AMD watch $202 below 213 above: Major Golden fibs hold the surgeAMD got a monstrous surge from deal with OpenAI
Touched its ATH and retraced into a double Golden zone.
Expending to consolidate within the range then break.
$ 213.76 is a Golden Genesis above.
$ 202.82 is a Golden Covid fib below.
$ 217.05 is a minor Covid and was ATH.
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AMD: Big AI Deal, Bigger Expectations — But Caution Near HighsAMD ripped +37% after announcing a 6 GW GPU supply deal with OpenAI, including a 10% warrant structure tied to performance and stock price.
Yes, the partnership validates AMD as a serious Nvidia rival — but much of that sentiment is already priced in.
Now we enter the quiet phase:
Revenue from the deal won’t hit until 2H 2026
No near-term earnings catalyst
No immediate follow-through customer (yet)
Price is retesting March 2024 highs. A double top may be forming — or just healthy consolidation. Until real revenue shows up or a new win (Meta, AWS, etc.) breaks the news cycle, this may drift or correct.
Treat the March 2024 resistance as key. Eye the April rally leg for a possible pullback zone. High expectations, but execution is everything now.
AMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAIAMD Shares Surge After Partnership Announcement with OpenAI
According to media reports:
→ The deal involves AMD supplying processors of various generations to support the deployment of artificial intelligence infrastructure with a total capacity of 6 gigawatts.
→ The partnership is expected to generate billions in revenue for AMD starting in 2026.
→ Barclays analysts have raised their price target for AMD shares from $200 to $300.
The major announcement fuelled a sharp rally of around 30% in AMD’s share price, though this surge triggered aggressive selling pressure near the historic peak around the $227 level.
Technical Analysis of AMD Stock Chart
Price action analysis shows that:
→ The trading session opened with a wide bullish gap, breaking through the key psychological level of $200.
→ The price also surpassed previous resistance levels at $180 and $190.
→ During the session, the price pulled back, forming two large bearish candles on the four-hour chart.
A reasonable interpretation:
→ The initial reaction was highly emotional, but the optimism is fading quickly.
→ The price movement indicates strong bearish activity following the sharp rise.
Selling pressure is being driven by:
→ Investors locking in substantial profits now, as the deal’s financial impact will unfold gradually over time (creating future opportunities to re-enter at lower prices).
→ Technical signs of an overbought market.
Signs that AMD shares may be overbought include:
→ The RSI indicator, which exceeded 80 yesterday.
→ The price opening significantly above the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Possible Scenarios for AMD Stock Price
Short-term: Bearish activity could drive a correction towards:
→ The median line of the ascending channel, where demand and supply typically balance.
→ The psychological level of $200, which may influence sentiment among traders reacting to the news.
Long-term: AMD shares remain fundamentally attractive, given that:
→ The AI boom continues to serve as a major growth driver.
→ Market participants expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD - Bull Rush IdeaAn idea suggesting a surge in price for AMD
This is made by comparing a previous situation on chart with current (grey rectangles) within the channel in blue
This is the 3 Monthly chart for AMD which is a very long timeframe
RSI also shows a cool pattern of rise and then long stagnation then right now a sharp rise.
AMD woke up from sleep; It was its timesAMD Update and New Outlook.
In my previous forecast, I maintained a bullish stance on AMD, identifying entry zones between $176 – $172 and projecting a potential move toward $200, with a longer-term target near its all-time high of $226.
Following the recent news of OpenAI acquiring a 10% stake in AMD, the asset successfully reached my forecasted targets.
After the subsequent rally, AMD has experienced a natural pullback, presenting fresh long-term opportunities.
I’m currently watching two new buy zones at $200 and $185 for potential long-term positions.
As always, this is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
Connect with me here on TradingView. Please, like, follow me and connect.
Previous forecast
AMD to $250+The AMD chart setup is fantastic. It dropped almost 70% with RSI value 25 during last bearish downtrend. But when it broke out, it went up over 200%! Recently, it also broke out from another bearish downtrend after similar price drop and RSI value. If it mirrors the last move, current uptrend will take it to $250-$320.
