SPX updated for Friday 19th Se[temberI have despiked the chart to expose the trend.There are downward spikes making it difficult to read
SP500 trade ideas
S&P 500 | Bullish ContinuationS&P500 is in bullish continuation pattern while printing HHs and HLs with no divergence on any timrframe,which indicates that there is a continuation pattern.
US500Success in forex and stocks comes from a combination of knowledge, discipline, and patience. Understanding market trends, economic factors, and company
fundamentals is crucial, but equally important is controlling emotions and sticking to a well-planned strategy. Continuous learning, adapting to changing conditions, and managing risk wisely can turn opportunities into consistent growth over time.
Consistency, not luck, separates successful traders from the rest.
S&P500 Key support at 6600FOMC Takeaways
Fed cut rates 25bps to 4.00–4.25%, as expected.
Powell framed it as a “risk-management cut”, tempering hopes for an aggressive easing cycle.
Dot plot now signals 75bps total cuts in 2025 (vs. 50bps before), with softer growth/labour tone.
Markets saw a whipsaw: initial rally → Treasury selloff → equities flat by close.
Market Moves
Equities: S&P 500 closed -0.10%, after falling as much as -0.84% intraday.
Sector split: IT lagged (-0.70%), but financials (+0.96%) and consumer staples (+0.90%) outperformed.
Futures (Asia session): S&P +0.49%, Nasdaq +0.73% → rebound tone.
Rates: Yields higher post-FOMC (10yr +6bps to 4.09%) but down 2–2.5bps this morning.
FX: Dollar Index +0.18% overnight, extending gains despite initial dip.
Trading Implications
Market focus: Is the economy strong enough to sustain gains with only a gradual Fed cutting path?
Bull case: Rate-sensitive domestic sectors (financials, staples, housing-related) showing resilience; futures pointing higher.
Bear case: Transports lag industrials (Dow at records, transports weaker) – a potential warning sign for breadth of the rally.
Catalyst today: FedEx earnings – a key test for global trade/transport demand and market breadth confirmation.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6660
Resistance Level 2: 668
Resistance Level 3: 6700
Support Level 1: 6600
Support Level 2: 6570
Support Level 3: 6550
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
How Blockchain Could Create a Single Global Marketplace1. The Current Global Marketplace: Fragmented and Inefficient
Despite globalization, today’s international trade and commerce remain highly fragmented:
Multiple currencies → Every country has its own currency, requiring foreign exchange conversion, leading to costs, delays, and risks.
Intermediaries → Payment processors, banks, brokers, and logistics middlemen increase costs.
Trust issues → Buyers and sellers often don’t know each other, so they rely on third-party verification.
Inefficient supply chains → Tracking goods across borders is complex, slow, and prone to fraud.
Regulatory fragmentation → Every country enforces its own trade, tax, and compliance rules.
As a result, cross-border trade is expensive, slow, and sometimes inaccessible for small businesses or individuals. The dream of a truly globalized marketplace remains incomplete.
2. Blockchain’s Core Features and Why They Matter
Blockchain brings several unique features that directly solve the inefficiencies of global commerce:
Decentralization → No single authority controls the ledger, allowing peer-to-peer trade without middlemen.
Transparency → Transactions are visible and verifiable, reducing fraud.
Immutability → Once recorded, data cannot be tampered with, ensuring trust.
Smart contracts → Self-executing agreements automate business logic like payments or delivery confirmations.
Tokenization → Physical or digital assets can be represented as tokens, enabling easy trading.
Borderless payments → Cryptocurrencies and stablecoins allow instant cross-border value transfer.
Together, these features create the foundation for a single, borderless, digital-first marketplace.
3. Building Blocks of a Global Blockchain Marketplace
To understand how blockchain could unify the world economy, let’s break down the key pillars:
a) Universal Digital Currency
The first step is borderless payments. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and especially stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies already allow instant international transfers.
No need for currency exchange.
Settlement in seconds, not days.
Lower fees compared to SWIFT, Visa, or PayPal.
