5 Laws of Trading Success - EXPLAINED E=MC²
Everything you need to know about the Universe, can be condensed into this tiny equation.
What if there was a formula that unlocked the laws of trading the markets?
I believe, there is…
I call them the 5 Laws To Trading Success…
1. Markets
You’ll need to be able to find and trade the best markets, at anytime and anywhere in the world with CFDs or through Spread Trading.
2. Method
You’ll need to create and adopt proven, mechanical and consistently profitable trading strategies with a few entry and exit rules.
3. Money
You’ll need to learn how to use essential money management rules in order to boost your winners, cut your losses and never blow your trading account.
4. Mind
You’ll need to be able to improve your self-confidence and develop a successful trading mindset, in order to trade effortlessly with little worry and with less stress.
5. Miscellaneous
You’ll need to adopt extra tips and tricks in order to boost your win rate, cut your trading holding time and preserve your portfolio.
Once you incorporate all five equally important elements – around your personality, lifestyle and risk appetite – you’ll be able to create a timeless and profitable trading plan for the rest of your trading career.
Trade well live free.
MATI Trader
AFRICA40 trade ideas
JSE Top40: Overbought on Daily TimeframeThe JSE Top40 daily chart is showing exhaustion, one can make a case for a confluence of resistance around current price level while RSI is turning from an overbought position. Today (16th Nov) price has confirmed a swing high which increases the confidence that we are heading down & price will have to go below the blue uptrend support before finding a low.
The index itself is not ideal to short, however it gives a guide for picking those shares that offer higher reward & have a positive correlation to the index. For those who are long underlying shares, it affords the opportunity to open short hedging positions who profits can add to long to medium term holdings when the index turns upwards.
JSE ALSI 40 ready to rock to 73,300The JSE ALSI 40 is finally showing strong upside since April 2022...
It's broken up and out of a box formation and is showing the first target to 73,300...
This is based on following the recent America's rally with the inflation rate coming down finally and dropping below the expectations. GDP is picking up and jobs have added over 261,000 jobs.
The leaders of the pack was Naspers, Anglo American, Sasol and Shoprite helping push up the JSE.
Bullish Bias...
JSE Top40: The Bearish CaseWhile expectation is for the US dollar to give respite to risky assets, there is a hidden possibility that the JSE Top 40 has resumed a downtrend after an attempt of a rally from 15 July to 16 August (Bear Market Rally). 1 September would have marked a cycle low but a higher high, the breach of this price means downtrend has resumed with possible bottom in late October to first week of November with the lower trendline supporting the price.
If one is long, it would help to open short positions & close them when a swing low is formed at the end of October/beginning of November. The swing high from there would be an opportunity to open new short positions to hold into mid to end of December. An exit strategy from long positions would be to buy the swing low then exit at break-even.
JSE still heading up despite FED 75 basis points hikeAs you can see as a position trader, we don't care about short term fluctuations with what happens with the FED, Employment numbers or Earnings.
We only care about what we see in the charts and where the markets are more likely to head.
The JSE ALSI 40 upside is still intact, and we are cautiously optimistic.
BULLISH BIAS
The line of least resistance still facing to the floorIt seems the line of least resistance is still point downward. The strongest group of stocks (financials) seems to be also giving grown and losing their will to rise. As the US S&P500 failed to break its 50 day EMA reversing with a bearish engulfing candle and shooting right through the 50 day EMA. Seems the US has sneezed. We normally catch a flu.
rates still going higher Fed adding another 75 points.
The wedge is narrowing. and that's worries some.
JSE Top 40 IndexJSE TOP 40 INDEX: My most recent long and short views were: (1) Accumulation at the re-test of the breakout level and (2) Distribute at the swing highs. See blue and red circled areas. Both Thursday and Friday saw strong buying off the lows of the day with closes above the 8 x 21-EMAs. What is medium term out going into year-end and how am I seeing it technically?
For more research, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
Choose your loss buy or sell We are currently in a very difficult trading environment for the JSE ALSI 40 (and the stocks in the index) and I believe world wide (with most markets).
This sideways movement has been going since July 2022...
The world is in a rut with major issues like high inflation, ongoing interest hikes, currency collapses, US dollar strength, UK economic collapse, East wars and COVID recovery.
Our hands are unfortunately tied, how long this will last and what the damage will be (drawdown wise). But we will control it with lowering our losses from 2% to 1.5%. This will all be guided through a process until we overcome it...
But it's part and parcel with trading and it's something that is very common on a yearly basis...
HOWEVER! This is crucial to understand as a trader.
Since the derivative markets, the algorithm of movement (between buying and selling) has changed drastically.
From the markets moving in strong trends (70% of the time) from 1940 - 2007 where a monkey could have thrown a dart and profited from any Blue Chip stock for 20 years.
To now we are seeing the markets trend around (20% of the time, if that) from 2007 -2022.
We have no choice but to make the stop loss and take profits prices tighter and to hold for less period of time.
This will be a patience game but will be worth it in the end.
Only those strong enough to stick around and act accordingly with their correct risk management will reap the rewards.
What are your thoughts?
JSE Top 40 IndexJSE TOP 40 INDEX - Strong upside follow-through from support between 56823 and 57482 - the range we discussed last week (circled area). The index reclaimed the 8-day EMA and has closed in line with the flat 21-EMA. At current levels, I'm expecting a consolidation (after yesterday's strong rebound). The rating has shifted from WEAK to NEUTRAL while the index is trading in the mid-point of the 2 std deviation 20-day linear regression channel.
For more research, including traded ideas, get in touch today.
Does this bear still have another 27% odd fight in it?Dangerous looking head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart. Who's target. is around 41.2k mark.
Given that interests rates are jogging along higher, recession etc. This bear might have some decent wind at its back. IF the bears can break below the 51.5 neckline on the weekly chart. The odds of the target rises
Albeit it will bump into a bunch of dead cats along the way
T40On Tuesday, I highlighted support for the index between 56823 and 57482. Subsequently, the index continued to trend lower as anticipated while at yesterday’s lows, it found support in the middle of this range. With markets rallying off the low, the likelihood is that the Top 40 continues to make a bullish reversal off this level.
For more research insights, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
JSE Top40: Daily & Weekly Cycle Low PointThe JSE Top40 index is seeking a daily cycle low with high odds of a weekly low. Price is reversing from the orange trendline that has supported price through the cycle decline. To confirm a a daily cycle price must move & close above the pink trendline on a daily timeframe.