Nvidia - The correction just started!💉Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is now heading lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just recently, Nvidia once again retested the major rising channel resistance trendline. Together with November's bearish engulfing candle, Nvidia is slowly shifting bearish. And before Nvidia will retest the next major support area, we can see a drop of another -15%.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Trade ideas
NVDA vs AVGO: The Battle for the AI Throne Has Begun⚡A New Leader Emerges in the Semiconductors
For years, NVDA was the undisputed titan — the gravitational center of the semiconductor universe.
But now, the geometry tells a different story.
THE CHARTS 📐
Both charts use the same natural scaling:
1° of time = $1 of price per unit.
And here’s the critical observation:
NVDA has broken beneath its 1° angle.
AVGO has recaptured and accelerated above its 1° angle.
AVGO has already made new all-time highs.
During a semiconductor correction.
While SMH was down.
While the S&P 500 retraced.
The real question still remains however, are we still in the early innings of the AI Boom?
SMH — The Semiconductor Supercycle Update
The Structure That Defines the AI Era🏛️
The 2023–2027 channel is the master structure for this entire semiconductor cycle.
SMH bounced precisely where the primary and secondary angles intersect.
🚀 Market Knots — Speed & Acceleration Confirm the Turn
Speed found support precisely at the median line around 126 Market Knots — the natural mid-energy band where major long-term advances restart.
Acceleration appears to have:
🔻spiked,
📉bottomed, and
is now curling upward.
Poised to turn positive
The measurements point to a weekly bottom and another wave higher in this semiconductor cycle fueled by AI growth.
The Leadership Rotation🏅 (The Baton Moment)
AVGO is emerging as the structural leader of the AI supercycle.
It has already demonstrated exceptional strength:
holding its 1° angle, breaking into new all-time highs, and accelerating while the rest of the semiconductor sector underperformed.
This behavior is not random.
It reflects Broadcom’s unique position at the infrastructure core of AI — the networking, switching, optical, and custom ASIC layer that becomes the bottleneck after GPUs.
As the semiconductor supercycle builds, AVGO steps forward as the defining leader of the AI boom
Are we going to the Moon with NVDA?Analysis breakdown based on your 15M, 4H, 30W, 6M, and 4H Pyth chart stack:
15M + 4H (Top Left & Bottom Left)
Price is coiling in a tight consolidation range between ~$177.08 and $179.99 ( yellow zone).
This oval region circled on the 15M is a classic compression pattern—looks like it's building energy for a breakout.
It's sitting just under the Neckline at $184.55, which aligns with historical resistance.
Implication: If this flag or range resolves bullish, it could trigger a rapid move to test that neckline (short-term target zone).
Weekly (30W) & Biannual (6M) – Top Middle/Right
These candles are inside the key yellow structure block as well.
The current price is reacting off the bottom of my yellow box, now pressing into the midpoint of the structure.
And why this stands out is the biannual candle (6M) shows a potential reversal candle forming off support—rare signal at this TF if confirmed.
Price targets
1st $184.55 (Neckline) High (structure alignment)
2nd $195–200 (gap fill above neckline) Medium
3rd $212.19 (Magnet Zone / Prev High)
I need to see some momentum happing THIS MONTH and for the looks of it price is looking like its gearing up and ready .
Let's buy nvidiaMine is a purely technical analysis that is supported by multiple factors: we can first notice in the daily timeframe that Nvidia is squeezing through this descending triangle creating a slight downtrend, retracing by about 15% from the historical high and arriving in an area of particular importance that in recent months has acted as a very important support, as we can see from the arrow. The price also tried to break the resistance looking for a further decline but failing to do so, it ended up closing the day's candle with enormous lower weakness as can be seen in the yellow area, finally arriving at the point of interest where we can notice the structural change in h4 and the break, now for 5 days, of the descending triangle.
Nvidia - Now is the time to go short!💣Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is now creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of days ago, Nvidia perfectly retested a major resistance trendline. Always in the past, such a retest was followed by a major move towards the downside. Therefore, Nvidia is preparing for a major drop, which could lead to another -25% drop in the future.
