Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NVD trade ideas
Nvidia, possible correction?I'm not presently invested in nvidia, but present this as possible deep value entries.
Looking at elliot wave and fib levels, I would expect to see a 3-3-5 correction with a double top and bottom at either .618 $72 or .786 at $44.
After a bottom is found then expect a short accumulation period of 3 higher highs then a mark up in price.
I usually always leave out time a bias, but in this case with the upcoming fomc meeting in September, I could see this correction happening and finishing fast.
Obviously, if these deep value targets are met, I will realign my portfolio to heavy in nvidia.
Certainly Uncertain - How Much Confirmation Do You Need?So ... you have what looks like a set up.
"Just one more bar"
"Just wait for the close"
"Wait for this indicator to align"
"Watch for the next to align"
"Ensure this filter shows ‘green lights go’"
But by the time everything lines up
The move has gone.
The horse has bolted
You fumble to enter - all fingers and thumbs
You ‘feel’ like you’re chasing
Perhaps the moment has passed.
Flummoxed - you wonder - what the heck happened here?
Feel familiar?
The search for absolute certainty shows up in subtle ways:
Emotions:
Anxiety builds. A conflict between wanting to act and restraining the impulse. Applying self control with will … but the body and mind unsettled.
Thoughts:
Endless “what if” scenarios.
What if I miss it.
What if it goes without me
What if I just try and get ahead of this at a better price
Physical Cues:
Tension rises in the body showing up as a hand hovering over the mouse, heart rate climbing - eyes fixated on the screens, backside glued to the seat (for fear of missing it).
If you’ve ever experienced this, you may recognise it as feeling cautious or disciplined.
In the pursuit of being disciplined and true to your rules you feel out of alignment and hesitant.
Markets are uncertain by nature.
If we choose to engage with uncertainty, then surely the job is to create a sense of certainty within ourselves.
The question is how do you do this currently?
A coping mechanism that might help:
Breathe.
Centering your breath is one of the most under rated and effective ways to calm ones nervous system.
Reframe your entry as a probability, not a verdict.
Before you click, remind yourself: This trade doesn’t have to be certain, it just has to meet my criteria. Then execute and let the outcome be data - not proof of your worth. Adopt the mantra… ‘ This is one trade in a 1000’
Cultivate the state of certainty in uncertain environments one trade at a time.
You wanna bet against NVDA? Go ahead. Not me, though.This is now my 7th idea for NVDA. It's been a while, and I don't really know why. I guess maybe it seems tiresome posting ideas about the same stocks over and over again. But you know what isn't tiresome? Making money on those same stocks over and over again.
The yellow circles represent the entries for my previous ideas. Those trades were made during one of the worst 4 month stretches for NVDA in a LONG time. It lost about 19% for buy and holders during that time. I won't make you go back and data mine the results of my trades in that span. Here are all 12 lots I traded in those 6 ideas:
+8.1% in 6 trading days
+9.90% in 5 trading days
+14.50% in 3 trading days
+4.89% in 1 trading day
+0.74% in 1 trading day
+0.50% in 1 trading day
+1.80% in 1 trading day
+2.30% in 2 trading days
+3.40% in 1 trading day
+8.80% in 1 trading day
+2.60% in 9 trading days
+12.31% in 4 trading days
I trade equal dollar lot sizes so those 12 trades produced a total non-compunded return of just under +70% WHILE the stock was falling 19%. That's not self-promotion, that's a prelude to what comes next.
I'm not afraid of the stock dropping from here. If I was, I would not make the trade. The reality is that the way I trade actually works better when stocks move sideways or are falling than when they are in strong uptrends. Since April, my algo has only generated 5 signals on NVDA. I've only traded 2 of them before this, but all 5 are marked with white arrows. Add those to the ones from previous ideas and we are looking at a total gain of +92% or so since November.
While the most recent signal prior to this one is a loser SO FAR, it actually presents a better opportunity. Historically, the returns on the 2nd entry (adding to an existing trade) are MUCH better than the initial entry returns. Luckily, I didn't trade that most recent signal, so I get to try to grab more juice with less squeeze.
