Black Gold or Green Future: The Big Oil ParadoxThis investment strategy scrutinizes the complex landscape of major oil corporations like Exxon, Chevron, Shell, and BP , situated at the crossroads between their traditional petroleum-based profits ("black gold") and the imperative to transition towards sustainable energy sources (the "green future").
The approach is uniquely neutral, recognizing both the potential upside and downside of these energy giants, and is armed with targets for either trajectory. One must take into account:
1. Nuclear and Fission Energy Impact: The rise of nuclear and fission energy poses another threat to these corporations. As a clean, efficient, and increasingly cost-competitive source of power, nuclear energy is growing in popularity. Once nuclear energy starts to gain more traction and acceptance, it will further undermine the demand for oil, exacerbating the challenges for these energy giants.
2. Regulatory & Environmental Risks: Anticipating potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy can help set downside targets. At the same time, successful mitigation of environmental risks might offer upside prospects.
3. Drop in Oil: A dramatic oil price drop would significantly reduce these companies' revenue and profitability. Oil price and the financial health of these companies are closely linked, given their heavy reliance on oil sales.
1. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): $250 billion
2. Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDS.A): $150 billion
3. Chevron Corporation (CVX): $200 billion
4. BP PLC (BP): $85 billion
TOTAL= 700 Billion
