Trade ideas
SHORT UNTIL LATE APRIL 2026OUR OBSERVATION
NASDAQ made three significant tops in its price action from 2009 to the present in a sequence of an expanding Phi.
February 2020 High = 9736.57 (This is the 1.0 growth level divided into a Log function)
(9736.57 / 10^4) = 0.973657 (Equivalent to 3/3 = 1.0)
November 2021 High = 16764.86
(16764.86 / 10^4) = 1.676486 ( This is the 5/3 Fibonacci sequence or a variation of 1.618)
Current High at 27th October 2025 = 26182.10
(26182.10 / 10^4) = 2.618210 (This level indicates the 8/3 growth sequence or 2.618 level)
TRADE PLAN
If we project a sequence of thirds, (1/3, 2/3, 3/3), then the three tops from 2009 made an expanding sequence along 3/3, 5/3, and 8/3 nodal points , at 9736.57, 16764.86 and 26182.10 levels respectively. Each node effected a correction, and by projection, we expect price to correct steadily until late April 2026. (1,2,3,5,8...) points form the price tops. The zone between 26182.1 and 26880.XX will be our confluence zone to expect a decline.
We projected the 27th October top as far back as April 2025, where we mentioned a broader cross assets decline. If we compare NASDAQ's price to SP-500 and DJIA, then we can create a larger sequence pattern. SP-500 top reached 6920.34 being 2/3 on the sequence while DJIA reached 48040.64, the 13/3 node. Several markets reaching tops at the same time cooks a sharp long decline. Therefore, we will keep short entries for all three markets until the tops break.
NOTE: We do not trade news effects, we only trade measurable facts the charts indicate. However, we look to the news for signals that add strength to our expectations.
Trade safe, good luck
NASDAQ 100 — Key Intraday Reaction Zone (12 Nov)NASDAQ 100 (NDX) is currently trading inside a crucial intraday reaction zone around 25,551–25,480.
This area marks the intersection of previous structural resistance and short-term order flow buildup.
A clear break above this zone could signal continuation of bullish momentum, while failure to sustain may invite a short-term pullback.
Keeping an eye on how price behaves here during the U.S. session — this zone is likely to define the next directional move.
#NDX #NASDAQ100 #USMarket #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards our buy entry at 24,841, which is a swing low support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
The stop loss is at 24,664, which is a swing low support level, while the take profit is at 25,102, which is a pullback resistance level.
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Nasdaq Potential for Further CorrectionThe NASDAQ index currently appears to be in a short-term correction, with the price likely to retest 25430 from 25570 before further movement.
- Above 25430–25575: Bullish continuation towards 25700 → 25820 → 25960.
- Below 25430: Bearish momentum is likely towards 25230 → 25010.
NASDAQ Double Top Rejection Still At PlayI do not believe the bears are quite done yet in this market. What I am seeing currently is a bullish correction or retest of this double top rejection.
Momentum to the downside will resume soon enough. For now however, enjoy the ride to the upside - cautiously.
This is a buy to sell setup. My overall bias is bearish.
NAS100 – Bullish Setup Alert (Inverse Head & Shoulders on 30min)#NAS100 has been moving sideways on the higher time frames, showing consolidation after recent volatility. However, on the 30-minute chart, it’s now forming a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Breakout Zone: Watch for a breakout above the neckline for confirmation of bullish momentum.
Entry Plan: Wait for a break and retest of the neckline before entering a long position.
Targets: Short-term resistance zones and Fibonacci extensions can be used for profit booking.
Risk Management: Always use a tight stop-loss below the right shoulder to protect capital.
Technical Outlook:
Once the neckline is broken with volume confirmation, it may trigger a strong bullish continuation move — aligning with broader market momentum.
What’s your view on this setup?
Do you see a breakout coming soon, or another fakeout before the move? Share your thoughts below
#NAS100 #Trading #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #HeadAndShoulders #Forex #Indices #DayTrading
US100: Bullish Divergence Meets Institutional SupportUS100 1H Analysis – Bullish Divergence at Strong Support
Price is compressing within a descending channel, currently testing a multi-touch support zone around 24,730–24,490. Volume shows signs of accumulation, and RSI reveals bullish divergence, hinting at potential reversal. If support holds, a bounce toward 25,900–26,250 is likely. Breakdown below 24,490 invalidates the setup.
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support level 25000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 26250.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the round support level 25000.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was strengthened by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily trend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (top of the previous impulse wave i).
US100 | Building Liquidity for a Potential Push Toward 26,000NASDAQ (US100) is consolidating between 25,400–25,750, forming a potential accumulation zone below short-term liquidity. A clean break and retest above 25,750 could trigger a bullish expansion toward the 26,000–26,200 range, where major buy-side liquidity sits.
Market Structure:
Bias: Bullish (HTF structure shifting higher)
Key Demand Zone: 25,400 – 25,450
Breakout Zone: 25,750
Target Zone: 26,000 – 26,200
Invalidation: Below 25,400
Concepts: Liquidity Grab | Market Structure Shift | Demand Zone | Breaker Block | Smart Money Flow
NAS100 Intraday Technical AnalysisNAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
Nasdaq 100 at 25,454 (2:05 PM UTC+4) — multi-chart confluences signal breakout setup.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact; Gann Square-of-9 vibration levels 25,520/25,320.
🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
1D: Broadening wedge; RSI 63 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 25,180; bullish engulfing pattern intact.
4H: Rising wedge 25,280-25,520; Elliott Wave (3) mid-extension; anchored VWAP from Oct 29 = 25,180 (buy anchor).
1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base at 25,360; BB expanding; VWAP reclaimed post-morning dip.
30M: Symmetrical triangle; hidden bull divergence (RSI higher lows); volume contracting pre-breakout.
15M: Bull flag over 25,340; Tenkan>Kijun bullish; stochastic RSI reset—ready for push.
5M: Falling wedge retest 25,420; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch bull trap on volume weakness.
🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP
Entry: 25,360-25,390 (VWAP + flag support) — wait for bullish 15M close above 25,380.
Stop Loss: 25,300 (below symmetrical triangle base).
Target 1: 25,480 (+26 pips).
Target 2: 25,540 (+86 pips).
Target 3: 25,620 (+166 pips — harmonic alt bat PRZ).
Confirmation: RSI >55, volume >20% of 20-day avg, VWAP slope upward.
⚡ MOMENTUM ADD-ON: Scale above 25,520 ONLY if RSI>65 & volume surge confirmed; trail stop to 25,460 once first target prints.
🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP
Entry: 25,600-25,640 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
Stop Loss: 25,700 (above rising wedge).
Targets: 25,500 → 25,420 → 25,320 (Gann support).
Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
🚨 BREAKOUT & BREAKDOWN ALERTS:
BULL: 1H close >25,540 confirms Wave (3) extension; target 25,720; move stop to BE+20.
BEAR: 1H close <25,300 with volume expansion opens 25,180 cloud base test; watch VWAP support.
📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) expanding; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope UP; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (bullish stack).
⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat completes 25,620; rising wedge failure <25,320 = Wyckoff UTAD signal; H&S only valid if neckline 25,260 breaks.
📈 TIMING & RISK: Gann 90° window 15:30 UTC; ATR(14)=90 pts; CPI whispers & Fed speakers elevate volatility. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock partials; avoid sub-average volume chases.
Educational purposes only. Align with your plan, manage risk, adapt to real-time action.
US100 LONG FROM SUPPORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 25,115.7
Target Level: 26,392.3
Stop Loss: 24,257.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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