For example, a freelancer in India can receive payment from a U.S. client in USDT (a dollar-pegged stablecoin) instantly, bypassing banks and high remittance costs.
b) Tokenized Assets
Almost anything — from gold and real estate to art and stocks — can be represented as digital tokens on blockchain. Tokenization creates:
Fractional ownership → Anyone can buy a piece of expensive assets.
Liquidity → Assets can be traded globally without geographic restrictions.
Inclusivity → Small investors can access markets previously reserved for the wealthy.
This democratization of assets is crucial for a true global marketplace.
c) Smart Contracts for Automation
Smart contracts remove the need for trust between strangers. For example:
An exporter ships goods → smart contract releases payment automatically once delivery is confirmed.
A digital service provider delivers work → contract triggers instant payment.
This eliminates disputes, delays, and dependency on lawyers or courts.
d) Decentralized Marketplaces
Blockchain enables decentralized platforms where buyers and sellers connect directly. Examples include:
OpenBazaar (past experiment) → A peer-to-peer marketplace.
Uniswap & decentralized exchanges → Peer-to-peer asset trading.
NFT platforms → Direct artist-to-buyer transactions.
Such platforms reduce fees, censorship, and reliance on corporate intermediaries like Amazon or eBay.
4. Potential Benefits of a Single Global Blockchain Marketplace
1. Inclusivity and Financial Access
Currently, 1.4 billion people remain unbanked (World Bank data). Blockchain wallets give anyone with a smartphone access to global trade and finance.
2. Lower Costs
Cutting out intermediaries means cheaper remittances, payments, and trading. Cross-border remittance costs can drop from 7% to less than 1%.
3. Faster Transactions
International settlements that take days (via SWIFT) can be done in seconds.
4. Trust Without Middlemen
Blockchain’s transparency and immutability allow strangers across the globe to transact securely.
5. Global Liquidity and Market Access
Tokenization enables markets to operate 24/7, allowing capital and goods to move freely without geographic barriers.
6. Economic Empowerment
Small businesses, freelancers, and creators in emerging economies can access global customers directly, without dependence on banks or corporate platforms.
5. Real-World Use Cases
1. Cross-Border Payments
Companies like Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) are already enabling fast, cheap international transfers.
2. Supply Chain Management
IBM’s Food Trust blockchain allows tracking food from farm to supermarket, ensuring authenticity.
3. Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
Platforms like Aave or Compound let users lend/borrow globally without banks.
4. E-Commerce and Retail
Decentralized marketplaces allow direct buyer-seller trade. Imagine an Amazon alternative run on blockchain where sellers keep more profit.
5. NFTs and Creator Economy
Artists, musicians, and game developers can sell directly to global audiences using NFTs, bypassing labels or publishers.
6. Tokenized Real Estate
Platforms like Propy enable property sales on blockchain, making international real estate investments accessible.
6. The Role of Governments and Institutions
For a global blockchain marketplace to succeed, governments and institutions must play a role:
Global regulatory frameworks → To ensure safety while enabling innovation.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) → Countries like China, India, and the EU are developing CBDCs that could integrate with blockchain.
Public-private partnerships → Collaboration between regulators, banks, and blockchain firms to ensure trust.
Eventually, a hybrid system may emerge where CBDCs and decentralized platforms coexist, bridging traditional finance with blockchain.
7. Conclusion
Blockchain holds the potential to transform our fragmented, inefficient global economy into a single, unified marketplace where trade flows freely, securely, and inclusively. By combining borderless payments, tokenized assets, smart contracts, and decentralized platforms, blockchain eliminates the barriers of trust, geography, and cost.
Challenges remain — regulation, scalability, and adoption — but with growing institutional interest, technological improvements, and grassroots adoption, the path to a global blockchain-powered economy is clearer than ever.
The question is no longer “if”, but “when” blockchain will reshape the world economy. When that happens, trade will not just be global — it will be truly universal.
Monitoring possible Retest of BOS then .618This is just a short scalp, not a permanent short.. Monitoring the flow on the 2hr, Im seeing a bearish divergence leading into an apex.. I havent posted in awhile and thought I would share something im working on..
