Trade ideas
$TSLAHi we are back again with another banger: NASDAQ:TSLA
This is not financial advice but it is very much just key insight.
Here we have NASDAQ:TSLA trading at $462.07 with a potential %, which can bring 100%+ in profits.
Elon musk is doing great things for humanity, and TSLA is going to be a pillar of earths future success. With saying that we know Elon wont let earth of his NASDAQ:TSLA share holders down.
Possible bull market until the end of 2026 which is where we can start to see a break down in trend which would possibly be above $1000+ per share.
Don't forget to use your NASDAQ:TSLA shares to vote today :)
Thank You Elon Musk for everything !!
Don't forget to Comment Like & Share with a friend for good luck, peace out !!
$TSLA: Gravity Reasserts ItselfGreetings, traders.
The NASDAQ:TSLA chart is currently painting a picture of a profound test of market physics. This isn't a "battle"; it's a conflict of impersonal forces.
On one side, we have "Lift"—the powerful, almost unnatural force of a narrative focused on AI, robotics, and a limitless future. This force defies traditional valuation and pushes the price to high altitudes.
On the other, we have "Gravity"—the undeniable, constant pull of fundamental reality, which just made itself known in the Q3 earnings report.
The chart is our laboratory, and we are here to observe these forces at work.
The Technical Landscape
The Macro View: The weekly chart shows the narrative's 'Lift' failing at a critical altitude. The price has been decisively rejected from the " gravitational ceiling " of its multi-year ascending channel (approx. $480-$500). This is a level where the weight of reality has consistently proven too strong. The most recent large, bearish candle is not an attack; it is simply the pull of gravity reasserting its dominance over upward momentum.
The Tactical View: The daily chart shows why this 'Lift' is failing. We saw a classic bearish MACD divergence on the final push to the highs—price floated higher, but the underlying force (momentum) was fading. The MACD has now crossed bearishly, confirming the shift. Price is now coiled in a tight daily wedge, a tactical "decision point" where we will see if 'Lift' can be re-established or if 'Gravity' will take full control.
The Philosophy: A Tale of Two Forces
To understand NASDAQ:TSLA $, you must understand the two opposing forces that define its physics.
The 'Lift' (The Narrative Camp): The bull case is a qualitative vision. It's about Robotaxis, Optimus, and AI. This crowd is rightfully unconcerned with a single quarter's auto margins because, in their view, they are buying a different company—one that exists 10 years in the future. Their conviction is deep and provides a powerful upward force.
The 'Gravity' (The Quantitative Camp): The bear case is a spreadsheet. It's about the "now." The Q3 earnings report is the catalyst for this "counter-force."
EPS Miss ($0.50$ vs $0.53$) Severe margin compression from aggressive price cuts. A fundamentals-based valuation (e.g., Morningstar's $250 FVE) that is miles away from the current price.
This setup is a clear piece of the puzzle.
It shows what happens when the powerful force of 'Lift' (Narrative) reaches its apex and meets the immovable, constant pull of 'Gravity' (Macro Supply + Fundamental Reality). At this specific junction, 'Gravity' is in control.
An Illustrative Setup
We do not predict; we observe and we react.
The confluence of a failing 'Lift' at a 'gravitational ceiling,' combined with the new "weight" of a fundamental catalyst, provides a high-probability, asymmetric setup. This is not about being "right"; it is about defining risk.The chart illustrates a potential short setup based on this confluence:
Entry: ~ $435.00$ (Sell Short)
Stop-Loss: ~ $486.00$
Target: ~$282.00$
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~3
The confirmation for this thesis would be a breakdown from the daily wedge (around $430), signaling that 'Gravity' has taken firm hold.The stop-loss at $486$ is the "escape velocity" point. If the price breaks above it, the 'Lift' force has overcome 'Gravity,' the thesis is invalidated, and we step aside.
One cannot argue with the market's physics.
Respect the level; it is your anchor to reality.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Tesla - Stay patient and don’t rush in 🔮 Tesla (TSLA) – Long-Term Weekly Outlook
Based on the weekly timeframe, Tesla has completed its historical bullish cycle, topping out at $488.54, and has since entered a major corrective phase that has lasted for nearly two years.
This structural correction now appears to be in its final stages, as the price consolidates within what looks like a clear institutional accumulation zone.
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⚙️ Key Technical Zones
The 2020 Point of Control (POC) around $219.42 represents the core price level that supported Tesla’s previous major rally.
The long-term ascending trendline passes right through this area, reinforcing it as a major structural support.
Just below lies the $183–$185 region, which marks a powerful confluence zone of:
Fibonacci 0.786 retracement,
a historical VWAP level near $183.60, and
the beginning of a strong volume node on the profile.
