US100 on the Edge – Will Bulls Finally Break the All-Time HighZone 1: All-Time High / Major Supply Zone
This area represents the top of the market structure and the current all-time high region. Price has tested this level multiple times, forming a tight consolidation directly beneath it. This behavior indicates strong buying pressure but also clear absorption from sellers. Until the market shows a decisive breakout with volume confirmation, this zone acts as a heavy supply level. Traders should be cautious — breakouts near all-time highs often trigger fake moves before continuation.
Zone 2: Short-Term Demand / Breakout Retest Zone
Zone 2 marks the first layer of demand formed after the most recent breakout attempt. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend structure, suggesting it’s a valid short-term support area. If price remains above this level, the bullish structure remains intact. However, a clean break below Zone 2 would likely open the door for a retracement toward Zone 3.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Breakout Base
This zone represents the base of the breakout — Monday’s low — where buyers aggressively entered and drove price upward through prior resistance. It’s a key liquidity pocket and the foundation of the current move. As long as the market holds above this zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below, however, would signal that momentum has faded and could trigger a deeper correction.
Sentiment
After a strong start to the week, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious optimism. Monday’s momentum carried into Tuesday as easing US–China trade tensions and solid performances from major tech names helped maintain positive sentiment. However, with the index hovering near record highs, investors have turned more selective and defensive.
The broader market tone remains constructive — risk appetite is still present, but confidence is fragile. Many traders are waiting for fresh catalysts from corporate earnings and macro data to confirm whether the recent rally has more room to run. The ongoing US government shutdown continues to cloud visibility, delaying key data releases and adding an element of uncertainty.
Overall, sentiment around the Nas100 is positive but tentative: the market is stable and supported by tech strength and improved trade signals, yet stretched valuations and the lack of new macro clarity keep investors cautious at the top.
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20 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPSTUDY!!
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NASDAQ 100 (US100) Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq is moving within a rising channel on the 2H timeframe, after sweeping liquidity from previous lows and rebounding from the FVG 2H demand zone.
The likely scenario is a continuation of the bullish move toward 25,960 – 26,000, aligning with the upper trendline and potential resistance area.
However, a failure to hold above 25,160 may trigger a corrective pullback toward 24,380 before any renewed bullish momentum.
📊 Fundamental Outlook:
The Nasdaq remains supported by stable U.S. bond yields and easing Fed tightening expectations, along with positive earnings from major tech firms.
However, slower growth in parts of the tech sector and upcoming inflation data could temporarily limit further upside momentum.
📅 Short-term Bias: Bullish
🎯 Upside Targets: 25,960 – 26,000
📉 Pullback Target: 24,380
⛔ Invalidation Level: Below 23,990
#US100 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
Will the second scenario come true? |October 17 2025Based on the evidence, price action, and fundamental news, it seems the second scenario is about to play out.
The Nasdaq index turned positive after recovering its losses when Trump responded “No” to a question about whether he would maintain the heavy tariffs on China.
From today, my outlook is bullish until the previous high gets hunted — after that, I’ll reassess whether we’re likely to see further downside or if the bullish outlook should remain.
If market conditions shift and a continuation of the downtrend becomes more likely, we can take a solid short position next week to catch the move.
But for now, my bias is bullish, and the second scenario will likely play out.
If price reaches the second high I marked in blue, we’ll probably see a reaction from that zone.
If I open a trade, I’ll share it with you.
NASDAQ/SPX – Are We Really in an AI Bubble?This chart compares NASDAQ to the S&P 500 (NASDAQ/SPX) on a monthly timeframe, visualized with Heikin Ashi candles and a logarithmic regression channel for long-term context. It highlights the dot-com bubble, where the ratio reached extreme overvaluation levels far above the regression mean.
Recently, many investors have been calling the current market an “AI bubble.” However, when viewed through this historical lens, the ratio still remains within the long-term growth channel and far below the excesses of the early 2000s. This perspective suggests that, at least relative to the broader market, tech doesn’t appear to be in bubble territory yet.
It would still be valuable to compare the composition of the NASDAQ today versus in 2000, as the market structure has changed dramatically — with more diversified revenue streams, profitability, and balance sheet strength. Without this data, one can only speculate. But visually, this ratio helps challenge the popular narrative of an ongoing bubble and invites a more nuanced discussion about valuation, innovation cycles, and sector dominance.
#NASDAQ #SPX #Macro #Tech #AIbubble #DotCom #LongTerm #RatioAnalysis #HeikinAshi #MarketCycle
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH ZoneUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH Zone
USNAS100 reached a new all-time high but has now stabilized below the supply zone, suggesting a bearish correction phase.
As long as price stays below 25,180, the index remains under pressure toward 25,035 → 24,960 → 24,860.
🕯 Technical View
A 1H close above 25,230 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 25,400 → 25,600.
Pivot: 25,180
Bias: Bearish below 25,180
NASDAQ ready to continue up.We are positioning for long entries in the Nasdaq, anticipating that the VIX will continue its decline toward calmer levels at Monday’s open. This aligns with the observed rotation out of defensive sectors and the increasing risk appetite in cyclical and growth-oriented sectors.
The setup suggests a risk-on environment, with potential for sectoral leadership shifts favoring tech and high-beta equities, as implied volatility contracts and market sentiment improves.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Bounce from Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,804.95, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,423.43, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 25,500.67, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index recently tested its all-time high and is now showing signs of a potential corrective pullback after a strong bullish run.
📉 Expected scenario:
The price may retrace toward the 24,900 demand zone, which serves as an important support area.
If the index bounces from this level, it could resume its upward movement to form a new high.
However, if the price breaks below 24,900 and holds, a deeper move toward 24,600 is likely.
📈 Best buy zone: On a confirmed rebound from 24,900
📍 Best sell zone: On a confirmed rebound from 25,100, or Below 24,900 after confirmation
USNASDAQ100 Consolidation to downside correctionThe NASDAQ 100 started the week on solid ground, supported by gains in mega-cap stocks. However, investor sentiment remains cautious ahead of a wave of corporate earnings and a critical inflation report, both of which could determine the next major market move.
🔍 Outlook
If sellers maintain control, the USNAS100 could correct toward 25,300 initially. A break below this level would open the door toward the 24,550 support area. However, a rebound from 25,300 could trigger a short-term recovery — but the broader outlook remains bearish unless price regains ground above 26,000.
You may find more details in the chart.
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US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
________________________________________
🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
________________________________________
🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
________________________________________
💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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