NAS100 Buy Entry’s Clean, R:R 2.00 — Setup Locked & Loaded!Hey traders,
Here’s my NAS100 setup based on the 1-hour chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 23998.77
🔴 Stop Loss: 23884.81
🎯 TP1: 24045.42
🎯 TP2: 24097.67
🎯 TP3: 24225.56
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
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NDX trade ideas
US100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling InflationUS100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling Inflation
From our last analysis, indices have continued to rise. The US100 already hit the first target and is now close to the second one.
With the market expecting multiple Fed rate cuts this year, bullish momentum stays strong and shows no clear signs of reversal.
This outlook is also backed by easing inflation data. Still, we should be cautious — since the move has already played out, it may be wise to secure profits before the FOMC meeting.
The US100 could rise further once the outlook becomes clearer, but it may also take some time before reaching new highs.
Next targets: 24,500 and 24,750.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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US100 Hits All-Time HighUS100 Hits All-Time High
Yesterday, US100 reached a new record high at 24040, confirming the strength of its bullish trend.
With U.S. inflation cooling, the market is now expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, possibly starting this cycle and continuing in the months ahead.
Lower rates tend to support stocks and indices, giving the economy room to breathe after a long period of tight monetary policy.
I expect US100 to continue rising toward 24500, with intermediate targets at 24250 and 24500 in the coming week.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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US100 remains in a well-defined uptrendUS100 remains in a well-defined uptrend
After the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points and also sent a message that two more rate cuts could happen this year, all indices broke out in an uptrend.
US100 felt a surge at 23992 during the FOMC meeting as the market was unclear about what was going on and later rallied again.
Price tested the major support area near 23900 where buyers appeared stronger than before pushing the price higher from where US100 easily reached the first and second targets.
After any small pause, I think US100 can rise further to 24750 and 25000.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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NAS100 HL's to HH's...Guaranteed 1While the market continues to make HL's to HH's...I am particularly cautious to enter new buys especially since we are currently trading at HH's and one of the first rules in trading is that you buy low and sell high.
With that in mind, I have given you a history of the market movements that landed us at multiple guaranteed HH's over the past week.
1. Everything looks normal until you got to Thursday's inflation data (indicated by the red dotted areas)
2. That wick still does not sit well with me and In my heart I still believe that we will see a revisit to that point and below before creating the next HL on the on the daily or weekly timeframes.
3. I am also cognizant of the fact that the daily timeframe has made a series of 3 HH's in July, August and currently in September which should not be ignored as this could be the perfect triple top setup for another retracement.
4. Since I have already booked my profits from one of the HH points from last week...there is absolutely no harm in waiting at this point for the market to reveal it's intentions for this week...Mondays, Tuesdays and sometimes Wednesdays are days the market consolidates, retraces and creates volatility before making a major move so patience will be key.
Finally if the trend is HL's to HH's and buyers have gotten their fair share of HH's, it would be silly not to wait for the next HL on the largest timeframe before committing to the next swing trade.
Please note that this is in no way a recommendation to blindly sell the market as you need to monitor your levels closely so you do not get trapped as the bears always do.
The only sure strategy in this scenario is to book your profits on the HH and wait for the next largest HL before buying again.
Have a great week.
HL's to HH's #guaranteed
#oneauberstrategy
#aubernation
FOMC has cleared liquidity levels around this technical rangeNews Drivers do not overpower technicals, the fundamentally driven movements are just banging around into huge money pending orders. No way around these mechanics.
That what we saw today, and what will continue to happen forever and ever 💎 Not saying it will always be a ricochet like today, but the orders are always there.
NASDAQ Approaching a critical +1 year Resistance.Nasdaq (NDX) is close to hitting our 24500 bullish target, which as we explained on our previous analysis represents a +6.78% rise, the technical Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that started back in mid-May.
This pattern is however headed towards a +1 year Resistance level, the Higher Highs trend-line that started on the July 11 2024 High. Technically, we should be expecting a rejection there and pull-back towards at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), if not the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is where an identical Channel Up in 2024 that topped on December 16 2024, found Support at.
Even the 1D RSI sequences among the two patterns look similar. As a result, there are high probabilities to see a short-term correction there, which will in turn fuel the end-of-year rally. Our new medium-term Target is 25000.