> This region is what institutions often refer to as the “final accumulation zone” — where large investors quietly rebuild positions before the next expansion phase begins.
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📉 Expected Scenario Before the Next Rally
During the first quarter of 2026, Tesla is expected to experience one last corrective leg, gradually pulling back toward the $185 level, which aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.
This move will likely act as a liquidity sweep — shaking out late buyers and triggering stop-losses — before institutions start accumulating heavily again.
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💰 Smart Buying Zone
Optimal entry range: $183 – $190
Entry confirmation: A strong bullish weekly candle with rising volume emerging from the support zone
Protective stop: Weekly close below $170
Projected upside targets:
1. $295
2. $340
3. $396
4. $475
5. $520
These represent the key stages of Tesla’s expected bullish recovery cycle for 2026–2027.
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🧠 Institutional Perspective
Large funds (“the whales”) are patiently waiting for this final phase of the correction to rebuild their long-term positions at discounted prices.
Between March and May 2026, the accumulation process is expected to complete, marking the beginning of Tesla’s next major bull cycle.
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✅ Summary
The final downside scenario projects a move to around $185,
right at the 0.786 Fibonacci level — the last golden buying zone before the next historical rally begins.
⏳ Recommendation:
> Stay patient and don’t rush in — the real buying opportunity will come with the whales 🐳
in the $183–$185 zone, where smart money quietly re-enters the market.
TSLA Plunging? The Fake Rebound Before the Real Crash!Tesla (TSLA) is entering a challenging phase as a wave of negative news hits from both fundamental and technical sides. Sales in China — Tesla’s second-largest market — have dropped to their lowest level in three years , sparking fears that real demand for EVs is cooling. At the same time, Elon Musk’s massive $1 trillion compensation package has raised concerns among investors who believe Tesla’s current valuation far exceeds its actual profit potential.
On the daily chart, TSLA is showing clear signs of weakness after an extended uptrend. The price is now testing the medium-term ascending trendline around the $430 zone . If buying pressure fails to hold this level, there’s a strong chance the price will break the trendline and enter a deeper correction phase .
In the short term, Tesla could continue to drop toward the $400 area , where strong support and the Ichimoku cloud base converge. Any rebounds, especially near the $450 resistance zone, should be viewed as opportunities for sellers to re-enter rather than signs of recovery.
Tesla / Palantir Fractal STILL playing out STRANGELY ACCURATEMillions of people
...buying Trillions of dollars of assets
...at random times
...on random days
but somehow these 2 assets move together on the x-axis & the y-axis??
Cansomeone explain this to me mathematically?
May the Truth be with you.
TSLA-Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)TSLA Weekly Grind Into Call Walls – Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)🚀
WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
TSLA continues its broader bullish expansion on the weekly, confirming a strong BOS over prior swing highs. The previous CHoCH signal was neutralized quickly, and price reclaimed its multi-month trend. This behavior suggests smart money has been accumulating below $400, not distributing. Every dip toward structure is met with aggressive absorption.
Liquidity remains stacked below $368–$380 — that’s the major sweep zone if the market wants to reset. Above, we’re probing into fresh supply pockets where early profit-taking tends to show up.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Key weekly demand sits at:
• $368–$380
Next deeper mitigation zone:
• $214–$240 (nuclear flush level, unlikely near-term)
Supply is forming in the $470–$490 band. That’s where we saw previous structural stalling and stop-hunts. A breakout through that area tends to squeeze because overhead liquidity thins dramatically into $500+.
3. Indicator Confluence
The 9EMA is pressing above the 21EMA with a positive slope. Momentum remains constructive. MACD histogram is gaining green bars — sign of acceleration rather than exhaustion. Stoch RSI is elevated, but trending with price rather than diverging.
Volume is rising on bullish candles, falling on red — healthy expansion.
4. Weekly Tone
As long as price holds above $450, bulls maintain continuation potential. Below that, sentiment can shift quickly.
DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
Daily structure remains bullish inside a rising channel. We’ve seen clean swings respecting both upper and lower bands. A minor CHoCH attempt formed last week but failed — price reclaimed structure and printed another bullish push.
Smart money likely accumulated around $443–$447, intentionally sweeping intraday liquidity.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand blocks:
• $443–$446 (recent defense cluster)
• $420–$425 (major re-accumulation base)
Supply blocks:
• $470.75 and $488.54
These levels are littered with trapped short sellers — perfect squeeze fuel if reclaimed.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA is curling upward again after a brief flattening. This typically telegraphs another leg. 21EMA remains supportive. MACD histogram is transitioning with softer red bars — momentum is attempting to flip. Stoch RSI just curled from the bottom band — a strong short-term tailwind.