I won't lie, if employment falters after that inflation read we got today, it could be the beginning of a rough period for stocks. But I also know that virtually nobody can predict macro with any degree of success, least of all me. I'd also rather hitch my wagon to NVDA than to the vast majority of stocks in a generally overpriced market.
Add to all that the fact that they are pulling in over $500m a DAY in revenues, roughly 50% more than a year ago - and Wall St. is sad about that, apparently.
The stock also is resting RIGHT on near term support and there is more close by, which makes me take this trade enthusiastically. A word of caution, though. If the whole market goes down, NVDA will too and that could lengthen the time it takes to close here. I only trade the stock, so time isn't really an issue for me. For someone trading short dated options, it would be a disaster if this runs for a while.
My long entry price is 174.18 at the close today. I can and will add to the position tactically if good opportunities present themselves and I will update this idea whenever I add or sell lots.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NVDA IS A SELL+++ $136.25 targetNVDA tends to retrace to .5 and .618 fib on each previous correction before making another bull run. We are also on an exhausted Eliot Wave impulsive number 5 overextended. Dont get suckered into the bounces until the selling has been exhausted to the downside. It should bounce off $152.98 support before resuming lower
Its all SO overvalued. This always happens...With all the macro news in the world, I think with the first rate cut around sept 17th the market tops and we will see a huge bearmarket coming 2-3 years. Also look at the 2/10y yieldcurve that is almost at the same point when the GFC started in 2008. P/E ratio's are nuts, creditcard debts are at ATH, layoffs started due to AI that will go exponential in the coming years. Be careful buying the dips..
Nvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings ReleaseNvidia (NVDA) Shows Bearish Signs After Earnings Release
On Wednesday, Nvidia published a fairly strong quarterly report:
→ Revenue for the second quarter came in at $46.74 billion (record), up 56% compared with the same period last year;
→ Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.05, a 54% year-on-year increase and above analysts’ expectations of $1.01–$1.02.
However, in the Data Centre segment (closely watched by the market), results fell slightly short of Wall Street forecasts, which may suggest a slowdown in capital flows into AI infrastructure. This factor could explain why Nvidia (NVDA) underperformed the index later in the week: for instance, the S&P 500 hit a record high on Thursday, while NVDA closed lower.
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) chart
Six days ago, we:
→ Drew an upward channel (shown in blue), capturing NVDA’s price swings after the bullish surge at the end of June;
→ Highlighted the importance of support at $170 and resistance at $183.
Indeed, $183 looks like a solid barrier:
→ The numbers (1, 2, 3) mark failed attempts by the bulls to break through this resistance, giving grounds to view the chart in the context of a triple top pattern.
→ The third peak only slightly exceeds the previous highs, which resembles a bull trap and the Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) pattern in Richard Wyckoff’s methodology, signalling the prospect of lower prices. A bearish gap the following day (shown by the red arrow) and a weak Friday close underline the bears’ aggression.
Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may try to keep the price within the channel, relying on support at its lower boundary. Yet the mentioned signals suggest that the bears are intensifying pressure. If we see only a weak rebound from the lower boundary at the start of September, the current channel could be at risk. In the event of a bearish breakout, a move down to test the $170 support could happen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVIDIA to $900? That’s what an AI debate tool just told meSo I stumbled on this AI tool named "AI Debate" that analyzes stocks.
At first, I tried Apple and Microsoft — the results were solid, very thorough, but nothing shocking.
Then I plugged in NVIDIA.
And the “AI experts” came back saying that at current levels, there’s still a 4–5x upside. From around $180 to a target above $900.
My jaw dropped. Honestly, it feels unbelievable.
But here’s the thing: I kinda trust this more than random human “gurus” with agendas. At least the AI is pulling fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and laying it out objectively — no one is pumping their own bags.
Can I try buying some NVDA?
Or can you break down where the AI analysis might be flawed?
