based on your account size & risk tolerance. Spread entries across pullback zones for superior fill pricing.
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Recommended SL Level: $6,720.00 - Placed below the support trendline + SMA confluence
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Traders! This is YOUR trading journey. We strongly recommend adjusting stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules. Account sizing is crucial - never risk more than 2-3% per trade. Your SL placement = YOUR decision, YOUR responsibility. Use proper position sizing ALWAYS.
🎯 PROFIT TARGET ZONES
Primary Target: $7,050.00 ⚡
📊 Technical Reasoning: This level represents strong resistance confluence zone, historical supply level in overbought territory, and creates a risk/reward sweet spot of 1:3+ return potential. Alert: Trap zone exists here - smart money reversal area confirmed.
Exit Strategy Recommendation: Close 50% of position at $7,000-7,020 to lock partial profits. Hold remaining 50% with trailing stop or until $7,050 for maximum upside capture. Lock profits incrementally to secure gains.
⚠️ CRITICAL REMINDER: Your profit target = YOUR choice! This TP represents technical confluence, but market conditions evolve. Trade YOUR plan, manage YOUR risk, protect YOUR capital.
🌍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 🔗
📈 PRIMARY CORRELATIONS
1️⃣ QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) - 0.99 Correlation 💻
This is the tech-heavy composition that typically leads SPX rallies. Current focus remains on AI/Mag7 momentum and overall growth stock sentiment. Key watch: QQQ strength = SPX bullish confirmation signal. When QQQ breaks out, SPX follows closely.
2️⃣ IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) - 0.95 Correlation 📍
Small-cap composition with high tariff sensitivity. Current status shows small-cap underperformance zones vulnerable to trade policy shifts. Trading tip: IWM weakness = Sector rotation risk, so watch for divergence from SPX strength.
3️⃣ DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse/Mixed Correlation 💵
Recent positive correlation emerging in 2025 market dynamics. Current dynamic shows dollar strength now sometimes supports equities due to policy-driven factors. Risk factor alert: DXY spike above 108 = potential SPX headwind to monitor.
📊 SECONDARY WATCH PAIRS
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - Mirror of SPX, use for volume confirmation and institutional positioning.
DIA (Dow Jones ETF) - Large-cap value barometer, less tech-sensitive than QQQ, shows rotation signals.
VIX (Volatility Index) - Above 25 = caution mode, below 15 = complacency warning.
📱 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS FOR THIS TRADE
🔴 RED FLAGS - Watch These Closely:
VIX spiking above 30 signals potential fear spike. DXY breaking above 108 creates dollar strength pressure. QQQ failing to confirm breakout indicates tech weakness divergence. IWM hitting new lows signals broad market weakness.
🟢 GREEN LIGHTS - Trade Confirmation:
QQQ and SPX moving in sync above SMA is bullish. IWM holding key support levels confirms breadth. DXY consolidating means no headwind pressure building. VIX below 20 indicates low fear environment.
🎯 TRADE PSYCHOLOGY & EXECUTION TIPS
✅ Pre-Trade Checklist:
Confirm SMA pullback on 4H chart before entry. Verify Kijun retest on Ichimoku indicator. Check QQQ alignment for correlation confirmation. Monitor DXY to avoid strong dollar days. Set alerts at all 3 entry layers for execution readiness.
✅ During Trade Management:
Take partial profit at 50% move up to secure gains. Move SL to breakeven after hitting first target. Trail stop every 50-pip move in your favor. Document your execution for journal review and performance tracking.
🔥 TRADE EXECUTION SUMMARY
Signal Type: Bullish Pullback Retest ✅ Confirmed
Entry Method: 3-Layer Limit Orders 🎯 Optimized for Best Fill Pricing
SL Level: $6,720.00 🛑 Defined and Placed Below Support
TP Level: $7,050.00 🎯 Defined at Resistance Confluence
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3+ 💰 Favorable Trade Structure
Best Tradeable Window: Next 48-72 Hours ⏰ Active Setup Zone
Good Luck, Traders! 🚀 Trade Smart. Trade Safe. Trade Often.
Remember: Your SL = Your Protection | Your TP = Your Goal | Your Risk = Your Responsibility
#SPX500 #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdea #S&P500 #MarketAnalysis #TradeSetup #RiskManagement
Trade ideas
S&P500 Final rally to 6925, then sell-off to 1D MA200?The S&P500 index (SPX) had a massive Friday rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and yesterday touched again its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this time as a Resistance.