The current uptrend is supported by the fundamental development in both the consumer PC and data center markets.
Consumer PC - AMD long won the CPU war against Intel . Now with the Ryzen AI Max+ PC, APU (CPU+GPU on the same chip!), and 128 GB unified memory, it offers a serious alternative to Apple M4 series for local/offline AI workload. Recently Nvidia and Intel are joining forces to create a x86 RTX custom chip. I see it as a huge validation of AMD's APU approach.
Data Center - AMD MI350 is already competing head to head with Nvidia B200 on the chip level. But Nvidia still excels on highly optimized software and rack scale networking. AMD is catching up on both front with recent ROCm 7.0 software releases and next-gen MI400 with integrated networking tech from the previous ZT Systems acquisition.
$AMD - Advanced Micro Device - $227.30 RetestNASDAQ:AMD continues its 2025 recovery rally — now clearing $200 and targeting the $227–$240 macro resistance zone.
After reclaiming the $165 structure break, AMD has re-entered its long-term ascending channel and is showing renewed strength in the AI-chip cycle.
Holding above $190 keeps this setup intact for continuation.
#AMD #AIStocks #Semiconductors #NASDAQ #BreakoutTrading #MyMIWallet
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
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Will AMD recover and catch up with NVDA? updated/Revised Outlook🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2days/candle price chart for AMD.
Price contained within bullish channel since 2021, however currently
pullback/correction in progress.
🔸65% correction in progress, based on previous swings expected to complete at/near 88/90 USD in Q1 2025. Until then it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Once we bottom out near 90 USD in Q1 2025, expecting bullish swing 265% gains off the lows, so projected high is 310/320 USD.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 85 usd in Q1 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD. Bullish impulse / reversal off the lows price target based on measured move projection is 310/320 USD. patience required, do not expect miracle/overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
$AMD — Is history repeating itself?NASDAQ:AMD The chart is showing a pattern strikingly similar to previous highs — a strong rally after a long accumulation, followed by a pullback on news.
📰 Q2 2025 Earnings:
• Record revenue: $7.7B (+32% YoY)
• Strong sales in Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs
• Q3 outlook: $8.7B revenue, ~54% margin
What’s holding it back:
• Export restrictions on MI308 to China hit margins and investor sentiment
• Short-term profit taking after a powerful rally
Reasons for optimism:
• Upcoming AI products MI350 and MI400 could be major growth drivers
• Expected demand from data centers and AI infrastructure
Technical view:
• EMA 9 remains above key support levels (170, 160)
• MACD is close to a potential bearish crossover — worth watching
• Past highs show that sharp corrections in AMD often set the stage for the next wave up
AMD: It's A Golden Buying OpportunityHello,
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc engages in the provision of semiconductor businesses. It operates through the following segments: Computing & Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. The Computing and Graphics segment includes desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units, data centre and professional GPUs and development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment includes server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- As shown
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Awaiting 0 crossover on MACD
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target as shown $244
AMD shares are currently trading near their 52-week lows after the top reached in March 2024. Just A day after inauguration the Trump administration announced the Stargate AI Infrastructure initiative in collaboration with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. According to Aaron Rakers, a Semiconductor and IT Hardware analyst, the initiative aims to deploy an immediate $100 billion for AI data center construction, starting with an ongoing project in Abilene, Texas, with the potential to scale up to $500 billion over the next four years. While this development is expected to benefit AI infrastructure and semiconductor companies, OpenAI's press release specifically mentioned NVIDIA and ARM as key initial partners, omitting AMD. This raise concerns that AMD may have missed a crucial opportunity in the AI investment boom. While this might be seen as negative there is positive news coming in from the US government, Yesterday 11th February 2025 JD Vance said the administration of President Donald Trump "will ensure that the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with American-designed and manufactured chips.” This gives hope for United States of America AI companies in the coming years.
