Trade ideas
Alibaba Trade Plan (March April Challange)In this one we are doing basics, and is basicaly a strategy where we are prepared to a Bearish Breakout that is flagged by a bearish RSI divergence, but we are also prepared for a bullish turn where the price is going to the suport and then the resistance literaly the basic that every trader knows.
BABA technicalsBABA is overextended still, so I'm expecting a pull back to $105 eventually. However, it's been overextended for 2 weeks, so I wouldn't expect a down move immediately. Also, CCP can pump BABA up whenever it wants to at will. Nevertheless, from a technical analysis, pi RSI is over bought with a bearish cross signal, TTCATR levels leave BABA with little upside reward left and short-term options data is neutral put / call ratio, but longer term it's bullish.
SMA200 = $92
VWMA 20 TTCATR(beta):
top = $123
R3 = $118
R2 = $114
R1 = $109
pivot = $105
S1 = $100
S2 = $96
S3 = $91
bottom = $87
1/27/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 23,905
Call Volume Total 29,004
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.82
Put Open Interest Total 51,892
Call Open Interest Total 55,178
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
2/17/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 6,017
Call Volume Total 10,336
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.58
Put Open Interest Total 62,817
Call Open Interest Total 100,126
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.63
Bulls defending critical suport zoneIf bulls defend successfully 85 zone I can see another 40% pump.
* ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐๐๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ. ๐๐น๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐๐๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ต.
BABA AnalysisPrice played out nicely as analyzed last week, giving us a -4.68% move within the bullish POI. Price is showing signs of change of character on the lower timeframe. If price breaks above 92.92, we could potentially see a bullish retracement into the bearish POI at 104.52. If invalids the current bullish POI, then it's going to potentially head towards the bullish POI at 78.85.
ALIBABA ($BABA): Technical Analysis on daily chartHi everyone!
The main trend of $BABA is bearish on the daily chart, but most of the bearish momentum has already been worked on by the market. Having said that, even in the short term I remain bearish at least up to the support area, from there I cannot exclude some Reversal Pattern (see chart below). If this happens, an update to this analysis will be necessary because before trying to take a long position I want to wait for at least one clear signal (for example, an impulsive structure on the hourly chart).
POTENTIAL REVERSAL PATTERN
If we look at the Daily Chart, the support area could turn into something like a Right Shoulder of a potential "Inverted Head & Shoulders".
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BIG $BABA HnS Swing Position IdeaSupport in gray box isnt only valid support.
Generally just looking for the next shoulder to form, but this might already be a good entry area.
This would be a beautiful HnS and the breakout could take us far.
Keep a lookout for where else the shoulder may form, break gray bos and shoulder can still form lower, hard invalidation is if we get new lows below 'head'.
9988|Alibaba Wave Projection | Bullish Divergence - Rebound?Price action and chart pattern trading - Minor downtrend ending diagonal pattern with MACD bullish divergence
> A possible wave 4.3 minor downtrend wave at the lower support 0.786 extension of wave 4.1 and upcoming rebound wave 4.4 to 0.382 - 0.5 fibonacci retraced from wave 4.3.
> Target upside +10 - 12% while downside is -6%, RRR: 1.5:1
> The final downtrend wave 5 could be slightly below Target H&S zone.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss, nothing is 100%
BABA weekly chart make or breakOn the weekly chart, BABA is currently forming a bullish reversal pattern known as an inverted head and shoulders. However, it is also at a critical support level that needs to hold if the bulls want to continue the uptrend. The $85-$89 range has been a strong support and resistance area in the past and needs to act as support now to propel BABA higher. On the bearish side, the January high was a lower high, which could be interpreted as a bear pullback with targets around the previous low or even lower.
Furthermore, the increasing volume on the last week's big drop is more bearish than bullish, and the price is below all major moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
Although the RSI has cooled down and is ready to go up again, the MACD green ticks are ticking lower while the MACD line is turning, and it seems to be on the verge of crossing below the signal line.
Overall: BABA is in a situation where the bulls need to step in, or the stock will experience further pain in the coming weeks or months. The price is currently at a crucial support level, and it needs to hold to initiate an uptrend and possibly trigger the inverted head and shoulders pattern. If the price breaks above the January high, it would confirm the pattern as there is a neckline.
However, if buyers do not step in and sellers continue to sell, the stock will experience a bearish pullback, and it may drop to lower levels. Additionally, $60 is a significant low from 2015, 2016, and 2023, and it should act as a support level. If this level does not hold, BABA may test the all-time low (ATL).






