If it manages to break and close a 1D candle above it, we expect the current rebound to continue and evolve into the end-of-year rally and test at least the ATH Resistance at 6925.
The 1D RSI sequence suggests that we may be currently inside a same pattern as the December 2024 - January 2025 fractal, which after a 1D MA100 rebound it hit the ATH Resistance again and then got heavily rejected back to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and beyond.
As a result, after the rally, our medium-term Target is 6300 (expected contact with the 1D MA200).
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S&P 500 Roadmap: Correction Rally Ending—Another Drop Is ComingAs I expected in the previous idea , the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) moved toward the broken Support lines and completed its pullback, reaching its targets.
Given that the S&P 500 index nowadays shows a significant correlation with the cryptocurrency market and Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), it’s wise to pay even more attention to this index, as it can help us gauge the crypto market trends.
The S&P 500 is approaching a Resistance zone($6,675_$6,637), and considering the momentum of last weekend’s decline, it appears that this recent upward movement is merely a correction. Therefore, we should expect another decline in the S&P 500.
Since the U.S. dollar index( TVC:DXY ) is also likely to maintain an upward trend, the rise in the dollar can lead to more capital flowing into safer assets, potentially impacting the S&P 500 negatively.
The S&P 500 is also influenced by the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield( TVC:US10 ). If the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield trends upwards , then riskier assets like cryptocurrencies might go down more, and this, in turn, could also impact the S&P 500.
Considering all the above, I expect that the S&P 500 will at least test its Support zone($6,580_$6,490) again and, if that Support zone($6,580_$6,490) is broken, we could anticipate further declines in the U.S. stock market and the S&P 500.
First Target: $6,526
Second Target: $6,413
Stop Los(SL): $6,731
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
The Culmination of the 2025 Bull Market: AI Mania Tipping PointThe Culmination of the 2025 Bull Market: AI Mania Tipping Point
A. Geometry of the 2-Week Chart
On the 2-Week chart, price has reached the upper boundary of the 1:20 parallel channel —
the same structural angle that has defined the entire post-2020 bull cycle.
This angle rises at 20 points per 2-week bar, and the market has touched it only at major cycle culminations:
Jan 3, 2022 — Major Top
Oct 10, 2022 — Capitulation Low
Oct 23, 2023 — Structural Low
Apr 7, 2024 — Angle Retest Low
Oct 27, 2025 — Structural Top
Each contact marked the exhaustion of one cycle and the birth of another.
Today, price is pressing against this ceiling with the weakest internal motion of any prior touch.
B. Speed & Acceleration on the 2-Week Chart
The internal motion confirms the structural peak.
⚡ Speed Has Rolled Over
Speed at the February 2025 top reached 159 Market Knots.
At the October 2025 top, Speed failed to exceed that reading.
Price made higher highs while Speed made lower highs.
Higher highs with lower speed = exhaustion.
The trend is rising, but the force behind it is hollow.
🔻 Acceleration Has Already Turned Negative
Acceleration always breaks first —
it is the earliest signal of structural weakness.
Acceleration turning negative on the 2-Week chart reveals something critical:
It can go much deeper negative.
The force of the trend is collapsing before price.
Acceleration turning negative on the 2-Week chart reveals something critical:
It can go much deeper negative — the force of the trend is collapsing before price.
📉 The Unified Signal
When both Speed and Acceleration deteriorate at the highs,
the market becomes structurally vulnerable.
C. The 2-Day Chart — Short-Term Angles Breaking
Inside the broader structure, the rise has been carried by two steep geometric angles:
The $4-per-degree angle
From the Oct 27, 2023 low
(1° = 4 points)
The $8-per-degree angle
From the Apr 7, 2025 low
(1° = 8 points, the steepest of the advance)
Both angles have now broken.
This confirms what the 2-Week structure already signaled:
the completion of a cycle.
D. 2-Day Motion (Market Knots) — Internal Force Collapsing
The 2-Day chart reveals what the price action hides:
the internal engine of the trend has failed while price still sits near the highs.
⚡ Speed has imploded
Price is still hovering near peak levels
But Speed has collapsed straight downward
This is one of the strongest exhaustion signatures the Market Knots System can print
When Speed collapses while price remains elevated, the trend is no longer supported —
it is hanging at the highs without the force that once carried it and dangerously no structure beneath .
🔻 Acceleration is deeply negative
Acceleration has plunged into the deepest negative zone since 2022
The internal force behind the advance is not just fading —
it has completely reversed
Acceleration is violently negative.
