English Analysis โ PG (Daily)Price has broken below the long-term ascending trendline and is currently making a weak pullback toward that level, which now acts as a key resistance.
Bullish Scenario (Lower probability)
โข Trigger: Daily close above $160
โข Targets:
โข TP1: $168โ170
โข TP2: $175โ178
โข โ Stop-loss: Daily close below $155
Bearish Scenario (Higher probability)
โข Rejection from the broken trendline
โข Targets:
โข TP1: $145
โข TP2: $138โ140
โข โ Stop-loss: Daily close above $162
Bias: Bearish / corrective unless price reclaims the broken trendline.
Procter & Gamble Company
No trades
What traders are saying
๏ปฟ Procter & Gamble near support as traders lean for a bounce:Current Price: 150.15 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning)
Direction: LONG
Confidence level: 45%(Based on limited but slightly constructive professional trader commentary, price sitting near support, and lack of strong downside conviction)
Targets
Target 1: 153.50
Target 2: 155.50
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 147.80
Stop 2: 146.50
Key Insights:
Hereโs whatโs driving this setup. Procter & Gamble is trading close to a wellโdefined support zone after a modest pullback, and traders generally see this type of price action as an area where downside momentum tends to slow. When I look at how similar consumerโstaples names are being discussed by several traders, the theme is clear: capital rotates into stability when macro noise rises.
Another thing that stands out is the lack of strong bearish conviction. Traders are not calling for a breakdown or structural weakness. Instead, the tone is more about patience and selective buying, which usually favors a cautious long bias when price is already near support.
Recent Performance:
PG has drifted lower over the past sessions and is now hovering around the $150 area after failing to push higher earlier in the month. The pullback has been orderly rather than impulsive, which tells me sellers are not pressing aggressively. This type of slow fade often sets up shortโterm rebounds, especially in defensive stocks.
Expert Analysis:
Several professional traders I follow continue to rank Procter & Gamble as a core defensive holding rather than a short candidate. They emphasize predictable earnings, strong brand pricing power, and steady dividends. Technically, traders are watching the $148โ$150 zone closely, viewing it as a nearโterm floor where buyers are likely to step in.
News Impact:
Thereโs no major negative headline hitting PG right now, and that matters. In an environment where bad news tends to punish stocks quickly, the absence of adverse developments supports the case for stabilization. Ongoing discussions around inflation and consumer spending actually favor companies like PG that can pass costs through without damaging demand.
Trading Recommendation:
Putting it all together, Iโm leaning LONG with modest expectations. This is not a highโconviction breakout trade, but a tactical long based on support holding and defensive rotation. Iโd look for entries near current levels, target a move back toward $153.50 first and $155.50 if momentum builds, while keeping stops tight below $147.80 to control risk. Position sizing should stay conservative given the limited data depth this week.
PROCTER & GAMBLE Can it turn bullish in 2026?Procter and Gamble (PG) has been within more than 1 year correction since its November 27 2024 All Time High (ATH). Even though we expect the general outlook for the stock market in 2026 to be bearish, PG may turn out to be one of the best investment choices.
The reason is purely technical and has to do with this 1-year correction approaching its 1M MA100 (green trend-line). That has been the stock's absolute buy level since September 2009 and the aftermath of the U.S. Housing Crisis. As you can see it has since offered 4 excellent long-term buy opportunities.
Going further back, PG has been trading within a 26-year Channel Up since the 2000 Dotcom crash. Again the 1M MA100 turned out to be the market's ultimate Support (thus most optimal buy level), making a remarkable triple bottom in the next 12 months. As a result, the 1M MA100 has practically only broken (and that only for 3 months) in early 2009.
In addition to that, the 1M RSI is also about to test its own 26-year Support Zone, which has market PG's four major market bottoms during that time span.
As a result, given that a potential contact now with the 1M MA100 will complete a -26% decline from the recent ATH, exactly the correction % of the 2022 Bearish Leg (Inflation Crisis), there are very high probabilities for the market to find a bottom.
So if that's indeed one of the rare high cap buy opportunities in 2026, what could be the Target. Well PG had three major Bull Cycles (Legs) within this Channel Up, +188.23%, +113.39% and +178.81% respectively. If the Bull Cycle that can start will be minimum +113.53%, then we can expect PG to hit at least $280 before the next Top on the 0.786 Channel Fib.
