TASI IS GOING BEARISHAs you can notice on the chart, TASI as I told you in older posts, it grabbed the LQ at 12,302.190-12,333.861, gave us an entry point and now it is heading towards the level 11591.374 where it will grab the LQ.
For the people who have already bought, you can close and enjoy your profits, and for those who are willing to buy, the wise thing to do is hold your funds.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
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TASI trade ideas
$TASI | Bearish Retracement Play After Reaching Key TA TargetsTADAWUL:TASI | Bearish Retracement Play After Reaching Key Technical Targets
📉 Trade Setup:
I have entered a short position on TADAWUL:TASI based on fundamental analysis (FA), anticipating upcoming challenges in the financial system, which could pressure the stock market globally. Additionally, from a technical standpoint, the index has already met its key targets from $10K to $12.8K, signaling a potential retracement.
Trade Details:
🔹 Entry: 12,500
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 12,550
🔹 Take Profit (TP) Levels:
• TP1 (30%) → 11,590
• TP2 (20%) → 11,325
• TP3 (20%) → 10,990
• TP4 (30%) → 10,030
Technical & Fundamental Outlook:
• The market has extended significantly from $10K to $12.8K, reaching exhaustion zones.
• Economic uncertainty and potential systemic challenges could trigger a market correction.
• Expecting TADAWUL:TASI to retrace and mirror the prior upward move.
📊 Risk Management:
• Tight SL at 12,550 ensures controlled risk.
• Profit-taking at multiple levels to lock in gains progressively.
📝 Thoughts? Drop your insights below! 🚀📉
Morning Star formation Morning Star formation on Weekly TF which is
actually a positive sign.
However, sideways channel is there on Daily TF.
Crossing 12430 may lead it towards 12700 - 12780 initially
& then towards 13870 - 13997.
Also, 0.618 has been tested of the recent rally.
13211 is a Very Strong Resistance that if Crossed
& Sustained will expose New Highs towards
16500 & 17800.
UPDATE ON TASIA month ago, I posted that TASI will continue going lower to reach 11,439.529, and it came up the grab the LQ at 12182.412 now it will continue lower.
Again this movements fooled some people and bought higher now they're in losses and looking for how to recover.
Don't buy TASI now, wait for it to quit the consolidation level then you can buy.
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DON'T BUY TASIAs you can notice on the chart, TASI filled the Price Gap we had at 12,152.282-12,229.265. Now it is heading towards the Liquidity level at 11,439.529.
If you already bought on TASI sell your shares and wait for the next entry,and if you're welling to buy it's ot the right time to do so. You can check on the other stocks I posted and buy on them and follow me for more trades on Saudi Stock Market!
TASI: HISTORICAL ANALYSIS WITH A LONG TERM STRATEGIC PLANHistorical data analysis of TASI, since its beginning in 1985, shows a peculiar pattern wherein trading TASI for only 6 months in a year for 10 consecutive years yields higher or similar returns compared to buy & hold strategy during the same period.
So a profitable strategic trading plan can be made with following
Key highlights:
50% capital exposure to the market: trading will be carried out only 6 months out of 12 months.
Higher or similar returns when compared to buy & hold strategy for the duration of plan (10 consecutive years).
Back testing results since 1985 have shown increase in returns with the rate of 8.8%, 16% & 43%.
Returns for the last trading plan (2014-2024) have exceeded 100%: the capital in 2014 would have doubled in 2024 using the strategy.
A balanced strategy incorporating the best of both ‘trading’ and ‘investing’ worlds. No worries about daily price action or getting out of trade due to stop loss, while also having the leisure and cash-in-hand for half of the year.
A long term plan: 10 consecutive years but only 6 months in each year will be traded.
If you like to access the trading plan in full details (with back testing proof in pdf & excel workbook), please reach out to me at: umairx88@gmail.com. Bear in mind that the month of November is not only included in the plan rather it is one of the crucial months of the plan.
TASI - ABCD HARMonic patternThe index is undergoing a corrective wave influenced by various external factors, including oil prices and fears of entering a recession. This situation puts pressure on several key sectors, especially petrochemicals and cement. However, we expect the correction wave to complete near the support levels shown in the chart. Once stability is maintained above these levels, we anticipate a new rise targeting 12100, then 12350, and finally 12700.
TASI: At Resistance_Sideways ExpectedTASI is receiving resistance from 12,325 level (a significant level).
Gap up opening was filled yesterday and the downtrend continues after taking correction from the specified resistance level (12,325).
Profit booking due to Week and Month closure will also drag the index down further to the levels of 12,000.00 (A significant/psychological support level).
It is expected that the price may remain sideways for a while between these two levels 12,000 to 12,325 (a good sign to build up foundation for further upside movement).
On weekly timeframe, price is moving in the same way (flipped) as in recent past.
Watchout for September events in US market.
Overall, We are Bullish on TASI.
Trade individual stocks with proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
TASI | Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Potential DownsideThe TASI (Tadawul All Share Index) is currently exhibiting a bearish flag pattern on its chart, signaling a potential continuation of the existing downtrend. This pattern typically forms after a significant decline (flagpole), followed by a consolidation period (flag), and often precedes a further downward movement.
Pattern Description:
The bearish flag pattern on the TASI index chart is characterized by:
*Flagpole: A sharp decline in price, indicating strong selling pressure.
*Flag: A consolidation phase where the price moves within a channel, forming a downward sloping parallel channel.
Technical Indicators and Observations:
*Breakdown Confirmation: The pattern suggests that if the index breaks below the lower boundary of the flag pattern, it could trigger additional selling pressure.
*Target Projection: Upon a confirmed breakdown below the flag, technical analysis principles suggest a potential downside target approximately around the support level of 11,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: Besides the projected target around 11,000, further support levels should be monitored for potential reversal or consolidation zones.
Resistance Levels: Previous support-turned-resistance levels may act as barriers if there is any upside correction.
Momentum and Volume Analysis:
Volume: Volume analysis during the flag formation and upon breakout is crucial to confirm the validity of the pattern.
Momentum Indicators: Oscillators and momentum indicators can provide additional insights into the strength of selling pressure and potential exhaustion points.
Risk Management:
Traders and investors should consider implementing appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential losses in case of unexpected price movements.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the presence of a bearish flag pattern on the TASI index chart suggests a cautious outlook with a potential downside target around 11,000 upon a confirmed breakdown of the flag pattern. It is advised to monitor price action, volume, and key support levels closely for further confirmation and adjustment of trading strategies accordingly.
This technical view is based on the current pattern formation and should be complemented with broader market analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
Harmonics on Tadawul Saudi IndexTADAWUL:TASI
Harmonics pattern drawn on TADAWUL:TASI shows the bullish trend till 11100-11200.
Bearish reversal zone may start from this zone and may correct around 10960-10860.
After taking correction, #tadawul will continue its move towards 11625 as showing strong bullish trend.