Recently Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market as well. DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. If hyperscalers begin reassessing the necessity of massive GPU clusters, it could impact long-term demand for training hardware. However, near-term spending on AI infrastructure remains strong, with companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Google continuing their multi-billion-dollar investments as per their recent Q4 earning updates. While DeepSeek has stirred significant discussion in the semiconductor space, it is yet to showcase any ground-breaking advancements beyond what OpenAI already offers. Having tested the product, we noticed that OpenAI has quickly updated its reasoning capabilities to match DeepSeek's edge over ChatGPT. One of the biggest limitations of generative AI platforms remains their outdated datasets, often capped at 2024. We expect this to disappear with time.
It's still too early to determine the full impact, but if DeepSeek’s approach gains widespread adoption, new AI market leaders could emerge, potentially shifting market dynamics. Moreover, DeepSeek's success disrupts the dominance of U.S. firms and highlights vulnerabilities in the effectiveness of export controls on high-end chips.
Despite missing out on the Stargate initiative, AMD has expanded its AI chip portfolio and achieved a significant milestone by securing a spot in Dell’s new commercial AI PC lineup. The commercial PC market, which accounts for 55% of total PC shipments, remains a crucial battleground for vendors. Dell, holding 15% of the total PC market and 23% of the commercial segment, is the third-largest commercial PC vendor, with over 85% of its unit sales tied to commercial customers.
Following AMD’s recent earnings report, the stock plunged 10% in premarket trading. While the company posted solid Q4 results, weaker-than-expected guidance on data center sales weighed on investor sentiment. Lastly, China represents a significant revenue source for AMD. However, the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 28, 2024
Net Revenue: $25,785 million, reflecting a 14% increase from $22,680 million in 2023, driven by strong performance in the Data Center and Client segments.
Gross Profit: $12,725 million, with a gross margin of 49%, up from 46% in 2023, due to a favorable revenue mix shift towards higher-margin segments.
Operating Income: $1,900 million, a significant increase from $401 million in 2023, primarily due to higher revenue and improved gross margins.
Net Income: $1,641 million, compared to $854 million in 2023, driven by increased revenue and operating income.
Diluted EPS: $1.00, up from $0.53 in 2023, reflecting the company's improved profitability.
Revenue Segments: The Data Center segment saw a significant increase in net revenue, driven by higher sales of AMD Instinct GPUs and AMD EPYC CPUs. The Client segment also experienced growth due to increased unit shipments and higher average selling prices of AMD Ryzen processors. However, the Gaming and Embedded segments faced declines in net revenue due to lower semi-custom product revenue and normalized inventory levels, respectively.
New Product Launches: AMD launched several new products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors, AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, and the Ryzen 9000 series processors. These products are designed to deliver leadership performance in gaming, productivity, and AI capabilities.
New Production Launches: The company expanded its adaptive computing portfolio with the launch of the Versal Series Gen 2 devices, including the Versal AI Edge Series Gen 2 and Versal Prime Series Gen 2 adaptive SoCs, which enhance AI-driven embedded systems.
Future Outlook: AMD plans to continue its focus on AI and enterprise markets, with expectations to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company also intends to seek a strategic partner for ZT Systems' manufacturing business.
Sales Units: The Client segment reported a 34% increase in unit shipments, reflecting strong demand for AMD mobile and desktop Ryzen processors.
Geographical Performance: International sales accounted for 66% of net revenue in 2024, indicating a strong global presence and continued significance of international markets in AMD's sales strategy.
CHALLENGES AND RISKS
Market and Competitive Risks: The company faces significant economic and strategic risks due to the dominance of Intel and Nvidia in their respective markets, which may limit AMD's ability to compete effectively. The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with severe downturns that have historically affected the company.
Operational Risks: The company relies on third-party manufacturers, which poses risks if these suppliers are unable to meet demand or if there are disruptions in the supply chain. Potential security vulnerabilities in products and IT outages or cyberattacks could also disrupt operations.
Legal and Regulatory Risks: Government actions that may limit product exports and evolving expectations regarding corporate responsibility could result in additional costs and reputational harm.
