GD1! trade ideas
Gold Forms Triangle (Futures)Gold (Futures) contract appears to be forming a higher low pattern, with highs repeatedly testing the 3500 level. This indicates the formation of an ascending triangle. If the neckline breaks, the next upside targets would be 3572 and 3635. On the downside, a break below 3338 could lead to further declines.
Gold’s Two-Zone Patience Play – Wait for the FVGs to SpeakPrice action on GC is sitting in no-man’s land, caught between two key imbalances.
Above: 1H Bearish FVG at $3,470–$3,480.
Below: H4 Bullish FVG at $3,350–$3,375, aligned with the Weekly Low.
I’m waiting for price to step into one of these “Patience Zones” before committing.
A push up into the 1H FVG during a killzone could set up shorts targeting the W-L and the H4 FVG fill.
A drop into the H4 FVG first — especially with a sweep of $3,397 — could provide the low of the week and a strong bullish reversal.
No mid-range chasing here — let liquidity do the heavy lifting.
Shorting GoldWell, it does looks like short needs to be shorted.
I mean on bigger timeframes, the price has been rejected and corrected hard from the 3,533 area. This also means that there is tons of liquidity that is waiting to be taken above that level.
So just to cut short the confusion, technically, once the price tapped into that level, it rejected and broke a bullish leg. So technically i would say that we are at least going to correct.
Also i have identified the area of interest with entry and targets.
Hopefully it goes through.
Tokyo Gold Fight Club. First Rule: Respect the POCGold is setting up for a clean Tokyo session play, and the chart structure couldn’t be clearer. We’re currently sitting just above the 0% Fib at 3,452.1, after a controlled rotation down from the Point of Control at 3,488.5. That POC is key it’s where the highest traded volume of the session sits, meaning it’s a true decision point for buyers and sellers.
The 50% Fib at 3,481.3 lines up with a low volume node, which often acts as a springboard or rejection zone depending on who’s in control. Above that, we have a tight resistance cluster the POC, the psychological level at 3,500, and the 100% Fib at 3,510.5 all stack together, creating a major liquidity magnet if price can rally into it.
My primary bias into Tokyo is bearish (around 65% probability) unless we see a decisive breakout above 3,500. The preferred short setup is a push into 3,480–3,490 that fails to hold, with stops above 3,500 to stay safe from any thin session spikes. In that case, I’m targeting the session low at 3,452.1 first, then 3,435 for the second scale-out, and finally 3,420 if sellers press the advantage.
The alternative scenario, with a 35% probability, is a clean break and hold above 3,500, which flips bias long. In that case, the upside play would be to enter on a breakout retest, with stops back under the POC at 3,488, targeting the Fib high at 3,510.5 first and then 3,525 as a stretch target.
Tokyo tends to give one of two plays in gold: either a low volume POC retest that rejects and runs in the prevailing direction, or a sharp reclaim of a key level that forces an aggressive squeeze. Until proven otherwise, I’m watching 3,480–3,490 as the battleground and planning to short rejection wicks there, keeping risk tight and targets clearly defined.
GOLD: Still Bullish, But Is It Time For A Pullback?In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Aug 11 - 15th.
Gold is bullish on the Monthly, Neutral on the Weekly, Bullish on the Daily. Strong close to last week. Tariffs on Swiss Bars coming into the US sent prices higher, but Trump took some of the steam off late with statements of clarifying the misinformation about the tariffs.
Will this bullishness continue?
Look for prices to retrace further into the consolidation, as it started on Friday. There is a poi that price could target in discount of the range. There we could find a high probability buying opportunity.
Be wary of the pullback, as that move is likely to be corrected, but that would set up a great long opportunity!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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GOLD | NEW WEEK TECHNICAL BIAS (MARKET OPEN)
HTF Bias (Daily/Weekly):
Macro trend remains bullish — recent impulsive leg to fresh highs confirms strong upside momentum. However, price is currently extended and undergoing a corrective pullback.
4H Context:
After a sharp rally into 3,534 (primary impulse target), gold is retracing into the Flipped Cap Zone at 3,430–3,445 — a prior resistance now acting as support. Holding this band keeps the bullish continuation scenario intact.
Key Zones & Levels:
Primary Liquidity: Above 3,534.1 (OCZ — main upside target)
Buy Zone : 3,430–3,445 (Flipped Cap / potential re-entry base)
Invalidation: Daily/4H close below 3,420 → shifts bias bearish toward 3,389–3,350 PIZ
Secondary Liquidity: 3,420–3,397 (intermediate OCZs)
Deeper Bearish Trigger: Break below 3,336.0 opens path to 3,280 and lower.
Bias Outlook:
Bullish continuation favored if 3,430–3,445 holds, targeting liquidity above the 3,534 OCZ. Break and close below 3,420 tilts the odds toward a deeper correction.
⚠️ Purely technical – no fundamentals.
📌 This is a strategic directional bias, not financial advice. Execute only with confirmation and proper risk management.
Gold completing a 4-month Bull Flag consolidation, 3800 next! We can see the classic bull flag consolidation pattern which has been going on ever since the stock market decided to go on a rager!
Even with that going on, smart money continues to buy gold on the dips as you should too.
