Trade ideas
GER40 – Bullish Breakout Toward Key ResistanceThe German DAX (GER40) has broken above the 24,470.00 resistance level, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. Buyers are maintaining strong momentum, aiming for the next key target near 25,209.27, with a potential extension toward 25,587.34 if momentum sustains.
Support at: 24,470.00 🔽 / 23,888.55 🔽
Resistance at: 25,209.27 🔼 / 25,587.34 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: While price holds above 24,470.00, buyers could continue driving price toward 25,209.27 and 25,587.34.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 24,470.00 would weaken the bullish structure, exposing 23,888.55 as the next downside target.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,671.00 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,764.14 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Germany 40 Index – Focus on the All-Time HighDespite weaker than expected factory orders (4th monthly fall) and industrial production (3 year low) data from Germany earlier this week, which both unexpectedly fell, highlighting weaker growth prospects and structural issues that urgently need to be addressed to support the country’s key industrial corporates to deal with the impact of US tariffs and competition from China, the Germany 40 index has steadily moved back towards its all-time high of 24648.
In fact, since the end of a disappointing range bound September, the Germany 40 has risen around 800 points or 3.4% as investors look to rotate back into European markets in a search of lower valuations compared to US companies, especially in the technology sector.
Now, in what has been a week light event week, with Q3 earnings about to start, the focus for traders could be whether the technical trends indicate there is enough momentum to push towards new record highs, or whether the recent gains may lead to some profit taking ahead of the Friday close.
Technical Update: Focus on the All Time High
Recent activity in the Germany 40 index has been contained between 23235, the May 23rd session low, and 24648 the July 10th all-time high. The price action within this range has reflected a more balanced tone, with a clear tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
A decisive closing breakout through either boundary may be needed to suggest the next directional move.
As the chart above shows, the most recent price activity since the 23285 September 17th low has seen prices recover, a move that is now testing the important resistance level marked by the July 10th all-time high at 24648.
Traders could well be watching closely to see if this new strength leads to a clear closing upside breakout, or if the range between 23235 and 24648 is to remain intact.
Potential Resistance Levels:
One could argue that having previously attracted sellers and held firm as a ceiling since July 10th, 24648 remains the first key resistance to watch. A closing break above this level might signal renewed bullish momentum and open the door for further upside in price.
While a close above 24648 doesn’t guarantee continued strength, it could encourage further upside attempts.
When in new all-time high territory, pinpointing resistance becomes more difficult, but Fibonacci extension levels can offer useful reference points. These projections can be used to help frame potential resistance levels.
While a successful close above 24648 has yet to materialise, such a break could prompt traders to shift their focus towards 25162, the 38.2% extension or even 25482, which is the 61.8% level.
Possible Support Levels:
Of course, the July 10th high of 24648 currently remains intact on a closing basis and continues to serve as the first possible resistance level, marking the upper boundary of the current sideways range. As such, it may once again prove effective in capping price strength. If this resistance holds, it could see renewed selling pressure, raising the risk of fresh price declines.
As shown in the chart above, the 24273 low from October 6th, represents the last correction low in the current rally and may now act as an initial support. If this level breaks it could signal potential for downside moves towards 24133, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and possibly further to the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 24000.
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DAX break out againDAX held the 24,300 support level we highlighted previous and it has just broken out to a new high on the week and month. It looks like we will get that follow-thru to a new all-time high we were looking for so long as this level now remains intact.
If a new high is made, why stop there? Expectations of more German stimulus continues to drive markets higher. So i wouldn't be surprised if the DAX even reached 25K handle in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DAX Bullish continuation breakout ahead?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Attacking New ATH German DAX is in a very nice recovery, breaking above the corrective channel resistance line, so apparently we are in risk-on mode on this index, which sooner or later could revisit all-time highs. Keep in mind this could already be a fifth wave, but there’s still room for 25,000 or even 25,500. What I really like on the smaller intraday time frame is the strong recovery since October 1st, and notice there’s a gap from October 2nd — these gaps can often act as reversal points, especially once they get filled on the cash market. L
ooking at the cash chart, it seems that gap could still get filled during the current fourth-wave correction, which could be a very nice spot for the market to resume higher toward the previous July 2025 highs. The gap fill could be an important support, while the short-term invalidation level is at 23,834 — as long as this one holds, the intraday trend remains up.
DAX eyes breakout to 25KFollowing last week's powerful rally, the DAX’s overall uptrend remains intact, with this week's consolidation serving as a healthy pause for momentum to reset. As long as short term support around 23,750 holds, any pullbacks could be supported by the bullish traders looking to chase momentum, rather than signs of weakness. Even if the index dips a bit lower, this wouldn't necessarily invalidate the bullish breakout, but ideally the 23800-24000 area will need to hold.
