S&P Fibonacci based Accumulation/Distribution rangesFibonacci-Based Zones: The chart is structured around support and resistance zones derived from Fibonacci analysis, providing natural levels for market reaction.
Accumulation Zone: Lower price area (~4,133.94 and above) where buyers show interest and trend reversal is often seeded.
Trading Range: The broad mid-section where price is expected to oscillate, indicating indecision or equilibrium among buyers and sellers.
Distribution Zone: Upper price band near the Goldman Sachs 2025 target, as marked, where profit-taking and seller interest increases.
Potential for Parabolic Move: If price decisively breaks out above the distribution/resistance zone, it could trigger rapid, euphoric buying—a classic market melt-up.
Risk of Downside: Falling below the key Fibonacci support level could prompt a sharp correction,.
Historical Validation: Past price movements respect these zones.
SPTRD trade ideas
Warning: SPX500 May Have Peaked—Here’s What the Charts SayThe S&P 500 (SPX500) may have reached its peak. In this video, I reveal the technical evidence pointing to a potential reversal—including monthly bearish divergence, daily and weekly reversal candles, and confirmation from key indicators.
This isn’t just noise—these signals align across timeframes, suggesting a shift in momentum that could lead to significant downside. I’ll walk you through the charts, explain the implications for traders and investors, and highlight critical support levels to watch.
Thank you for watching and have a great trading week. Cheers!!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 8, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the trading activity of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index exhibited a predominantly bullish trend and is poised to retest the completed Outer Index Rally target of 6420, as outlined in last week’s Daily Chart Analysis. The primary objective now is to target subsequent levels, specifically the next Outer Index Rally target of 6620 and beyond.
It is crucial to recognize that the current price movement may initiate a substantial pullback from the present price action, either before or following the attainment of the Outer Index Rally peak at 6420.
Watching July 31 High and August 1 Low - Key LevelsUS Inflation Next Week (CPI and PPI)
Will August re-test highs with momentum? Or test and fade?
MAGS back to highs.
AAPL has one of the best weeks since 2020's post covid crash recovery (WILD).
I still like long assets, but playing the game with discipline and patience.
Enjoy the weekend. Looking forward to the grind next week.
Thanks for watching!!!
-Chris
S&PS&P 500 waiting for overbought of 240 min. If it pass 6427 net resistance is about 6615. at this resistance there is a chance to drop 1 oversold of timeframe 240 min. however, it is on a long up trend, which the mid period target is 6952 (2-4 months). however, during this period it may go direcly to 6952 or down for 1 oversold of timeframe day or 240 min is OK. Note that the very importance supporting line,which should not be lower is at 4841. if it not fall below this point. S&P still on the uptrend.
This V-Pattern on SPX500 Is Stupid CleanHey, it’s Skeptic.
In this video, I’m breaking down a clean V-pattern setup on SPX500 — right in line with what I taught in yesterday’s educational post.
We’re starting from the Daily time frame and walking through the logic behind my long trigger, why the previous fakeout was actually useful, and how to set your stop-loss depending on your trading style (H4 vs 15min).
This isn’t just chart talk — it’s about reading the story behind the candles.
If it helped you see things clearer, give it a boost and drop your thoughts below.
Let’s keep learning — one trap at a time.
Until next time, peace out.
📌 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
SPX500 at Key Pivot – Bearish Below 6365, Bullish AboveSPX500 – Market Overview
U.S. stock index futures rose on Friday after President Donald Trump’s temporary pick for a Federal Reserve governor boosted expectations for a more dovish central bank board.
Technical Outlook
Stability below 6365, we expect a move down toward 6341.
A 1H close below 6321 would likely extend the bearish trend toward 6301.
A 1H close above 6365 could trigger a push toward 6389.
A confirmed break above 6389 would shift the bias to bullish, targeting 6425 and 6453.
Pivot Line: 6365
Resistance: 6389 – 6425 – 6453
Support: 6341 – 6321 – 6301
Activation of the rounded pattern? Or a trend reversal?In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the price was at a decision point — and it made its decision, managing to move up slightly before returning to the bottom of the channel.
Now, at the end of the channel, a pattern has formed. We need to see whether it gets activated or turns out to be a fake.
If the pattern fails (turns out fake), the bullish trend could continue more strongly.
S&P 500 extends drop - can dip buyers come to rescue again?After a decent rally earlier in the day, the major indices and futures started to ease off around mid-morning London trade, before easing further lower in the last couple of hours.
At the time of writing, the S&P was testing its session lows. Here it was probing support and a short-term bullish trend line in the 6319-6331 range. This area needs to hold to keep the bulls happy and in charge. Break this and we could see a bigger correction in the days ahead.
Resistance now comes in at 6372 followed by 6,400.
By Fawad Razaqzada, markets analyst with FOREX>com
US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup.
Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone.
Key Support Levels:
6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls).
6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs).
Resistance Levels:
6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance).
6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown).
6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes).
Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback.
Key Fundamentals:
Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment.
Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities.
Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing.
Risks:
Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities.
Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling.
Key Events:
US CPI and PPI.
Fed speeches and rate expectations.
Earnings reports from key US companies.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
SPX500 - what's next?Further to my previous idea on SPX.
SPX respected the Resistance at FR 161.8 at 6400.
Price went down and reverted form SMA200 (4H)
Now price has completed the Perfect Gartley Pattern and reached point D.
If (against fundamentals) price reverts down from there and breaks down through SMA50 (4h), I will consider it as Bearish Validation and I will expect correction movement, which cen go down to ca 6000.
Just my humble opinion
S&P bullish continuation supported at 6340Tariff Turmoil and Geopolitical Shifts – Implications for S&P 500 Trading
Donald Trump's sweeping new tariffs officially took effect, hitting nearly all U.S. trading partners. Switzerland, facing the steepest rates among developed nations, may retaliate by cancelling a major fighter jet purchase, signaling potential defense-sector implications.
Key developments:
Semiconductor imports to face 100% tariffs, unless production is moved onshore – a bullish signal for domestic chipmakers (e.g., Intel, GlobalFoundries) but negative for firms reliant on overseas fabs.
Additional tariffs floated on China over purchases of Russian oil, echoing similar penalties on India – suggesting growing fragmentation in global trade.
Market impact:
S&P 500 sectors likely affected:
Tech (Semis): Tariff pressure may weigh on multinationals like Nvidia or AMD short term, but benefit domestic fabs and U.S.-based supply chains.
Industrials/Defense: Swiss retaliation could ripple through defense contractors if deals are halted.
Energy/Commodities: Any China-Russia oil tensions could lead to energy volatility, affecting names like ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips.
Meanwhile, China’s exports unexpectedly rose, softening the blow from the U.S. tariff crackdown. Chinese equity gains could calm broader EM sentiment, helping mitigate global risk-off contagion.
Finally, Trump signaled potential peace talks with Putin and Zelenskiy, with the Kremlin confirming a Putin meeting soon. A diplomatic breakthrough could ease geopolitical risk, supporting investor sentiment and equities globally.
Bottom Line for S&P 500:
Expect sector rotation as traders digest tariff fallout. Watch for:
Strength in domestically focused tech and defense stocks
Caution around globally exposed industrials and semis
Short-term volatility tied to trade rhetoric and geopolitical headlines
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6437
Resistance Level 2: 6480
Resistance Level 3: 6520
Support Level 1: 6340
Support Level 2: 6295
Support Level 3: 6256
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P 500 Futures Hold Ground After Tariffs Take EffectS&P 500 Futures Rise After New Tariffs Kick In
President Trump's sweeping tariffs officially took effect just after midnight, escalating trade tensions with dozens of countries. While negotiations are ongoing behind the scenes to secure exemptions and reduce tariff rates, market reactions are already underway.
Technical Outlook
S&P 500 Futures continue to show bullish momentum as long as price trades above 6289, with the potential to retest the All-Time High (ATH).
To confirm a move toward 6453, price must close above 6437 on the 1H chart.
🔻 However, if the price stabilizes below 6389, a correction toward 6365 becomes more likely.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: 6424 – 6453
🔹 Support: 6365 – 6341
SPY Pull back into another earnings week?An engulfing weekly candle is no joke. Sellers are in control.
There is a strong possibility of a pull back and with bias being short, I am looking for a strong LH on the 1/2HR TF to form at 6330 as 50% or 6370- 6375 near the weekly POC.
Confluences for Pull back scenario
- Price bounced off 38.2% fib from 5930 to ATH
- Price found support at 200 ema on 4HR
- 1 HR MACD is building up bullish signal
Have a great week all!