PLTR Bubble Has PoppedHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re revisiting PLTR. A few weeks ago, I called this a bubble — now I believe the bubble has popped.
Price ran into profit-taking levels and is now slipping back through light demand. The ugly price action was finally squeezed, and now you have an exhaustion from buyer coming down to test the light demand.
It's important to note that although this light demand is holding, we are getting a cold reaction from this area, suggesting buyers might not be as committed as before.
Red Scenario
If buyers can’t hold this light demand zone, expect PLTR to flush deeper. The next area of interest is strong retail support around 120–125, but I don’t think that holds for long. Below that, the top of demand around 90 becomes the next stop. Ultimately, the real institutional buyers are sitting down closer to 60 — and that’s where this could be headed if momentum really unwinds.
The only way this stays bullish is if light demand holds and we get a strong bounce. That would open the door for another test of the 169 profit target zone. Without that, everything still points lower.
Longer term, I see PLTR repricing down into institutional levels. Until we see aggressive buyers step in, I’d consider this bubble popped.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
PTX trade ideas
Palantir: Approaches Key Resistance Palantir has recently posted strong gains, moving closer to our magenta Target Zone between $171.80 and $184.62, which we’ve identified as the (corrective) top of magenta wave (B). In this range, we expect the stock to reverse course and head lower, continuing the broader correction—making this a favorable area for short positions. Magenta wave (C) is then projected to reach the green Target Zone between $117.42 and $95, completing the green wave . At that point, we anticipate a more substantial corrective rebound in wave . The green zone is therefore well-suited for taking profits on short trades or initiating short- to medium-term long-positions to capture the (temporary) advance of wave . For these long trades, a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone can help manage risk.
PalantirPrice made it into the target box last Friday. If you recall, I placed this box a little under a month ago. No, price was not guaranteed to make it to this area. However, it is the STANDARD place for price to have went. Not to make it to this area would have been the exception, not the norm.
That being said, I do not think this move higher is done yet. Right now, we're seeing a reaction from the 0.618 retracement fib. I believe this is also due to price being within a micro-wave 4. If this is the case, we should get OMH with the possibility of two more if I am off by a degree. Either way, I believe we move slightly higher before completion.
The minor C wave, if price terminates within this box, should be targeting the $130's - $112 area. Time will tell, but right now, we should be focusing on the last move higher coming.
PLTR 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16PLTR Coiling Below 172 — Ready to Break or Back Off? ⚡️
Market Structure (1-Hour View)
* Sideways coil: Palantir is consolidating between 170–172 after a sharp rally from 162 earlier this week.
* Trend support: The uptrend line is holding around 168–169, giving a steady base if buyers stay engaged.
* Momentum: MACD is easing with negative bars, and Stoch RSI near 30 suggests short-term oversold conditions with a potential bounce setup.
Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance: 171.4–172.0 (immediate ceiling), 173.1, and 175.0 (gamma resistance).
* Support: 167.4, then 164.0 as the bigger demand zone.
GEX Read (Sep 16)
* Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma resistance: 175.0
* 2nd Call Wall: 172.0, 3rd Call Wall: 177.5.
* Put walls / magnets: 162.5, 157.5, 152.5.
* Options sentiment: Calls ~56%, IVR ~15.7, IVx ~56 — a healthy call bias with moderate implied volatility.
Implication:
* Dealers may aim to pin PLTR between 167 and 172 until strong flow forces a breakout.
* Hourly close >172 opens a path to 173 → 175 and potentially 177.5.
* A drop <167 could accelerate toward 164 and 162.5.
Trade Scenarios
1) Bullish Breakout
* Trigger: Hourly close >172 with rising volume.
* Entry: 172.2 on retest.
* Targets: 173 → 175 → 177.5.
* Stop: Below 170.5.
* Options: 172/175 call debit spread for a near-term swing.
2) Range Fade
* Trigger: Failure to clear 171.5 with repeated rejections.
* Entry: 171.3 short.
* Targets: 168 → 167.4.
* Stop: Above 172.5.
* Options: 171P or 171/167 put spread for a quick drop.