📝Levels to watch:
$180 and $140 and $100
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Market Conditions are the Cycle of a Bull or Bear MarketEverything you are learning is beneficial to your trading so long as the information is factual and accurate and NOT hype, scams, fraud, misinformation or manipulative information.
One way to determine if what you are learning is accurate or not is to understand the CYCLEs of the Bull Market and Bear market which are entirely different.
A Great Bull Market is all about new technologies that will and are displacing old technology and are disruptive forces for the older companies whose once new technology is aging and out of date.
Bull Markets have 6 primary market conditions. Each market condition is unique in how you trade that with your trading style, how you find stocks to trade, risk inherent in that market condition and profit opportunities.
We are in the early years of a Great Bull Market. Bull Markets do not just go upward. Retracements, Short Term Corrections, and Intermediate Trend corrections and Flash Crashes, occur periodically when the price of a stock is too far above the fundamental level for that stock. This impacts the indexes.
If a correction causes a sudden collapse of the stock price to be below the fundamental level which is a horizontal price level, then Dark Pools will start bargain hunting and buy the stock to move it back into their Buy Zone.
Sub $100 Incoming?Textbook UTAD • LPSY Formation • Bearish Divergence on 3D QQQ Trend
📌 Overview
NVDA is showing a complete Wyckoff Distribution across all major timeframes. The Monthlys last major push has been extremely weak volume, The Weekly chart printed a clean UTAD, the Daily/3D shows a fractal UTAD, and the 3-Day QQQ trend reveals a bearish divergence by closing above its last swing, while NVDA closed below — confirming supply dominance.
This combination strongly suggests NVDA is transitioning from Phase C → Phase D, with markdown likely into the AR and below.
🟦 1. WEEKLY — Completed UTAD, Now Phase D
The Weekly structure is extremely clean and follows classic Wyckoff logic:
Phase A
PSY
Buying Climax (BC)
Automatic Reaction (AR)
Secondary Test (ST)
Phase B
Wide, choppy rotation while the Composite Operator distributes.
Phase C — UTAD
NVDA broke above Phase B highs, failed immediately, and reversed with increasing sell pressure.
This is the exact spot where smart money typically finalizes distribution.
Phase D — Current
The last two rallies have formed LPSYs, each weaker than the last:
Lower highs
Shortened thrust
Volume fading on upswings
Downside volume expanding
Interpretation:
Weekly is firmly in Phase D, preparing to test the AR (≈ $120). Followed by SOW-B ≈ $93
Failure of this zone opens Phase E (markdown).
🟪 2. 3-DAY NVDA — Fractal UTAD of the Weekly Distribution
On the 3-Day chart, NVDA produced a smaller UT and UTAD inside the larger weekly UTAD.
This is a fractal distribution, confirming:
A smaller distribution nested inside a larger one
CO selling on both timeframes
Supply overwhelming diminishing demand
This also aligns perfectly with the behavior of Phase C → D.
This is one of the strongest bearish Wyckoff signals you can get.
🟦 3. 3-Day QQQ Trend — Clear Bearish Divergence
Above the NVDA 3D chart is the QQQ 3-Day
• When NVDA closes below its last swing, while the market held above, that shows weakness.
This is momentum divergence:
Demand decelerating
When the leaders start to lag, thats something to cause concern.
Its a classic condition during UTADs in distribution tops
When a UTAD forms with divergence, Wyckoff views it as Demand is drying up.
🟧 4. MONTHLY — Macro Distribution Entering Phase D
The Monthly chart confirms the big picture:
Massive vertical run → PSY + BC
First shift in behavior → AR
Controlled retest → ST
Drift sideways → Phase B
Final push → Monthly UTAD
Rejection with increased supply → Phase C complete
Now price is failing the retest and rolling over into Phase D.
The Monthly and Weekly now align, which greatly increases the probability of sustained markdown.
