NQ (Nasdaq Futures) – Tuesday Setup 09/09/2025
🧠 Market Context
Weekly Bias: Buy-side liquidity above Friday’s and Monday’s highs remains intact → a natural draw for price.
Daily Bias: Price is consolidating near these highs, suggesting engineered liquidity.
Tuesday Profile (ICT concept): Often prints the high or low of the week. Expect a Judas Swing in the morning session before the real move develops.
🎯 Trading Idea
I expect New York Open (9:30–10:00 NY) to deliver a pump above Monday/Tuesday highs → running buy stops (BSL).
After this liquidity grab, look for rejection + Market Structure Shift (MSS) on 5m/15m charts.
That would confirm distribution and set up the short.
✅ Execution Plan
Wait for the Sweep:
Levels to watch: 23,890–23,910 (Friday & Monday highs).
Confirmation:
SMT divergence (ES fails to make new high while NQ takes it).
BOS/MSS on 5m → entry on FVG/OB retracement.
Targets:
TP1 → 23,800 (intra-day liquidity).
TP2 → 23,750 (Weekly Open level).
📌 Key Notes
If price continues bullish above 23,910 without rejection, invalidate the short idea → bias shifts to continuation higher (24,000+).
Otherwise, this is a textbook “Tuesday High of the Week” setup.
✍️ Summary:
I’m anticipating a Judas Swing to the upside at NY Open, taking buy-side liquidity, followed by a reversal into sell-side liquidity at 23,750.