Management Strategies: Management is focusing on timely product introductions and maintaining product quality to provide value to customers. The company is also investing in AI capabilities to meet the growing demand for AI solutions, although the trajectory of AI adoption remains uncertain.
Market Risks: The company is exposed to unfavorable currency exchange rate fluctuations, which could adversely affect profitability and cash flows. Additionally, potential changes in tax regulations and the realization of deferred tax assets could affect financial results.
STRATEGIC INITIATIVES IN 2024
Strategic Initiatives: In 2024, AMD focused on expanding its AI capabilities and data center infrastructure. The company launched multiple leadership products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, to enhance its high-performance computing portfolio. AMD also acquired Silo AI Oy to bolster its AI software capabilities and entered into an agreement to acquire ZT Systems to enhance its AI and compute infrastructure offerings.
Capital Management: AMD repaid its 2.95% Senior Notes due 2024, reducing its total debt from $2.5 billion to $1.8 billion. The company returned $862 million to shareholders through the repurchase of 5.9 million shares of common stock. As of December 28, 2024, $4.7 billion remained available for future stock repurchases. AMD maintained a revolving credit facility of $3 billion and a commercial paper program, both of which were undrawn during the year.
Future Outlook: AMD plans to close the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. The company intends to seek a strategic partner to acquire ZT Systems' manufacturing business. AMD expects to continue leveraging its cash, cash equivalents, and credit facilities to fund operations and strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions and capital expenditures, over the next 12 months and beyond.
Our recommendation
When it comes to AI beneficiaries and hardware for AI applications, AMD has failed to get the highlight it deserves. This has greatly led to a lot of investors looking at Nvidia vs AMD. However, over the last few weeks, Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market due to its ability to make programs with less powered chips. DeepSeek's V3 a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. As a result of this, we expect more focus to move to alternative companies that are involved in AI infrastructure. AMD remains well positioned to compete with its competitors all round. In November 2024, AMD showcased its ongoing high-performance computing (HPC) leadership at Supercomputing 2024 by powering the world’s fastest supercomputer.
In March 2024, AMD stock reached the all-time high at $227.30. The stock has since retraced by 53.8% to its current price of $110.48. This correction, coupled with the strong fundamentals the company has signals that AMD remains a solid hold in the long term and a great buy from the current levels. AMD continues to focus on expanding its AI capabilities and data centre infrastructure. On 11th February 2024, AMD announced the signing of a Letter of Intent (LOI) with the Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) of France to collaborate on the advanced technologies, component and system architectures that will shape the future of AI computing. This effort underscores the AMD commitment to fostering international collaborations that accelerate AI innovation, making AI more inclusive and sustainable, and strengthening cooperation, in particular, between the United States and European research institutions. It also opens up for opportunity for more income from the Europe market. For the full year 2024, AMD reported record revenue of $25.8 billion, gross margin of 49%, operating income of $1.9 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $1.00. On a non-GAAP (*) basis, gross margin was a record 53%, operating income was $6.1 billion, net income was $5.4 billion and diluted earnings per share was $3.31.
A key risk for AMD is the trade war between the united states and China. China represents a significant revenue source for AMD and the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook.
Our view on Advanced Micro Devices is BUY/HOLD with a target of $244. This is a 120.48% return on the stock from the current price of 110.48.
Sources:
www.tradingview.com
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AMD Projection and Entry PointThis is speculation just like before, which played out very well so this is me having another shot at it.
Going off of the prior cycle AMD went through and comparing it to the one it's currently in, you can see a lot of similarities.
Learning from it's past and seeing how it likes to react to certain Fib levels, you can see that the 76.40% has been respected as a major level of resistance which resulted in its short retracement back in June '23 , It also acts as a very strong level of support as shown in August '24.
Assuming AMD rejects at the current 76.40% level again, using the prior 76.40% you can see it aligns perfectly with the golden ratio I have setup as my buy entry.
It all lines up too perfectly that in my mind, I'm certain it will play out. But of course it's all speculation, and the markets do as they please.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
AMD - Inverted Head and Shoulder in makingDisclaimer : Do your own research before investing. This is just a chart analysis. No recommendation to buy and sell.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) enters the second week of October with a moderately bullish tone.
while analyzing AMD chart found there is Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern in making.