3) Breakdown
* Trigger: 1H close <167 with a failed retest.
* Entry: 166.8 short.
* Targets: 164 → 162.5.
* Stop: Back above 168.5.
* Options: 167/162.5 put spread if bearish momentum builds.
Scalping & Swing Notes
* First-hour trade is key: acceptance above 172 favors longs; repeated rejection favors fade setups.
* EMA/VWAP retests near 170–171 give low-risk scalps if the breakout plays out.
Risk & Management
* Implied volatility moderate, giving decent pricing for debit spreads.
* Scale out profits at first target and trail stops aggressively once price reaches 173+.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with a plan and manage risk carefully.
PLTR Setting Up for a Bounce – Sept 18 Game PlanHere’s my fresh read on Palantir for Wednesday’s session, using the 1-hour chart and current GEX data.
1️⃣ Price Action & Structure
* Quick recovery: PLTR found solid demand near $163 and pushed back toward the $170 zone, right where a descending trendline and prior supply meet.
* First ceiling: Immediate resistance sits at $170–171.2. An hourly close above this range could set up a squeeze toward $172.5–175.
* Support watch: $167.5 and $165 are key downside levels if momentum fades.
2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Check
* Balanced flow: Calls make up about 47% of options volume, better than NVDA but not screaming bullish.
* Call walls: Strong clusters at $170 and $172.5 (around 77–85% call concentration) can act as magnets if bulls follow through.
* Put defense: Next meaningful put walls sit at $162.5 and $157.5, giving PLTR a defined floor if pressure returns.
3️⃣ Trading Thoughts
* Bullish plan: Consider a starter long on an hourly close over $171.2, aiming for $172.5 and possibly $175. Stop under $167.5.
* Bearish plan: If price rejects $170 and slips below $167.5, a move back to $163 is likely, with $160 as a deeper target.
4️⃣ Option Angles
* Upside play: Short-dated call spreads (170/175) offer defined risk for a breakout.
* Neutral to cautious: Selling puts around $160 can work if you believe the $162.5 gamma wall will hold.
5️⃣ My View
Palantir is showing early strength after a healthy shakeout. If it can firmly retake $170 with volume, bulls have a clean shot to reclaim the mid-$170s. I’ll wait for that hourly confirmation before committing.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
PLTR relaunch? Watch $162-164 key Resistance to mark new BOTTOM PLTR has been accumulating above a decent support zone.
About to try a break out of resistance zone $162.22-164.59
Look for a grind through the red zone then launch on break.
.
See "Related Publications" for previous plots,
such as this $40 BOTTOM call with PERFECT levels:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
========================================================
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PLTR Weekly Call Alert: Strike $170 Ready to Soar!
🚀 **PLTR Weekly Call Alert | 2025-09-10** 🚀
**📈 Directional Bias:** Strong Bullish (70% Confidence) ✅
**Why This Trade?**
* 🔹 Daily RSI 60.1 & Weekly RSI 60.8 rising → momentum confirmed
* 🔹 Call/Put flow 2.03 → institutional call positioning
* 🔹 Breakout above prior weekly high (\$162.40)
* ⚠️ Weekly volume only 1.0x → weaker confirmation; requires active management
**💡 Recommended Trade:**
* **Instrument:** PLTR weekly CALL
* **Strike:** \$170 💰
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12
* **Entry Price (Ask):** \$0.23
* **Direction:** LONG ✅
* **Position Size:** 1 contract (scale to account risk, high-gamma weekly scalp)
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
**🎯 Targets & Stops:**
* **Profit Target:** \$0.46 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.12 (\~48%)
* **Exit Rule:** Thursday EOD if neither stop nor target hit
**⚡ Key Risks:**
* High gamma & accelerating theta → short-duration trade
* Resistance cluster near \$169 → potential collapse if fails
* Thin options, bid-ask spreads → use limit orders, expect slippage
* Tail risk: negative headlines or market sell-offs
**💎 Trade Strategy:**
* Single-leg naked call
* Lower premium (\$0.23) for higher R/R
* Optional alternative: \$167.50 call @ \$0.41 for slightly higher delta and cost
**📊 JSON Snapshot:**
```json
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 170.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 0.46,
"stop_loss": 0.12,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.23,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-11 02:07:06 UTC-04:00"
}
```
💥 **TL;DR:** PLTR bullish weekly call. Buy \$170 at open, stop \$0.12, target \$0.46, exit Thursday EOD. Small size, high-gamma scalp — limited risk, strong momentum potential!
