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NSDQ100 Focus today on key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP)Tech stocks held steady yesterday, with the Nasdaq 100 little changed, as broader markets consolidated near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.003%) and STOXX 600 (+0.21%) both hovered just below their recent peaks, while the 10yr US Treasury yield slipped to a one-year low of 3.96%, supporting equity valuations.
The session’s standout move came from commodities, where gold (-5.3%) and silver (-7.1%) suffered their sharpest single-day declines in years, despite lower yields that would normally support precious metals. The drop appeared to be a technical correction after gold’s exceptional rally this year (+57% YTD).
On the macro front, sentiment was mixed. The US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, now the second longest in history, with few signs of resolution as President Trump urged Senate Republicans to hold firm. Meanwhile, Trump’s comments on trade offered some optimism — he suggested talks with China’s Xi Jinping could produce a “good deal,” though a meeting remains unconfirmed.
In corporate news, Anthropic and Google are reportedly discussing a multi-billion-dollar cloud computing deal, underscoring ongoing AI infrastructure investment — a potential positive for large-cap tech sentiment. Conversely, Apple faced minor headwinds amid reports that its foldable iPad project has hit development delays.
Overall:
The Nasdaq 100 remained stable as investors balanced easing yields, positive AI-sector momentum, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. Focus today will turn to key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP) and macro data for directional cues.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25200
Resistance Level 2: 25350
Resistance Level 3: 25466
Support Level 1: 24700
Support Level 2: 24400
Support Level 3: 24250
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Faces Bearish Correction Below 25,180 After Recent HighsUSNAS100 | Overview
The Nasdaq is showing signs of bearish correction after stabilizing below 25,180, suggesting a potential pullback toward 25,035.
A 1H close below 25,035 would confirm further downside toward 24,960 → 24,860.
On the other hand, stability above 25,035 would support renewed bullish momentum, especially if price breaks 25,230, opening the way toward 25,400 and potentially 25,550.
Pivot Line: 25,180
Support: 25,035 · 24,960 · 24,860
Resistance: 25,300 · 25,400 · 25,550
NAS100 Bullish Trend ContinuationOne of two things will happen for Nasdaq today; we will either get our entries for longs in the current support zone or in demand. The latter seems higher probability.
But either way, the uptrend will resume as price continues to claim new All Time Highs.
If the current support continues to hold throughout NYSE, then perhaps wait for resistance to break and some follow-through to get higher probability entries.
NASDAQ Short There is a lot of resistance, as it is at an all-time high and is unable to break this level
There are 2 patterns on M15 and M30 showing a potential reversal zone
This is against the H4 trend; however, it is overbought on H1
RSI is showing strong divergence with a triple top on H1
Stoploss above 21300
First target 24870 or when M15 is oversold
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED
Study through the consolidation!
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 ForecastUS100 highlights a potential bearish setup forming near a key resistance zone. After a strong recovery toward the 25,150–25,200 region, price action shows signs of rejection at the upper resistance area. The chart illustrates a possible pullback scenario, where the index may retest the 24,800 zone, followed by a deeper move toward the 24,400 support level.
The shaded areas mark supply (resistance) and demand (support) zones, while the trendline break suggests weakening bullish momentum. Overall, the setup signals a potential trend reversal if the price fails to hold above the resistance region.
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US100 on the Edge – Will Bulls Finally Break the All-Time HighZone 1: All-Time High / Major Supply Zone
This area represents the top of the market structure and the current all-time high region. Price has tested this level multiple times, forming a tight consolidation directly beneath it. This behavior indicates strong buying pressure but also clear absorption from sellers. Until the market shows a decisive breakout with volume confirmation, this zone acts as a heavy supply level. Traders should be cautious — breakouts near all-time highs often trigger fake moves before continuation.
Zone 2: Short-Term Demand / Breakout Retest Zone
Zone 2 marks the first layer of demand formed after the most recent breakout attempt. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend structure, suggesting it’s a valid short-term support area. If price remains above this level, the bullish structure remains intact. However, a clean break below Zone 2 would likely open the door for a retracement toward Zone 3.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Breakout Base
This zone represents the base of the breakout — Monday’s low — where buyers aggressively entered and drove price upward through prior resistance. It’s a key liquidity pocket and the foundation of the current move. As long as the market holds above this zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below, however, would signal that momentum has faded and could trigger a deeper correction.
Sentiment
After a strong start to the week, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious optimism. Monday’s momentum carried into Tuesday as easing US–China trade tensions and solid performances from major tech names helped maintain positive sentiment. However, with the index hovering near record highs, investors have turned more selective and defensive.
The broader market tone remains constructive — risk appetite is still present, but confidence is fragile. Many traders are waiting for fresh catalysts from corporate earnings and macro data to confirm whether the recent rally has more room to run. The ongoing US government shutdown continues to cloud visibility, delaying key data releases and adding an element of uncertainty.
Overall, sentiment around the Nas100 is positive but tentative: the market is stable and supported by tech strength and improved trade signals, yet stretched valuations and the lack of new macro clarity keep investors cautious at the top.
20 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPSTUDY!!
WELCOME TO MY ONLINE JOURNAL
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NASDAQ 100 (US100) Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq is moving within a rising channel on the 2H timeframe, after sweeping liquidity from previous lows and rebounding from the FVG 2H demand zone.
The likely scenario is a continuation of the bullish move toward 25,960 – 26,000, aligning with the upper trendline and potential resistance area.
However, a failure to hold above 25,160 may trigger a corrective pullback toward 24,380 before any renewed bullish momentum.
📊 Fundamental Outlook:
The Nasdaq remains supported by stable U.S. bond yields and easing Fed tightening expectations, along with positive earnings from major tech firms.
However, slower growth in parts of the tech sector and upcoming inflation data could temporarily limit further upside momentum.
📅 Short-term Bias: Bullish
🎯 Upside Targets: 25,960 – 26,000
📉 Pullback Target: 24,380
⛔ Invalidation Level: Below 23,990
#US100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
Will the second scenario come true? |October 17 2025Based on the evidence, price action, and fundamental news, it seems the second scenario is about to play out.
The Nasdaq index turned positive after recovering its losses when Trump responded “No” to a question about whether he would maintain the heavy tariffs on China.
From today, my outlook is bullish until the previous high gets hunted — after that, I’ll reassess whether we’re likely to see further downside or if the bullish outlook should remain.
If market conditions shift and a continuation of the downtrend becomes more likely, we can take a solid short position next week to catch the move.
But for now, my bias is bullish, and the second scenario will likely play out.
If price reaches the second high I marked in blue, we’ll probably see a reaction from that zone.
If I open a trade, I’ll share it with you.
NASDAQ/SPX – Are We Really in an AI Bubble?This chart compares NASDAQ to the S&P 500 (NASDAQ/SPX) on a monthly timeframe, visualized with Heikin Ashi candles and a logarithmic regression channel for long-term context. It highlights the dot-com bubble, where the ratio reached extreme overvaluation levels far above the regression mean.
Recently, many investors have been calling the current market an “AI bubble.” However, when viewed through this historical lens, the ratio still remains within the long-term growth channel and far below the excesses of the early 2000s. This perspective suggests that, at least relative to the broader market, tech doesn’t appear to be in bubble territory yet.
It would still be valuable to compare the composition of the NASDAQ today versus in 2000, as the market structure has changed dramatically — with more diversified revenue streams, profitability, and balance sheet strength. Without this data, one can only speculate. But visually, this ratio helps challenge the popular narrative of an ongoing bubble and invites a more nuanced discussion about valuation, innovation cycles, and sector dominance.
#NASDAQ #SPX #Macro #Tech #AIbubble #DotCom #LongTerm #RatioAnalysis #HeikinAshi #MarketCycle
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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