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PRG trade ideas

PG (Procter & Gamble) – Technical & Institutional Confluence📊 PG (Procter & Gamble) – Technical & Institutional Confluence PG is showing strong confluence between Smart Money Concepts and institutional forecasts: 🔹 Entry Zone: $154–$156 (MA bounce + Fib cluster) 🔹 Stop Loss: $151 (2.8% risk) 🔹 Targets: $160 → First profit zone (institutional model target + equilibrium supply) $165 → Extended technical target $172+ → Premium liquidity sweep if momentum sustains 📈 Institutional Forecast Model Signal: BUY Target: $159.98 (+2.8%) Confidence Interval: $161–163 Agreement: 9 of 9 bullish 🔑 Key Confluence: Technicals show FVG recovery & Fib alignment Institutional model confirms upside bias Risk/reward balanced near 1:1 with tight stop ⚠️ Risk Management: Partial profit at $160, scale out near $165, hold runners for $172 if macro momentum aligns.
NYSE:PGLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
PG (Procter & Gamble): A Textbook Rebound Setup📈 PG (Procter & Gamble): A Textbook Rebound Setup Summary : Procter & Gamble just bounced right at a key support zone. The setup offers a low-risk entry with a tight stop and solid upside potential. Idea : This is one of those charts that look like they came straight out of a technical analysis textbook. After months of sideways consolidation, PG tested a major support zone around $150–155 and bounced strongly. Why does it matter? Because this level has acted as a floor multiple times, and now we see confirmation with price respecting it again. That makes it a great buy zone. 📌 Technical view: • Entry zone: $155–160 (current levels) • Stop loss: below $150 (tight risk) • First target: $180 (previous highs, realistic) • Extended target: $190 (resistance above, long-term breakout potential) 👉 That means we’re looking at roughly: • Risk: ~$8 per share (from $158 to $150) • Reward (target 1): ~$22 (from $158 to $180) • Reward (target 2): ~$32 (from $158 to $190) ✅ Risk/Reward ratio: • Target 1 → ~1:2.7 • Target 2 → ~1:4 That’s exactly the kind of asymmetry we want in trading: small controlled downside, with a much larger upside if the breakout comes. Why PG? Beyond the chart, PG is one of the most defensive consumer staples out there. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to flock to companies with strong cash flows, dividends, and stable demand. That defensive nature supports the technical rebound we’re seeing, buyers are stepping in where it makes sense. Conclusion : PG is giving us a clean technical setup: support rebound, tight stop, and clear upside targets. For swing traders, this is the type of chart where you risk little but potentially gain a lot.
NYSE:PGLong
by TopChartPatterns
2
PG Bullish Swing Setup | Breakout Brewing Above $161!🚀 PG Swing Setup: Bullish Breakout Loading? 🔥 (2025-08-21) 📊 Multi-Model Consensus Summary 📈 Momentum: Mixed — RSI fading, but 5-day & 10-day trends show bullish push 💵 Volume: Weak (1.0x avg) → no strong institutional conviction yet ⚖️ Options Flow: Neutral (C/P = 1.0) 🌪 Volatility: VIX 16.60 (favorable low-volatility regime) 📉 Risk: Insider selling + momentum exhaustion risk ✅ Overall Market Bias: Moderate Bullish, but needs volume confirmation for breakout. 🎯 TRADE PLAN 🏦 Instrument: NYSE:PG 📈 Direction: CALL (LONG) 🎯 Strike: 162.50 💵 Entry Price: 0.81 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.57 (-30%) 🎯 Profit Target: 1.20 📅 Expiry: 2025-09-05 ⏰ Entry Timing: Market open above $161.03 resistance 📏 Size: 1 contract 🔒 Confidence: 65% ⚠️ Key Risks 🚨 Weak volume could kill breakout momentum 📉 Insider selling pressure 📰 Macro/news shocks