🟥 5. Wyckoff Markdown Projection Path
Based on the current structure:
1️⃣ Current Zone
Weak LPSY → low-volume rally failures. I expect some chop, followed by one last UT of the chop highs, with a rejection between $185-$195. IF we reclaim and hold $195 = Invalidation, otherwise:
2️⃣ SOW (Sign of Weakness)
A decisive breakdown below the most recent structure lows.
3️⃣ First Major Target: AR Zone
$120
Every completed distribution returns to test the AR.
4️⃣ Sow Break (Phase E Begins)
Targets:
$102 (Phase A low)
$90-102 (Redistribution zone)
$76 (Final stopping area; Monthly value reset)
5️⃣ Bear Market Behavior
If the SoW breaks, NVDA enters a true Phase E markdown —
smooth, directional, and supply-driven.
🟩 6. Invalidation
To negate this bearish Wyckoff view:
➡️ NVDA must reclaim and HOLD above the UTAD high.
Given the 3D divergence and repeated LPSYs, this has low structural probability.
🟦 7. Final Thoughts
NVDA is aligning across all major timeframes in one of the clearest Wyckoff distribution sequences of the year:
Monthly UTAD
Weekly UTAD → LPSYs → SOW
Daily/3D fractal UTAD
3-Day QQQ divergence
Volume shift confirming supply
Everything here points toward Phase D → Phase E, with markdown into the AR and below. I think its important to not repeatedly try and call tops so if this idea is invalidated I will remain neutral, until I see redistribution below phase b, but I also think that the weakness in volume, and the MTF alignment is too much to ignore
If this continues to play out that would make all of 2025 a distribution. If that is the case, the markdown phase could play out throughout all of 2026 and into 2027. I know people say this every year/month/day but this is the first time, I personally, have seen this kind of alignment and supporting evidence across timeframes. Time will tell.
Good luck in 2026 everybody
Trade Summary: Bearish Continuation with High ConfidenceYou are looking at the Daily chart for NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation). The broader trend is clearly bearish, and the MAF Neural Brain indicator has identified a high-probability continuation setup.
1. Perception (The Eyes): What the Indicator Sees
Efficiency Score: 0.14. This is very low, indicating "Noisy/Chop" price action. The daily candles are overlapping significantly, showing a struggle between buyers and sellers rather than a smooth trend.
Spread (Price): 22.45. Volatility is present but contained within the bearish structure.
Position: INSIDE CLOUD. Price is trading within the indicator's bands, confirming that this is a consolidation phase within the larger downtrend.
Trade Summary: Bearish Continuation with High Confidence
2. Cognition (The Mind): How the Indicator Interprets It
Bias: BEARISH. Despite the choppy daily action, the system maintains a negative bias.
Conviction: GAINING. This is the key insight. While the market looks messy to the naked eye, the algorithm's internal confidence in the downtrend is actually increasing. It sees the current chop as a pause before another drop, not a reversal.
Mode: FLAT (REPELLING). The market is stuck in a range that is resisting upward breakouts.
3. Narrative (The Story): The Strategic Output
Signal: SELL. A hard sell signal is active.
Confidence: 100%. The system is fully aligned. Every metric (Bias, Conviction, Structure) points to lower prices.
4. Summary (The Execution)
Macro Structure: STRONG BEARISH. The dominant force is selling.
Micro Action: NOISY / CHOP. The daily candles are messy.
AI Strategy: HOLDING (Ignoring Noise).
Trade Analysis: This setup represents a "Bear Flag" or Consolidation in a Downtrend.
The Opportunity: Traders often get shaken out during "Noisy" consolidations like this because they mistake the sideways movement for a bottom. The Neural Brain is explicitly telling you to ignore that noise.
The Action: If you are short, HOLD. If you are flat, this is a valid entry for a Short position, anticipating a breakdown from the current "Inside Cloud" consolidation.
The Verdict: The 100% confidence level combined with "Gaining Conviction" suggests the path of least resistance remains strictly downward.
In plain English: "NVDA is taking a breather after dropping, and the price action is messy. However, the internal data says sellers are still in total control and getting stronger. Don't buy the dip; expect the drop to continue."
NVDA🌎NVIDIA: At the Peak or the Brink?
