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Race Wave Analysis – 22 July 2025 - Race reversed from long-term resistance level 505.00 - Likely to fall to support level 480.00 Race recently reversed down from the strong long-term resistance level 505.00, which has been reversing the price from the start of 2025, as can be seen below. The resistance level 505.00 was strengthened by the upper daily and weekly Bollinger Bands. Given the strength of the resistance level 505.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Race can be expected to fall to the next support level 480.00.
NYSE:RACEShort
by FxProGlobal
Is Ferrari's stock still bullish?Is Ferrari's stock still bullish? Technical Outlook Elliot Wave theory suggests a cautious bullish stance. The present correction seems to be a temporary setback, likely driven by guidance and tariff fears, but sets the stage for a potential rally to $520-$540 if support is not broken. However, risks of a deeper correction (i.e., to $420-$440) persist if pressures from the outside intensify. The stock is currently trading above all three of its major EMA levels — daily, weekly, and monthly — that is a good technical signal. The rising daily EMA at 479.98 suggests that short-run momentum remains healthy. The weekly EMA at 461.77 provides medium-term support, while the monthly EMA at 421.08 supports the longer-term trend solidly. Positive Sentiment Factors Ferrari reported robust Q1 2025 results, with net revenues of €1.79 billion (up 13% YoY), an operating profit of €542 million (up 22.7%), and a net profit of €412 million (up 17%). Adjusted earnings per share were €2.30, surpassing analyst expectations of €2.28. This shows Ferrari’s strong pricing power and demand for personalized vehicles. Analyst Sentiment: Optimism remains for Ferrari among some analysts. UBS raised its price target to $560 from $520, maintaining a Buy rating, with the new Ferrari Elettrica a major catalyst, the company said. Bernstein and RBC Capital maintained Outperform ratings on the stock at $575 and €500, respectively. Barclays upgraded Ferrari to Overweight, calling it a "safe haven" in a shaky European automotive environment. Brand Strength and Strategic Positioning: Ferrari’s luxury brand and high demand for models like the Roma Spider, 296 GTS, SF90 XX, and Purosangue bolster its market position. Neutral Sentiment Factors Market and Industry Context: The broader market has been volatile due to trade developments and tariff relief rallies. Ferrari’s stock has been influenced by these macroeconomic factors, but its luxury positioning makes it less sensitive than mass-market automakers. Formula 1 Performance: Ferrari’s underwhelming Formula 1 season, with McLaren significantly outscoring Ferrari in points poses some concern among investors. While this does not directly impact stock performance, it may indirectly affect brand sentiment among enthusiasts. Negative Sentiment Factors Tariff Concerns: Ferrari shares have been sensitive to Trump's U.S. tariff policies. A tariff increase would add up to $50,000 to the price of an average Ferrari, potentially cutting sales volumes in the U.S., which accounts for 28.8% of net sales. JPMorgan warned that tariff impacts might be "worse" for Ferrari, lowering the price target to $460 from $525 Conclusion Ferrari stock has a bullish but cautious bias, supported by solid fundamentals, favorable technical momentum, and positive analyst sentiment on upcoming product releases such as the Ferrari Elettrica. Macro risks, however, including U.S. trade policy and market volatility, are still major overhangs.
NYSE:RACELong
by alfredwhite
RACE Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025- RACE reversed from round resistance level 500.00 - Likely to fall to support level 460.00 RACE earlier reversed from the strong resistance area between the major round resistance level 500.00 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of 2024) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The last time the price reversed down from the resistance level 500.00 it formed the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal Evening Star – signalling the strength of this resistance level. Given the overbought reading on the weekly Stochastic indicator, RACE can be expected to fall to the next support level 460.00.
NYSE:RACEShort
by FxProGlobal
Ferrari Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025 - Ferrari reversed from round resistance level 500.00 - Likely to fall support level 440.00 Ferrari recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the round resistance level 500.00 (previous yearly high from 2024) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone is likely to form the weekly Evening Star Doji – if the price closes this week near the current levels. Given the strength of the resistance level 500.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Ferrari can be expected to fall to the next support level 440.00.
NYSE:RACEShort
by FxProGlobal
Ferrari Is Looking Ready To RaceThat's right, a bad play on puns... I'm not even a dad yet lol. Momentum is favoring RACE big time. It is setting up for a really strong pullback. Touch of the Keltner channel Gap up from earnings (earnings drift in our favor) Anti setting up on the MACD Momentum on MACD daily and weekly in our favor Bears are trying hard if Friday's bar is reversed, look for strong price action to the upside Strong weekly momentum on last weeks bar This is as good as it gets for a set up!
NYSE:RACELong
by JoeRodTrades
RACE (Ferrari) – Quality has its PriceMIL:RACE has a technically interesting setup that also fits well with the weekly setup that I presented a few weeks ago. The current consolidation has once again reached the lower zone and should find support from here one more time. Recently, a significant bounce was achieved from here several times. In addition, Ferrari is moving at the daily SMA 200 line and has bounced upwards from this (as well as from the horizontal support). In the 4h chart we see a nice RSI divergence as well as a breakout from a falling wedge. Both bullish signals. Fundamentally, Ferrari is not cheap, but quality has its price. The backlog extends years into the future, the pre-order lists are full to bursting, the line-up presented is technically flawless and in demand and the cash flow is immense. In addition, the company is still family-owned (which secures the share price) and the current F1 season with Hamilton and Leclerc as the team should also be interesting. We are initially targeting the area around EUR 438 and then the previous ATH at EUR 457. This results in an ROI of 10%. Should the daily closing price fall below EUR 400, the trade would be disqualified and closed. Target zones 438 EUR 457 EUR Support Zones 400 EUR
MIL:RACELong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Ferrari - Don't Miss Out on 50% ROI!Very strong setup here. Ferrari respects the SMA200 for years and did touch the SMA200 and bounce from it. It also respected the current trendline and the SMA200 and trendline bounce did happen at the 23rd Fib retrace level. Very bullish setup. -- 🐂 Trade Idea: Long - RACE 🔥 Account Risk: 20.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Stock 🔍 Entry: +/- 426,00 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 390,00 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 600.00 (50%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — Ferrari is a super strong brand. Backlog is huge and current waiting time is measured in years not months. Luxury stocks were punished during the last months because of fear of growth and a weak consumer but Ferrari is somewhat else. Misconceptions regarding shipments and China are putting pressure on Ferrari's shares since the third-quarter announcement. Nevertheless, the shipments' decline is a result of an ERP transition, and the reduction in China is intentional. Don't forget, people who buy Ferraris do not care about inflation or the economic situation of a country. Also, you can't lease a Ferrari, you can only buy it. This gives the manufacturer a strong cashflow. In addition, Ferrari's unique market position, strong brand, and prudent management justify its high valuation and promise market-beating returns. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
MIL:RACELong
by LGNDRY-Capital
RACE (Ferrari N.V.) BUY TF M15 TP = 479.50On the M15 chart the trend started on Oct.3. (linear regression channel). There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 479.50 This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.” Using a trailing stop is also a good idea! Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you! Good luck! Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
NYSE:RACELong
by WeBelieveInTrading
Can a Prancing Horse Outrun an Electric Future?In the ever-evolving landscape of luxury automobiles, Ferrari stands as a beacon of innovation and exclusivity. The recent upgrade from J.P. Morgan, elevating Ferrari's status from "Neutral" to "Overweight," underscores the company's resilience and strategic prowess in navigating complex market dynamics. This vote of confidence, coupled with a substantial increase in the price target to $525, reflects Ferrari's unique position in the luxury sector and its ability to maintain growth even in the face of global economic challenges. At the heart of Ferrari's success lies a paradoxical strategy that defies conventional wisdom: deliberately producing fewer cars than the market demands. This approach, rooted in the vision of founder Enzo Ferrari, has cultivated an environment of perpetual desire and scarcity. With a staggering backlog of 24 to 30 months, Ferrari has not only engineered exceptional vehicles but has also orchestrated an "underappreciated cultural evolution" within the company. This disciplined approach to growth, combined with the power to command premium prices, provides unparalleled visibility into future earnings and sets Ferrari apart from its luxury peers. As the automotive industry races towards electrification, Ferrari is poised to redefine the boundaries of performance and sustainability. The company's foray into the electric vehicle market, promising an "incredible driving experience" that remains true to the Ferrari ethos, demonstrates its commitment to innovation while preserving its core values. However, this journey is not without obstacles. Ferrari must navigate challenges such as an ongoing investigation into its chairman and the conclusion of a key partnership with Santander. Yet, with strong financial performance, positive investor sentiment, and a clear strategic vision, Ferrari appears well-equipped to maintain its pole position in the luxury automotive market, promising a future as thrilling and exclusive as its storied past.
NYSE:RACELong
by MorMedia
A 420 bet on RaceFerrari has been under my radar for a while now and it's finally giving me the chance to own and trade some shares. After a correction pattern on the weekly and daily charts, price on MIL:RACE has been consolidating around 410 and 225 without re-testing the 375-350 area, this flat price action on MIL:RACE for the last 160 days shows me bullish strength and a high probability for a long pattern to play out on significant time frames. A position has been opened with a 6% Stop Loss 👀
NYSE:RACELong
by CryptoMaister
Ferrari: Extended fifths and the case for a topFerrari has undergone a relentless bull market since February of 2016. With new all-time highs seemingly every day, it is hard to think the stock may be vulnerable to a move that could see it lose 30% or more of its value, but the count would suggest the RACE may be coming to an end. The wave count in RACE is rather clear and unambiguous. Price has developed what appears to be a mature impulse wave from its 2016 low to its current highs. Waves {1}, {3}, and {5} all subdivide into clear "fives" and waves {2} and {4} subdivide into clear "threes". What is notable about this wave count is the fact that wave {3} is shorter than wave {1} coupled with the fact that wave (5) of {5} appears to be "extended". One of the main rules of wave development in impulse waves is that wave three cannot be the shortest wave. When you encounter a situation where the third wave of an impulse is shorter than the first wave, you can identify the maximum limit the fifth wave can travel by measuring the length of the third wave and projecting it off the low of the fourth wave. Since wave three cannot be the shortest wave and wave three is still shorter than wave one, wave five must not be longer than wave three in order to satisfy the rule. With this in mind, we can set our upper limit to 498, where wave {5} would become longer than wave {3}. If we observe the development of wave {5} from its starting point in June of 2022, we can see it has developed in a straightforward manner with clear and clean subdivisions. We can see that wave (5) of {5} has also subdivided into a clear five-wave pattern as price accelerates towards new all-time highs. However, there are cracks showing in the foundation. Wave (5) of {5} has developed whats called an "extension". An extension occurs when waves 1,3, or 5 of an impulse develop with exaggerated subdivsions that can sometimes be larger than the waves of the one larger degree of which they are apart. Extensions that occur in the fifth (and final) wave of an impulse are useful to identify because the guidelines of wave formation specifically identify behaviour that is unique to the termination of an extended fifth. The guideline explains that following the completion of an extended fifth wave, price will often retrace to at least the second wave low of the same degree in what is usually a sharp move. That puts our minimum downside target at 330.54 but it is likely to only be a rest stop on the way towards more significant levels such as the wave (4) low at 285 and the wave {4} low at 167.45. The cherry on top is the wave 4 of (5) of {5} triangle pattern. Ive discussed and displayed the terminal nature of the triangle in my writing before and this pattern is no different. Triangles always precede the final move of the trend of the same degree. In this case, it forebodes the impending completion of three degrees of fifth waves in what is likely to be a swift reversal through 412 towards 330 and 285.
NYSE:RACEShort
by PhiWaveCapital
Ferrari Reported an Increase in Core Earnings Stock Down 0.61%Ferrari reported a 13% increase in core earnings in the first quarter of 2021, but its shares fell as the luxury sports car maker failed to excite investors. The Italian company said its quarterly results were boosted by pricing power, the mix of product sales, and a greater contribution from personalized vehicles. It also cited rising deliveries of its 2 million euro ($2.2 million) limited-series Daytona SP3 model. CEO Benedetto Vigna said Ferrari ( NYSE:RACE ) had produced double-digit growth for both revenue and profits despite stable car deliveries. The company's adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) reached 605 million euros in January-March, in line with analyst expectations. However, shipment fell by seven units to 3,560, dragged by a 20% drop in the China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan region. Ferrari confirmed its forecast for full-year adjusted EBITDA to increase to at least 2.45 billion euros in 2024. The company's net revenues of Euro 1,585 million, up 10.9% versus the prior year, with total shipments of 3,560 units $1flat versus Q1 2023. Adjusted EBIT(1) of Euro 442 million, up 14.8% versus the prior year, with adjusted EBIT(1) margin of 27.9%. Adjusted net profit of Euro 352 million and adjusted diluted EPS(1) at Euro 1.95 were up 12.7% versus the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA(1) margin of 38.2%. The product portfolio in the quarter included nine internal combustion engine (ICE) models and four hybrid engine models, which represented 54% and 46% of total shipments, respectively. Revenues from Cars and spare parts were Euro 1,382 million, up 11.4% or 13.5% at constant currency(1). Sponsorship, commercial, and brand revenues reached Euro 145 million, up 11.6% or 12.0% at constant currency(1) attributable to new sponsorships, partially offset by lower Formula 1 ranking in 2023 vs. 2022. Other revenues were flat, with higher revenues from financial services activities offset by the decreased contribution from the Maserati contract which expired in 2023. Currency had a negative net impact of Euro 26 million, mostly related to the Chinese Yuan, Japanese Yen, and US Dollar. Q1 2024 Adjusted EBITDA reached Euro 605 million, up 12.7% versus the prior year and with an Adjusted EBITDA(1) margin of 38.2%. Industrial free cash flow for the quarter was strong at Euro 321 million, driven by the increased Adjusted EBITDA, partially offset by capital expenditures of Euro 195 million and the increase in working capital, provisions, and other of Euro 71 million. As of March 31, 2024, the company was in a Net Industrial Cash position of Euro 38 million for the first time, compared to Net Industrial Debt of Euro 99 million as of December 31, 2023, also reflecting share repurchases of Euro 136 million.
NYSE:RACE
by DEXWireNews
RACE is about to rise once again The NYSE:RACE stock closed the reverse head and shoulders move in early December and was drawn down to the support line, where it crossed the moving average (with some resistance from the sellers as it is seen on the graph that the downside trend has flattered after that cross). There's a support line hovering at $333 but before that 18% growth following the last earnings report, the stock was in a downtrend for a year (noticeably the ups and downs correlated with AMEX:SPY moves). Right now the stock is consolidating, but it could go up lifted by the general market sentiment, especially given that the ISM PMI data print of 47.4 beat the consensus estimate. Set a stop-loss order at $328.
NYSE:RACELong
by barneysimps_on