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2025 vs 2024 Growth comparison and OutlookPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective
NAS100 - Last Quarter Hype or Abyss?Dear Friends in Trading,
Interesting Read:
investinglive.com
Rate cuts invigorate buying optimism at this time:
1.Investing Institutions are undeterred by "overbought conditions"
2. Will I follow the buying Hype?
3. Marching towards 25000 or a cliff?
4. Am I dragged along into extreme red to maximize annual institutional profits?
5. What does the overbought conditions tell me is the current fair market value?
23700
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space█ Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space
Big moves don’t just “happen”, they happen because either buyers or sellers step aside and let price run.
A liquidity void is what’s left behind when that happens: an area on the chart where price traded with very little volume, leaving a ‘hole’ in market participation.
This is not just another fair value gap. A typical FVG can form on normal volume during strong momentum. A liquidity void specifically signals a displacement under thin conditions, meaning the move was too easy, and price often comes back to check that area later.
█ What Exactly Is a Liquidity Void?
Think of the order book as a ladder of bids and asks. Normally, price moves step by step as orders fill at each level. But when there aren’t enough orders (low liquidity), price jumps levels and that jump is your void.
On a chart, it shows up as:
A large, one-directional candle with very small or no wicks overlapping neighbors.
Little or no volume relative to the move’s size (thin participation).
Price displacement that looks almost “too clean” — no hesitation, just a straight run.
These clues tell you price didn’t just move on heavy buying/selling, it moved through empty space.
⚪ Liquidity Void Detector
Use this free Liquidity Void Detector indicator to spot liquidity voids. It signals when the market makes a relatively sharp move on comparatively low volume, helping you spot these voids in real time.
█ Why Low Volume Matters
⚪ Not All Gaps Are Voids
A fair value gap can form on high participation, think of a breakout candle with heavy volume and institutional backing. That’s an accepted price move.
⚪ Voids Are Different
A liquidity void happens when the market skips prices because there was no one there to trade. It’s an inefficient move that the market often wants to revisit and “fill in” once participation returns.
⚪ Volume as the Filter
When volume is below its own average (or below a trend baseline), it tells you this wasn’t a “healthy” move, it was a thin-book displacement.
█ How Traders Use This
⚪ Mark the Zone
Draw the high and low of the candle(s) that created the void. This is your “inefficiency zone.”
⚪ Wait for the Return
Voids often act like magnets. Price often reverses and retests or fills the void, but it can just as easily slice through the zone once revisited, as thin liquidity offers little resistance.
█ What Research Show
Academic studies on price gaps find that immediate fills are rare, but the probability of fill rises over time. Downward voids (panic selling) fill faster on average than upward voids.
Crypto traders track CME Bitcoin gaps and report over 80–90% eventually get filled, but timing is unpredictable.
Volume-adjusted strategies outperform simple gap-filling because they focus on inefficient moves, not every gap. The key is filtering for thin participation.
█ Bottom Line
Liquidity voids are not just gaps, they are evidence of skipped prices under low participation.
They tell you where price moved “too easily,” leaving behind unfinished business.
Learn to filter for low-volume displacements, mark those zones, and watch how often price comes back to rebalance them. This turns a random candle into a predictive level, one that can guide your mean reversion trades or act as a support/resistance flip in trending markets.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time High
As the chart shows, today the Nasdaq 100 index has, for the first time in history, climbed above the 24,500 level.
According to media reports, bullish sentiment was driven by the long-awaited Fed decision to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025.
Although the Fed also indicated it would remain cautious about further cuts, the easing acted as a bullish catalyst for the entire stock market – European equities also advanced today, with technology companies leading the way.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
When looking at the Nasdaq 100 index within the context of the September rally (highlighted by the blue channel), we note the following:
→ In mid-September, price action reflected market optimism, as the index traded in the upper half of the channel – with resistance at the upper boundary (R) and support at line S.
→ Yesterday’s volatility spike produced a similar move (marked with an arrow) to the one we highlighted in today’s earlier gold analysis, namely a sharp reversal from the lower boundary of the channel (essentially a bullish engulfing pattern, albeit less clear due to volatility and the chosen timeframe).