PLTR Set to Test $172.5 Breakout — Key Levels to Watch for Sep15Market Preview
* Macro backdrop: U.S. index futures are mixed after last week’s tech-led rally. Rates and dollar steady. No major premarket shocks so far.
* Sector tone: Software and AI remain strong, with ongoing institutional call buying and high GEX levels hinting at continued interest.
Technical Analysis – PLTR
Trend & Structure (1-Hour Chart)
* Price is consolidating around $170–172 after a strong push from mid-$150s.
* Uptrend remains intact with higher highs/lows and a clean ascending channel.
Key Levels
* Support: $168.3 (short-term pivot), $164.3 (deeper retrace), $157.5 (major HVL / 3rd Put Wall).
* Resistance: $171.9 (2nd Call Wall), $176 (GEX7 zone), $182–184 (next major target).
Momentum & Indicators
* MACD on 1H is bullish and expanding.
* Stoch RSI near overbought but still supportive if price consolidates.
* Volume shows healthy accumulation on recent pullbacks.
Options/GEX Insight
* Net positive GEX with Call walls stacked at 172.5 and 180 suggests option-market makers are positioned to support upward pressure.
* IVR 13.4 and IVx ~54 indicate volatility is moderate and not overheated.
Trade Scenarios for Sept 15
* Bullish Plan:
* Entry: Break/hold above $172.5 with volume.
* Targets: $176 → $180.
* Stop: Below $168.
* Bearish/defensive (if rejection occurs):
* Entry: Loss of $168 support.
* Targets: $164 → $158.
* Stop: Above $172.
Summary
PLTR enters Monday with a firm bullish bias. A clean breakout above $172.5 can open a run toward $176–180. Watch the $168 pivot as the line in the sand for trend continuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
PLTR: Is a New Uptrend Beginning Above 165?PLTR: Is a New Uptrend Beginning Above 165?
PLTR is currently trading above the 165 Resistance level.
We need to observe if it closes above this resistance for a confirmed breakout.
A sustained close above 165 could signal the start of a new uptrend with a target of 185.
The immediate support to watch for any pullback is at 158.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Palantir Money Heist – Breakout vs Pullback, Which Side Wins?💎🔫 PLTR Money Heist Plan – Thief Trader Edition 🚀
🎯 Asset: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
🏦 Plan Type: Swing / Day Trade
⚡ Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Strategy)
🗺️ Thief Trader Heist Plan
Entry Zone (Breakout): 🔓 $162.00 ⚡
Pullback Entry: 🎯 $132.00 & above any price
🔔 Set TradingView alarms to catch the breakout easily — no excuses thieves!
Stop Loss (Breakout Entry): 🛑 $148.00
Stop Loss (Pullback Entry): 🛑 $120.00
📝 Stops are my thief levels — adjust based on your own strategy & risk.
Target: 💰 Escape vault before $184.00 – $188.00 resistance (Overbought + Trap Zone)
❓ Why This Plan? (Thief Logic)
Bullish Bias: Strong momentum around AI contracts & government adoption = upside fuel.
Breakout @162: Key resistance level tested multiple times → if broken, doors open for rapid move higher.
Pullback @132: Golden reload zone where buyers previously defended → sniper entry for risk/reward thieves.
Fear & Greed (75/100): Market greed creates volatility → perfect environment for quick thefts.
Macro Boost: AI sector tailwinds + gov contracts = solid catalysts.
Thief Rule: We don’t chase blindly — we wait for breakout confirmation or reload on pullback to maximize stolen pips.
