NVDIA SHORT TRADING PLANSWhy:
Weekly Divergence
Field BOS in 4H
Focus on Daily
My Entry is only discounted Price : FIB Values
if you want to enter you can entry after the BOS and SL will be the
NVD trade ideas
$NVDA big move comingWatching NASDAQ:NVDA close the month with a long legged Doji at the top is leading me to believe that some bigger news will be coming out to drop the stock to the downside. I would expect a nice discount coming for potential longer term entry.
Potentially something like China is rejecting their chips or an international market rejection or lawsuit to come into play.
Labor Market vs. Inflation Risks: What Traders Should WatchCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT:ZN1! CBOT:ZB1! ECONOMICS:USNFP
The stock market is currently holding near all-time highs. Today, the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) report, which includes the NFP (non-farm payrolls), will be released at 7:30 am CT.
Market participants are closely watching the non-farm payrolls, with the forecast at 75K, as well as any prior revisions to earlier NFP numbers. The unemployment rate is expected at 4.3%, a slight increase of 0.1%.
Looking ahead, upcoming key events include inflation data and the September FOMC rate decision:
• Aug PPI (Sep 10): A gauge of upstream price pressures. Hot numbers would signal renewed inflation risks.
• Aug CPI & Core CPI (Sep 11): Critical headline data. A softer print would support the dovish case.
• Fed Decision (Sep 17): This meeting comes after the Aug NFP data release (Sep 5).
While there is broad optimism and euphoria in the market, we remain cautious based on our analysis of major futures indexes. Traders should be mindful of signals that could point to a pullback.
Our reasoning:
Markets are currently pricing in two 25 bps cuts for the September and October FOMC meetings, which would bring the target rate down to 3.75%–4.00%.
Additionally, markets are now pricing in four 25 bps cuts in 2026. Prior to the Jackson Hole meeting and recent Fed-related developments, expectations were for three cuts in 2025 and two cuts in 2026.
Does this imply that the effective tariff rate is benign? Is inflation expected to fall, or does this suggest that the Fed is willing to tolerate average inflation in the 2.5%–3.0% range?
The upcoming Fed meeting is likely to emphasize risks to the labor market, while downplaying inflation risks, highlighting the tradeoff within the Fed’s dual mandate.
Other considerations:
Seasonal and cyclical flows also suggest that equity indexes tend to underperform in September and October on average.
Risk-Monitoring Framework: Signs of a Pullback
Given the deteriorating macro backdrop, further steepening of the yield curve, persistently high long-end yields, and the heavy concentration of stock market capitalization in the Mag 9 stocks, it is critical to monitor:
1. Rates & Yield Curve
• 2s10s & 5s30s steepening: Excess steepening with long-end yields above 4.5% would tighten financial conditions.
• SOFR futures spreads: Divergence vs. FOMC guidance can signal rate-path misalignment.
2. Labor Market Signals
• NFP revisions: Downward revisions of >50K would reinforce labor weakness.
• Unemployment rate: Sustained above 4.3% could mark a turning point for the Fed’s labor mandate.
3. Inflation Data
• PPI upside surprises: A risk that supply-side shocks re-ignite inflationary pressures.
• CPI/Core CPI stickiness: Core >3.1% YoY would challenge the market’s dovish pricing.
4. Equity Market Internals
• Mag 9 leadership: Watch for relative weakness in NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSLA, GOOG, AVGO, and BRK.A.
• Breadth indicators: Advance/decline line and % of S&P 500 above 200-day MA. Narrowing breadth = fragility.
• Volatility (VIX): A spike above 20 would indicate stress returning to equity risk sentiment.
5. Cross-Asset Indicators
• Credit spreads (IG & HY): Widening signals stress in funding markets.
• USD & Commodities: Rising USD and higher energy prices would tighten global liquidity.
Conclusion
While optimism remains strong, we caution that macro deterioration, yield curve dynamics, and concentrated equity leadership create fragility. Pullback risks rise if:
• NFP disappoints sharply,
• inflation re-accelerates, or
• outperformance in the Mag 9 begins to roll over.
Traders should monitor these risk indicators closely, as they often precede market drawdowns in September–October.
Nvidia at a Crossroads – Support or Steeper Decline?Nvidia shares have fallen by about 6% since the company reported results on 27 August. The stock has now reached an important inflection point, trading in a range between $165 and $170, which is a major area of technical support. If this support is broken, it could see the shares slip towards $150 — a further decline of around 12% from their price of roughly $171 on 2 September.