Below is the evidence:
Analysis log:
AI Warren Buffett:
NVIDIA is a remarkable company with outstanding profitability and growth—its return on equity is over 115%, net margins exceed 50%, and revenue is growing at a blistering pace. The business is financially sound, with a strong balance sheet and ample free cash flow. If you look at the numbers alone, it’s easy to see why so many investors are excited. However, as I’ve often said, 'Price is what you pay, value is what you get.' At a P/E of 58 and a price-to-book over 50, you’re paying a very steep price for future growth. This is a classic case where the business is excellent, but the stock may be ahead of itself. If growth slows even a little, the stock could face a sharp correction. I generally avoid technology companies outside my circle of competence, but NVIDIA’s dominance in AI chips gives it a real, though possibly temporary, moat. For investors with a high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon, it may be worth a small position, but I would insist on a significant margin of safety. My target price is based on a discounted cash flow approach, assuming continued strong growth but building in a 25% margin of safety. The 12-month target price range is $650 (conservative) to $800 (reasonable), with $900 as an optimistic scenario if growth persists. At current prices, caution is warranted—sometimes the best thing to do is wait for a better pitch.
AI Peter Lynch:
When you look at NVIDIA, you’re staring at a company that’s firing on all cylinders—profitability, growth, and financial health are all top-notch. I mean, a 115% ROE and net margins over 50%? That’s the kind of stuff you dream about as an investor. Revenue is up nearly 70% year-over-year, and earnings are still growing at a healthy clip. The balance sheet is rock solid, with a current ratio of 3.46 and manageable debt. If you’re looking for a company with a great story, just look around: AI, gaming, data centers—NVIDIA’s chips are everywhere, and if my kids are talking about it, you know it’s mainstream. But here’s the rub: the valuation is sky-high. A P/E of 58, P/B over 50, and P/S close to 30? That’s a lot of future growth baked into the price. The PEG ratio is well above 1, so you’re not getting a bargain here. This isn’t the kind of stock you buy for a quick double; you’re betting on NVIDIA becoming even more dominant in the years ahead. The technicals are still bullish, but momentum is cooling off, and the social buzz is pretty quiet—maybe folks are waiting to see if the next earnings report justifies the price. So, is this a ten-bagger from here? Probably not, given the current valuation. But if you’re a growth investor with a strong stomach for volatility, NVIDIA’s fundamentals make it a compelling long-term hold. Just don’t expect a smooth ride, and be ready for some bumps if the market decides the price is too rich. Target Price Logic: With a forward EPS estimate of around $20 and a more reasonable growth-adjusted P/E of 40 (still a premium, but justified by leadership in AI and data centers), the 12-month target price comes to about $800. That’s factoring in continued strong growth, but not assuming another explosive year like the last one. If growth slows or the market re-rates tech stocks, downside risk is real.
AI Cathie Wood:
NVIDIA is the quintessential example of a company at the forefront of disruptive innovation, driving the AI revolution and transforming industries from data centers to autonomous vehicles. Its GPU and AI accelerator technologies are not only powering exponential growth in cloud computing and generative AI, but also expanding the total addressable market (TAM) into trillion-dollar territory as enterprises and governments race to adopt AI infrastructure. The company's fundamentals are outstanding: ROE at 115.5%, net margin at 51.7%, and revenue growth of 69.2% YoY signal a rare combination of profitability and hypergrowth. NVIDIA's R&D intensity and relentless innovation pipeline have created a technological moat that is widening as AI adoption accelerates globally. Over a 5-10 year horizon, we see NVIDIA capturing a disproportionate share of the expanding AI and accelerated computing markets, with potential for TAM expansion as new applications emerge. However, the current valuation is extremely rich (P/E 58, P/S 29.5), reflecting high expectations and introducing volatility risk if growth decelerates. While short-term technicals and muted sentiment suggest caution, the long-term exponential growth trajectory remains intact. Our 12-month target price is derived from a forward EV/Revenue multiple of 30x on projected FY2026 revenues, reflecting continued AI adoption and market leadership, but we emphasize the need for risk management given the premium pricing.
$NVDA The Vanguard Coils-Gathers Fuel for its Next AscentTraders, when the General pauses, we look to the Vanguard for clues. NASDAQ:NVDA has been a quintessential market leader, a rocket ship charting a course through clear skies. Its current price action is a critical piece of the puzzle for where the entire market may be headed next.