I have highlighted level on the chart.
Please share your thouhts.
$AMDAs Japan and China tensions rise, global chip manufacturing competition is heating up. In this environment, trust becomes the most valuable currency.
Companies that can secure reliable supply chains and long-term partnerships will stand out and NASDAQ:AMD may become a key asset in this evolving market.
The race for chips isn’t just about technology anymore… it’s about influence, security, and who others can depend on.
AMD cup and handle patternCurrently, AMD appears to be nearing the bottom of the handle and is poised to expand past its previous high.
I would monitor this to see how the prices move.
Lower risk play:
Buy - Stop limit: $190
Sell Stop loss - Stop market Order: $185
Sell Profit taker - Limit order: $290-300
Higher risk play:
Buy - Limit order: $150
Sell Stop Loss - Stop market $130
Sell Profit taker - Limit $290-300
What AMD's Chart Says Ahead of This Month's Earnings ReportAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD has gained nearly 40% so far this year, but its performance has actually lagged that of rival high-end chip designers like Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO . What does AMD's technical and fundamental analysis say might happen next?
Let's look:
Advanced Micro Devices' Fundamental Analysis
AMD rose 40.5% year to date as of Thursday's close, but has only gained about 6% over the past 12 months.
That trails industry leader Nvidia's one-year performance by a mile. Nvidia hit a new all-time high Thursday -- up 40.7% year to date, but nearly 60% higher over 12 months.
Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO is doing even better -- ahead about 45% YTD and around 100% over 12 months -- while even Marvell Technology NASDAQ:MRVL (arguably a distant competitor in the space) has a better five-year performance than AMD.
AMD is supposedly Nvidia's closest competitor, focusing on designing chips for artificial intelligence as AI moves from large language models and chatbots to actual generative and agentic uses.
If there's going to be future monetization of AI on the Software as a Service side (SaaS), that's where we'll see it -- and that's where AMD CEO Lisa Su is focusing.
Advanced Micro Devices is set to report Q3 results in late October, with the Street currently looking for $1.17 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $8.7 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 27.2% year-over-year gain from the $0.92 in adjusted EPS that the chip giant reported in Q3 2024. Meanwhile, revenue gains would total about 28% from the year-ago period's $6.8 billion.
Of the 37 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover AMD, 24 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the current quarter began, while eight have lowered their forecasts and five have left their estimates unrevised.
Advanced Micro Devices' Technical Analysis
Next, let's check out AMD's six-month chart as of Tuesday afternoon:
Readers will see that AMD rallied from early April into mid-August on a series of consecutive "bull-flag" patterns of trend continuance, as marked with purple diagonal lines above.
But things get interesting after that as the stock sold off from mid-August into mid-September.
First, the stock's movement firmed up a so-called "falling-wedge" pattern of bullish reversal, as marked with a red box above.
But now that AMD's reversal has actually begun, the stock appears to be developing what's known as a "cup" pattern, marked with a black curved line at the chart's right. This pattern is also technically bullish.
Many readers are familiar with what's called a "cup-with-handle" pattern, but cups don't have to add a handle.
Until they do, the pivot remains the cup's left-side apex. Once a handle is added, the pivot moves over to the cup's right side.
But for now, the pivot created by the pattern above stands at $187 vs. the $169.73 that AMD closed at Thursday.
Now, there's also another pivot of sorts to the stock in the form of AMD's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line above at the $165 level).
In short, AMD has two upside pivots in the chart above -- and one just might trigger the other if it's first triggered itself. How interesting is that?
That said, AMD's secondary technical indicators aren't really buying the above bullish story just yet.
For example, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is neutral.
Similarly, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is starting to perk up, but I wouldn't get excited just yet.
Within the MACD, the histogram of the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) is above zero. That's a short-term bullish technical sign.
Meanwhile, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), which is also short- to medium-term bullish. However, both of those lines are still below zero, which is short- to medium-term bearish.