The zone between $165 and $170 has acted as a support region on a few occasions since the gap higher on 15 July. That gap, however, was filled on 22 July, and it is possible that support at $165 has now been exhausted. This would mean that a retest of $165 could lead to the shares falling to their next support level, which is at the previous highs of $150.
We have also seen a change in trend for Nvidia, with the stock now trading below a trend line that has been in place since early May. It is also trading below its 20-day moving average, which has started to turn lower. The relative strength index (RSI) confirms this change in trend, as it has also been trending lower. The RSI formed a bearish divergence in late July after climbing above 70, a point at which the RSI began making lower highs while the share price continued to make higher highs.
If the stock is able to maintain support between $165 and $170, climb back above the 20-day moving average, and, more importantly, break the downtrend in the RSI, then it is possible that Nvidia could withstand this move lower and contain its losses, with an attempt to make another push towards all-time highs.
Outside of that, the road ahead for Nvidia looks challenging.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
I believe NVDIA will...I think NVIDIA is in a consolidation phase and we may see a pull back into the liquidity zone before its next run and I believe that this is a buying opportunity, to see let profits run. According to the Fibonacci retracement tool that we are using it was going to have a pullback. The way in which it is set up in a way where I am able to tell. It you look at my recent bitcoin publication you would see how it works. It's able to essentially tell you if the asset is going to be bearish or bullish based on its pull backs. Now I am always one for fundamental and I am still experimenting with this strategy. So, I guess we will see.
ALWAYS REMEMBER THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I PRAY THAT YOU (THE READER) RECIEVE YOUR BLESSING WITH THIS TRADE.
Nvda volume spike at top?Bearish argument:
Volume spike at the top on the daily
No daily reversal seen as of Monday Sept 1st
Daily bearish divergence
Monthly indecision candle
TP: Last week's low
Daily RSI 30
Daily bullish divergence
160 gap
Last year's high
Bullish arguments:
High volume on Friday's dump on QQQ
Need to monitor for QQQ daily reversal
Conclusion: Probable chance of continued dump on NVDA.
Most likely price target is NVDA or when QQQ reaches last week's low as it coincides with a previous high volume spike level.
NVDA: A Stoic Approach to a Losing Trade (The Second Breath)As we just discussed, a loss is not a failure; it's information.
This trade on NVDA is a perfect, real-time application of that Stoic and Douglas-inspired philosophy. The first attempt was stopped out for a small "paper cut" loss. The Stoics teach us to focus only on what we can control. We couldn't control the price hitting our first stop, but we can absolutely control our reaction.
Our reaction is not one of frustration, but of calm acceptance. We take the information the market gave us, remain balanced, and execute the next step of our plan.
The New Trade Plan
This second attempt is an action taken with more wisdom and an even better potential reward.
Style: Long / Re-Entry
Entry: Limit Order at $167.75
Stop Loss: A tight, strategically placed stop at $162.25 (3.28% risk)
Target: $192.50
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1 : 4.5
The #limitlessTrader's Mindset
The first trade was simply an exhale. This second trade is the next breath, taken with more clarity and from a place of balance. This is the process.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Hello trader, for tomorrow, February 9, 2025.NVDA: Bullish entry at 176.00. Possible profit-taking at 180.00. If there is no rejection at 180.00, for a next bullish entry, we should wait for a breakout of the double top at 184.00, taking a new bullish entry at 186.00.
For the bearish entry: 172.00/170.00. This last one could act as a rebound zone because it would form a double bottom. Use the VWAP indicator for your stops.
AI proves i was right about NVDAI used Gemini AI to alayze my previous videos and the results was as following: Fundamentally; the price wasat its fair value, and technically; the price was at a reversing point.
This is my thoughts and ideas about the stock, do your math before trading.
Good luck luck to you all
Markets Titan
NVDA - Critical Point right now! Back to 150 OR we make new high📊 NVDA – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Strong bullish structure with clear Elliott Wave progression (1)-(3) unfolding.
Current candle shows retracement after a parabolic push, but higher timeframe structure remains intact.
Target level stands at 200 USD, aligning with Wave (3) completion zone.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
NVDA completed Wave (3) near 184, now pulling back into a local support zone ~160 – 165.
Structure suggests a corrective Wave (4) before potential continuation higher.
As long as support holds, expectation remains for a Wave (5) push towards 200+.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Price coiling inside a corrective a-b-c structure under trendline resistance.
Demand/support zone ~170 – 172 is acting as the base.