NYSE:PGLong
by quantsignals
PG: Final Strategy, Bought CALLS!🔎 Chart Observations Price: $157.04 (-1.19% on the day). Fib Levels: Key resistance zones at 159.77 (Fib 0.886) and 163.65–167.86 (Fib extensions). Strong support zones at 155.35 (local low) and 150.20 (weekly low). Trend: Consolidating after a sharp rebound (yellow candles indicate indecision/possible continuation setup). Volume: Elevated compared to July, suggesting institutional positioning. Regression Channel + Earnings (ER): Your annotation points out alignment around $165–168 into earnings, suggesting bullish bias. 📈 Options Play Idea (Bullish Tilt) Primary Play: Bull Call Spread (moderate bullish) Buy: $160 Oct 18 Call Sell: $165 Oct 18 Call Rationale: Cheapens cost, targets regression + ER move, defined risk. Max Profit: Captured if PG closes ≥ $165 at expiration. Alternative Play: Call Debit Spread + Earnings Lottery Buy: $160 Call (Oct 18 or Nov 15 expiry) Sell: $170 Call (same expiry) Thesis: Stock pushes into $165–$170 zone on ER momentum. Hedge / Neutral Play: Iron Condor (if expecting chop until ER) Sell: $165 Call + Buy $170 Call Sell: $150 Put + Buy $145 Put Rationale: Play the range if PG stalls under $165 but holds above $150. 🧮 Probabilistic Outlook (next 6–8 weeks) Bullish Continuation (55%): Grind higher into $165–168. Range-bound (30%): Bounce between $155–161 until earnings clarity. Bearish Pullback (15%): Drop to retest $150 demand zone. 👉 Best risk/reward: The $160/$165 Bull Call Spread (Oct 18) — aligned with your regression + ER zone.
NYSE:PGLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Procter & Gamble (PG) – Technical Roadmap🚀 Procter & Gamble (PG) – Technical Roadmap PG has completed a corrective wedge (ABCDE) on the daily chart and is now setting up for a strong breakout. 🔎 Key Technicals Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + Elliott corrective wave completion Supports: $156–159 (accumulation zone) | $150.32 (macro invalidation) Immediate Levels: $161.03 → short-term pivot $165.29 → first resistance $168.68 → breakout confirmation $172.04 → critical Fibonacci extension 📊 Macro Roadmap Near-term rally toward $165 → $172 If $172 breaks, upside expands into $190–192 zone Long-term ceiling sits at $200–202 aligned with Fib 4.618 and trendline resistance 🎯 Trade Plan Bullish bias while above $156 Targets: $165 → $172 → $190 → $200 Stop-Loss: below $150.32 📈 Probabilistic View Bullish continuation: ~70% Bearish retest of $150: ~30% 💡 Consumer staples resilience + technical exhaustion of correction points toward higher highs. Watching for confirmation at $165–172 before scaling in for the macro move.
NYSE:PGLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Technical Analysis: $PG 🔎 Technical Analysis Falling Wedge Breakout: The chart shows a descending wedge (red lines), recently broken to the upside — a bullish reversal pattern. Key Fibonacci Levels: Support zone: 159.87 – 161.03 (blue lines). Next resistance targets: 165.29 (Fib 1.0 extension) 168.68 (Fib 1.618 extension) 172.04 (Fib 2.0 extension) Bullish Wave Projection (yellow path): Suggests short-term consolidation near 161 → breakout attempts toward 165 → retrace → continuation to 172. 🎯 Trade Levels Entry Zone (long bias): Around 159–161 (confirmation bounce). Upside Targets: TP1 = 165.29 TP2 = 168.68 TP3 = 172.04 Stop-Loss (risk management): Below 157.00 (invalidates wedge breakout). 📈 Probabilistic View Bullish probability: ~65% (pattern breakout + Fibonacci confluence). Bearish probability: ~35% (failure to hold above 159 support could retest wedge lows near 152).