Traders will be watching for indications of renewed upward momentum as the week unfolds. A breakout above the trend resistance of the mini consolidation pattern could pave the way for July high near 24,650, which appears increasingly likely. And above that level, we could see the onset of a rally towards 25,000 and potentially higher.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DAX40 Bullish breakout sideways consolidation supported at 24255The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Review October 7 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
As expected from yesterday’s forecast, the price tested the daily long FVG, after which we received confirmations on the 4H timeframe. At the moment, the price is located within the 4H area of interest, where it has just swept the Asian session low — a strong trigger for a potential continuation of the upward movement. If this liquidity sweep is confirmed, we can then consider opening a long position with the target of updating the previous high.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
Germany 40 – Bearish Outlook with ECB and US CPI in Focus🔥 Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy: Germany 40 CFD Bearish Setup 🚨
Asset: Germany 40 Index CFD (DAX)Trade Type: Swing/Scalping (Bearish Pending Order Plan)Date: September 11, 2025Current Price: 23,632.95 (-0.36% daily change)
💰 The Thief Strategy: Layered Precision for Profits
The Thief Strategy is all about stealing profits with disciplined, layered sell limit orders. By targeting the 23,500 support zone breakout, we capitalize on bearish momentum with precision. This setup is perfect for scalpers and swing traders looking to ride the wave of macro-driven volatility. Set your TradingView alarms to catch the breakout! 🚨
🔹 Why This Works?
Technical Edge: Price rejection at 23,800 + overbought RSI signals a potential drop.
Macro Triggers: ECB policy (11 Sept) and US CPI data could fuel bearish moves.
Sentiment: Fear-driven hedging and sector rotation (defense/energy outperforming tech).
📊 Market Snapshot (11 Sept 2025)
Daily Change: -85.50 (-0.36%)
52-Week Range: 18,382.26 - 24,639.10
1-Year Performance: +29.38%
😨 Sentiment & Fear/Greed Index
Retail Traders: 🟡 Cautious
Mixed earnings: Siemens Energy (+4.57%), Rheinmetall (+3.29%) vs. SAP (-2.87%), Deutsche Telekom (-2.16%).
Eyes on ECB policy and US CPI data.
Institutional Traders: 🟠 Neutral to Slightly Bearish
Defensive moves in chemicals/financials.
Higher put/call ratios in options show hedging.
Fear & Greed Index: Fear
Elevated volatility from ECB/US data uncertainty.
Bonds slightly outperforming stocks short-term.
📉 Fundamental & Macro Score
Economic Data:
German Inflation (Aug 2025): 2.2%
Interest Rate: 2.15%
Unemployment: 6.3%
Score: 6/10 (Neutral)
Corporate Performance:
Top Gainers: Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall
Top Losers: SAP, Deutsche Telekom
Score: 5/10 (Mixed)
Global Risks:
EU tariff pressures (India/China).
French political uncertainty.
Score: 4/10 (Slightly Negative)
🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Short-Term: Bearish
Resistance at 23,800; downside risk if ECB delays rate cuts or US CPI spikes.
Medium-Term: Neutral
YoY +27.76%, but momentum slowing.
Q3 2025 forecast: 23,412.92 (Trading Economics).
🎯 Thief Strategy: Bearish Layering Plan
🔹 Entry (Pending Sell Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 23,650
Layer 2: 23,600
Layer 3: 23,550
Layer 4: 23,500 (Key Breakout Level ⚡)
Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk tolerance. Confirm entry after a 23,500 breakout. Set a TradingView alarm at 23,500 to stay sharp!
🔹 Stop Loss (SL):
Place at 23,750 after breakout confirmation.
Note: Dear Thief OG’s, adjust SL based on your strategy and risk. I’m not your boss—manage your risk, steal the profits! 💸
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
Target 23,300 (strong support + oversold zone + potential bear trap).
Note: Escape with your loot at your discretion. My TP is a guide—take profits at your own risk!
🔹 Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% per trade.
Use trailing stops during high-volatility events (e.g., ECB, US CPI).
Avoid new trades during major news to dodge whipsaws.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 23,800 (immediate), 24,100 (strong).
Support: 23,500 (breakout zone), 23,300 (target), 23,200 (deeper support).
Breakout Confirmation: Daily close below 23,500 signals bearish continuation.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD )
FX:EURUSD ($): Bearish DAX may align with a stronger USD if US CPI surprises. Watch 1.1578 (current), support at 1.1254.
FX:GBPUSD ($): Bullish at 1.3581; DAX drop could pressure GBP on risk-off sentiment.
FX:USDJPY ($): Bearish correction at 144.09; monitor for risk-off flows impacting DAX.
📰 Key Events to Monitor
ECB Announcement (11 Sept): Delayed rate cuts could push DAX lower.