Nvidia's record highs are accompanied by warning signs. A market cap of $4.37 trillion and a P/E ratio of 51 indicate inflated expectations.
Risks:
Speculative demand: The $23.7 billion investment looks like an artificial market pump.
Macro threats: The AI boom will face energy shortages.
Historical parallel: The scenario mirrors Cisco's pre-dot-com bubble.
Fierce competition: AMD, Intel, and cloud giants are creating their own chips.
Growth drivers:
Leadership in AI, a closed CUDA ecosystem, and 66% data center revenue growth.
Nvidia is a leader, but its shares have become a high-risk asset. Any slowdown in business performance will lead to a collapse in the stock price.
The baseline scenario is a broad sideways trend.
$NVDA — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT (COILING?)NASDAQ:NVDA — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA — 12/02/2025 @ 185$
Timeframe: WEEKLY
This is a reactive structural classification of NVDA based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition
• Trend Duration: +5 weeks (bearish)
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish): 190.87$
• Trend Reversal Level (Bearish): 176.52$
• Pullback/Correction/Structure Support: 167.75$
⸻
2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
• Pullback (approaching 78.6%)
• Position Status:
• Caution (interacting with structural layers)
⸻
3) Temperature: Cooling Phase
⸻
4) Momentum: Coiling
⸻
5) Market Sentiment: Neutral
⸻
Author’s Note
This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached.
Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions.
The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
NVDA – TA for Dec 8–12Compression Under Resistance, Demand Below (Full TA + GEX Insight)
NVDA is entering the week sitting right beneath an important resistance band while holding onto a broader ascending structure. The stock is consolidating after a strong run, and the market is now deciding whether this pause leads to continuation or a deeper pullback. This week’s movement will hinge on how NVDA behaves at the key levels that have repeatedly controlled price throughout November and December.
Daily Timeframe (1D)
On the daily chart, NVDA has been drifting sideways-to-lower ever since rejecting the upper supply zone near 198–212. The structure hasn’t broken down completely — the stock is still defending its rising trendline — but momentum has clearly cooled.
A key observation on the daily chart is how NVDA keeps holding above the mid-line around 176–178, which acts as both a structural support and a zone where prior liquidity was collected. Beneath this, deeper demand sits between 164–170, with a much larger demand block far lower on the chart that has not been touched in months.
If NVDA loses the 176–178 zone on the daily, the market will likely move swiftly into the 164–170 liquidity pocket. But if buyers continue defending the trendline, NVDA may attempt another approach toward resistance.
A daily close above 185–186 would be the first sign of strength returning.
1-Hour Timeframe (1H)
On the 1H chart, NVDA is compressing beneath a clear supply shelf between 183–186. This area has acted as a ceiling multiple times over the past sessions. Each approach into the zone has produced a rejection, and the most recent push created a BOS but failed to maintain follow-through.
At the same time, NVDA is sliding into a rising intraday trendline, creating a tightening wedge. This type of structure often forces a decisive move — either a breakout into the supply zone or a breakdown into the liquidity block below.
A reclaim and hold above 184–186 is the confirmation needed for bullish continuation. Without that, the 1H chart continues to lean toward a retest of 180, 178, or even the stronger demand at 174–176.
Short-term momentum is weakening, but buyers are still defending intraday demand. This makes NVDA a range-bound market heading into the week.
15-Minute Timeframe (15M)
The 15M timeframe highlights this compression even more clearly. NVDA is trading within a tight descending channel inside a larger demand zone. Each bounce is getting smaller, but sellers also haven’t been able to break the lower block around 180–182 despite repeated tests.
This type of price action suggests the market is building energy for a larger move. The path becomes clear once NVDA either:
* sweeps the 180–182 demand and sharply reverses
or
* breaks cleanly above the 183–186 supply band and retests it as support
Until that happens, price is likely to remain choppy, and intraday trades should be taken with caution.
A break below 180 on the 15M would shift the structure decisively bearish intraday.
GEX Insight (Options Positioning & Dealer Influence)
NVDA’s gamma landscape explains why the stock has been stuck between 180 and 186.