The Technical Landscape
The strength in this chart is undeniable. It is the definition of a stock in a powerful uptrend.
Relative Strength: NASDAQ:NVDA has consistently outperformed the broader market, making it a key barometer of risk appetite.
Current Pattern: The rocket ship is refueling. Price is consolidating in an exceptionally tight and orderly pattern right below the $182 resistance level. Critically, volume has been declining during this coil—a classic sign that sellers are scarce and the next move is likely to be upward.
Key Support: The launchpad for this consolidation is the support level around $170 . This area must hold for the immediate bullish structure to remain intact.
The Philosophy
Strength begets strength. In the market, this is a fundamental truth. To bet against an asset displaying such clear and persistent power is a low-probability endeavor. The current coil is not a topping pattern; it's a continuation pattern in waiting. It's the moment of calm before the engines reignite.
While the broader market takes a breath, leaders like NASDAQ:NVDA often complete their rest cycle first. How this pattern resolves will provide a powerful clue about the market's true intentions. We do not predict; we observe and align ourselves with demonstrated power.
An Illustrative Setup
The trade thesis is born from this powerful consolidation:
The Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $182 on increased volume is the signal that the refueling is complete and the next leg of the ascent has begun.
The Warning Signal: A failure to hold the $170 support would indicate a temporary mechanical issue, suggesting a deeper pullback is required before the journey can continue.
Watch the leader. It will often show the way.
Remember to just shine!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NVDA \$200C→ Big Move Loading?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Setup | \$200 Call 🎯 (High Risk / High Reward)
📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT**
* **Ticker**: NVDA
* **Direction**: 📈 CALL (LONG)
* **Strike**: \$200
* **Entry Price**: \$1.44
* **Profit Target**: \$2.16 (50% gain)
* **Stop Loss**: \$0.58 (40% risk)
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-29
* **Confidence**: 65%
* **Timing**: Enter at Open
* **Signal Time**: 2025-08-23 11:11 EDT
---
### 🔎 Market Analysis
✅ **Weekly RSI**: 87.2 (RISING → Strong Bullish)
⚠️ **Daily RSI**: 63.3 (FALLING → Short-term caution)
📉 **Volume**: 0.9x last week (Weak confirmation)
🔥 **Options Flow**: Calls 617k vs. Puts 383k → **1.61 ratio (Bullish Bias)**
---
### 📈 Bias & Strategy
* **Overall Sentiment**: **Moderate Bullish** 🚀
* Bullish institutions loading Calls → supports upside.
* Weak daily momentum + low volume = ⚠️ caution.
* High gamma risk → manage tight with stop loss.
🏷 **Tags**:
\#NVDA #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #WeeklyOptions #TradingView #StockMarket #EarningsPlay #MomentumTrading #OptionsFlow #GammaRisk
Nvidia plummets ~3% afterhours! Buy the dip or sell the rally?Nvidia delivered another strong quarter, beating expectations on both revenue and EPS. However, shares dropped after hours to around $175, as data centre revenue narrowly missed forecasts and China sales remained absent due to regulatory uncertainty.
Technically, if NVDA breaks below $175, bears may target the $170 double bottom support in a dead-cat-bounce fashion, with a risk of further downside if that level fails. However, if the stock holds above $179 and reclaims $185, bulls could see a rally toward $193 and potentially $220 in the medium term, which could still materialise after a short-term decline toward $170.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NVDA - Short for ShorttermNVDA shows double resistance around $185. Price is going flat and double on resistance. Price is also far away from 200 EMA on Day TF and it must meet in near future. There will some slowness on stock movement and retracement will take it towards 200 EMA on D TF. Short term short price target of $150
NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System🚨 NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System
Summary :
NVIDIA just shook the market a little. When NVDA moves, the whole AI sector reacts. Here’s why the levels on the chart matter, and how I’m playing it.