Once Trump installs a phoney new BLS chief and moves to pressure the Fed by nominating a new governor after Kugler's departure the message will be clear:
1) the BLS and the Fed are no longer independent
2) the US dollar is going to tank
3) Gold is going to boom!
Good luck and happy trading!
GOLD | XAU/GC - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Gold is currently trading within an accumulation zone as the market begins to price in a potential 0.25% rate cut by the Fed.
This macro expectation is supporting the broader bullish bias in the commodities market.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price broke below the HTF bullish trendline — a key sign of weakness and potential structural shift.
• However, a sharp drop in the DXY (US Dollar Index) provided a bullish tailwind for gold, resulting in a mid-week bounce.
• This mixed action sets the stage for two potential outcomes next week.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
I’m preparing for two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
→ Price retests the broken trendline and rejects it
→ Continuation to the downside
→ Play: Short setup
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
→ Price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above it
→ Continuation higher toward next resistance
→ Play: Long setup
🎯 Setup Trigger:
I will wait for a clear break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframe to confirm directional bias.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone (for longs) or above supply (for shorts) on the 1H–4H chart
• Target:
→ Bullish: $3,536
→ Bearish: $3,305
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More updates, setups, and educational posts coming soon — stay tuned!
Gold explosion will be short livedThe price explosion in gold is solely due to the tariffs.
I don’t even want to go into detail about what impact this will have on the USA. I’ll just say this much: I feel sorry for the American people, and it’s not their fault.
And here, once again, we see the universal law of physics inherent in Median Lines/Forks at work. Right at the center line, the price will pull back and may drift toward the lower median line parallel, should the close occur below the center line.
It seems as though the basic rules of arithmetic are a foreign concept to those in leadership. There is a belief that billions of dollars will now suddenly flow into the U.S. Treasury overnight — which is, of course, complete nonsense. If that were truly the case, the price of gold in London would have risen in step with the U.S. gold price.
Instead, this madness will unfold as yet another act of monumental miscalculation, spreading across the U.S. economy and cementing the debt ledger as if it were the stone tablet of the Ten Commandments.
Let us see what our Median Line/Fork framework will reveal over the coming days.
…and I keep the world in my prayers, that peace may find its way into our thoughts.
Gold at All-Time Highs – Blow-Off or Breakdown?Gold has just printed new all-time highs, but I’m approaching with caution. At these levels, everyone long is in profit — leaving no trapped buyers above and only liquidity for smart money to grab.
We kicked off the session with an impulsive spike higher, but this may have been a stop run and liquidity sweep rather than the start of another leg up. If price struggles to hold above that spike or fails on a re-test, we could see sellers step in, targeting the 4H FVG zone below.
For now, I’m watching:
A possible revisit of yesterday’s high to “fix” lack of excess on the DOM
London session reaction to today’s spike high
Potential short setups if buy-side momentum stalls
NY session might deliver the day’s best move, but we could see early opportunities in the Asian and London sessions if price confirms a shift in order flow.
What do you think? Is this a blow-off top in the making, or do buyers have one more push?
GOLD !!! XAUUSD UPDATES \\Gold has yielded substantial returns (63%) since March 24, signaling a potential cooldown. Overbought RSI conditions suggest a likely 20-25% correction, potentially redirecting funds to recently corrected markets. Consider initiating short positions upon breaking today's low or the 101,000 level on MCX.
Gold’s weekly chart looks strong Gold futures has been teasing $3500 for a few weeks now and every time it gets to $3350 the shorts roll in and the buyers continue to show their strength.
If prices breaks above and maintains the $3475 support before the week ends; then we will see a strong run above $3500 next week.
Lastly, the EMA 20 & 50 as well as the RSI are all bullish on the 1hr, 4hr, and 1w timeframes.
Always remember the trend is your friend!
Gold Fails to Break Tuesday’s High – H4 FVG Still in SightGold continues to coil beneath Tuesday’s high, showing signs of failed bullish follow-through. Price attempted to press higher but couldn’t break out — a sign that sellers may still be in control. We’re still under key resistance at the Daily High, and that unfilled H4 Fair Value Gap below remains a prime draw.
🧠 My outlook:
Expecting price to run back down toward the H4 FVG.
Watching for a potential stop run above Tuesday’s high to clean up the lack of excess shown on the DOM.
Anticipating the cleanest LONG setup might appear during NY session, but a solid entry could develop during Asian or London for a short if we see early signs of rejection.
Key levels and reactions around D-H and the previous day’s high will be crucial. If the market tips its hand early, I’ll be looking to position short with that FVG as my magnet.
Let me know if you're seeing something different. This feels like a setup that rewards patience and precision.
Gold Update 06AUG2025: Price Tests ResistanceThe Triangle pattern in gold futures remains highly reliable.
Wave E held above the low of Wave C, maintaining the structure.
Price is now testing the Triangle’s upper resistance.
A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish setup.
The target zone remains unchanged: $3,900–$4,300.
Potential breakout As we observe GC in the Daily timeframe, it's been consolidating in this sort of range for a while now. With the higher lows and 3442 level acting some sort of resistance, we may see some sort of breakout soon. If not, we can see it going back down and MAYBE creating another higher low