This creates a structurally fragile condition:
The trend’s internal force has shut down, and price is standing on hollow ground.
2. CONVERGENCE OF CYCLES — December as the Stress Point
This breakdown occurs precisely as multiple independent cycles converge into the same temporal window —
a natural stress point in the market’s architecture.
• The 2020 Cycle — Five Years Completed
The post-pandemic cycle that began in March 2020 now enters year five —
a common terminal phase in Gann-based cycle structures.
Five-year expansions often mark major growth culminations before a structural reset.
• The 2021/2022 High — A 3-Year Echo
The December 2021–January 2022 top forms a three-year resonance window.
Markets often return to the vibration of prior highs on a three-year cadence.
Once again, we arrive in the December–January window.
• The 7-Year Cycle (2520°) — The Echo of 2018
In 2018, the market peaked early in Q4 and panicked into December
as liquidity tightened and the long structural angle exhausted.
Seven years later, in 2025, price stands in the same geometric position:
touching the top of its structure, with motion collapsing and key angles broken.
Seven-year cycles often carry the potential for panics, sharp declines, and structural breaks
when the underlying geometry reaches full extension.
3. VALUATIONS — A Market Lifted by the Few
The 2025 advance has been extraordinarily narrow.
Nine companies now represent 37.64% of the S&P 500:
NVIDIA
Apple
Microsoft
Amazon
Alphabet (GOOGL + GOOG)
Broadcom
Meta
Tesla
This is not a broad-based advance.
It is an AI megacluster lifting the entire index.
Top S&P 500 YTD Performers (AI/Tech-Linked)
And the top S&P 500 YTD performers inside the index are also AI/Tech domiannt.
Western Digital (WDC) — +208.82%
Robinhood (HOOD) — +187.98%
Seagate (STX) — +175.16%
Micron (MU) — +146.40%
Palantir (PLTR) — +104.75% (Ranked #7 on official S&P list)
Lam Research (LRCX) — +97.49% (Ranked #8 on official S&P list)
AI Mania Is the Only Engine
The market’s strongest performers — both mega-cap and mid-cap — are uniformly driven by:
AI hardware
AI compute capacity
AI storage and memory
AI cloud infrastructure
AI-driven speculation flow
This is not organic economic breadth.
It is a narrow, leveraged bet on a single technological axis, carrying the S&P to its ceiling.
A Structural Imbalance
When nearly 40% of index weight — and nearly all performance — comes from one cluster,
the structure becomes top-heavy, like a building with all its weight on a single floor.
The index reached its 2025 peak
not through collective expansion,
but because a handful of megacap Tech/AI companies propelled it upward in stalling economy.
5. SYNTHESIS — A Moment of Completion
The 2025 bull market has reached its culmination.
A cycle viscously powered by a narrow AI concentration.
The market stands at the top of its orbit,
supported by a structure whose internal beams are already failing.
Historically, this alignment produces volatility as one cycle completes and the next takes form.
Multiple independent cycles — 5-year, 3-year, and 7-year — are converging into the December/January window
Our geometric measurements indicate a contraction of prices in December and into Q1 of next year. This will initiate a price decline back toward the 1:20 angle into 2026, followed by a resumption of higher prices into 2027.
Nana Hermes —
All Things Move by Measure.
Bulls don't get too comfortable....fundamentals still not goodHave been tracking the swings recently and macros and it's worth noting that the fundamentals of the economy are still weak. The upcoming rate reduction is already priced in, and it won't change the employment / defaults / private credit environment and inflation. Expect a dip very very soon and red across the board. The economy is being propped up with hot air and it's just not sustainable. All the macros are screaming red and people are ignoring until it's too late.
#SQQQ could be an interesting hedge, but would pull out now from any long positions as the AI bubble is showing big cracks and people are deciding to look the other way until they get wiped out.
S&P 500 levels to watchFollowing the big recovery, lots of short-term levels have been reclaimed this week but with US markets closed today, index futures have been fairly quite and easing back down ever so slightly. Key support is now seen around 6771-6780 on our US SP 500 chart (derived from the underlying ES prices). Below that, 6716 is the next support. Bulls will get in trouble if 6659 - most recent low - breaks. On the upside, 6829 is first hurdle, marking the point of origin of the previous drop. Ideal location for the bears to step back in if they want to regain control of price action. Lose that, 6877 is next upside target then the all time high at 6922.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
SPX Make or Break: Bull Flag or FVG RejectionSPX is in a make or break situation. Break this bull flag, and we could head header to touch the $7,000 psychological level. Reject here, and we could see lower at $6,500.