NYSE:PGLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
PG Approaching Oversold Discount Zone Ahead of Q4 Earnings BTFD?📝 Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) is trading at $153.73 (-10.8% YTD), lagging the S&P 500’s +6.5% YTD gain. Despite recent weakness, a confluence of technical support, dividend resilience, and a looming catalyst could signal a tactical entry. Let’s break it down: 🔍 Fundamentals & Catalysts Q4 Earnings Webcast (July 29): P&G will webcast Q4 results at 8:30 AM ET, with focus on organic sales growth (guided at +2% FY25) and margin trajectory 14. EPS Expectations: Q4 consensus at $1.43 (+2.1% YoY); FY25 core EPS guided at $6.72–6.82 (2–4% growth) 410. Dividend Fortress: Quarterly payout raised to $1.0568/share (ex-div: July 18), marking 69 consecutive years of increases and a 2.75% yield 612. Payout ratio at 67% of earnings – sustainable for a consumer staple 6. Cost Pressures & Mitigation: Tariff Headwinds: $1B–$1.5B annual cost hit from U.S.-China tariffs 410. Offsets: $2.4B dividend payouts + $1.4B buybacks in Q3; 280bps gross productivity savings 10. 🌍 Macro & Risk Factors Consumer Softness: Q3 net sales fell -2% YoY; volume declines in Baby Care (-2%) and Fabric & Home Care (-1%) segments 10. Pricing Power: Average +1% pricing in Q3 (led by Grooming/Health Care), though mix/elasticity risks persist 104. Structural Shifts: Portfolio pruning (minor brand exits) and job cuts to offset tariff impacts 4. 📉 Technical Setup: Oversold with Base-Building Potential RSI 31.5 (Neutral but nearing oversold) 511. Price vs. MAs: Below all key MAs (20-day: $159.17, 50-day: $161.59, 200-day: $165.56) – signaling bearish momentum but extreme discounts 5811. Support Zone: $152–153 aligns with 52-week lows ($151.90) and the 2025 dividend-capture floor 212. MACD -1.57: Suggests potential reversal if momentum shifts 5. Technical Indicators Summary: Indicator Value Signal RSI (14) 31.45 Neutral MACD (12,26) -1.57 Buy Price vs. 200D SMA -7.1% Sell Bollinger Bands (25) $157–161.94 Sell 🎯 Probabilistic Price Targets Scenario Target Probability Rationale Bounce to 20D MA $158–160 60% Mean reversion + dividend ex-date support Reversion to 50D MA $162–164 45% Technical confluence + tariff resolution hopes Rally to 200D MA + ATH $174 25% Bull case: Macro stabilization + guidance upgrade 📌 Trade Strategy Entry: $152–154 (aligns with structural support) 28. Stop Loss: $149.50 (1–2% below July 16 low of $152.27) 2. Targets: Scale out at $160 → $164 → $174. Catalysts: Q4 earnings (July 29) + clarity on tariff mitigation 14. Position Size: Allocate 3–5% of portfolio; pair with long-volatility hedge. ⚠️ Key Risks Guidance Miss: Sluggish volumes or tariff escalation could pressure FY26 EPS projections. Technical Breakdown: Close below $151.90 invalidates support, inviting a slide to $145. Macro Sensitivity: Consumer staples underperformance if inflation rebounds. 💎 Final Take PG offers a rare combo: defensive yield (2.75%) + oversold technicals + imminent catalyst. While tariffs and consumer weakness justify caution, the $152–154 zone is a high-probability dip-buying opportunity. Earnings day vol could amplify moves – enter pre-event with tight stops. #PG #ConsumerStaples #DividendKing #EarningsPlay #Tariffs Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence.