Following the reversal from the lower boundary, which unfolded aggressively (a sign of bullish conviction), the price advanced steadily, breaking through key levels:
→ the midline of the blue channel;
→ the R2 resistance line shown in red;
→ the former all-time high at 24,165.
Moreover, the index’s behaviour around 24,300 demonstrated the persistence of buyers – the price moved above a cluster of local resistances and then extended its rally.
Bearish view:
→ bullish momentum has pushed the RSI indicator into overbought zone;
→ when attempting to break above the psychological 24,500 level, the price failed to hold, suggesting a false bullish breakout.
Given the above, we could assume that optimism prevails in the market, supported by the Fed’s decision:
→ on the one hand, further gains towards the upper boundary of the blue channel may take place;
→ on the other hand, the market may be overheated and vulnerable to a correction (for instance, back towards the blue midline).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Recession “Announcements” vs. Reality — A Contrarian SignalMost traders anchor their sentiment to the official declarations of a recession. But here’s the catch: by the time policymakers and institutions announce “we are in a recession”, the contraction has almost always run its course.
If you are waiting for an official announcement we are in a recession in order to get out, It will be too late. You will likely be selling to the smart money buying for the eventual rise.
The game is rigged against the novice trader relying on generally available news.
On the chart:
The orange line marks the actual recession periods identified by economic data.
The red background shading highlights when the recession was officially recognized and reported.
Notice the lag: announcements consistently come after the worst is already behind us. Historically, these “recognition windows” line up closer with market bottoms than with tops.
👉 The key takeaway:
When you hear that a recession has been declared, it’s often not a sell signal — it’s closer to a buy signal. By then, the market has already priced in the pain, and recovery is underway.
This perspective flips conventional wisdom on its head: don’t fear the announcement — see it as confirmation that the worst is behind us. And do not wait for it to tell you we are going in to a recession, look at what the smart money is doing, what insiders are doing, what the banks are doing. Many thin that lower interest rates means a boost to business. But they are wrong.
Banks will charge as much as they think the economy can sustain. If Interest rates are rising, they know that business will be doing better. Falling interest rates tells you the banks know they can not get away with charging more and the economy is tanking.
Nasdaq 100 Eyes 24,550–25,050 if Fed Signals Dovish ToneUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
The Nasdaq remains in focus as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s tone on inflation, labor-market weakness, and tariff risks.
Earlier record highs across U.S. indexes were fueled by tech strength and optimism over U.S.–China trade talks, while gold’s surge to new highs underscores strong safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook
📉 Correction phase
Price is expected to retest 24,240 → 24,115 before attempting another bullish leg.
A sustained drop below 24,110 would expose deeper support at 23,870.
📈 Bullish continuation
Holding above 24,240 – 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
Once consolidation is complete, a renewed rally targets 24,550 → 24,800, with a potential extension to 25,050 if the Fed delivers a more dovish message.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,380
Resistance: 24,550 – 24,800 – 25,050
Support: 24,240 – 24,115 – 23,870
📌 Market Context:
A 25 bps Fed cut may offer moderate support for tech-heavy indices, while a more aggressive 50 bps cut could accelerate the next breakout toward fresh ATHs. Conversely, a hawkish tone from Powell could trigger a deeper correction before the next leg higher.
NAS100 - New ATH in Overbought TerritoryDear Friends in Trading,
Overbought - Rising Wedge - Divergence - Be Careful
4HR + 12Hr only touching RSI 70% at this time.
NASDAQ printing new ATH's on Rate Cut Bets
Let me know if anything is unclear.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
USNAS100 Holds Below 24,115 as Fed Rate Decision LoomsUSNAS100 – Overview
Markets are awaiting the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, which will set the tone for the next move:
A 50 bps cut would likely trigger strong bullish momentum.
A 25 bps cut may result in a more moderate reaction.
📉 Bearish scenario: For now, the Nasdaq shows bearish momentum while trading below 24,115, with downside targets at 23,935 → 23,870 → 23,700.
📈 Bullish scenario: A confirmed 1H close above 24,115 would shift bias bullish, opening the way to 24,245 → 24,350.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,115
Resistance: 24,245 – 24,350
Support: 23,940 – 23,870 – 23,700