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Why is $PG Procter & Gamble NOT good for Dividends nowFor dividends, companies need to have a relatively stable chart, or even some ups/downs are even better, but do NOT gamble (pun intended) on price.
P&G specifically MAY have reached the bottom of the fall, and get a short-term uptrend, but after that double-top and being within a descending channel, my feeling is that the downtrend will continue.
I would NOT get this risk for a little 3% dividend.
WHY?
I use dividends as an accelerator towards Financial Freedom.
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PG - Ride the bears======
Volume
======
- neutral, healthy
==========
Price Action
==========
- Price rejected 158
- Change of trend observed
=========
Oscillators
=========
- all lines below ichimoku cloud, kumo cloud turn bearish
- MACD turning down
- StochRSI, bearish cross and entering band
- DMI Neutral
=========
Conclusion
=========
- Short to mid term setup
PG The Procter & Gamble Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PG:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 152.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-11-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Procter & Gamble Is -10% YTD. Here's Its Chart Ahead of EarningsProcter & Gamble NYSE:PG will report earnings this week at a time when its stock has fallen some 10% year to date and the consumer-goods giant has badly trailed the S&P 500 for both the one- and five-year periods. What does technical and fundamental analysis show us?
Let's see:
Procter & Gamble's Fundamental Analysis
P&G -- which owns Pampers, Gillette, Tide and many other well-known consumer brands -- plans to report Q3 results on Thursday before the bell.
The numbers will come out when the stock has shed 9.6% so far in 2025 as of Wednesday's close, compared to a 14.5% gain for the S&P 500 SP:SPX . P&G has also trailed the key index over a longer period -- for instance, gaining just 5.8% over the past five years vs. a 95.9% increase for the SPX.
The Street is looking for P&G to report $1.90 in Q3 adjusted earning per share on $22.2 billion of revenue. That would represent roughly 2% in year-over-year sales growth, but a 1.6% y/y decline from P&G's $1.93 adjusted EPS from Q3 2024.
Meanwhile, 13 of the 17 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover P&G have lowered their estimates since the quarter began, while four have left their estimates unrevised.
However, not one analyst has revised his or her estimates higher since the period began.
In fact, two analysts highly rated by TipRanks have cut P&G's price target over the past two weeks. Kaumali Garawala of Jefferies (rated at four stars out of a possible five) and Andrea Faria Teixeira of J.P. Morgan (three stars out of five) both reduced the stock's target price while reiterating "Hold" ratings on it.
Procter & Gamble's Technical Analysis
Here's P&G's chart going back 18 months and running through Monday afternoon:
Readers will first notice a large double-top pattern of bearish reversal, marked with a jagged red line and two red boxes at the chart's center above and featuring a $157 pivot. That helped produce P&G's year-to-date sell-off.
This pattern also spawned a smaller double top with a $155 pivot over the summer, marked with jagged red lines and two red boxes at the chart's right.
But despite all of that negativity, P&G's entire sell-off now presents as a falling-wedge pattern of bullish reversal, denoted with two blue diagonal lines and a blue box at the chart's right.
It doesn't look like the falling wedge is nearing a close. But if it did, the pattern's upside pivots would be P&G's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a single squiggly blue line above) and the stock's 20-day SMA (denoted with a red line).
Going forward, P&G's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line) can carry more sway with swing traders and could serve as the key to getting this stock moving towards those upside pivots.
Looking at P&G's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is reaching for neutrality after coming out of a nearly oversold condition.
Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) had been decisively bearish in posture, but suddenly looks a little bit more bullish.
The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA has just moved into positive territory after more than a month below the zero-bound. That's typically a short-term bullish sign.
That said, both P&G's 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line) remain below zero, which is historically bearish. However, the 12-day line has just curled above the 26-day line -- a bullish sign.
All in, these are mixed signals for sure.
A Simple Bull-Call Spread
Options investors who think Intel will react well to this week's earnings might employ a simple bull-call spread.