NYSE:PGLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
Can P&G Weather the Economic Storm?Procter & Gamble, a global leader in consumer goods, currently faces significant economic turbulence, exemplified by recent job cuts and a decline in its stock value. The primary catalyst for these challenges stems from the Trump administration's tariff policies, which have directly impacted P&G's supply chain by increasing costs for raw materials and finished goods imported from China. This financial burden, estimated to be hundreds of millions of dollars, compels P&G to reassess sourcing strategies, enhance productivity, and potentially raise product prices, risking a reduction in consumer demand. In response to these escalating pressures and a noticeable slowdown in category growth rates within the U.S., P&G has initiated a substantial restructuring program. This includes the elimination of up to 7,000 jobs, representing approximately 15% of its non-manufacturing workforce, over the next two years. The company also plans to discontinue sales of certain products in specific markets as part of its broader strategic adjustments. These decisive measures aim to safeguard P&G's long-term financial algorithm, although executives acknowledge they do not alleviate immediate operational hurdles. Beyond the direct impact of tariffs, a pervasive sense of economic uncertainty and declining consumer confidence in the U.S. further complicates P&G's operating environment. Recent data indicates a sustained drop in consumer sentiment, directly influencing discretionary spending and prompting households to become more cautious with their purchases. This shift, combined with broader negative economic indicators such as rising jobless claims and increased layoffs across various sectors, creates a challenging landscape for companies reliant on robust consumer spending. P&G's immediate future hinges on its strategic agility in mitigating tariff impacts, managing pricing, and adapting to a volatile economic climate.
NYSE:PGShort
by UDIS_View
Procter&Gamble: Short-Term Strength Still Fits the PlanPG has extended its rally, pushing turquoise wave C higher. While some selling pressure is starting to show, we’re sticking with our primary view: the stock should still break above $180.43 to complete beige wave b before turning lower. However, in our 37% likely alternative scenario, beige wave alt.b would have already topped, and the stock would next drop below $148.87. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:PG
by MarketIntel
PROCTER & GAMBLE: This volatility implies a major market bottom.Procter & Gamble is neutral on both the 1D (RSI = 47.822, MACD = 0.180, ADX = 17.832) and 1W (RSI = 49.820, MACD = 0.340, ADX = 20.781) technical outlooks as despite last week's rebound and this ones early strong rise, it pulled back and is about to close the 1W candle flat. We are exactly on the 1W MA50, which inside the 2 year Channel Up has always been a fair level to go long. The 1W RSI indicates that last week's low may be the symmetric low to December 11th 2023. This kickstarted a rally that hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we are bullish long term, aiming at just under the new 1.5 Fib (TP = 190.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:PGLong
by InvestingScope
PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE)PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.33 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 170.40 Entry limit ~ 169 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 174 (+2.96%; +5 points) Stop order limit ~ 165.25 (-2.22%; -3.75 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value - hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:PGLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Harmonically Bullish on Procter and Gamble. PGXABC bullish zigzag, within a structure harmonically consistent with a developing XABCD. In harmonic reactions, retracements are often indicative of extensions to follow, which in this case is 1.618. This conveniently aligns in a Fibonacci cluster with a .886 larger retracement, consistent with a Bat Harmonic. One thing about Bats is that they are the most common and the most reliable out of the harmonic family. Interestingly, MIDAS, VZO, Stoch and BB%PCT all flipped on literally the same candle? Fractal resonance anyone?
NYSE:PGLong
by Rykin_Capital
Procter & Gamble: Target Zone Ahead!Wave in dark green has been successfully completed, creating a new support level at $157.47 with its low. PG is currently working on the countermovement of wave , and we have outlined a Target Zone for the expected top (between $171.66 and $177.84). This price range could be an opportunity to take profits from long trades or establish new short positions. However, our alternative scenario, which allows for a breakout to the upside, holds a 34% probability. If the stock manages to climb above the resistance at $180.43, this will suggest that the broader uptrend continues. In this case, the low observed would not correspond to wave in dark green, but rather to wave alt.(IV) in blue. So, potential short positions could be secured with a stop-loss set 1% above the upper boundary of our Target Zone.
NYSE:PG
by MarketIntel