USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ Approaching a critical +1 year Resistance.Nasdaq (NDX) is close to hitting our 24500 bullish target, which as we explained on our previous analysis represents a +6.78% rise, the technical Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that started back in mid-May.
This pattern is however headed towards a +1 year Resistance level, the Higher Highs trend-line that started on the July 11 2024 High. Technically, we should be expecting a rejection there and pull-back towards at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), if not the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is where an identical Channel Up in 2024 that topped on December 16 2024, found Support at.
Even the 1D RSI sequences among the two patterns look similar. As a result, there are high probabilities to see a short-term correction there, which will in turn fuel the end-of-year rally. Our new medium-term Target is 25000.
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NASDAQ | H1 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
I’m watching the Cash100 for a potential double top that could set up a short opportunity. Price is currently making higher highs while RSI is making lower lows — a clear sign of weakening buying momentum, also known as negative RSI divergence.
As further confluence, we have the FOMC tomorrow, and markets often prefer to de-risk ahead of such events. Also, there is a rising wedge on the S&P500 on the hourly chart and the chance that there is also a potential double top on the 30min timeframe.
✅ Conditions before entry:
- 30min candle must close within the range and at the correct level
- The closing candle must meet my required closure rate
- Ideally, volume should be lower (though I’ll allow an exception given it will be the U.S open)
- RSI should confirm with another divergence
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 2.9
Entry: 24,385.1
Stop Loss: 24,418.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 24,290
Take Profit 2 (50%): 24,271
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patterns like double tops are powerful, but they’re strongest when combined with momentum divergence. Always confirm multiple factors before entering.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for the next update and feel free to share your thoughts below — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Buy Nas100Nas is bullish and will continue buying. There are two possible buy entries, being the demand zone, or the liquidity grab zone. Do not enter a trade on the demand zone unless there is another confirmation on lower time frames. Remember it is Friday tomorrow, and the market can be very manipulative on Friday. Do not force trades, there is nothing wrong with not having a trading day. Trade what you see, and not what you feel.
Recession “Announcements” vs. Reality — A Contrarian SignalMost traders anchor their sentiment to the official declarations of a recession. But here’s the catch: by the time policymakers and institutions announce “we are in a recession”, the contraction has almost always run its course.
If you are waiting for an official announcement we are in a recession in order to get out, It will be too late. You will likely be selling to the smart money buying for the eventual rise.
The game is rigged against the novice trader relying on generally available news.
On the chart:
The orange line marks the actual recession periods identified by economic data.
The red background shading highlights when the recession was officially recognized and reported.
Notice the lag: announcements consistently come after the worst is already behind us. Historically, these “recognition windows” line up closer with market bottoms than with tops.
👉 The key takeaway:
When you hear that a recession has been declared, it’s often not a sell signal — it’s closer to a buy signal. By then, the market has already priced in the pain, and recovery is underway.
This perspective flips conventional wisdom on its head: don’t fear the announcement — see it as confirmation that the worst is behind us. And do not wait for it to tell you we are going in to a recession, look at what the smart money is doing, what insiders are doing, what the banks are doing. Many thin that lower interest rates means a boost to business. But they are wrong.
Banks will charge as much as they think the economy can sustain. If Interest rates are rising, they know that business will be doing better. Falling interest rates tells you the banks know they can not get away with charging more and the economy is tanking.
NAS100Success in forex and stocks comes from a combination of knowledge, discipline, and patience. Understanding market trends, economic factors, and company fundamentals is crucial, but equally important is controlling emotions and sticking to a well-planned strategy. Continuous learning, adapting to changing conditions, and managing risk wisely can turn opportunities into consistent growth over time. Consistency, not luck, separates successful traders from the rest.
USNAS100 Braces for Fed Decision – Key Pivot at 24,300USNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq is set for a highly volatile session as markets await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today.
Traders widely expect a 25 bps cut, but a surprise 50 bps cut—though less likely—would signal stronger confidence in stable inflation and U.S. economic health, fueling a strong bullish rally.
Even if the Fed delivers the expected 25 bps cut, the key market mover will be Chair Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot, which could reshape expectations for future easing.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish scenario
While trading below 24,300, price shows potential for a pullback toward 24,115.
A confirmed break below 24,115 would extend the bearish move toward 23,870 → 23,700.
📈 Bullish scenario
Stabilization above 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
A breakout above 24,300 would confirm bullish momentum, targeting 24,550 → 24,700 → 24,850.
📌 Market Context:
50 bps cut + dovish Powell → strong bullish breakout above 24,300 toward 24,550+.
25 bps cut + cautious guidance → moderate moves; price may remain range-bound or retest 24,115 before resuming higher.
Hawkish tone → deeper correction toward 23,870 or lower.
US100 Hits All-Time HighUS100 Hits All-Time High
Yesterday, US100 reached a new record high at 24040, confirming the strength of its bullish trend.
With U.S. inflation cooling, the market is now expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, possibly starting this cycle and continuing in the months ahead.
Lower rates tend to support stocks and indices, giving the economy room to breathe after a long period of tight monetary policy.
I expect US100 to continue rising toward 24500, with intermediate targets at 24250 and 24500 in the coming week.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NAS100 Pullback into Fibonacci Zone: Watching for Bullish Break📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Update 📊
The NAS100 is in a strong bullish trend 🟢📈, clearly visible on the 4H chart ⏰ with consistent higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
Currently, price has pulled back 🔽 right into my optimal entry zone 🎯 based on the Fibonacci retracement 🔢. From here, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure (BOS) 🔓 on the 15M timeframe ⏰ — that would be my signal to look for a long entry 🚀.
⚠️ This breakdown is educational only and not financial advice. 📚