An Options Option
Options traders who own or are interested in buying AMD shares here might choose to also sell covered calls while also selling puts to essentially purchase downside protection for free, although they'd limit their potential profit. Here is an example:
-- Purchase 100 shares of AMD at or close to $170.
-- Sell one Oct. 31 AMD call with a $175 strike price for about $7.90.
-- Purchase one Oct. 31 AMD $167.50 put for roughly $7.70.
The trader in the set-up above would be essentially getting long AMD shares because he or she sees a positive set-up.
That said, in order to manage the risk through AMD's upcoming earnings, the trader would sell a call for about enough to limit the downside risk through the earning release date. (Of course, this will also limit profitability through that date as well.)
Should the trader's AMD stock get called away at $175, that would still represent about a 2.9% profit.
But the trader isn't hoping to get the stock called away -- just trying to protect against a poor market response to either AMD's upcoming Q3 earnings or any forward guidance issued.
Should the trader be forced to put the shares to someone else at $167.50, that would represent just a 1.5% loss.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD and NVDA at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Ascending triangle breakout.Amd has bottomed at 150 and started trading in a ascending triangle with a 164 resistance.
Amd has broke the ascending triangle resistance and has now run to 171.
A retest of the ascending triangle breakout is possible. So dont worry if it drops back to 164. Its a buy signal if it does.
The ascending triangle pattern target is 180. But could probally run to 183-185 resistance.
AMD Pushing Higher! Gamma Wall Test Ahead for Oct 3Intraday Technical Outlook (15m Chart)
AMD ended the session at $170.20, holding steady inside a rising channel after a strong upside run. The 15-minute chart shows buyers keeping momentum intact:
* MACD: Flattening near positive territory after a pullback, signaling momentum may reload for another push.
* Stoch RSI: Back in overbought territory, showing near-term strength but risk of a cooling period.
* Key Levels: Support rests at $169–168.5, with further downside markers at $166.1 and $164.0. Resistance is at $171–172, the upper channel and prior rejection zone.
Intraday takeaway: If AMD holds above $168.5, bulls have the edge to retest $171–172. A breakdown below $168 exposes a quick fade toward $166–164.
Options Sentiment & GEX Outlook (1H Chart)
Options flow and GEX positioning highlight AMD pressing into a major resistance zone:
* Gamma Walls:
* $171–172.5: Strongest positive GEX cluster and major call wall — current ceiling.
* $167.5–165: Supportive GEX zones that should act as buffers on pullbacks.
* $157.5–155: Heavy put wall, the deeper risk level if weakness accelerates.
* Implications:
* Sustaining above $170–171 opens the door to a potential extension toward $175–177.5, though dealer hedging may pin AMD near the gamma wall if momentum slows.
* A rejection from $171 likely forces a retrace into $167.5–165 where buyers could reload.
* Volatility Context: IVR at 34.7 (below average) shows options are moderately priced, giving traders flexibility for directional calls or debit spreads.
My Thoughts & Recommendation
For Oct 3 trading, AMD is positioned right at the top of its channel and a major gamma wall.
* Intraday (scalping/trading): Stay bullish above $168.5 with eyes on $171–172 resistance. A breakout here can drive toward $175+, while a rejection means quick scalps back into $167.5–165.
* Options trading (swing/0DTE): Calls are favorable on a breakout above $171 with tight stops. If AMD fails at $171, puts toward $165 become a higher-probability play.
Bias heading into Oct 3: Bullish, but watch carefully for rejection at $171–172.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Clear for Liftoff!NASDAQ:AMD , accelerating role in the A.I and data center markets where demand for high performance computing is EXPLODING! Strong revenue growth companied with mass partnerships with neighboring Blue Chip stocks
At a RS Rating of 88
I have reasons to believe this equity price can increase
Amd - The path is too clear!🪓Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will rally another +75%:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years, Amd has been trading in a simple rising channel formation. With the recent retest of a major confluence of support, Amd once again confirmed the bullish trend. Following those previous cycles, Amd will now break the all time high and rally another +75% from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION