I have been working on two different studies on my website. It has taken me some time but, it has been worth it so far. I am able to frame the daily volatility ranges using previous VIX closes. Then once the 90 minute range closes I can frame a moving range that helps me stay on the right side of the market. Today, I called the low of the market range at 12:30 EST.
Al Brook's states that on the E-Mini S&P500 after the first 90 minutes, we have a 90% chance of seeing the high or low of the day. I dug through the data myself from 6-28-2024 to 5-17-2024. Below (and in the video) is what I found. First, I changed my timeframe to 90 minutes to make this task super easy. Then recorded all the of the 90 minute ranges within an...
I didn't take any trades but, I think that was for the best.
Chopped out pretty good today. I was going to work on better focus and not make dumb mistakes. Staying disciplined is key and I haven't been that lately.
Very distracted today but, also still not feeling. The market was tough today but, I still left money on the table. Need to ensure I am at my best when I trading.
Such a great trading day today. I was wish I was feeling well enough to have traded this morning. A ton of setups providing great entries with great risk to reward.
Very fun trading day with a lot of action in both directions. I was able to win 4 trades even though I lost 3. I also missed a couple trades but, you can't take them all. In this video, I covered the price action throughout the day within a 1 minute chart. I spent time highlighting the trades that I did take and the thought process behind them.
With markets weak overall, NASDAQ:WYNN is one of the few stock showing strength. I have my doubts but the reward to risk ratio is just sooooooo juicy. I might get long on WYNN.
With a massive pullback making its way back to our levels we see overlapping monthly order block and seasonality shaping up to make this trade a banger (even if the AMEX:SPY decides to take a dump on us).
NFLX has be grinding higher with gorgeous pullbacks for a llllloooooonnnnnnngggggg time now. In this idea, I explain my thought behind this particular pullback and suggest a possible alternative. I don't think this setup is worth taking unless market dynamics change.
In this trade idea I explain what I am looking for in $NYSE:UBER. The top channel is hit and next we just need to wait for a deeper pullback so that we can enter with a health 3+:1 RR.
The spreads are whack on ACN but, I took out a credit spread with my 1:1 risk at 3% of my account. I am just looking for the spread to expire worthless so the spreads shouldn't effect me much.
This is bit longer term and I took a short to downside using a credit spread. The trapped buyers should have gotten out with some cash or at least breakeven.
I had AMD on my Anti watchlist but, after it failed to push higher it broke a new low. This caused a bearish imbalance and setup us up for a pullback in the downward direction.
It took a while the overall market was determining its direction last week. These positions including JPM are now starting to play out nicely.
After a little turbulence, we are now about to hit our target on JPM. The vertical spread I took out is about to pay out a 1:1 and depending on the movement here, I might look to get a 2:1 out of the options.
I still regret not taking that awesome set up in KDP but, this is giving me those vibes and I really think it is worth a long. I am looking to put my risk a 1/4 of the ATR below the most recent swing low. Shooting for a 1:1.
After an Anti played out perfectly we are now followed up by a pullback setup in ORCL. The NQ as a whole has been losing momentum so I think this trade sets up well with the current state of the market as well. I will look for a 0 line entry or a second entry short to get me into this trade.