Up and down all aroundJust a possible path according to EW theory. This 5-wave move can extend into the end of the year.
S&P500 Risks drop to the 4H MA200 if MA50 fails.The S&P500 index (SPX) is experiencing a strong intra-day correction that just hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since September 05. As long as this holds, we expect a gradual rise, targeting 6800 (representing a +3.89% increase similar to July's).
A 1D candle closing below the 4H MA50 however, has historically paved the way to more selling within the 4-month Channel Up, that touched the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) before rebounding. If that candle closing takes place, we will close the 4H MA50 buy on minimum loss and buy on the 4H MA200, targeting 6700 (sharp rebound similar to all 4H MA200 bounces).
Keep also an eye on the 4H RSI Buy Zone. It has given the 5 most optimal buy entries during these 4 months. Note also that the 4H MA200 has been holding as Support since the April 25 break-out.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
S&P500 | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Watching the S&P for a potential double top.
It also aligns with the retest of the rising wedge, which is has already broken to the downside. This kind of confluence gives me extra excitement about a trade.
What I still need to happen for me to open the trade:
- H2 candle close in the entry range
- H2 candle that closes in the range needs a certain closure rate
- RSI needs to create another divergence
- Volume needs to be lower on T2, although my system does give exceptions if there is a data release, in this case FOMC, so exception will likely apply.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = Between 3.3 and 4.3
Entry price = Between 6630 and 6639.9
Stop loss price = Between 6649.2 and 6656.8
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6576
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6553
I would ideally like my stop loss above the rising wedge, that way it needs to break through both barriers.
Also, if this pattern plays out, I think it will drag the crypto market down with it... Unfortunately.
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Always predefine your risk before entering a trade. This is a non negotiable to becoming a professional trader.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me for updates and let me know in the comments — do you see the wedge retest as bearish, or do you think the bulls have more room to run?
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Peace
G
S&P/Nasdaq bearish caseBearish case for equities today:
This count has short-term pain for long-term gain.
Looking for initial pump, then dump over the next few days, target buy below 6144 for S&P and 22226 for Nasdaq.
If correct, VIX (UVIX) should pop.
Update Before the Big Rate Decision: Expected to Lower RatesUpdate Before the Big Rate Decision: Expected to Lower Rates
US500: Disconnection between equity prices & broad economic dataThe US500 is trading near record highs with the index up nearly 18% over the year. The market is driven by optimism about an imminent Fed rate cut, robust Q3 earnings, and continued strength in large cap tech shares, but fundamental valuation concerns and signs of overbought technical conditions persist.
Fundamental Analysis
The rally is resting on expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce its first 2025 rate cut this week, likely by 25 basis points.
Mega cap tech and rate sensitive sectors are leading gains, but economic headwinds remain, unemployment is ticking higher, and indicators like retail sales and leading economic indicators have weakened.
Valuations among the top US500 stocks are stretched, with the top 10 names trading at a forward P/E of 30x well above historical averages and record levels of cash hoarding notably by Berkshire Hathaway are raising caution flags.
Disconnection between equity prices and broad economic data is notable, with softening consumer metrics and elevated corporate bankruptcies.
Technical Analysis
Technical signals remain mostly bullish, as the index continues to trade within a strong uptrend and posts new highs.
Short-term technical indicators such RSI show overbought conditions and weak breadth could signal fatigue.
Key support is found at 6,545, then at 6,505 while immediate resistance is at the all-time high and then at projected levels of 6,630 ahead of 6,690.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Risk-Off SignalsWith 2 indicators: Vol. Momentum and RSI. On 17 September the P-Quant EWS TM signal is in Risk-Off.
Let'see next movements.
S&P 500 Index Holds Near Record High Ahead of Fed AnnouncementS&P 500 Index Holds Near Record High Ahead of Fed Announcement
At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference. The rate is widely expected to be cut from 4.25%–4.50% to 4.00%–4.25%.