After reclaiming the anchored vWAP, SPX is pushing into a stacked zone of resistances:
Upper Bull Flag trendline
Bearish Fair Value Gap
0.618 Fib Retracement
Upside trigger:
– Break and hold above the FVG + 0.786 (≈ 6835–6920).
– Target = retest of highs / 7000.
Downside trigger:
– Failure at FVG
- Breakdown of bull flag
- Move towards Rally POC at 6459
US500 Bullish: Entry: 6,700 – 6,720US500 – Institutional Intraday Analysis (Athena Protocol v7.3)
Exchange: IC Markets
Current Price: ~6,791.00
Current Time: 01:57 UTC-5
Timeframe: 90m
1. Market Bias: Bullish (but overstretched and vulnerable to a liquidity tap)
Bias Explanation
This chart screams: “Yes, we are bullish, but please… someone sweep me properly before I continue.”
Let’s break it down.
Goldbach Levels
Strong PO3 clustering around 6561 and 6723–6804, but price is now far above these baselines.
– Algo signals on the 27 and 81 rows: BR → FV, RB → OB, -RB → -OB
These represent continuation patterns, not reversal ones.
– The 243 & 729 rows show FV → MB and LV → -LV, again supportive of continuation after retracement.
Conclusion: Goldbach models favor bullish continuation after a pullback.
They do not support longing at current highs.
Visible Range Volume Profile
– Major HVN at ~6,690–6,720
– Low-volume void above price → explains the straight-line rally.
– But current price at 6,791 is sitting in a thin-volume zone = susceptible to deep intraday pullbacks.
Session Volume Profile
– Sessions are printing higher Value Area Highs and Lows → trending structure.
– But today’s session POC is lagging behind price → inefficiency = retracement likely.
CVD
– CVD is flat-to-slightly declining despite price rising.
This is one of Athena’s biggest red flags:
Displacement not supported by real buy flow = engineered move.
COT (Non-Commercial USD positions)
Massively bearish sentiment:
– % Short = 73%
– Net positions = –14,933, worsening from –13,145
– Big players increased shorts, decreased longs.
This is why pullbacks on US500 have been savage lately.
Macro Snapshot
– FOMC cautious but not dovish; market pricing soft-landing narrative.
– Trump’s fiscal plans support equities short-term.
– But rising Middle East tensions + Treasury issuance linger as downside catalysts.
Overall Bias: Bullish trend, but the smarter long is taken after the sweep.
2. Key Interpretation
– Market is too high, too fast.
– CVD + COT warn that this pump is weak-handed.
– Volume profile signals a retest toward 6,720 or even 6,660 before further rally.
Bias: BUY ONLY — but only after liquidity raids.
Not at the highs. Never at the highs. Not even if you’re feeling lucky.
3. Smart Money Buy Levels
A. Aggressive Buy Limit
Entry: 6,745 – 6,755
SL: 6,708
TP1: 6,793
TP2: 6,820
TP3: 6,855
Rationale:
– First micro-inefficiency beneath current structure.
– Will likely fill on the first intraday pullback.
– Partial mitigation of the OB at the current high.
Win Probability: ~58%
Works if momentum continues without deep sweep.
B. Conservative Buy Limit (Primary Institutional Level)
Entry: 6,700 – 6,720
SL: 6,660
TP1: 6,780
TP2: 6,815
TP3: 6,860
Rationale:
– This is the visible range HVN and prior volume shelf.
– The ideal level where algos reload.
– Matches Goldbach’s 81 PO3 level + session POC cluster.
Win Probability: ~72%
Most reliable for today’s trading.
C. Very Safe Buy Limit (Institutional Raid Zone)
Entry: 6,645 – 6,660
SL: 6,588
TP1: 6,720
TP2: 6,780
TP3: 6,840
Rationale:
– Deep sweep of equal intraday lows.
– Cleans out all short-term long stops.
– Aligns with Goldbach 729 and 243 baseline structures.
– Best RR, but may not fill unless NY session gets heavy liquidity injection.
Win Probability: ~81%
The highest-probability setup but lowest fill probability.
4. Why These Plays Work
Technical Confluence
– US500 is extended into low-volume weeds.
– CVD shows buyers exhausted.
– Goldbach signals agree with continuation but ONLY after the retrace.
– Volume profiles indicate untested demand zones below.
Macro Confluence
– Equities remain favored but heavily crowded.
– Short-term short squeeze may have just finished.
