US30 trade ideas
DOW JONES INDEX completed its 5 WAVES UP, what's next?Powell's speech this morning boosted the market up and creating a new high.
BUT.. It also completed the last impluse wave, wave 5.
Next movement, whether to be a correction or a massive trend reversal shoud be DOWN.
So i am SHORTING now.. A-B-C correction is going to happen anytime soon!
My expectation is 1-2 weeks ahead is correction time.
LET'S GO!
#DJI - 5000 Pts already moved out of 8000 points..Date: 27-06-2025
#DJI - 5000 Pts already moved out of 8000 points as posted on 22nd April. Another 3000 points to cover. we have different pivot for the next level up and it will be shared soon.
Old levels are as follows.
#DJI Upside Targets: 41240.49, 43084.22, 45025.94 and 46967.67
#DJI Downside Targets: 34578.53, 32728.34, 30786.61 and 28844.88
Current price is around 43,870 at the time of this post.
US30 | Fed Meeting in Focus, Bearish Pressure Below 44950US30 (Dow Jones) – Market Outlook
Wall Street futures subdued with retail earnings and Fed meeting in focus
Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with price action expected to stay sensitive to policy signals.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
As long as price trades below the pivot line at 44,950, the bias remains bearish toward 44,720 and 44,610.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed 1H or 4H close above 44,950 would shift momentum to the upside, opening the way for 45,100 and 45,285.
📍 Key Levels
Pivot: 44,950
Support: 44,820 – 44,720 – 44,610
Resistance: 45,100 – 45,285
Dow Jones eyes new highs with NFP in sharp focusThe Dow was trading flat ahead of the release of the NFP data. A goldilocks report - one that is not too weak or too strong - is the best outcome for stocks as this will cement expectations for a September rate cut. A significantly weaker report will raise recession worries while a very strong number could weigh on rate cut bets, and pressure risk assets at least initially anyway.
The price action on the DOW has been near perfect after a retest of the 45K broken resistance from above giving way for a big bounce this week. With a couple of short-term resistance levels such as 45470 and 45315 taken out, these will now be the initial support levels to watch moving forward. The next upside target is liquidity resting above the all time high of 45,763.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns.
- ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices.
- The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex.
- Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum.
Technical approach:
- US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21.
- If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900.
- On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DowJones Key Trading Levels ahead of US Employment DataKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44730
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Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 4 September 2025- Dow Jones Index reversed from key support level 45000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 45765.00
Dow Jones Index recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 45000.00 (former strong resistance, which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Dow Jones Index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45765.00 (which reversed the Index in August).
SHORT ON DJ / US30 READINGInner trendline Break and Retest earlier today
Change the Bias on Long for US30 to a Short in our group
We start Selling at the Breakout On H2 timeframe
Entry Price .... 45,600.0
DJ / US30... 45,600.0
S/L ...45,750.00
T/P ...45,989.0
Also looking at a final touch to 44,500.0 LEVEL.
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Dow Jones Index Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones)At today’s market open, the Dow Jones index started to decline and is currently testing a key support level at 45,100.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and holds above 45,300, this may drive the index higher toward 45,500.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 45,100 and holds, the index may head to test the 44,700 support area.
US 30 TRADE IDEA 1 SEPTEMBER 2025This week, the US30 is trading within a short-term descending channel, signaling a corrective phase rather than a full reversal, while the higher timeframe structure remains bullish. Price is approaching a key demand zone between 45,200 and 45,150, where liquidity is likely to be swept before a potential continuation higher. From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, this area aligns with a bullish order block that could drive price back toward the 45,600–45,800 region once buyers step in. However, a clean break below 45,000 would invalidate this setup and open room for further downside toward 44,850–44,700. Fundamentally, the focus will be on US labor market data, including jobless claims and the upcoming NFP release, as signs of a cooling labor market may reinforce expectations of Fed rate cuts later in the year, supporting equities. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data or hawkish Fed commentary could pressure the Dow in the short term. Overall, the primary bias is bullish after a liquidity grab around 45,200–45,150, with upside targets near 45,800, but traders should remain cautious of a bearish continuation if 45,000 fails to hold.
US30 (Dow Jones) Approaches Key Resistance - Can It Break ThrougThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is putting on a show today, pushing higher towards a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: The major ceiling is clearly at ~45,750. The price has tested this level multiple times today and is currently consolidating just below it. A decisive break and close above this could signal a strong bullish continuation.
* Support: Immediate support sits near 45,430-45,490. A break below this zone could see a pullback towards the 45,300 level.
The price action is looking strong, but the real test is happening now at this significant resistance. Volume on a breakout will be key for confirmation.
What's your take?
* Bullish breakout above 45,800?
* Or a rejection for a pullback?
Tags: #US30 #DOWJONES #Trading #Investing #Stocks #Finance #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Resistance #Support #TradingView