This will conclude a prolonged intrigue fuelled by President Trump:
→ his constant criticism of Powell for pursuing an “overly tight” policy;
→ the decision to dismiss Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook, which markets perceived as direct pressure on the regulator’s independence.
In anticipation of the outcome, traders are showing optimism. The S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high yesterday, climbing above 6,640 points. This morning the price pulled back slightly, which can be interpreted as a short-term correction ahead of a key event. Effectively, the market has already priced in the expected policy easing, viewing it as a catalyst for further growth.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Six days ago, when analysing the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), we noted that:
→ the price was oscillating within an upward channel (marked in blue);
→ in September, the index has been following a steep bullish trajectory (marked in orange), with its lower line showing signs of support.
Since then, favourable inflation data helped the bulls break above the channel’s upper boundary (highlighted with an arrow).
Possible scenarios:
Bullish perspective:
→ The breakout candle above the blue channel has a long body, signalling strong buying momentum – an imbalance, also known in Smart Money Concept (SMC) as a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
→ The local level of 6,600, once resistance, has now turned into support; the next target could be the psychological level of 6,700.
→ The price is consolidating above the blue channel’s upper boundary, indicating robust demand.
Bearish perspective:
→ The upper boundary of the orange channel may act as resistance.
→ The RSI indicator, although off overbought territory, remains close to it – potentially deterring buyers from entering at elevated prices.
Taking all of this into account, the current balance could easily be disrupted once the Fed announces its rate decision – arguably the most significant event of the month in the economic calendar. Be prepared for spikes in volatility, as sharp moves in either direction are possible.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P500 | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethod👋 Hello again fellow Traders,
I already have a short open from 6 633.7, but I’d love to see a Head & Shoulders pattern develop so I can scale into more shorts.
So far, the build-up looks promising — volume has picked up significantly on this drop, which is a bearish signal. That said, I’m still waiting on confirmation before committing further.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.1
Entry: 6 614.3
Stop Loss: 6 625.4
Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 586.9
Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 570.2
🔎 What I Need to See First:
A 30m candle to reach and close in range
Lower volume on the candle that closes in range vs. the left shoulder
More candles forming the right shoulder
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is key. The best trades usually come when all conditions align — not just some of them.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me for updates, and keen to hear what your prediction is.
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Will Fed rate cuts provide further upside for US500?
On the eve of the FOMC meeting, US indices traded cautiously as stronger August retail sales reignited concerns over inflation risks. Retail sales rose 0.6% MoM, beating the 0.3% consensus. Charles Schwab noted that despite weak August jobs data, consumer spending remains resilient, supporting Q3 growth.
Industrial production also surprised to the upside at 0.1% (cons. -0.1%), with manufacturing output—the largest component—up 0.2% on a rebound in autos.
US500 remains within the ascending channel, maintaining a steady uptrend. The widening gap between both EMAs suggests the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If US500 holds above both EMAs, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 6700. Conversely, if US500 breaks below the 6530 support, the index could retreat toward 6340.
SPX,.Areas of possible interestFOMC day.So could be a tad wild.Possible areas pf interest marked.It might not stay in the pattern.Possible fakes below 6600
Global Commodity Supercycles1. What Is a Commodity Supercycle?
A commodity supercycle refers to a prolonged period (typically 20–40 years) during which commodity prices rise significantly above long-term averages, driven by sustained demand growth, supply constraints, and structural economic shifts. Unlike typical business cycles of 5–10 years, supercycles are much longer and tied to transformational changes in the global economy.
Key features include:
Long Duration: Lasts for decades, not years.
Broad-Based Price Increases: Not limited to one commodity, but a basket (energy, metals, agriculture).
Demand Shock Driven: Triggered by industrial revolutions, urbanization waves, or technological breakthroughs.
Slow Supply Response: Mines, oil fields, and farms take years to scale up, prolonging shortages.
Eventual Bust: Once supply catches up or demand slows, prices collapse, starting a long down-cycle.
2. Historical Commodity Supercycles
Economists often identify four major supercycles since the 19th century.
a) The Industrial Revolution Supercycle (Late 1800s – Early 1900s)
Drivers: Industrialization in the U.S. and Europe, railroad expansion, urban growth.