Idea :
NVIDIA is not just another stock, it’s the heartbeat of the AI trade. When it shows weakness, the entire sector gets nervous. The marked zone on the chart can work as a first entry , while the blue support below is a stronger area if price dips further.
But here’s the risk : losing those levels would put NVDA in trouble, and that’s when AI stocks across the board could follow.
Why does NVDA matter so much?
• It’s the leader of the AI narrative.
• Its valuation is sky-high, which means expectations are huge.
• Competition is catching up (AMD, Intel, even custom chips from big tech).
So, do we stay long?
Yes, trend is still bullish, just like with Bitcoin. But that doesn’t mean we go all in. Better to stay long with caution, clear stop levels, and exit plans ready.
Conclusion :
NVDA is basically the canary in the coal mine for AI. If it keeps flying, the sector stays strong. If it falls, the warning is clear. Trade it with respect!!
NVDA is going down for a while ...NVDA is continuing downward. I have the target as being around middle of October or later.
I used the Heikin Ashi candles:
1: They show more of a directional movement.
2: They tend to filter out the market noise, so you can see the direction better.
3: it reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4: And it also gives a smoother appearance making it easier to see the trends and reversals.
My stops are:
1) the high of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 green Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 red daily Heikin Ashi candlesticks before entering which it has shown as of today.
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them.
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
If you look at the weekly indicators, they are bearish already which shows a longer term directional movement.
Trade at your own risk, make sure you have stops in place and only use 10% of your trading account, so that if you are wrong, you will not blow up your account.
Happy trading!
NVDA eyes on $183.72 again: Golden Genesis Fib about to Break? NVDA looks ready for a break out to new highs.
Beating against the Golden Genesis at $183.72
Looking for a Break-n-Run, maybe no retest even.
$195.01 is first target and should be quick.
$201.51 is next target maybe after a dip.
$177.82 is high support for bulls to hold.
.
Previous analysis that gave EXACT Shorts from this Fib:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Clear downtrend $NVDA! It's only the largest company in the world and holds about 8% of the entire US stock market! Nothing to worry about that it's break key technical indicators and showing a clear downtrend. Again, it's probably nothing that it's overvalued and has a very concentration of 2-3 customers that make-up most of their revenue. The UltraShort signal supports this. Remember that September it typically a bad month for the market and really bad things happen! When in doubt, sell and stay cash friendly! You don't want to be holding a bag and praying that things go up. Hope is NOT a strategy!
NVDA $182 Weekly CALL Setup – Cheap Premium, Big Upside?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Trade Idea (2025-09-03)
### 📊 Multi-Model Recap
* **Daily RSI**: 📉 34.3 (weak)
* **Weekly RSI**: 🔻 73.2 (falling)
* **Volume**: +1.3x → institutional distribution signs
* **Options Flow**: 🔥 C/P = 1.96 (bullish skew)
* **Gamma/Theta**: ⚡ High risk (2 DTE)
👉 Models Split:
* 🐻 Bearish: Claude, Gemini → favor \$165 PUT
* 🐂 Bullish: Llama, Grok → favor \$175 CALL
* 😶 Neutral/No Trade: Claude (low confidence)
---
### 🧭 Consensus Read
* Price & volume = bearish ⚠️
* Options flow & VIX = bullish 📈
* Net: **Mixed bias → tactical bullish bounce possible**
---
### ✅ Trade Setup (Viral Play)
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 175,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"entry_price": 0.68,
"profit_target": 1.36,
"stop_loss": 0.34,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"entry_timing": "market open"
}
```
---
### 🎯 Trade Details
* 📌 **Strike**: \$182 CALL
* 💵 **Entry**: 0.68 (ask, open)
* 🎯 **Target**: 1.36 (+100%)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 0.34 (-50%)
* 📅 **Expiry**: Sep 5 (2 DTE)
* 📈 **Confidence**: 65%
* ⏰ **Hold Policy**: Close by Thu EOD (don’t ride Friday gamma bomb)
---
⚠️ **Risks**:
* 2 DTE = 🔥 high gamma / fast theta decay
* Divergent signals → whipsaws possible
* Tight stop discipline required 🚨