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S&P 500 Ascending Triangle Breakout SetupThe S&P 500 index is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern, with strong support along the rising trendline. Price action suggests bullish momentum building towards a potential breakout above the resistance zone, targeting higher levels if confirmed 1. Previous Trend: Strong bullish rally before the current consolidation phase, indicating momentum is on the buyers’ side. 2. Pattern Formation: Horizontal resistance around 6,418–6,420 (marked by the grey line). Rising support trendline connecting higher lows, showing buying pressure is increasing. 3. Volume (Not Shown Here): If volume is decreasing inside the triangle and expected to spike on breakout, it supports a bullish case. 4. Breakout Expectation: A confirmed close above 6,420 with strong volume could trigger a rally towards the next target zone of 6,470–6,500. The arrow drawn on your chart aligns with this possible breakout scenario. 5. Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below the rising trendline (~6,360), the bullish pattern would be invalidated, potentially pushing price back to 6,300–6,280.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by TRADE_WITH_VISION
S&P500 awaits US CPI data capped by 6437US equities were little changed Monday. Nvidia (-0.35%) and AMD (-0.28%) slipped after agreeing to pay 15% of Chinese AI chip sales revenue to the US government in exchange for export licenses — a deal Trump confirmed, adding he may allow a scaled-down Blackwell chip to be sold in China. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell -0.13%, cushioned by Intel (+3.51%) after its CEO met with Trump. The Mag-7 (-0.09%) saw slight outperformance, led by Tesla (+2.85%). Trump extended the US–China tariff truce by 90 days to November 10, keeping additional tariffs at 30%. China matched the extension. The Fed chair search now includes vice chairs Bowman and Jefferson, plus Dallas Fed President Logan. Trump appointed EJ Antoni (Heritage Foundation) to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Markets await today’s US CPI, which could influence Fed rate-cut bets, while gold traders look for clarity after Trump said gold imports won’t be tariffed. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6437 Resistance Level 2: 6480 Resistance Level 3: 6520 Support Level 1: 6340 Support Level 2: 6295 Support Level 3: 6256 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX Sells 8/12Sells on SPX made sense because both 4h and 1h candles are currently Bearish, smaller timeframe structure was making LLs and LHs. Liquidity built right before 7am. The 1h hour actually showed the Unicorn setup, which is why I wait until Tuesdays to enter the market. The long upside wick ran the stops and closed below, Price broke structure and left imbalance. It did not fill it all the way. I am getting better at watching the Liquidity set up first and then sweep. Also need to train my eyes to see the Bullish or Bearish orderflow.
FX:SPX500
by Chamira
1
SPX500 | CPI Day Volatility – Key Level at 6389SPX500 Overview Today’s market is expected to be highly volatile with the release of U.S. CPI data. The forecast is 2.8%, higher than the previous reading, indicating inflation remains elevated. A result above 2.8% would likely support a bearish trend for indices, while a figure below expectations could trigger bullish momentum. Technical Outlook: As long as the price trades below 6389, the downside targets are 6365, then 6341, and 6321. A 1H close above 6389 would shift momentum bullish toward 6425. Support: 6365, 6341, 6321 Resistance: 6404, 6425, 6438
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Quants vs Humans: Wall Street’s Cold War By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades A silent battle is being fought on Wall Street between humans and machines. Quants — algorithmic traders who operate by following trends — are showing a level of optimism not seen since January 2020, according to Deutsche Bank AG (Ticker AT:DBK.GE). In contrast, “flesh and blood” managers have reduced their equity exposure to modestly underweight levels, pressured by the risk of new Trump tariffs, weaker-than-expected economic growth, and corporate earnings that remain unconvincing. The S&P 500 has risen nearly 30% since April, bringing systematic long positions to their highest level in four years. Goldman Sachs (Ticker AT:GS.US) reports that Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) now control about $50 billion in U.S. equities, placing them in the 92nd percentile of historical exposure. Such an extreme positioning has not been seen since periods preceding major market moves. Deutsche Bank was among the first to warn about this divergence between quantitative and discretionary trading: while trend-following models keep adding positions, manually managed portfolios are prioritizing capital protection. Goldman Sachs, for its part, offers the clearest risk assessment: aggressive accumulation by CTAs leaves the market highly exposed to feedback-driven moves. And UBS Group AG (Ticker AT:UBSG.CH) warns that if the S&P 500 falls just 4.5% to 6,100 points, these systems could trigger massive selling, creating a domino effect that would accelerate the correction. The backdrop adds more tension: the VIX volatility index remains around 15 points, its lowest level since February. This apparent calm acts like a stretched rubber band ready to snap. In the event of a sharp pullback, discretionary managers might step in to “buy the dip” and prevent a deeper sell-off, yet the sense that the market is approaching a top is becoming increasingly tangible. Technical Analysis – S&P 500 The index maintains an underlying bullish structure, but with overbought signals on daily and weekly charts. Currently, the RSI shows mild overbought conditions at 58.7%, while the MACD indicates a bearish divergence and a red histogram with low volume — a sign of possible price consolidation. • Key resistance: 6,442.76 points, the recent all-time high and a psychological ceiling that could halt further gains if quantitative momentum fades. • Intermediate support: 6,204 points, where short-term moving averages converge with previous consolidation areas. • Critical support: 6,060 points, identified by the Point of Control (POC) as the threshold for triggering massive algorithmic selling; a break below this level could open the door to declines toward 5,950 or 5,908 points. As long as 6,060 holds, the primary trend still favors the bulls. However, the high concentration of systematic long positions suggests that any correction could be swift and violent, forcing traders to react quickly. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Long
by ActivTrades
SPX500 Based on the provided 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX500), here is a brief summary and outlook. The SPX500 has been in a clear uptrend, as indicated by the trend channel and a series of higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently facing resistance near the 6,450 level, where a recent high was made before a pullback. The chart also highlights several key support zones, with the most immediate one being around the 6,290 level. The chart illustrates a potential scenario where the price consolidates or pulls back from the current resistance. The orange arrow depicts a possible movement where the price could retrace towards the immediate support level around 6,290 before finding buyers. From this support, the expectation is for the uptrend to resume, with the price aiming to break through the resistance at 6,450. A successful breakout would open the path towards the upper boundary of the trend channel, with a target set around 6,600. The key expectation is a continuation of the overall bullish trend after a potential short-term dip. Traders should look for the price to hold above the support at 6,290 for a long entry opportunity. A break below this support would be a bearish signal, but as long as the price stays within the trend channel, the overall bias remains bullish. The final target for this move is projected to be around the 6,600 level, which aligns with the trend channel's upper boundary.
FX:SPX500Long
by bsloba83
S&P500 Channel Up going straight to 6670.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up since the May 12 candle. All of this time, it has been supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and as long as it holds, the new Bullish Leg is expected. The last two rose by +7.06%, and ahead of a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross, that gives us a medium-term Target of 6670. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500FULong
by TradingShot
Are you loosing money?....... Please Read.I’ve shared this chart previously, but I’ve just given it another update......... This is pure simplicity. If the price is above the moving averages, it's a good opportunity to trade. Did it close under any moving average? Step back and wait. Stop trying to call tops or bottoms. Stop day trading crypto and FX. Stop attempting to master Elliot wave theory or ICT. Concentrate on a single market, US stocks, align with the trend, and capitalise on a tested advantage. STOCKS WANT TO GO UP!!!!!! Another advantage- Utilise a tax-advantaged account (IRA, ISA), try spread betting, or leverage an ETP (like 5xSPY). Keep it  simple, follow the trend. It does'nt have to be complicated.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Long
by TrendFlowTrader
SPX500 | Holding Above Key Pivot – Path to New ATH or Pullback?SPX500 Overview S&P 500 futures are up 0.2% early Monday, with traders preparing for a week filled with key economic events. While tariff concerns remain in the background, market focus is firmly on upcoming U.S. inflation and retail sales data. Technical Outlook: The price has stabilized above 6389, indicating the potential for the bullish trend to extend toward 6425. A breakout above this level could lead to a new all-time high. Conversely, a 1H close below 6389 would signal a potential bearish move toward 6365. Resistance: 6413, 6425, 6442 Support: 6365, 6341, 6321
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX: awaits inflation data Regardless of concerns regarding the future effects of implemented trade tariffs by the U.S. Administration, the positive sentiment continued to hold on the U.S. equity markets during the previous week. The S&P 500 closed the week at the level of 6.389, surging by 2,4% for the week. The index is slowly nearing its all time highest level, achieved on 31st July, at the level of 6.426. Friday's rally was for one more time led by tech companies. Shares of Apple gained around 13% for the week, after the company announced its significant investments of $600B within the next four years in the U.S. Analysts are calling this deal as “appease” to the U.S. President, who on several occasions expressed his wish that IPhones are made in the U.S.A. As per comments made by Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, “the final assembly that you focus on, that will be elsewhere for a while”, meaning that the production of IPhones is still not going to be done in the U.S.A. Nevertheless, markets reacted positively to Cook's meeting with the U.S. President, especially taking into account a heavy burden of tariffs, which the U.S. President announced to be 100% on chip imports. Considering current market sensitivity on inflation data, the week ahead might bring some major testing for the U.S. equity markets, as July inflation data are scheduled for a release. Analysts are noting that any surprises in the inflation figures might imply a correction in the value of US companies, especially after a significant surge during the last four months.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Dot Com Crash CorrelationThe following is a fractal of the lead up to the Dot Com crash, and the aftermath. It correlates extremely well with the current landscape. The TLDR is that if history repeats and we break the trendline, we'll form a blow off top in 2026 and crash spectacularly in 2027 (I'm guessing around May, a common dump month). If everyone is calling for the crash now, it means it's not over yet. It's time to face the music. AI isn't profitable, it's an excuse to fire workers with high salaries. When there is no one left to fire and productivity/quality drops the answer will be clear: A program that is wrong 20% of the time is completely useless. The errors are a feature, not a bug, the AI can not work without hallucinating and hallucinating causes errors. Look it up if you don't believe me Fundamentals: -Rate cuts will keep this alive long enough to form a blow off top -Extreme uncertainty from tariffs to manufacturing can account for that mid term drop -AI Companies holding up the market make 0 net profit and have no realistic plans to make ROI -The vast majority of AI companies have not made ROI -Generative AI costs more to run than it makes. By their own very flawed estimate, OpenAI will take over 10 years to break even. In related news, snapchat just made ROI and they were founded in 2011, their stock is down 90%.
SP:SPXLong
by PoorMemory
2
Big CorrectionThe S&P index. The chart shows the potential end of the final rally from the 2009 low. Currently, with this rally from the recent 4,800 low, we are still in a correction period that will end in late October (highs and lows are irrelevant), & We have a date coming up in August so let's see what happens there. After this period, we will have a rally combined with uncertainty and unjustified speculative movements (bubble) that could take us to the final peak, which I expect in 2026. This remains a possibility, but don't base your trades on it. However, caution is often good.
SP:SPXShort
by mmj50
3
SPX500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISSPX500 has broken above the recent range, reclaiming the 6,351.41 resistance. Price is now pushing into the 6,380.00 zone, with buyers showing control after a strong recovery from the 6,222.46 low. Support at: 6,351.41 🔽 | 6,324.08 | 6,296.93 Resistance at: 6,380.00 🔼 | 6,409.21 | 6,438.44 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: Sustained trading above 6,351.41 opens the door toward 6,409.21 and higher. 🔽 Bearish: A close back below 6,351.41 may trigger a retest of 6,324.08 and 6,296.93. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500
by SPOT_FX