This strategy consists of a long call and a short call with a higher strike price. Here's an example:
-- Buy one call with an Oct. 24 expiration (which will be after the earnings come out) and a strike price of $152.50 (the stock's 21-day EMA). This will cost about $1.95.
-- Sell one Oct 24 call with a $155 strike (Intel's 50-day SMA) call for about $1.05.
Net Debit: $0.90.
This trade would risk $0.90 to try to gain $1.60 (the difference in the two strike prices less the set-up's net cost). If it works and INTC trades above $155 at expiration, the trader will realize a 178% profit.
But should markets have a negative reaction to earnings and the stock closes below $152.50 this coming Friday, the trader will lose $0.90. That's the maximum theoretical loss on this set-up.
And should the stock look like it will close Friday between $152.50 and $155 and the trader doesn't wany to own Intel, the person could close these options positions before Friday's trading ends.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in PG at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request.
Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy.
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Is Procter & Gamble Setting Up for a Strong Bullish Reversal?๐จ P&G Bullish Master Plan: Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy! ๐ค
๐ Asset: Procter & Gamble (PG) โ Swing/Day Trade Setup๐ Date: September 11, 2025๐ฏ Plan: Bullish Triangular Moving Average Pullback โ Confirm the Buy Trend!
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Why the Thief Strategy for PG?
The Thief Strategy is a clever, layered limit-order approach designed to capitalize on PGโs bullish momentum while navigating market traps. Backed by technical signals, solid fundamentals, and a cautious market sentiment, this plan aims to sneak in profits before the โpolice barricadeโ (resistance) stops the rally.
Hereโs why PG is ripe for a steal:
Technical Edge ๐ง : PGโs price action shows a bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup, signaling a continuation of the buy trend.
Fundamental Strength ๐ช: PGโs robust balance sheet and consistent dividends make it a defensive powerhouse, even in uncertain markets.
Market Sentiment ๐: Retail traders are bullish, while institutions remain cautious, creating a contrarian opportunity for savvy thieves.
Fear & Greed Index ๐จ: At 39 (Fear), the marketโs caution suggests undervaluation, a prime setup for a bullish swing.
๐ PG Stock Snapshot โ September 11, 2025
๐ฐ Price Overview
Daily Range: $157.05 - $158.18
Previous Close: $157.35
Market Cap: $372.16B
Yearly Range: $149.91 - $180.43
๐ Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: 51.6% Bullish ๐ข (Positive buying momentum)
Institutional Traders: 49.3% Bearish ๐ด (Cautious, mixed outflows)
Overall Mood: Neutral, leaning slightly bearish due to institutional caution
๐จ Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 39 (Fear) ๐
Insight: Indicates cautious market sentiment, with fear slightly dominating greed, suggesting potential undervaluation for contrarian traders.
๐ Fundamental Score: 7.6/10 โ
Strengths: Strong liquidity, operational efficiency, and reliable dividends.
Concerns: Inventory turnover (60.62 days), negative cash flow growth (-8.77% YoY).
๐ Macro Score: 6.8/10 โ๏ธ
Tailwinds: Stable consumer goods demand supports growth.
Headwinds: Tariff policies and geopolitical tensions may pressure global sales. Fedโs steady rates (4.25%-4.50%) could squeeze margins.
๐๐ป Market Outlook: Neutral (Hold) โ๏ธ
Bull Case: Strong fundamentals, retail buying, and dividend reliability support long-term stability ๐ข.
Bear Case: Institutional outflows and macro uncertainties suggest short-term caution ๐ด.
๐ฏ Key Takeaway: PG is a solid long-term investment with strong fundamentals, but short-term caution is advised due to mixed sentiment and macro risks. Monitor upcoming earnings and tariff developments. ๐จ
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Thief Strategy: Bullish Plan for PG
Plan Overview: Use a layered limit-order strategy to โstealโ profits on PGโs bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup. This approach maximizes entries while managing risk in a volatile market.
๐ฅ Entry:
Layered Limit Orders: Place multiple buy limit orders at $156.00, $157.00, $158.00, and $159.00 to capitalize on pullbacks.
Flexibility: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. Choose any price level within the $156โ$159 accumulation zone for entry.
Why? The triangular moving average pullback confirms bullish momentum, with support at $156โ$159 aligning with Fibonacci clusters and institutional buying zones.