– COT data screams: “Market too high. Needs a flush.”
So we wait… and buy the flush.
5. Best Trading Session
– London AM → NY Opening Range
These sessions consistently deliver the retracements US500 refuses to give in Asia.
6. Athena’s Final Words
US500 right now is like a caffeinated intern: sprinting full-speed without checking whether their shoelaces are tied.
Spoiler: they’re not.
Let the kid trip, scoop up the dip, and ride the rebound.
This is educational analysis, not financial advice.
Will SPX Make New All Time Highs? We dive into the recent technical setup of the S&P500.
We are on the verge of triggering a new massive bullish patterns.
The backdrop of soft commodities. soft yields, softer dollar and the December 10 rate cute.
We have the tailwinds in place for higher price.
I would like to see some sideways chop to make this rally more sustainable, but bull market bounces are very fierce especially when they come from failed bearish patterns.
The S&P 500: The Last Stand Into Year-EndThe 2025 bull market has culminated as presented in my previous post.
The major structure topped on October 28th, with a secondary, weaker high on November 12th. What remains now is the distribution phase into the final weeks of the year—where the market decides whether it will stabilize and potentially from a double top or begin its descent into 2026.
1. Location in Structure
Price is currently trading beneath the declining angle drawn from the October and November tops.
This angle declines at $4 per day, and has acted as the defining rhythm of the post-top decline.
Top of the year: October 28
Lower high: November 12
Current position: Beneath the angle → inside potential distribution
2. The Two Paths
The market has two paths from here:
A. Bullish Path — December Rally Trigger
To challenge the November 12th high, the S&P must close above the angle.
A confirmed break of the angle → opens the path to
📈 6,860 in the first week of December
This would represent a counter-trend rally back into the underside of the broader 2025 cycle structure.
B. Bearish Path — Rejection = Lower Prices
If price rejects at the angle, it signals:
distribution is underway
momentum remains weak
the November highs are secure as the final secondary top
In this case, lower prices into December follow naturally.
3. The Message of the Structure (And more Charts to keep up on)
The larger cycle has already ended.
We are now watching the small-scale geometry that governs how the year will close:
beneath the angle → distribution
above the angle → December rally
SUMMARY
What remains now is the micro-geometry that will determine how the year closes:
Beneath the declining angle → distribution continues
Above the angle → a December rally opens toward 6,860
While the market could attempt to press toward new highs, the probability is very low — and would be surprising given the current economic backdrop and the clear contraction emerging from a dominant sector of the market.
The structure, motion, and fundamentals all argue that the 2025 peak is already in.
S&P500 - US markets closed, liquidity thinUS Thanksgiving Holiday
US markets closed, liquidity thin globally.
Expect muted volumes, potential for exaggerated moves in FX and rates due to reduced participation.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6830
Resistance Level 2: 6848
Resistance Level 3: 6866
Support Level 1: 6770
Support Level 2: 6756
Support Level 3: 6735
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX500: Thanksgiving Range — 6815–6842 Controls the MarketOANDA:SPX500USD continued to push higher exactly as projected yesterday.
Market activity is expected to be quieter today due to the Thanksgiving holiday, which typically reduces volatility across U.S. indices.
Technical Outlook
For today, the price is likely to consolidate between 6815 and 6842 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario:
A 1H close below 6813 will open the path toward 6771, with 6797 acting as the first reaction zone.
Bullish Scenario:
While trading above 6813, the price may retest 6842, and a break above this level could extend toward 6870.
Pivot Line: 6813
Support: 6797 · 6771
Resistance: 6842 · 6870
S&P 500 – DTF Technical & Fundamental AnalysisS&P 500 – DTF Technical & Fundamental Analysis
⚠️ S&P 500 Update – Short-Term Bullish, But Overall Structure Shows Weakness
The S&P 500 recently experienced a short-term bullish move after retesting the key support level at 6,500, which is now acting as a major support following the reversal. This rally was largely driven by major technology and AI-related firms, especially Alphabet. Strong earnings and leadership in generative AI have boosted investor confidence, propelling the index to new highs.
Despite this, technical factors suggest caution. On the daily timeframe, the overall market structure after the bullish trend is forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating that buyers are losing momentum. This rally could be temporary, largely representing liquidity grabs above previous highs rather than a true trend reversal. From a technical perspective, 6,500 is a critical support zone. If this level holds, the S&P 500 could continue the short-term bullish move. However, if this level breaks with high volume, a deeper correction may follow, potentially targeting the next major demand zone around 6,370.