Break above 184 resistance confirms bullish continuation, while loss of support opens risk towards 152 (deeper retrace).
⏳ 8H
Clear retracement into demand after Wave (3) high.
Price holding trendline support + demand confluence.
If buyers step in, expect a rally into Wave (5) targeting 190 – 200.
Breakdown of demand would shift momentum bearish short-term.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation (Wave 5 setup)
Entry Zone: 170 – 175 (demand/support)
Targets: 184 (short-term), 200 (medium-term)
Invalidation: Break & close below 160 support
All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust?👀 All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust? 🎯
Hey guys, Kiri here – the FX Professor.
NVIDIA is at a crucial technical resistance around 182.85 . At the same time, the S&P 500 is already pumped above 6433 — showing strength, for now .
So, what happens next?
🧠 Let’s break it down:
• NVIDIA = The AI barometer 📊
• S&P = Already reacting positively 📈
• Crypto = Waiting in line 🪙
🤖 Earnings Scenarios:
1️⃣ Normal earnings:
Market holds — NVIDIA may stay sideways. Risk-on sentiment stays intact.
2️⃣ Good (even slightly good) earnings:
Likely breakout above 182.85.
S&P 500 could push higher.
Crypto benefits — especially AI-related coins.
3️⃣ Bad earnings:
🚨 Be very, very careful.
Could trigger a rotation out of AI, bring in “overvaluation” FUD.
Combine that with weak GPT-5 reviews? We might see a sharp correction.
Remember: Earnings don’t obey technical setups. This is a fundamental catalyst — and anything can happen. Toss a coin, roll the dice — it’s that kind of game.
📍 My Position:
I'm bullish until NVIDIA earnings drop .
But I’m not blind — the popcorn is ready 🍿 and I’m watching every tick.
The chart shows the key levels – support, parabola, re-entry zones, and risk-reward scenarios.
Stay sharp. This one matters.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be a HUMAN and as an AI-dev let me tell you this: AI will NEVER be able to come close to Human power: no feelings, no thinking, no intuition, no soul. YOU, my fellow human are the biggest strongest piece of Code. You are the best blockchain, your kids, your work, your hobbies, your pets and your Wisdom are the best Altcoins. Remember to live with Love and respect for yourself and for others.🌟🤝📈
NVIDIA Is it still a buy after its Earnings release?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) delivered stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, but its data center revenue came in slightly below forecasts as U.S. restrictions on H20 chip sales to China weighed on results. The result was a 3.1% fall on the company's stock in after-hours trading following the report.
The obvious question is this: Is it still a buy?
The answer can be given by purely looking at the technicals. Based on the bigger picture, the stock's 5-month pattern remains a Channel Up since the April 07 bottom, and in fact the recent dip on August 20 was a Higher Low exactly on the pattern's bottom and almost on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since May 06.
Given also the fact that the 1D CCI rebounded with aggression after marginally breaking below its oversold level (-100.00), similar to April 21, we expect NVIDIA to resume the bullish trend and extend this new Bullish Leg.
Since the last three Bullish Legs have all increased by a little more than +20%, we expect the price to easily reach our $200.00 long-term Target, before the next technical correction occurs.
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Nvida Earnings Next, Can Cryptos Stabilize? Cryptocurrencies stabilized a bit in the last 24 hours while stocks also rebounded yesterday during the US session, but the dollar is still moving sideways. Maybe there will be a bit of slow day ahead, till NVIDA earnings are released. Data will be announced today, after the US close, when we’ll get Nvidia earnings, which should also be important for the crypto space. And if results beat expectations—or in other words if the market moves higher after hours—then cryptos could also do well. Looking at Nvidia’s wave count, price could be eyeing new highs after a bounce from 170 support, so maybe a minor fourth wave has finished and we could even see a gap higher after earnings, with potential resistance around the 200 round figure.
If earnings disappoint and price gaps lower, I would still see this as a higher-degree corrective wave four retracement, and maybe some opportunities later on to fill the gap. Key support to watch is around 150, the previous high. So even if there’s some downside, as long as any drop it’s not too deep, I still view this stock as bullish within an unfinished impulse, and whenever Nvidia is ready to print new highs, that’s when cryptos could also stabilize.
Grega
NVDA TRADE AFTER EARNINGS REPPORTright after market open NVDA jumped up to $184.50 and than started to fall down. 1st it touches the VWAP and fell down again sharply to $176.40. I took a position for CALL when the price was @$171.30 for $285 per contract. I have set take profit at VWAP that is $179.70.