Volume is building — no signs of distribution.
4. Daily Tone
As long as we hold the mid-channel, upside targets remain active. A close above $470 opens the door to $488+ momentum rotation.
15-MINUTE INTRADAY STRUCTURE
1. Market Structure
On the 15m we printed a clean CHoCH → BOS sequence into the afternoon. Buyers responded aggressively after sweeping liquidity near $444. That wick was engineered — too clean to be random.
We’re currently compressing into a small consolidation shelf just below $457.80. A breakout from this range can run quickly, especially during the morning session when algo volatility peaks.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand intraday:
• $453.50–$454.30 (first bounce zone)
• $443.70–$444.50 (deep retest)
Supply intraday:
• $457.50–$460.00 (thin liquidity + short triggers)
Above that, things get slippery.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA has crossed above 21EMA on the micro timeframe. MACD histogram is curling back toward zero, preparing for potential bull expansion. Stoch RSI is lifting — early signal before momentum enters.
4. Intraday Tone
Expect a morning liquidity grab — minor dip, then reversal if demand holds. If price immediately rejects from $458 with heavy volume, avoid chasing.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) & OPTIONS SENTIMENT
Gamma structure favors upside skew. Notable call walls:
• $467
• $480
• $500
These behave like resistance magnets — price accelerates into them, but sticky walls can cap continuation.
On the downside:
• $435 is serving as major put support
Break it, and dealer hedging flips negative.
Dealer behavior this week:
• Above $457 → hedging becomes supportive, fueling squeezes.
• Below $445 → hedging flips bearish, accelerating direction.
Max pain gravitates toward $450. That’s why price keeps pulling back into that zone — the options market likes to magnetize into pain.
Best ways to play inside this structure:
• Directional call scalps above $457.50
• Debit spreads for controlled risk
• Neutral premium if price chops $450–$456 midweek
TRADE SCENARIOS (Nov. 3–7)
✅ Bullish Setup
Trigger: Break and hold above $457.80
Entry: Retest $457–$457.30
Targets: $467 → $480 → possible $488 wick
Stop: Below $454.00
Invalidation: Failure to reclaim 9EMA on 15m after breakout
✅ Bearish Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below $445** with volume**
Entry: Retest $445–$446
Targets: $435 liquidity sweep → $420 OB
Stop: Above $448.50
Invalidation: Strong reclaim of 15m structure
CLOSING OUTLOOK
TSLA is setting up with bullish intent, but it’s running into layered supply and options-driven friction overhead. If bulls can convert $457 into support, this can squeeze into $467 and potentially push $480 where call walls cluster.
If the market decides to hunt liquidity, $445 is the first trapdoor.
Personally, I’m watching the channel midline. If buyers defend it, momentum strategies are favored. If we break it, expect a multi-day rotation lower.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade your plan, manage your risk, and stay disciplined.
TSLA – Expanding Diagonal in Progress Tesla (TSLA) appears to be forming an Expanding Ending Diagonal pattern on the 1-hour chart, suggesting the final stages of a larger impulsive structure. Wave (V) seems to be unfolding with internal subdivisions visible, possibly targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension near 505 before a sharp reversal.
Key observations:
Structure resembles a textbook expanding diagonal (5-3-5-3-5).
Wave 4 found support near the lower trendline.
Wave 5 projection aims toward the 500–505 area.
Expecting a potential pullback or reversal once the diagonal completes.
TSLA 3-Drive & ABCD Pattern – Path to $500 Before a PullbackThis chart highlights multiple harmonic and Elliott structures aligning for a potential bullish extension in Tesla (TSLA). A well-defined ABCD pattern and 3-Drive pattern suggest momentum building toward the $500 zone, supported by Fibonacci projections and channel resistance.
The current wave structure points to an imminent 5-wave advance, likely completing the “Drive 3” and pattern D confluence area near $500–505. Following that move, a corrective pullback (ABC) is anticipated, possibly retesting prior support near $440–400.
Key elements featured:
ABCD completion zone: around $500
3-Drive pattern: confirming exhaustion at upper trendline
Elliott 5-wave projection: short-term bullish continuation
Possible corrective phase: after the final wave up
📈 Watching for confirmation of Wave iii and potential exhaustion signals near $500 before considering downside setups.
TSLA: one more leg down potential NASDAQ:TSLA
Watching for one more leg down into the 430–400 mid-term support zone to potentially complete the corrective structure, if price remains unable to break out above the October/November highs.
