NAS100 -Head and Shoulders Formed. Price Sitting at the NecklinePrice had been climbing steadily and consistently till now. See my previous analysis:
Or click on the attached idea on my chart.
But momentum is starting to be fading.
And if we look closely, we could recognize a head and shoulders pattern. We have the first peak, the left shoulder. Then a taller peak, the head. And finally, a lower high, the right shoulder.
And right now, price is sitting right at that neckline. So the market is at decision point:
A strong break below would confirm the Head and Shoulders and trigger the reversal.
- If price will break below this neckline with momentum, the pattern is confirmed. And that would be our short signal anticipating a move down, towards 24.400.
- But if buyers step in here, the pattern could fail.
The target is measured from the head to the neckline, and projected below the breakout.
It’s a key moment and the next move will decide the outcome.
USTECFU trade ideas
US100 remains in a well-defined uptrendUS100 remains in a well-defined uptrend
After the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points and also sent a message that two more rate cuts could happen this year, all indices broke out in an uptrend.
US100 felt a surge at 23992 during the FOMC meeting as the market was unclear about what was going on and later rallied again.
Price tested the major support area near 23900 where buyers appeared stronger than before pushing the price higher from where US100 easily reached the first and second targets.
After any small pause, I think US100 can rise further to 24750 and 25000.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Pressure’s buildin’ on NAS100—could pop any minute.Hey Guys,
Once NAS100 hits my SELL zone, I’m pulling the trigger—targeting 24557.06
• Entry: 24752.05 or 24703.29
Set the stop point according to your own margin, my friends.
Every like you drop pushes me to share more setups like this. Big thanks to everyone showing support!
NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis: Three-Drive Pattern, VWAP & Trade Plan📊 The NASDAQ 100 has been riding a strong bullish trend, pushing higher with relentless momentum. On the daily timeframe, price now looks heavily overextended 📈.
🔎 Zooming into the 4-hour chart, the overextension is even more apparent. In trending markets, we often observe a three-drive pattern (sometimes a fourth) before an aggressive correction occurs.
⚡ I’m keeping an eye out for a sharp pullback. If price finds support and confirms with a bullish break of market structure, this could present a high-probability long entry setup 🚀.
📹 In the video, I also dive into how I use the VWAP and Fibonacci retracement tools. Both are powerful indicators that provide valuable insight and a trading edge 🔧.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
US100 M30 – Sideway at the Top - Short OpportunityThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index has experienced a strong upward move on the 30-minute chart, pushing price to a new high around the 24,800 – 24,850 zone. However, recently, price has been moving sideways within a narrow range, forming a consolidation phase near this key resistance area. This sideways action signals a potential short-term correction or trend reversal.
📉Technical Analysis:
Current Sideways Zone: Price is consolidating between approximately 24,800 and 24,850, repeatedly testing this resistance but failing to break through decisively.
Key Support Level: The 24,650 – 24,700 zone is acting as critical support, holding price during this consolidation.
Support Break Signal: A close below the 24,650 – 24,700 support range would confirm the start of a downtrend and signal a likely bearish move.
📊 Trading Plan
Sell on Support Break: If price closes below the 24,650 – 24,700 support zone, consider entering a short position targeting the next strong support area near 24,400 – 24,350 .
Sell on Retest of Sideways Zone:
After breaking support, if price pulls back to retest the sideways zone (24,800 – 24,850) and shows bearish rejection signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), this provides a good opportunity to enter or add to short positions.
⚠️Risk Management:
Stop-loss: Place above the sideways resistance area, around 24,860 – 24,870 , to avoid false breakouts.
Take profit: Consider partial profit-taking near 24,650 – 24,700 and final targets around 24,400 – 24,350.
Wait for Confirmation: Avoid entering trades without clear support breaks or bearish rejection signals to minimize risk.
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Nasdaq records near critical resistance! More to go or crash?Strong economic data suggest the soft landing scenario remains intact. Manufacturing strength, combined with improving employment data, appears to provide support. The Fed's dovish pivot also offers liquidity tailwinds, while the Nvidia-Intel partnership signals continued investment in US stocks.
But is the market reading the signals?
Strong employment data could actually be bearish for equities since it reduces the urgency for the Fed to cut. The Fed's dot plot already shows fewer 2026 cuts (only one instead of three) with higher growth and (slightly higher) inflation projections. The Nvidia-Intel deal also excludes Intel's struggling foundry business, a core problem for the company.
Technicals are not too promising either. Multiple resistance factors converge just a tad higher if not at current levels:
Long-term trendline from November 2021
138% Fibonacci level
Triangle pattern measured move completion
100% Fibonacci expansion target
Indicators flash warnings too:
RSI second divergence since May (price up, momentum flat)
Volume oscillator 13% below zero - lack of institutional buying
Missing third-wave volume surge - typical bull pattern absent
Fifth-wave characteristics suggesting impulse completion
As we trade in the historically worst month for equities, where the NASDAQ typically underperforms the S&P 500 during September selloffs, a high-probability short setup could be underway:
Entry : 24,700-24,750 area (resistance test)
Stop : Above 25,000 (avoid false breakout)
Targets : 23,700 → 22,730 → 22,200
Risk-Reward : Approximately 2.6:1 to first major support
Prefer a 5-wave decline if bear case confirms, followed by a 3-wave up, then continuation lower.