๐ Stop Loss:
Thief SL: Set at $154.00 to protect against a breakdown below key support.
Note: Adjust your stop loss based on your risk tolerance and strategy. The $154 level is a suggestion, not a mandateโmanage your risk wisely, Thief OGs!
๐ฏ Target:
Primary Target: $165.00 (strong resistance zone).
Why? $165 aligns with the first resistance level and overbought conditions, where a โtrap police barricadeโ may halt the rally. Take profits early to escape with your stolen gains!
Note: Set your own take-profit levels based on your strategy. Donโt blindly follow the $165 targetโsecure profits at your discretion.
โ ๏ธ Risk Management:
Use tight risk management with layered entries to average into positions.
Consider partial profit-taking at $160 and $165, holding runners for $172 if momentum sustains.
Monitor macro developments (e.g., tariffs, Fed policy) for potential volatility.
๐ Technical Breakdown: Why Bullish?
Triangular Moving Average: PGโs price is respecting a bullish TMA structure, with a recent pullback confirming support at $156โ$159.
Fibonacci Alignment: The $156โ$159 zone aligns with a key Fibonacci cluster, reinforcing the buy zone.
Momentum Indicators: Stochastic RSI is in the bullish zone, and Rate of Change (ROC) shows increasing buying interest.
Institutional Confluence: Institutional models signal a buy with a $159.98 target, supported by technical exhaustion of the recent correction.
๐ง Why This Plan Works?
Technical Precision ๐ฏ: The TMA pullback and Fibonacci confluence provide a high-probability setup for a bullish swing.
Sentiment Edge ๐: Retail bullishness (51.6%) contrasts with institutional caution (49.3% bearish), creating a contrarian opportunity for short-term gains.
Fundamental Backbone ๐ช: PGโs 7.6/10 fundamental score highlights its resilience as a consumer staple, ideal for defensive plays.
Macro Awareness ๐: Despite tariff risks, stable consumer demand supports PGโs long-term stability, making it a safe bet for swing/day trades.
Fear & Greed Advantage ๐จ: A Fear reading of 39 suggests undervaluation, aligning with Warren Buffettโs โbe greedy when others are fearfulโ philosophy.
๐ธ Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD )
Monitor these pairs for correlated market moves:
AMEX:XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund): Tracks consumer staples like PG. Bullish XLP supports PGโs upside.
NYSE:KO (Coca-Cola): Another defensive staple with similar market dynamics.
NYSE:WMT (Walmart): Retail giant tied to consumer goods demand.
AMEX:GLD (Gold): Safe-haven asset for macro risk hedging.
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#TradingView #PG #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FearAndGreed #ConsumerStaples #StockMarket
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage risk according to your financial circumstances.
$PG sitting at demand โ 149.98 is the line in the sand. Bounce ๐งญ PG โ Trade Idea (Daily Chart)
Bias:Bearish-to-neutral short-term | Potential swing buy near demand
๐น Key Levels
Resistance Zones:
179.99 โ Major structural high (long-term supply)
171.05 โ Intermediate resistance (Fib 50% region)
165.53 โ Previous breakdown retest
Support Zones:
156.59 โ Current structure retest zone (prior support-turned-resistance)
149.98 โ Key demand zone / possible bullish response area
145.00 โ Lower demand extension
---
๐น Trade Setup
Scenario 1 โ Long from Demand (Countertrend Bounce)
Entry: 149.98 โ 150.50 (demand zone)
Stop: Below 147.50
Targets:
TP1: 156.50 (prior support retest)
TP2: 165.50 (Fib retracement + supply confluence)
R:R: โ 1:3
๐น Momentum Check
Stochastics: Oversold โ potential short-term bounce, but trend remains weak.
Structure: Price failed to hold above 156.59; repeated lower highs confirm distribution phase.
๐น Holistic Note
> โThe market pays those who wait. Let price come to you buy wholesale near demand, sell retail into supply.โ
PG at the Edge: Break or Bounce?
๐น Long-Term Overview
Since 2020, PG has been in a steady long-term uptrend, well supported by the rising blue trendline on the chart.
This trendline has acted as strong support multiple times in recent years โ and once again, the price is testing it near the $150 zone.