Chart:
Alternatively, if price manages to break-out and stay above above recent resistance, odds favor continuation to 555-630 resistance zone.
Chart:
Previously:
• On macro bottoming potential (Jun 6):
tradingview.com
• On support (Sep 19):
• On mid-term support (Oct 7):
TSLA shorts may get toastedA rising trendline acting as strong dynamic support from the August lows.
Resistance zone near $470–475 (yellow line, recent double-top area).
Current price at $456, holding above trendline support.
Support floor near $290, far below current levels — indicating we’re in a mid-term uptrend phase, not deep correction.
This pattern fits a rising channel consolidation near resistance — the next move depends on whether the trendline holds.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Setup:
TSLA is holding the ascending trendline while consolidating just below resistance — a classic bullish continuation structure.
Confirmation Triggers:
Break and daily close above $470–475 (clear breakout).
Follow-through volume or a strong gap-up session confirming momentum.
Short-Term Targets:
$490–495 → initial breakout target (projected move from last swing).
$510–520 → extended target if buyers sustain momentum.
Catalysts:
Broader tech strength (QQQ, NASDAQ rally).
Positive EV demand data or production updates.
Institutional accumulation at the breakout level.
Invalidation:
Break and close below $445, violating trendline support.
Probability: ~60% (uptrend intact, momentum favors bulls).
📉 Bearish Scenario
Setup:
If TSLA fails to break $470 again and loses the $445 trendline, momentum could unwind toward prior support.
Confirmation Triggers:
Close below $445 with increased volume.
Failed retest near $450–455 forming lower high.
Short-Term Targets:
$420–425 → first support zone from early October.
$390–400 → deeper correction toward base of last breakout.
Catalysts:
Weak market sentiment or NASDAQ pullback.
Negative headlines on delivery numbers or margins.
Broader EV sector weakness.
Invalidation:
Breakout above $475 with strong follow-through.
Probability: ~40% (depends on strength of support at $445).
⚖️ Neutral / Sideways
If TSLA oscillates between $445–475, expect continued range consolidation along the trendline — typically preceding a directional breakout in 1–2 weeks.
🧩 Summary Table
Bias Confirmation Target Zone Invalidation Notes
Bullish Close > $475 $490 → $520 < $445 Continuation of uptrend
Bearish Close < $445 $425 → $400 > $475 Trendline break
Neutral Range $445–475 — — Coiling near apex
🕒 2–3 Week Projection
Bullish path: Hold $450–455 → breakout above $475 → reach $495–500 by mid-Nov.
Bearish path: Reject $470 → break below $445 → pull back to $420 by late Nov.
Tesla IdeaShort to
430 then
up again
___________________________
summary
Tesla, Inc. continues to make bold promises about autonomous driving, robotaxis, Cybercab, and Optimus robots that remain unfulfilled or face legal and technological barriers.
TSLA's $1.5 trillion valuation is extremely high at a 348X Forward GAAP P/E, making the stock risky if Elon Musk's ambitious vision fails to materialize.
Despite repeated delays, broken promises, and shifting timelines, somehow investor enthusiasm for TSLA persists, driven by Musk's compelling narrative.
TSLA investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough due diligence rather than relying solely on Musk's visionary promises.
I continue to recommend a strong sale or even a long-term short of TSLA stock
Tesla at a Breakout Crossroad
The Tesla (TSLA) daily chart shows a classic Cup & Handle pattern nearing a critical resistance zone. The key level sits around $450, aligning with a long-term descending trendline (in blue).
Technical Overview:
General Trend:
Since early 2025, TSLA has been in a steady uptrend.
The 50-day moving average (SMA 50) near $220 acts as strong dynamic support and is still trending upward.
The structure indicates Tesla is finishing the “handle” phase of the pattern — a decisive moment is approaching.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks and holds above $450 with strong volume, it would confirm the Cup & Handle breakout.
Potential upside targets:
Short-term target: $503
Mid to long-term target: $565 (based on cup depth projection)
Stop loss: Below $410
A breakout above $450 could trigger a strong continuation rally as investors re-enter on technical confirmation.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above $450 and a drop below $410 could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a deeper correction.
Potential downside targets:
Short-term target: $375
Long-term target: $320
Stop loss: A confirmed close back above $445
This would suggest that the handle failed, and selling pressure could accelerate toward lower supports.
Timeframe Summary:
Short-term (1–3 weeks):
Expect consolidation between $410–$450, with bias toward a breakout if the tech sector remains strong.
Long-term (3–6 months):
A confirmed breakout above $450 opens the path toward $565.
If rejected, expect a correction toward $375, possibly forming a new accumulation base.