Key Commodities: Coal, steel, iron, copper.
Impact: Prices soared as cities and factories expanded. Demand for energy and metals fueled new empires. Eventually, productivity gains and resource discoveries (new coal fields, iron ore mines) balanced the market.
b) The Post-War Reconstruction Supercycle (1940s–1960s)
Drivers: World War II destruction, followed by reconstruction in Europe and Japan.
Key Commodities: Steel, oil, cement, agricultural products.
Impact: The Marshall Plan, industrial rebuilding, and mass consumption pushed commodity demand sky-high. OPEC began forming as oil became the lifeblood of economies. The cycle peaked in the 1960s before slowing in the 1970s.
c) The Oil Shock and Emerging Markets Supercycle (1970s–1990s)
Drivers: Oil embargo (1973), Iran Revolution (1979), rapid urbanization in parts of Asia.
Key Commodities: Crude oil, gold, agricultural goods.
Impact: Oil prices quadrupled in the 1970s, fueling inflation and recessions. Gold became a safe haven. By the 1980s, new oil production in the North Sea and Alaska helped break the cycle.
d) The China-Driven Supercycle (2000s–2014)
Drivers: China’s rapid industrialization and urbanization, joining the WTO (2001).
Key Commodities: Iron ore, copper, coal, crude oil, soybeans.
Impact: China’s demand for steel, infrastructure, and energy triggered the largest commodity boom in modern history. Copper and iron ore prices quadrupled. Oil hit $147/barrel in 2008. The cycle began unwinding after 2014 as China shifted toward services and renewable energy, and global supply caught up.
3. The Anatomy of a Supercycle
Each supercycle follows a predictable pattern:
Stage 1: Triggering Event
A major economic or geopolitical transformation sparks sustained demand. Examples: Industrial revolution, post-war reconstruction, or China’s rise.
Stage 2: Demand Surge
Factories, cities, and infrastructure consume massive amounts of raw materials. Demand far outpaces supply.
Stage 3: Price Boom
Commodity prices skyrocket. Exporting nations enjoy “commodity windfalls.” Importers face inflation and trade deficits.
Stage 4: Supply Response
High prices incentivize new investments—new oil rigs, mines, farmland. But supply takes years to come online.
Stage 5: Oversupply & Demand Slowdown
Eventually, supply outpaces demand (especially if growth slows). Prices collapse, ushering in a prolonged downcycle.
4. Economic and Social Impacts of Supercycles
Supercycles are double-edged swords.
Positive Impacts:
Export Windfalls: Resource-rich countries (e.g., Brazil, Australia, Middle East) see growth, jobs, and government revenues.
Industrial Expansion: Importing nations can grow rapidly by using commodities for infrastructure.
Innovation Incentives: High prices drive efficiency, substitution, and technology (e.g., shale oil, renewable energy).
Negative Impacts:
Dutch Disease: Commodity booms can overvalue currencies, hurting manufacturing exports.
Volatility: Dependence on commodity cycles creates fiscal instability (e.g., Venezuela, Nigeria).
Inequality: Resource wealth often benefits elites, not the wider population.
Environmental Stress: Mining, drilling, and farming expansion often degrade ecosystems.
5. Current Debate: Are We Entering a New Supercycle?
Since 2020, analysts have speculated about a new global commodity supercycle.
Drivers Supporting a New Cycle:
Energy Transition: Shift to renewables and electric vehicles massively increases demand for copper, lithium, cobalt, and rare earths.
Infrastructure Spending: U.S., EU, and China launching trillions in green infrastructure projects.
Geopolitical Shocks: Russia-Ukraine war disrupted oil, gas, and wheat markets.
Supply Constraints: Years of underinvestment in mining and oil exploration after 2014 downturn.
Population Growth: Rising consumption in India, Africa, and Southeast Asia.
Drivers Against:
Technological Substitution: Recycling, efficiency, and alternatives (e.g., hydrogen, battery innovation) could cap demand.
