Gold Update 26AUG2025: Bullish Confirmation Above $3,534 The gold futures price has made a U-turn as it didn't trigger Triangle's invalidation at $3,300
This bounce back could be a harbinger of wave 3 within the larger degree wave 5
It will be confirmed once upmove breaks above the top of wave 1 beyond $3,534
I erased the complex correction scenario as the price might be taking off right now
I added the breakdown of the upcoming large wave 5 into smaller 5 waves inside
Target range remains intact between $3,900 and $4,300
TGD1! trade ideas
GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point.
Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher.
Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table.
ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven.
I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
BASICS: Gold Entry, Doji & Flat ✨ Doji & Flat Strategy for Gold
This strategy will help you identify an entry point when trading gold.
The focus is on spotting Doji and flat patterns that signal potential market direction.
✅ Remember: Consider using this strategy to refine your entries and align with the trend.
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GC - Gold Re-Testing The L-MLH - Short AheadFirst we crack the L-MLH.
Then we got a test and now the re-test.
On a close outside the fork it's a present to short wit stops above somewhere the wicks high.
Profit at the orange Centerline (PTG1) and at the Red Centerline. All in all a wonderful trade with a decent risk/reward.
And if the train leaves without us, NO FOMO please §8-)
How to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Candlestick Patterns Learn to identify and trade Morning Star and Evening Star candlestick formations using TradingView’s charting tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Morning and Evening Stars are powerful reversal patterns that often mark turning points in the market. Recognizing them can help you anticipate when momentum is about to shift—and take advantage of new trading opportunities.
What You’ll Learn:
• How Morning Stars signal bullish reversals at the end of a downtrend
• How Evening Stars indicate bearish reversals after extended uptrends
• The three-candle structure of each pattern and what it means for trader psychology
• Why indecision candles (like dojis) play a critical role in confirming momentum shifts
• Using volume confirmation to validate Morning and Evening Star setups
• The importance of context: spotting these patterns at major support and resistance levels
• Setting effective stop losses at the high/low of the pattern for risk control
• Advanced entry tactic: waiting for retracement after confirmation to optimize risk/reward
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to harness candlestick reversal signals to identify potential market turning points.
The strategies covered could assist you in creating structured setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key chart levels.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
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Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objective
BASICS: CREATE A ZONE #Gold #Zones📈 How to Create a Zone for Trading
This video will walk you step-by-step through creating a trading zone.
The purpose of the zone is to help identify the current market trend for a breakout.
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WEEKLY LOOK AT GOLD FUTURES Chart speaks for its self - I know JP Morgan has a price target of $3675 by Q4 2025 and over $4000 by Q2 2026.
This is weekly chart and we're making a new high that very divergent.
So regardless what the investment bank that has paid billions in commodity fraud - I remain sceptical.
Nice trend line that we would be nice to revisit. Love to get long but this needs correction for me personally - its been a good run without a doubt.
So somewhere between 3150 and 3200 - Why could this happen? Because everyone and their dog is long. When everyone is in the same side of the boat? Every time.
The white line is the 200 Week MA.
Intraday Bearish Narrative – London Session (Gold Futures)Gold opened the London session under clear downside pressure, extending weakness from the prior U.S. session. After a strong rally into the 3619–3620 area, sellers regained control, forming lower highs and pressing price below the descending trendline (red dashed).
During London hours, attempts to recover above 3600–3606 failed, reinforcing the bearish bias. The current setup aligns with a sell-on-rally structure: price has retested the broken trendline and prior support-turned-resistance zone near 3610–3613, where sellers defended strongly.
As long as price holds below 3613, the bearish structure remains intact, with intraday downside targets layered at:
3593.5 (nearest support, minor liquidity pocket)
3569–3566 (London extension target, key demand zone)
3550–3548 (deeper measured move target if momentum accelerates).
Stops are well-placed above 3610–3613, invalidating the setup if buyers reclaim this supply zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday continuation, favoring shorts beneath 3610–3613 with room for multiple downside liquidity sweeps into the mid-3500s.
return to proven sellers presents sell continuation could not post on time due to 10 post per day limit. I entered as per the drawing tool visualization.
1->3 : creates a lower low , number 2 are dominant sellers
3->4: we see a solid buying pressure coming to meet our
sellers who have pushed the market below the previous
attempt to push up at number 1
what next ?
* a break below support / micro bull turn point with stop
above number 2 would look safe
* from number 2->4 I have a 2nd degree bearish divergence
* increasing volitility and sideways movemnet as market
prepares to open and perhaps pick a direction
* vwap 1st standard deviation from number 1
*extreme of peak #2 might align with vwap and vpoc ,
perhaps a sell stop when price reaches there ... which
it might when volume picks up
*despite price going up, staying under
obv trendline showing selling interest
*micro bear pattern wanted
GOLDAtm gold have nicely rejected from 4hr FVG, there is a setup for short. But can't ruled out that there is a possible another scenario as well. Gold for a long time is in bullish trend. I might going try to short if price will breaks out of current uptrend channel. This week we have some news coming out , so it could be quite volatile price action. Stay safe
GC/GOLD bull rally setupHigh potential: looking for a 60 SMA support (~3200) in 2 weeks and then continue the bull rally (green path)
Medium potential: looking for a 20 weekly SMA support (~3140) in 1 month and then continue the bull rally (cyan path)
Low potential: directly break out next week (red path), but indicators do not quite support this case, so it may need some "external news"
Gold Holding Asian 50% -- Bulls Gearing up for London Push?Price retraced cleanly to the Asian session 50% midpoint after yesterday’s strong rally. With the London Killzone approaching, I’m watching for bullish confirmation and a potential continuation higher.
Macro backdrop adds fuel:
Markets are pricing a 90% chance of a September Fed rate cut.
JPMorgan now forecasting four cuts starting this month, reinforcing bullish momentum in Gold.
⚠️ Holiday liquidity could create sharp stop-hunts, so confirmation is key. Looking for orderflow strength before stepping in.
a return to microstructure provides a continuation opportunity 1->3 : creates a higher high ,
with number 2 buyers showing
superior volume with respect to
number 1 sellers
3->4 : we return to the genesis of
the local scope uptrend continuation
what do I think will happen next ?
* obv is in a solid uptrend showing
continued buying pressure
* vwap provides a rejection / support point at
the number 2 low using a lower pivot to anchor
* price has no great reason to come
back above the volume cluster here if selling is the point
* hidden bullish pressure on rsi and
mfi on the lower fracal structure
Gold futuresGold futures have approached the $3500 per ounce resistance level over the past four weeks but have not yet broken through it. The yellow metal may continue trading within the $3200-3500 range for some time. It is worth noting that the long-term trend remains bullish as long as the $3100-3200 support zone holds.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 3500
Support level: 3100-3200