📊 Palantir Stock Data Report (As of Sept 7, 2025)
Prev Close: $156.14
Day Change: -$3.03 (-1.94%)
After-Hours: $152.30 (-0.53%)
52-Week Range: $32.47 – $190.00 🎯
Market Cap: $363.23B 🏦
😱 Fear & Greed Sentiment
Retail Traders: 🟢 Bullish (70% optimism, AI hype + contracts)
Institutions: 🟡 Neutral (Valuation caution + competition risks)
Fear & Greed Score: 🔥 75/100 (Greed = volatility fuel)
💰 Fundamental Breakdown
Revenue (TTM): $3.44B
Net Income (TTM): $763.29M
Profit Margin: 22.18% ✅
P/E Ratio: 493.90 ⚠️ (Ultra high)
P/S Ratio: 112.41 (Overvalued vs peers)
Growth Drivers:
U.S. Commercial Rev ↑93% YoY 🚀
Gov Rev ↑49% YoY 🏛️
🌍 Macro & Market Drivers
🧠 AI Tailwinds: Massive global demand
🏛️ Gov Contracts: Potential expansion
⚔️ Competition: OpenAI + enterprise challengers
📊 Overall Market Score: 60/100 → Mildly Bullish 🐂
🔮 Key Takeaways (Thief Edition)
Short-Term: Expect heavy volatility (perfect for a thief’s quick grab).
Long-Term: Growth path strong but valuation = danger zone.
Watchlist: Q3 earnings (Nov 2025) + Gov contract headlines.
🔎 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:META (AI sector peer)
NASDAQ:MSFT (Gov + AI contracts)
NASDAQ:NVDA (AI chip leader)
NASDAQ:TSLA (Speculative momentum)
AMEX:SPY (Macro market sentiment)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#PLTR #Palantir #AIStocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefTrader #MoneyHeistPlan #StockMarket #TradingViewAnalysis
PLTR at a Crossroad: $162 Breakout or $144 Retest?
NASDAQ:PLTR The stock is consolidating around $158 after pulling back from the $188 high. Key zones and possible scenarios are highlighted:
Support levels:
$156–152 → nearest support
$144 → strong support
$126 → deeper support zone
Resistance levels:
$162–163 → breakout level to watch
$180–188 → upside target if momentum continues
Indicators:
Bollinger Bands are tightening → signaling a potential breakout.
MACD is curling upward after a bearish phase → early sign of a possible reversal.
Scenarios:
• 🟢 Bullish: breakout above $162 could open the way to $180–188.
• 🔴 Bearish: drop below $156 could push price towards $144.
Short-term moves may be strongly influenced by upcoming U.S. macro data (CPI & Fed expectations).
For Those Trading PalantirPLTR has greatly accelerated it's growth trend lines. Right now PLTR is almost 3 years ahead of it's main long term trend line. What this means is upside potential is diminishing.
I see a lot of long charts for PLTR and wanted to share that support is actually at $134. So if you're a PLTR trader, looking to buy, that's the best area to do it.
If however you're looking to sell, then $230 is your spot.
I feel like people buying PLTR are playing a bit with fire as the fast gains are likely gone and eventually a return to the long term trend line is likely. I don't see that happening at least until IXCO runs into resistance, so until then $134 is the buy area.
Good luck!
PLTR Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* PLTR is trading around 153.6, down nearly -2% after a sharp pullback from the 160 rejection zone.
* Price is consolidating sideways after defending the 152 support area.
* Trendline from earlier lows still holding, but momentum remains weak in the short term.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 154.3–156.1 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 160.0 → Major Gamma resistance + Call Wall.
* 162.5–167.5 → Upper resistance cluster with stacked Call Walls.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 152.3 → Key intraday support.
* 150.0 → HVL + strong Put Support.
* 145.0 → 140.0 → Secondary Put Walls (deeper cushion).
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Leaning mildly bullish, but with strong resistance near 160 Gamma Wall.
* IVR: 14.2, slightly elevated, meaning options are pricing moderate volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 160 = Heavy Call resistance cap.
* 150 = Strong Put support anchor.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover active, momentum fading.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and attempting to turn upward → possible bounce setup if 152 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 152 holds):
* Bounce from 152–153 support, push through 154.3–156.1.
* Next upside targets: 160 test, then extension to 162.5–167.5 if squeeze develops.