Watch 24,500 as it appears to be a decision point where multiple technical and fundamental factors converge.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USNAS100 Range Bound Price action price likely to continueThe US NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) is currently exhibiting range-bound price action, with consolidation likely to continue until a clear breakout occurs.
Technical View:
On Wednesday, the index edged slightly higher as investors weighed the measured comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and looked ahead to key U.S. economic data due later this week.
A confirmed breakout above the current consolidation zone could open the path for further upside, with potential resistance seen near the 24,900 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
FOMC has cleared liquidity levels around this technical rangeNews Drivers do not overpower technicals, the fundamentally driven movements are just banging around into huge money pending orders. No way around these mechanics.
That what we saw today, and what will continue to happen forever and ever 💎 Not saying it will always be a ricochet like today, but the orders are always there.
NASDAQ September's Channel Up targets 24900.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 02 Low and at the moment it is unfolding its 2nd Bullish Leg following the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce on September 17.
Based on the previous 4H MA50 Bullish Leg, the sequence should peak below the 2.382 Fibonacci extension at a maximum +3.96% rise. Our Target is slightly below those at 24900.
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Nasdaq - USTEC: Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
Experimental Test Phase Week:
Correlation Logic & Daily Efficiency - GOLD🔄NASDAQ🔄DOW JONES
🔎 Previous Week Observations -
Strong accumulation & clustered trading between 24,300 – 24,350.
This is where most volume likely sat (clustered POC zone).
Breakout above 24,400 carried price strongly higher.
Current price (~24,615) is sitting above last week’s value area, riding momentum.
USTEC - 22Sept:
Pivot: 24,300 – 24,350
Bias: Bullish while above pivot
Bull targets: 24,700 → 24,900
Bear targets: 24,200 → 24,000
👉 Nasdaq leading tech momentum.
Stronger risk appetite = supports US30 as well, usually opposite Gold.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time HighNasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time High
As the chart shows, today the Nasdaq 100 index has, for the first time in history, climbed above the 24,500 level.
According to media reports, bullish sentiment was driven by the long-awaited Fed decision to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025.
Although the Fed also indicated it would remain cautious about further cuts, the easing acted as a bullish catalyst for the entire stock market – European equities also advanced today, with technology companies leading the way.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
When looking at the Nasdaq 100 index within the context of the September rally (highlighted by the blue channel), we note the following:
→ In mid-September, price action reflected market optimism, as the index traded in the upper half of the channel – with resistance at the upper boundary (R) and support at line S.
→ Yesterday’s volatility spike produced a similar move (marked with an arrow) to the one we highlighted in today’s earlier gold analysis, namely a sharp reversal from the lower boundary of the channel (essentially a bullish engulfing pattern, albeit less clear due to volatility and the chosen timeframe).
Following the reversal from the lower boundary, which unfolded aggressively (a sign of bullish conviction), the price advanced steadily, breaking through key levels:
→ the midline of the blue channel;
→ the R2 resistance line shown in red;
→ the former all-time high at 24,165.
Moreover, the index’s behaviour around 24,300 demonstrated the persistence of buyers – the price moved above a cluster of local resistances and then extended its rally.
Bearish view:
→ bullish momentum has pushed the RSI indicator into overbought zone;
→ when attempting to break above the psychological 24,500 level, the price failed to hold, suggesting a false bullish breakout.
Given the above, we could assume that optimism prevails in the market, supported by the Fed’s decision:
→ on the one hand, further gains towards the upper boundary of the blue channel may take place;
→ on the other hand, the market may be overheated and vulnerable to a correction (for instance, back towards the blue midline).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100 - Last Quarter Hype or Abyss?Dear Friends in Trading,
Interesting Read:
investinglive.com
Rate cuts invigorate buying optimism at this time:
1.Investing Institutions are undeterred by "overbought conditions"
2. Will I follow the buying Hype?
3. Marching towards 25000 or a cliff?
4. Am I dragged along into extreme red to maximize annual institutional profits?
5. What does the overbought conditions tell me is the current fair market value?
23700
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
2025 vs 2024 Growth comparison and OutlookPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective
NAS100 Buy Entry’s Clean, R:R 2.00 — Setup Locked & Loaded!Hey traders,
Here’s my NAS100 setup based on the 1-hour chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 23998.77
🔴 Stop Loss: 23884.81
🎯 TP1: 24045.42
🎯 TP2: 24097.67
🎯 TP3: 24225.56
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Every like you drop is pure fuel for me to keep sharing these setups.
Big thanks to everyone standing by and showing support.