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere.
The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia.
In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection.
Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies.
The air is thin, very thin up there.
And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped.
A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short.
Until then, just relax and watch the show.
Nvidia (NVDA) Targets 189+ in Wave 5 CompletionNvidia (NVDA) aims to advance in wave (5), targeting $189 or higher. The rally to $185.22 completed wave (3). A pullback in wave (4) formed a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From wave (3), wave A dropped to $170.89. Wave B peaked at $184.48, and wave C fell to $168.01, showing an impulsive structure on the 30-minute chart below.
The stock has since turned upward. It must break above $185.22, the wave (3) high, to confirm no double correction. The rally from wave (4) unfolds as a five-wave impulse, supporting a bullish bias. From the wave (4) low, wave ((i)) reached $173.53. Wave ((ii)) dipped to $171.11. The stock then climbed in wave ((iii)) to $181.91. A brief wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $178.35. Nvidia nears completion of wave ((v)), finalizing wave 1 in a higher degree.
A wave 2 pullback should follow, correcting the cycle from the August 22 low. The stock will likely resume its climb afterward. As long as the $168.01 pivot holds, pullbacks should attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, paving the way for further upside. This setup keeps Nvidia’s bullish momentum intact, provided the key support level remains unbroken.
NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C– Don’t Miss Out
# 🚀 NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C @ 2.49 | 200–400% Target 🎯
### 📝 Quick Take (TL;DR)
* **Bias:** Moderate-Bullish (78% confidence).
* **Rationale:** Fundamentals 🔥 + Options flow skewed bullish 📈 + Technicals constructive.
* **Main Risk:** China export \~\$8B headwind in guidance.
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea
* **Buy** NVDA **2025-08-29 \$190 Call**
* 📌 Entry: \$2.49 (ask) — enter **pre-earnings close** (Aug 26 AMC).
* 🛑 Stop: \$1.25 (−50%).
* 🎯 Targets:
* +200% → \$7.47
* +300% → \$9.96
* ⏳ Exit Rule: If neither stop/target hit, **close within 2h post-earnings open**.
* ⚖️ Risk: \$249 per contract (max loss).
---
### 📊 Why This Setup?
**Fundamentals (9/10)**
* Revenue growth: +69% TTM 🚀
* Margins elite (gross 70%, net 52%) 💰
* Beat history: 8/8 last quarters ✅
* Balance sheet strong (cash \~\$54B).
**Options Flow (8/10)**
* Implied move ~~5.9% (~~\$10.5).
* Call OI heavy @ \$185–\$200 (gamma cluster).
* Liquidity excellent at \$190 strike (OI >64k).
**Technicals (8/10)**
* Price \$179.83, holding above 20/50/200 MAs.
* RSI neutral (53).
* Resistance: \$184.5 / \$190 / \$200.
* Coiling under highs 🔄.
**Macro (6/10)**
* AI/data center demand = secular tailwind.
* China ban risk headline.
* VIX \~15 → complacency = bigger gap risk.
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* Guidance may highlight China hit (\$8B) → bearish gap.
* IV crush 30–50% post-print.
* Gap risk may bypass stop.
* Single-leg naked = high variance → **size small (≤2% portfolio).**
---
### 📌 Execution Checklist
✅ Confirm ask = 2.49 @ close.
✅ Expiry = 2025-08-29 (weekly).
✅ Size ≤ 2% acct.
✅ Close within 2h post-earnings if no trigger.
---
### 📊 TRADE JSON
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 190.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-29",
"confidence": 78,
"entry_price": 2.49,
"stop_loss": 1.245,
"profit_target": 7.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-08-26",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 5.9,
"iv_rank": 0.75,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 14:00:37 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Hashtags
\#NVDA #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #StockMarket #AIStocks #Futures #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #RiskReward #OptionsFlow #SP500 #TechStocks
Nvidia Earnings Preview: The Guidance GauntletNvidia reports after the bell on Wednesday, and once again the market is treating it less like an earnings call and more like a policy event. At a $4.4 trillion valuation and with eight straight beat-and-raise quarters behind it, expectations are sky high. The numbers themselves are unlikely to surprise. What really matters is how management handles guidance on China, Blackwell shipments, and the durability of AI demand.
Numbers Matter, Guidance Matters More
Consensus sits around $48 billion in revenue and $1.02 earnings-per-share (EPS), implying year-on-year growth above 50%. Those are extraordinary figures for a mega-cap, but the bar has been set by Nvidia itself. The market already expect another blockbuster quarter, which is why the stock has gained nearly 25% this year.