Bearish Case (if 152 breaks):
* Breakdown below 152 brings price to 150 support.
* If 150 fails, extension to 145.0–140.0 Put Walls.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor entries near 152–153 support, targeting 156 → 160.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 156–160, stops above 161.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 150.0.
* Shorts → above 161.0.
Summary
PLTR is in a neutral-to-bearish short-term setup, holding just above 152 key support. If bulls can defend this zone, upside retest toward 156–160 Gamma Wall is possible. A failure under 152 shifts bias bearish, exposing 150–145 downside. Options flow shows capped upside at 160, but solid downside protection at 150.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
Palantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATHPalantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATH.
Palantir has recently taken a breather following an impressive upward rally. The stock surged from the $66 level on April 7th this year to reach a new all-time high of $190.
As expected, no asset moves parabolically upward forever without a retracement.
Over the past week, Palantir has been experiencing a pullback, with today’s session showing a decline of over 6%. The stock is currently trading around $161.
From a technical perspective, I am eyeing two potential entry zones — $160 and $150. Both levels align closely with the Fibonacci 50% and 61.8% retracement areas, making them significant points of interest for a possible rebound.
As always, I take a medium- to long-term approach to my trades, as patience is often the key to capturing real value in strong stocks.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, share, and connect with me. Let’s continue building a strong TradingView community together.
PLTR $162.5C — Smart Money Loading, Can Price Catch Up?"
# 🔥 PLTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 📉 Neutral-to-Slight Bearish (price action)
**But...** 📊 Options Flow = Strongly Bullish (C/P 1.66)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐ (50% speculative)
---
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ❌ **Momentum:** Daily RSI 36.3 falling → bearish pressure
* ❌ **Volume:** 0.8× avg → no institutional confirmation
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P 1.66) → divergence vs price
* ✅ **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15.2) → cheap calls, low gamma risk
* ⚖️ **Consensus:** Most models = *no trade*, but speculative call flow play is possible
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Flow Play)
* **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:PLTR
* **Direction:** CALL (naked)
* **Strike:** \$162.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$0.96 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.60
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.48
* **Size:** 1 contract (small, strictly sized)
* **Entry Timing:** Open
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* Options traders buying aggressively → possible **short-squeeze / bounce**.
* Weak volume + bearish RSI = technical headwind.
* This is a **tactical, high-risk punt**, not a conviction swing.
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* 📉 Downtrend may dominate → option decays fast.
* ⏳ 5 DTE = heavy theta decay midweek.
* 💸 Spread/slippage risk at open.
* 📰 Macro/news can flip flow instantly.
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 162.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.50,
"profit_target": 1.60,
"stop_loss": 0.48,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.96,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 06:53:26 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 **Summary:**
This is a **flow vs. trend battle.**
Price says bearish 📉, options traders say bullish 📈.
Take the \$162.5C as a **small-size speculative punt** → defined risk, fast exit.
PLTR short update PLTR has been on a decline finally after a historic run. The stock had a clear reversal candle. I am working the OBV indicator back into my strategy and the channel looks tested to the downside, this is another momentum indicator but I find patterns are easier to spot on it. You can also note divergences. I think we go to 120 here in the coming weeks or the green demand box near 80$.
Palantir (PLTR) Fractal AnalysisOver 180 days, PLTR climbed aggressively, fueled by high conviction buying. With candlesticks showing strong green bodies and upside momentum, peaking near the $190 52-week high.
This analysis focuses on the fractal comparison in the chart, forecasting an extended bearish phase that could drag the stock significantly lower before any stabilization.
I predict PLTR enters an extended correction phase. This fractal symmetry suggests the downside could match or exceed the prior upside's duration and magnitude, projecting a measured move toward $65 or lower
Hello Trader, long time no see for tomorrow PLTR: 176.97Bullish entry 180.00/182.00 with possible target 188.00/190.00
Bearish technical entry below 176.00 to 172.00. This last price would reverse the previous bullish trend and could also function as a rebound price.
If it were to fall below 172.00, we would enter bearish below 170.00.
There is no major economic report for tomorrow. Also, remember it's Friday.