This area is a make-or-break level for PG. Holding above it could trigger a new rally; breaking below could lead to a deeper correction.
โณ Short-Term Outlook (1โ3 months)
PG is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, showing short-term weakness.
However, itโs sitting right on the major trendline โ meaning buyers may step in if this support holds.
Watch for a daily close to confirm direction:
A close above $155 would confirm a rebound toward $165โ$170.
A close below $148 would signal a confirmed breakdown.
๐ฏ Short-Term Targets:
Bullish: $165 โ $170
Bearish: $140 โ $132
๐ Stop-Loss:
For longs: below $148
For shorts: above $156
๐ Long-Term Outlook (6โ12 months)
Two major scenarios are forming:
Scenario 1 โ Trend Holds (Bullish)
If PG defends its long-term trendline, the broader uptrend remains intact.
This setup may evolve into a double-bottom formation, targeting new highs.
๐ฏ Long-Term Upside Targets:
First: $175
Second: $190
๐ Stop-Loss: below $145
Scenario 2 โ Trendline Break (Bearish)
If the weekly candle closes below $145, the four-year uptrend will be broken.
In that case, PG could retrace toward $130 or even $115โ$110 in an extended correction.
๐ฏ Long-Term Downside Targets:
First: $130
Second: $115
๐ Stop-Loss: above $155
Procter & Gamble (PG) | VolanX Risk-Off Outlook๐ Procter & Gamble (PG) | VolanX Risk-Off Outlook
The structure is breaking down. Price action continues to respect the descending trendline, with rejection near 160โ161.
๐ Key Levels:
Gap Fill Target: ~144.3
Secondary Extensions: 134 โ 128 (if momentum accelerates)
Risk-off mode activated until we see stabilization.
โ ๏ธ Bias: Downside pressure dominates โ if sellers stay in control, this train heads south into the gap zone.
๐ง At WaverVanir, VolanX Protocol highlights how structural breaks, liquidity gaps, and momentum alignment guide our institutional-grade positioning.
#WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #MarketIntelligence #PG #RiskManagement
PG: Final Strategy, Bought CALLS!๐ Chart Observations
Price: $157.04 (-1.19% on the day).
Fib Levels:
Key resistance zones at 159.77 (Fib 0.886) and 163.65โ167.86 (Fib extensions).
Strong support zones at 155.35 (local low) and 150.20 (weekly low).
Trend: Consolidating after a sharp rebound (yellow candles indicate indecision/possible continuation setup).
Volume: Elevated compared to July, suggesting institutional positioning.
Regression Channel + Earnings (ER): Your annotation points out alignment around $165โ168 into earnings, suggesting bullish bias.
๐ Options Play Idea (Bullish Tilt)
Primary Play: Bull Call Spread (moderate bullish)
Buy: $160 Oct 18 Call
Sell: $165 Oct 18 Call
Rationale: Cheapens cost, targets regression + ER move, defined risk.
Max Profit: Captured if PG closes โฅ $165 at expiration.
Alternative Play: Call Debit Spread + Earnings Lottery
Buy: $160 Call (Oct 18 or Nov 15 expiry)
Sell: $170 Call (same expiry)
Thesis: Stock pushes into $165โ$170 zone on ER momentum.
Hedge / Neutral Play: Iron Condor (if expecting chop until ER)
Sell: $165 Call + Buy $170 Call
Sell: $150 Put + Buy $145 Put
Rationale: Play the range if PG stalls under $165 but holds above $150.
๐งฎ Probabilistic Outlook (next 6โ8 weeks)
Bullish Continuation (55%): Grind higher into $165โ168.
Range-bound (30%): Bounce between $155โ161 until earnings clarity.
Bearish Pullback (15%): Drop to retest $150 demand zone.
๐ Best risk/reward: The $160/$165 Bull Call Spread (Oct 18) โ aligned with your regression + ER zone.
Procter & Gamble (PG) โ Technical Roadmap๐ Procter & Gamble (PG) โ Technical Roadmap
PG has completed a corrective wedge (ABCDE) on the daily chart and is now setting up for a strong breakout.