US CPI Data (11 Sept): Higher inflation may trigger global risk-off moves.
Sector Rotation: Defense/energy (e.g., Rheinmetall) outperforming tech (e.g., SAP).
🚀 Why This Setup Steals the Show
The Thief Strategy is built for precision and adaptability. Layered entries at 23,650–23,500 let you exploit the breakout with confidence, backed by macro signals (ECB, US CPI) and technical rejection at 23,800. This setup is designed to maximize engagement and visibility for scalpers and swing traders. Let’s steal those profits together! 💰
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#DAX #Germany40 #ThiefStrategy #Bearish #TradingView #Scalping #SwingTrading #ECB #USCPI
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is testing the top of its sideways trend in a new impulsive phase that looks set to be followed by a breakout. Price is trading at 24,414, significantly above its VWAP of 23,744. The RSI at 66.4 indicates upward momentum. Support lies at 23,057 with resistance at 24,500.
UK 100 has broken out with a fresh leg into record highs, continuing its bullish trajectory. Price is at 9,498, clearly above the VWAP at 9,282. The RSI at 72.4 shows strong momentum, in overbought territory. Support is at 9,072 and resistance aligns with the current price.
Wall Street extends its bullish impulsive phase, reaching new record highs, currently at 46,863. VWAP is at 46,236, affirming the strong trend. The RSI at 71.9 shows overbought conditions. Support is at 45,637 while resistance is untested at these highs.
Brent Crude remains in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,535 just below its VWAP of 6,680. The RSI at 43.0 suggests a lack of buying pressure. Support is at 6,394, while resistance is higher at 6,967.
Gold continues its very strong bullish impulsive run with no signs yet of any major pullback, currently trading at 3,936 and well above its VWAP of 3,760. The RSI at 85.8 indicates extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,576, while resistance is at the current high.
EUR/USD remains range-bound in a neutral trend, trading at 1.1664, just below its VWAP of 1.1749. RSI at 42.7 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1664 with resistance at 1.1850.
GBP/USD stays in a neutral trend and range phase, with price at 1.3422 and VWAP at 1.3491. RSI at 44.8 shows mildly bearish sentiment. Support is at 1.3331 and resistance at 1.3651.
USD/JPY is attempting a breakout of its neutral range phase to set up a new uptrend, trading at 150.33 above its VWAP of 148.11. The RSI at 63.7 indicates bullish momentum building. Support is at 145.99, with resistance at the current level.
Research Shows That Trading Harmonic Pattern Could Improve IQ. Hey everyone, in this video, I broke down a fantastic trading setup on the EUR/USD pair using harmonic patterns. I love trading harmonics because it constantly challenges your IQ and makes you a smarter, more analytical trader.
I focused on my three-step framework that I apply to any pair:
Key Level: First, I identified a crucial order block on the higher time frame (weekly). This is our potential reversal zone.
Harmonic Pattern: Next, I moved to the 4-hour and daily charts to find a harmonic pattern aligned with that key level. I found a beautiful bearish Butterfly pattern. It's crucial to match the pattern with the trend—since the overall structure was bullish, we looked for an extension pattern (like the Butterfly) into the key level, not a retracement pattern.
Liquidity Sweep & Entry: The final step was confirming the setup. We waited for a liquidity sweep (a break of the Previous Daily High - PDH) and then a close below a key bullish candle. Entry is on the retest of that break, with a stop loss placed just above the key level.
I showed how the Fibonacci measurements (the 1.272 and 2.0 extensions) converged perfectly in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), making it a high-probability trade. We also discussed profit targets and how to manage the trade by moving stop losses to maximize profits.
This exact same process is what I've used successfully on pairs like GBP/JPY, USD/JPY, and indices like the German 40. It's a structured, repeatable method that filters out market noise.
If you have any questions, drop them in the comments below! Don't forget to like, subscribe, and watch out for more videos like this.
Happy trading!
DAX: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,374.42 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,546.68 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX INDEX | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market CycleDAX INDEX | Super Cycle Wave (3) In Progress | Micro Wave (iv) Correction Expected | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market Cycle
This macro outlook on the DAX Index (GER40) combines Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Fibonacci Analysis , tracking the long-term price structure from the 1990s into the expected 2029 Super Cycle top .
We are currently nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) , with a correction expected as Micro Wave (iv) before a final leg Wave (v) to complete the 20-year Super Cycle advance.
🌀 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE (Wave Count Recap)
🔵 Supercycle Wave (1)
📈 Topped in 2000
📐 Five-wave impulse from early 90s
💡 Marked the first major peak of the new macro bull cycle
🔴 Super Cycle Wave (2)
🕰 2000–2009
📉 Multi-year W-X-Y complex correction
🔻 Pulled back to 0.618 retracement of Wave (1)
📍 Bottomed Jan–Feb 2009 — Smart Money accumulation zone
🚀 Supercycle Wave (3) — Now in Progress (2009–2029 Target)
This is a multi-decade impulse wave , subdividing into Micro Waves (i) through (v) .
🟠 Micro Wave (i)
🕰 2009–2018
✅ Clean 5-wave impulsive structure
🔓 Broke above Super Cycle Wave (1) high
📊 Confirmed initiation of Wave (3)
🟠 Micro Wave (ii)
🕰 2018–2020 (COVID crash)
🔻 Pulled back to 0.50 retracement of Wave (i)
📦 Retested key order blocks
💧 Liquidity swept beneath 2016–2018 lows
📈 Smart Money reaccumulation before major expansion
🟠 Micro Wave (iii) — Currently Unfolding
🕰 2020 – Expected top by end of 2025 or early 2026
🚀 Strongest wave in the structure
🔼 Targeting 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (i)
🎯 Target zone: 30,941 (~32K)
📊 Multiple internal impulses have formed
🧠 Price delivery:
Consistent BoS
Minimal retracement
No parabolic blow-off yet → confirming institutional flow
🟠 Micro Wave (iv) — Correction Expected Next
🕰 Expected: 2026 to early 2027
🔻 Projected retracement:
0.382 – 0.5 of Wave (iii)
Target zone: 23,350 – 22,165
💧 Confluence with:
Sell-side liquidity pools
Prior OBs and imbalance zones
⚠️ Reaccumulation phase likely before final rally
🟠 Micro Wave (v) — Final Advance to Complete Supercycle Wave (3)
🕰 Expected top by 2029
🎯 Target range: Above 32,000, possibly toward 35,000+ depending on extensions
🔄 Will mark the peak of Supercycle Wave (3)
📉 Anticipate a major correction in Supercycle Wave (4) after that
📐 FIBONACCI LEVELS OF INTEREST
Structure Key Fib Levels
Supercycle (2) 0.618 retracement of (1)
Micro Wave (ii) 0.50 retracement of (i)
Micro Wave (iii) 2.618 extension of (i) → 30,941–32K
Micro Wave (iv) 0.382–0.5 retracement → 23,350–22K
Micro Wave (v) Possible extension to 38K+
🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS (SMC)
🔓 Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed trend shifts at Wave (i), (ii), and internal impulses
📦 Order Blocks respected at retracement zones (2020 low, 2022 correction)
💧 Liquidity Grabs below previous lows fuel impulsive breakouts
🧱 Price Delivery = Institutional — no euphoric parabolas yet
🎯 Expect engineered liquidity sweep before Wave (iv) reaccumulation
📌 CONCLUSION
We are now nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) of the DAX. Price is approaching major extension targets (30,941–32,000), from where Wave (iv) correction is due.
This pullback (2026–2027) is expected to offer high-probability re-accumulation opportunities within a Smart Money demand zone before the final macro rally to new ATHs into 2029.
⚠️ After 2029 , expect a larger Supercycle Wave (4) correction phase.
📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
Breakout Alert! Germany 40 Targeting 25400 – Join the Robbery⚡GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD HEIST PLAN⚡
💸 Thief Trader Robbery Blueprint 💸
🎭 Dear Ladies & Gentleman, my Thief OG’s 🕶️🕵️♂️,
Welcome to another market heist – this time we’re targeting the GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD vault!
🚀 Plan: Bullish Breakout Robbery
The lock is weak around 24,500.0 ⚡ – once that vault door cracks open, we raid in style with layer entries.
🔑 Thief Layer Entry Method:
📍 First entry on breakout @ 24,500.0
📍 Layer extra buy limits @ 24,400.0 / 24,300.0 / 24,200.0 (stack your orders like pro robbers 😈)
👉 You can increase your layers depending on your appetite for stolen cash 💰.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
This is the Thief SL → @ 24,000.0 after breakout confirmation.
📌 Adjust your SL with caution, OG’s, depending on your risk & strategy. Protect the loot at all costs 🏴☠️.
🎯 Target (TP):
⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 25,500.0 🚔🚨
👉 Escape before the sirens – cash out at 25,400.0 and vanish with the bags 🎒💸.
🏆 Thief Trader Reminder
📌 Stick to the layering strategy – multiple entries spread like a thief’s toolkit.
📌 Manage risk like a pro robber – don’t get caught with greedy hands.
📌 Escape clean – profit secured before the market traps you!
🔥💎 Support the Thief Gang by smashing that Boost Button 💥
Let’s keep robbing the markets together – smooth, stylish, and profitable.
Every heist, every day – Thief Trading Style. 🏆🕶️💰🚀






