The market remains highly reactive to both technical triggers and fundamental news, so caution is advised. Watch key levels closely and wait for confirmed structure before taking positions.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading CFDs and Forex involves high risk. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Don’t Let Panic Drive Your Decisions, The Market Reward PatienceDon’t Let Panic Drive Your Decisions — Because The Market Rewards Patience
The last few days in the S&P 500 were the perfect reminder of how quickly sentiment swings — and how dangerous emotional trading can be.
* Nov 20: Headlines screamed about an “AI Bubble Burst,” triggering panic selling.
* By Nov 21: Market declined +3.5%, wiping over $2 trillion in market value.
* By Nov 26: The same market recovered $2.6 trillion, pushing the S&P 500 back above 6800
* S&P 500 is now just 1.6% away from all-time highs (6921).
Anyone who sold in fear on Nov 20–21 is now sitting on regret, while disciplined investors who stayed calm are comfortably in profit.
$SPX next move higherSP:SPX 5510 is my short TP level and level to go long. It hit perfectly on Friday and now we are 200 points higher. Price action is still bullish (despite the bearish weekly candle last week). 5826 is next magnetic level. And a break above the trendline will see ATH before next of year.
$SPX - Turkey WeekI made this turkey with my strong hand:
Bulls seek to close >6700
Bears seek to contain <6700, IDEALLY <6600
OUTLOOK = choppy, bumpy, and fun - keep it small, keep it tight like a tiger
Feel free to comment or add input 💪
Inside modified pitchfork anchors on macro
cyan trend line = .618
fusia = median
LARGER TF POSTED BELOW
The Bears last standThis level and slightly higher needs to hold otherwise we're going to test the highs and possibly go much further. If there is no reversal today, we will be closing over the 18ma for two days in a row and that is certainly bullish. The Vix needs to get over 20 for a reversal to start having legs. Gold is just sideways. Oil is coiling up for a larger move - possibly down. BTC looks like it can go lower.
SPX500: Risk-On Sentiment Builds as Bulls Eye 6733SPX500 | Technical Overview
Global markets are riding a risk-on wave after a sudden jump in U.S. rate-cut expectations, triggered by dovish comments from several Federal Reserve officials.
However, gains may cool in Europe as FX markets remain alert to possible Bank of Japan yen intervention.
Geopolitics also added to market sentiment:
U.S. President Donald Trump described relations with China as “extremely strong” after his call with President Xi — reinforcing a short-term risk-on environment.
Technical Outlook
SPX500 is expected to retest the pivot zone near 6670–6705 before attempting another bullish extension.
Bullish Scenario:
After retesting the pivot, the price may push upward toward 6733, and if momentum holds, extend to 6771 and 6800.
Bearish Scenario:
A 1H candle close below 6670 will activate bearish pressure toward 6635, with further downside potential toward 6578.
Overall structure remains bullish as long as the price trades above the pivot zone.
Support: 6670 · 6635 · 6578
Resistance: 6733 · 6771 · 6800
S&P500 H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 6,711.35
- Strong pullback resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,785.20
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 6,641.93
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
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SPX500: Tight Consolidation Before Breakout — Key Levels AheadSPX500 | Technical Overview
New York Fed President John Williams signaled Friday that a near-term rate cut is still possible, noting that labor-market weakness is now a greater risk than inflation.
Traders have increased the odds of a 25 bps December rate cut to 69%, up from 44% a week ago.
Technical Outlook
SPX500 remains volatile, but the broader momentum still leans bearish.
Price is currently consolidating between 6635 and 6610, waiting for a clear breakout direction.
A 1H or 4H close below 6610 will strengthen the bearish trend toward 6578, with further downside possible.
A break and stability above 6635 would open the door for a move toward 6670, and later 6705.
Key Levels
Support: 6610 · 6579 · 6507
Resistance: 6635, 6670 · 6704
S&P 500 – Upside TargetDow Jones & S&P 500 – Testing Key Support After a One-Month Decline
Both the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 have pulled back over the past month and are now approaching a significant support area. This zone continues to attract the attention of investors, indicating that demand remains strong despite recent weakness.
Based on the current order flow and buying interest seen in the market, the broader long-term trend for both indices still appears bullish.
S&P 500 – Upside Target
For the S&P 500, the first major upside target is located near 7000, and there is a strong possibility that price could reach this level within the next month if buying pressure continues.
Sasha Charkhchian






