Guidance is where the tension lies. China remains the key swing factor after months of shifting regulation. Licensing restrictions on H20 chips forced Nvidia into a $4.5 billion charge earlier this year, and the new 15% revenue skim on exports has made the picture even messier. Most analysts expect management to keep guidance conservative, excluding China for now while pointing to compliant new products such as the rumoured B30. A lack of clarity here could rattle confidence.
Beyond China, hyperscaler demand is the second focal point. Around 90% of Nvidia’s sales now come from data centres, leaving the company reliant on just a handful of customers. With Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta collectively spending over $300 billion on capex this year, the opportunity is huge, but even small shifts in timing could dent results. Concentration risk at this scale is something the Street won’t ignore.
The Blackwell ramp rounds out the story. Nvidia needs to prove that hype has turned into hardware. Investors want detail on system-level shipments, lead times, and throughput for NVL72 racks. If management can show that execution is running smoothly while margins hold steady in the low 70s, belief in Nvidia’s ability to sustain its dominance will strengthen. If not, even a strong top line could be overshadowed by doubts about delivery.
Range in Focus
Nvidia’s relentless uptrend has paused in recent weeks, with prices consolidating sideways. This mean reversion has pulled the stock back toward its rising 50-day moving average. The short-term support and resistance levels created by the consolidation are now strategically significant.
A decisive break and close above the range could trigger the next leg higher, giving traders a clean breakout setup. Conversely, an earnings disappointment could see price break lower, with downside targets toward the confluent support zone formed by the 200-day moving average and VWAP anchored to the April lows. The range also offers clear stop placement: in the case of a bullish breakout, stops can be placed back within the range below broken resistance, while a bearish breakdown setup would favour stops just above broken support.
NVDA Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
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NVDA Range BoundMonth of August Range Bound
After market since Earnings...holding previous support/resistance level $172.
NVDA option trade in 0 day expirationI bought a PUT option around 9:36 a.m when it was sitting at $1 and sell off my position at $2. Even though it went up to $2.50 but I played safe.
1ST TARGET PROFITIT hit the 1st target profit. I have exited partially wait until it reaches 2nd highest of the day.
NVDA \$200C→ Big Move Loading?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Setup | \$200 Call 🎯 (High Risk / High Reward)
📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT**
* **Ticker**: NVDA
* **Direction**: 📈 CALL (LONG)
* **Strike**: \$200
* **Entry Price**: \$1.44
* **Profit Target**: \$2.16 (50% gain)
* **Stop Loss**: \$0.58 (40% risk)
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-29
* **Confidence**: 65%
* **Timing**: Enter at Open
* **Signal Time**: 2025-08-23 11:11 EDT
---
### 🔎 Market Analysis
✅ **Weekly RSI**: 87.2 (RISING → Strong Bullish)
⚠️ **Daily RSI**: 63.3 (FALLING → Short-term caution)
📉 **Volume**: 0.9x last week (Weak confirmation)
🔥 **Options Flow**: Calls 617k vs. Puts 383k → **1.61 ratio (Bullish Bias)**
---
### 📈 Bias & Strategy
* **Overall Sentiment**: **Moderate Bullish** 🚀
* Bullish institutions loading Calls → supports upside.
* Weak daily momentum + low volume = ⚠️ caution.
* High gamma risk → manage tight with stop loss.
🏷 **Tags**:
\#NVDA #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #WeeklyOptions #TradingView #StockMarket #EarningsPlay #MomentumTrading #OptionsFlow #GammaRisk
$NVDA | The Next Big Leg?NVIDIA has been a textbook case of Smart Money structure this cycle.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed
✅ Trendline + MA confluence support at ~$177
✅ Strong premium zone rejection near $195
✅ Fibonacci extension eyeing $231.80
🔑 Levels to Watch:
$177 = Key support (trendline + MA)
$195 = Resistance zone (premium supply)
$231 = Next target if bullish momentum continues
💡 Game Plan:
Above $177 = Long bias toward $195 → $231
Break below $177 = Retrace toward $153 equilibrium
⚡️ Tech + AI flows remain strong; NVDA could be gearing up for another explosive move.
📢 Question to the community:
👉 Do you think NASDAQ:NVDA pushes through $195 straight to $231, or do we retest $153 first?
#NVDA #TradingView #Stocks #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #AI #Bullish