Tesla Wave Analysis – 30 October 2025
- Tesla reversed from the key resistance level 467.30
- Likely to fall to support level 415.60
Tesla recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 467.30 (which stopped the previous impulse wave I at the start of October) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from April.
The downward reversal from this resistance level 467.30 is likely to for the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star Doji – strong sell signal for Tesla.
Given the strength of the resistance level 467.30 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Tesla can be expected to fall toward the next support level 415.60 (low of waves ii, c and a).
TeslaI have taken 2 time frames to get confused. 😇 The 15-minute time frame shows a resistance breakout out and the hourly time frame shows a descending channel resistance.
It is always better to take less risky trade entries.
If the price is unable to break the channel's resistance and fall, watch whether the price is showing bullish strength around the 440 to 444 zone. If there is bullish strength, buy above 445 with the stop loss of 440 for the targets 449, 454, 459 and 464.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Is Tesla Setting Up for a Rebound? Key Entry Levels Inside🎯 TSLA: The "Thief Strategy" Playbook | Swing/Day Trade Setup 📈
🔥 Quick Overview
Asset: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
Strategy Type: Thief Layering Entry Method
Risk Level: Medium-High (Swing/Day Trade)
💰 The "Thief" Entry Strategy Explained
The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders (layering method) to accumulate position at different price levels. Think of it like setting traps at various floors of a building—you catch opportunities wherever price decides to visit! 🎣
📊 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders):
Layer 1: $430.00
Layer 2: $435.00
Layer 3: $440.00
💡 You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite and account size. The beauty of layering? You average your entry and reduce timing risk!
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL: $415.00
⚠️ Important Note: This is MY stop loss level based on the Thief Strategy framework. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance and account management rules. Trade at your own risk—make money, take money, manage wisely!
🎯 Target (TP):
Primary Target: $490.00
🚨 Why $490? This zone represents a confluence of:
Strong resistance area
Potential overbought conditions
Historical trap zone where bulls get exhausted
📢 Thief OG's Reminder: I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit only at my TP level. If you see profits that make you smile, SECURE THEM! 💵 The market gives, and the market takes. Be greedy when you can, be smart always.
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown
Tesla is showing bullish momentum structure with potential for continuation toward the $490 resistance zone. The layering strategy allows us to build position as price potentially dips into demand zones before the next leg up.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: $430-$440 (Our entry layers)
Invalidation: Below $415 (Stop loss)
Resistance Target: $490
📌 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Understanding correlated assets helps confirm your thesis:
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
TSLA often moves with broader market sentiment
Watch SPY for overall risk-on/risk-off environment
NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF)
Tech-heavy index where TSLA is a major component
Strong correlation with TSLA price action
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA)
Both are high-beta tech growth stocks
Often move together during risk appetite shifts
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Inverse correlation: Strong dollar = pressure on growth stocks like TSLA
Weak dollar = tailwind for equities
💡 Key Point: If SPY/QQQ are bullish + DXY weakening = Strong confirmation for TSLA upside!
⚡ Trading Tips for Thief OG's
Don't FOMO — Let price come to your layers
Manage position size — Each layer should be equal weight
Trail your stop — Once profitable, protect gains
Watch volume — Confirm breakouts with volume spikes
Stay flexible — Market conditions change; so should you!
🎬 Final Words
This setup is all about patience, precision, and profit extraction! 🎯 The Thief Strategy isn't about stealing from the market—it's about being SMART and setting yourself up for success with calculated entries.
Remember: The best trades are the ones where you're prepared, not scared! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#TSLA #TeslaStock #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeringStrategy #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingCommunity
Tesla Stock: Poised for a MASSIVE CRASH? Buckle Up!🚀 Tesla Stock: Poised for a MASSIVE CRASH? Buckle Up! 📉
🔥 Explosive Technical Breakdown!
On the 4-hour timeframe, Tesla is teetering on the edge! A break below $411.42 screams a BEARISH SETUP! 🚨 But hold up – this only kicks in if the price fails to BLAST through $454.43 resistance.
💥 Bigger Picture? It’s BRUTAL! Tesla just SMASHED a critical support level, paving the way for a VICIOUS DOWNtrend! Bears are circling, and the stage is set for a MELTDOWN! 😈
Will Tesla CRUMBLE or pull a last-second escape? Who’s next to get WRECKED?
🚀 Analysis + LIGHTNING-FAST Signals? Follow NOW! ✅
📊 Want a GOLD Decision-Making Chart? Smash LIKE! ✅
💬 Got Thoughts? Comment – Replying to the BEST! ✅






