๐ Key Technicals
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + Elliott corrective wave completion
Supports: $156โ159 (accumulation zone) | $150.32 (macro invalidation)
Immediate Levels:
$161.03 โ short-term pivot
$165.29 โ first resistance
$168.68 โ breakout confirmation
$172.04 โ critical Fibonacci extension
๐ Macro Roadmap
Near-term rally toward $165 โ $172
If $172 breaks, upside expands into $190โ192 zone
Long-term ceiling sits at $200โ202 aligned with Fib 4.618 and trendline resistance
๐ฏ Trade Plan
Bullish bias while above $156
Targets: $165 โ $172 โ $190 โ $200
Stop-Loss: below $150.32
๐ Probabilistic View
Bullish continuation: ~70%
Bearish retest of $150: ~30%
๐ก Consumer staples resilience + technical exhaustion of correction points toward higher highs. Watching for confirmation at $165โ172 before scaling in for the macro move.
Technical Analysis: $PG ๐ Technical Analysis
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The chart shows a descending wedge (red lines), recently broken to the upside โ a bullish reversal pattern.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
Support zone: 159.87 โ 161.03 (blue lines).
Next resistance targets:
165.29 (Fib 1.0 extension)
168.68 (Fib 1.618 extension)
172.04 (Fib 2.0 extension)
Bullish Wave Projection (yellow path):
Suggests short-term consolidation near 161 โ breakout attempts toward 165 โ retrace โ continuation to 172.
๐ฏ Trade Levels
Entry Zone (long bias): Around 159โ161 (confirmation bounce).
Upside Targets:
TP1 = 165.29
TP2 = 168.68
TP3 = 172.04
Stop-Loss (risk management): Below 157.00 (invalidates wedge breakout).
๐ Probabilistic View
Bullish probability: ~65% (pattern breakout + Fibonacci confluence).
Bearish probability: ~35% (failure to hold above 159 support could retest wedge lows near 152).
PG (Procter & Gamble) โ Technical & Institutional Confluence๐ PG (Procter & Gamble) โ Technical & Institutional Confluence
PG is showing strong confluence between Smart Money Concepts and institutional forecasts:
๐น Entry Zone: $154โ$156 (MA bounce + Fib cluster)
๐น Stop Loss: $151 (2.8% risk)
๐น Targets:
$160 โ First profit zone (institutional model target + equilibrium supply)
$165 โ Extended technical target
$172+ โ Premium liquidity sweep if momentum sustains
๐ Institutional Forecast Model
Signal: BUY
Target: $159.98 (+2.8%)
Confidence Interval: $161โ163
Agreement: 9 of 9 bullish
๐ Key Confluence:
Technicals show FVG recovery & Fib alignment
Institutional model confirms upside bias
Risk/reward balanced near 1:1 with tight stop
โ ๏ธ Risk Management:
Partial profit at $160, scale out near $165, hold runners for $172 if macro momentum aligns.
PG Bullish Swing Setup | Breakout Brewing Above $161!๐ PG Swing Setup: Bullish Breakout Loading? ๐ฅ (2025-08-21)
๐ Multi-Model Consensus Summary
๐ Momentum: Mixed โ RSI fading, but 5-day & 10-day trends show bullish push
๐ต Volume: Weak (1.0x avg) โ no strong institutional conviction yet
โ๏ธ Options Flow: Neutral (C/P = 1.0)
๐ช Volatility: VIX 16.60 (favorable low-volatility regime)
๐ Risk: Insider selling + momentum exhaustion risk
โ
Overall Market Bias: Moderate Bullish, but needs volume confirmation for breakout.
๐ฏ TRADE PLAN
๐ฆ Instrument: NYSE:PG
๐ Direction: CALL (LONG)
๐ฏ Strike: 162.50
๐ต Entry Price: 0.81
๐ Stop Loss: 0.57 (-30%)
๐ฏ Profit Target: 1.20
๐
Expiry: 2025-09-05
โฐ Entry Timing: Market open above $161.03 resistance
๐ Size: 1 contract
๐ Confidence: 65%
โ ๏ธ Key Risks
๐จ Weak volume could kill breakout momentum
๐ Insider selling pressure
๐ฐ Macro/news shocks






