The region around 184–186 aligns with the highest positive NET GEX, which creates a natural resistance band where dealer hedging suppresses upward momentum. This matches the repeated intraday rejections you’re seeing on the chart.
Above 190, gamma begins to thin out significantly. If NVDA can break and hold above the 186 supply zone, the path toward 192–195 becomes much easier because hedging pressure shifts from restrictive to supportive.
Below 180, gamma flips and begins pulling price toward lower put-heavy regions:
* 172
* 165
* 162.5
These areas align cleanly with the chart’s major liquidity blocks.
In summary:
* Staying below 186 keeps NVDA pinned
* Breaking 186 opens the path toward 190–195
* Losing 180 exposes liquidity down to 172–165
GEX and price action are in full agreement this week.
Trading Focus for the Week
NVDA is coiling into a decision zone. The idea is not to predict the breakout but to react once the market commits.
The cleanest long setups come from:
* A liquidity sweep into 180–182 followed by a clear reversal
* A breakout and hold above 186
The cleanest short setups come from:
* Rejection wicks in the 183–186 supply zone
* A confirmed breakdown below 180
With momentum fading but structure still intact, NVDA is preparing for a directional move — traders just need to wait for confirmation.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and traders should conduct their own research and apply proper risk management before entering any position.
NVDA : Blue-chip and Strong potential for alpha returnsCMP : 181.46
Investment pick.. Long term.
Adding : if decline : 164-152 levels...
and 130 Stop Loss of course because we can not hold if it will give us negative long term price structure..
Manage your Risk..
Target : 260, 302, 416 + then review.
Logic : Rising channel and correction .. we are eyeing in it.
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) $2B Synopsys Bet Reshapes AI’s FutureNvidia’s recent $2 billion investment in Synopsys signals one of the company’s most strategic and transformative moves in the AI and semiconductor race. The purchase—completed at $414.79 per share for a 2.6% stake—pushes Nvidia deeper into the core infrastructure that powers advanced computing, chip design, and the next generation of AI hardware.
While mainstream attention often focuses on AI chatbots, consumer apps, and model breakthroughs, Nvidia’s Synopsys stake shows a different priority: controlling the foundational technologies that make AI possible. Synopsys is one of the world’s most critical companies in electronic design automation (EDA), providing the tools used to design semiconductors, aerospace systems, and highly complex digital architectures. By aligning with Synopsys, Nvidia effectively plugs into the heart of global chip innovation.
Experts suggest this isn’t merely a passive financial investment—it’s a strategic partnership aimed at accelerating breakthroughs in AI-optimized chips, automation tools, and silicon-level performance. With Nvidia already dominating GPU computing, securing influence within Synopsys strengthens its command over the entire AI hardware pipeline, from design to deployment.
This move also positions Nvidia ahead of rivals as the semiconductor landscape becomes increasingly defined by custom silicon, automated chip design, and hardware-accelerated AI systems. A deeper integration between both companies could unlock new workflows where AI models help design better chips—and those chips, in turn, train better AI models.
While media narratives often revolve around front-end AI products, Nvidia’s quiet focus on infrastructure reveals its long-term strategy: build, own, and optimize the invisible technological backbone of the AI revolution. With Synopsys now in its orbit, Nvidia is not just participating in the future of AI—it’s helping engineer it.
Technical analysis
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is bouncing from a key demand zone after pulling back from the $212 resistance area. Price is reclaiming short-term momentum as it holds above the major support region around $145, which previously acted as a strong accumulation zone. As long as NVDA maintains support above this level, the structure favors a continuation toward the $200+ range, with $212 remaining the next major hurdle. A breakdown below $145 would open room for a deeper correction, but current price action signals buyers are defending the trend.
Long trade
🟩 Buy-Side trade
Pair: NVDA
Date: Mon 1st Dec 2025
Time: 12:30 pm
Session: NY Session PM
Entry: 180.25
TP: 195.71 (8.57%)
SL: 178.54 (0.949%)
RR: 9.04
🟦 STRUCTURE
NVDA formed a bullish MSS → BOS on the 1H
Price retraced into discount (0.618 fib region)
Strong displacement candle confirmed the long bias
FVG inside retracement zone provided algorithmic entry logic
Target aligns with HTF premium zone around 195–200
🟨 LIQUIDITY
Sweep of sell-side liquidity beneath 178.50–179.00
Inducement engineered before bullish expansion
Upside liquidity magnets:
187.80 (0.382 retracement)
195.70 HTF equilibrium level
Gap above → likely draw-on-liquidity
Large volume cluster supports bullish continuation
🟧 SENTIMENT
NVDA remains fundamentally bid due to AI/semiconductor strength
Broader tech sector showing rotation back into high-beta names
NY PM session typically generates continuation moves
Market repricing risk-on after morning volatility clearance
NVDA Market Preview – December 5NVDA heads into tomorrow’s session sitting at a major decision zone. Price has been tightening inside a rising channel, and the structure suggests a directional break is getting close. Supply and demand zones are well-defined, and current positioning gives a clear sense of where the next move may develop.
Higher-Timeframe Structure (1H)
NVDA is still holding a mid-term bullish structure that began at the 176–178 demand zone. Buyers have consistently defended this region, confirming its significance.
However, the 183.50–185 area continues to act as the main supply zone, rejecting price multiple times.
Key Zones
* Supply: 183.50–185.00
* Demand: 178–180
Price is now pressing toward the apex of a rising channel. This type of compression often leads to a decisive breakout or breakdown once the market chooses a direction.
Intraday Structure (15M)
A recent CHoCH did not lead to strong continuation, and NVDA is currently retesting its internal trendline with diminishing momentum.
Bearish signs
* Consistent rejection inside the supply zone
* Multiple upper wicks showing absorption
* Declining volume into resistance
* GEX resistance overhead
Bullish signs
* Rising trendline still holding
* No confirmed bearish BOS
* Liquidity resting above 185 that could attract a sweep
The structure remains balanced, but vulnerable. The next clean break will likely dictate direction for the session.
GEX Outlook for December 5
* Call wall: 187.5–190
* Put support: 179 / 177
* Neutral magnet: 182–183
A breakout above 183.50 creates room for 185 → 187.50.
A rejection here increases the probability of a rotation back toward 180 and possibly 178, aligning with demand and put support.
Dealer positioning is fairly neutral, suggesting the session may be two-sided unless a clear breakout occurs.
What to Watch for Tomorrow
Bullish Scenario
Requires a strong break and hold above 185, followed by a clean retest.
Targets: 187.50, then 190 (likely rejection area).
Bearish Scenario (favored unless macro shifts)
Needs another failed test at 183.5–185 and a loss of the 15M trendline.
Targets: 181.5 → 180 → 178.5–179.
Bias Going Into the Session
The lean is bearish-to-neutral unless NVDA reclaims and holds above 185.
Key reasons:
* Momentum softening at resistance
* Lower highs forming intraday
* SMC sell zones consistently respected
* GEX resistance overhead
* CHoCH has not converted into bullish structure
Expect chop early, followed by clearer direction once the trendline breaks.
Trading Thoughts
For possible longs:
* Wait for confirmation above 185
* Look for retest entry, not breakout chasing
* First upside target: 187.50
For possible shorts:
* Preferred zone: 184–185
* Downside targets: 181.5 → 180 → 178.8
For scalpers:
* 183.10 is the first micro pivot
* Trendline break on 15M will define direction
* Avoid trading the center of the range — poor R/R
Disclaimer
This outlook reflects personal market analysis and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage risk accordingly.
NVIDIA (NVDA) – My PUT Options Position ExplainedI opened a medium-term bearish position on NVDA by purchasing PUT options.
Here’s the full breakdown of the idea, entry logic, and projected targets.
🧠 Why I Entered the Trade
NVDA formed a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart — one of the strongest technical reversal signals after an extended bullish trend.
The neckline has now been broken, validating the structure and confirming bearish momentum.
The rejection from the right shoulder, combined with weakening RSI and loss of key market structure, provides additional confirmation.
🎯 My PUT Options Position
I purchased PUT contracts with a defined risk and leveraged downside exposure.
Break-Even Price: ~129 USD
This is the key level where:
the option premium is fully recovered
the position shifts from “loss” to “profit”
As long as NVDA trades below 129 USD before expiration, the position begins generating profit.
💰 Profit Projection
My profit target zone is around 102 USD.
At that level, the trade yields approximately:
➡️ +77,000 USD profit
This aligns with:
the measured target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
previous demand zone turning into resistance
Fibonacci extensions
a full correction of the last impulsive leg
📌 Technical Breakdown
H&S target: ~160 → ~130 → projected extension toward 102
Break-even: 129 USD
FXDoctor target: 102 USD
Trend structure: Major lower lows forming
Momentum: RSI breakdown and bearish continuation signals
The chart clearly shows a potential shift from a hyper-parabolic bullish phase into a deeper correction — a move that benefits PUT buyers with asymmetric risk/reward.
🧨 Summary
I’m holding PUT options on NVDA
Break-even: 129 USD
Projected profit: ~77,000 USD at 102 USD
The trade is based on a clean and validated Head & Shoulders reversal
NVDA is showing early signs of a much larger bearish correction
$NVDA - $140 Target - Short Position - AI Bubble About to BurstIn my opinion, Nvidia does not have much to continue the next needed support for a pro-longed bull run, at least in terms of sentiment. The AI bubble has gone on for too long and the actual multiples of valuations in comparison to revenue and profit generations do not seem to have strong support when considering traditional investing strategies. Also, the next wave seems getting closer and closer to a red trend. Retracement potential is possible after hitting $140, but Nvidia needs to do far more benefit for the public good and have a differentiation that doesn't rely on trends such as crypto mining and the boost of LLMs. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
NVIDIA This is how it can reach $100 and the Supports involved.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) had a strong red 1M candle last month, the first one after a rally of 7 straight green months. This is not the first time we present you this 12-year Channel Up, in fact we used this in late October to give a sell signal.
The reason is that Nvidia almost reached the top of that pattern, a technical Higher High, successive if you count the late 2024 one. Such Double Tops have been previously consistent with the start of strong corrections (Bearish Legs) which in both cases (2018 and 2022) bottomed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
The key element that we added on the chart this time is the (green) Support Zone, which stemmed every time from the last consolidation (blue circle) before the Top.
It is no surprise that this time it also falls on the 1W MA200 and a potential contact with the price towards Q3 2026 and beyond. Even then, it will still be above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level as in December 2018 and quite close to the bottom of the Channel Up for the first time since October 2022.
Our long-term Target and thus next long-term Buy Signal, remains $100.
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NVIDIA (NVDA) – Daily AnalysisNVIDIA (NVDA) – Daily Analysis
The chart is showing something interesting here:
Price has been trending down under the green bearish trendline, but we’re now seeing bullish pressure building right on top of the red long-term bullish trendline.
This creates a compression zone — and usually, NVIDIA doesn’t stay quiet in these zones for long.
What’s the key idea?
If price breaks and closes above the green trendline, momentum can shift bullish again, and the next logical magnet is the yellow horizontal level at 196.31.
Why that level?
It’s a major historical reaction zone.
It aligns as a clean liquidity pool.
Market loves to revisit these "00-zones" and round-number clusters.
Probability Outlook
With current price basing at 183.59 and respecting the bullish diagonal:
➡️ A move toward the yellow line (196.31) is highly probable once the trendline break is confirmed.
NVDA Wave Analysis – 4 December 2025- NVDA reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 194.30
NVDA recently reversed with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the multi-month support level 170.00 (which has been reversing the price from August), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily down channel from October.
NVDA just broke the aforementioned down channel from October – which is lily to strengthen the bullish pressure on NVDA .
Given the clear daily uptrend, NVDA can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 194.30 (which reversed the price at the end of November).






