Climate Policies: Push for decarbonization reduces long-term oil and coal demand.
Economic Uncertainty: Global recession risks, debt crises, and deglobalization trends.
Likely Scenario:
Instead of a broad-based boom like the 2000s, we may see a “green supercycle”—metals (copper, lithium, nickel) rising sharply while fossil fuels face structural decline.
6. The Role of Investors in Commodity Supercycles
Supercycles are not just macroeconomic phenomena—they also attract investors and speculators.
How Investors Play Them:
Futures Contracts: Traders bet on rising/falling commodity prices.
Equities: Buying mining, energy, and agriculture companies.
ETFs & Index Funds: Exposure to commodity baskets.
Hedging: Airlines hedge oil, food companies hedge wheat, etc.
Risks:
Mis-timing cycles leads to heavy losses.
High volatility compared to stocks and bonds.
Political risk in resource-rich countries.
Lessons from History
No Cycle Lasts Forever: Every boom is followed by a bust.
Supply Always Catches Up: High prices incentivize investment, eventually cooling prices.
Policy and Technology Matter: Wars, sanctions, renewables, and discoveries reshape cycles.
Diversification Is Key: Countries and investors relying only on commodities face huge risks.
Conclusion
Global commodity supercycles are among the most powerful forces shaping economies, markets, and geopolitics. From fueling industrial revolutions to triggering financial crises, commodities underpin human progress and conflict alike.
Today, the world may be on the cusp of a new, “green” commodity supercycle driven by decarbonization, electrification, and geopolitical rivalry. Metals like copper, lithium, and nickel may play the role that oil and steel did in past cycles. Yet, history teaches us caution—supercycles generate immense opportunities but also volatility, inequality, and environmental costs.
For policymakers, the challenge is to manage windfalls responsibly. For investors, it is to ride the wave without being crushed by it. And for societies, it is to ensure that the benefits of supercycles support long-term sustainable development rather than short-lived booms and painful busts.
US500Success in forex and stocks comes from a combination of knowledge, discipline, and patience. Understanding market trends, economic factors, and company fundamentals is crucial, but equally important is controlling emotions and sticking to a well-planned strategy. Continuous learning, adapting to changing conditions, and managing risk wisely can turn opportunities into consistent growth over time. Consistency, not luck, separates successful traders from the rest.
SPX Elliott Count. (W3 of 3). S&P 500: Elliott Wave.
Targets:
8,293 then 7,204 finally 9,823.
SPX is currently in sub-wave 5 in W3 of W3. From this point we should see an aggressive push to 8,293 following a pullback then continuation.
Of course. Here is the English translation of the analysis for tOf course. Here is the English translation of the analysis for the US500 (S&P 500 index):
The US500 (S&P 500 Index) is the most authoritative benchmark for gauging the overall health of large-cap U.S. stocks. Covering 11 major sectors, its diversified nature makes it a "barometer" of the U.S. economy. The index is currently trading at all-time highs, driven by a combination of market expectations for Fed rate cuts and the resilience of corporate earnings. It is extremely sensitive to monetary policy; any surprises in inflation (CPI/PCE) or employment data can reshape the interest rate path and trigger a market repricing.
Sector rotation within the index is a key focal point. While the leadership of tech giants remains the main engine for gains, the performance of cyclical sectors like energy, financials, and industrials is crucial for market breadth and sustainability, signaling confidence in an economic "soft landing." From a technical standpoint, the 5,300 area has become a new battleground for bulls and bears. If constituent earnings continue to exceed expectations, the index could consolidate its upward momentum; conversely, it faces pullback pressure in a high-valuation environment.
Looking ahead, the direction of the US500 will be a tug-of-war between "AI-driven earnings growth" and "higher-for-longer interest rates." Investors should pay balanced attention to mega-cap earnings and broad economic data to assess whether the momentum can broaden. Short-term volatility is inevitable, while the long-term trend remains anchored on whether the U.S. economy can avoid a recession.
SPX into the open / Tuesday 16th SeptemberTrend is up.Coming off the boil a tad.Lets see who has control.?
