NASDAQ Analysis – Recovery Expected After an Overextended DropYesterday’s sharp Nasdaq drop was surprising, especially considering Nvidia’s exceptional earnings, renewed confidence that we’re not in a bubble, and the strong labor data from NFP. Under normal conditions, the market would likely have reacted with a 2%+ rally.
However, investors are now pricing in the idea that the Fed will not cut rates in December, which created fear-driven selling and an exaggerated move to the downside.
Today, I would like to see a relief recovery, as the index has started to form a double-bottom pattern, a typical structure before liquidity grabs to the upside. If confirmed, price could push back up to take out recent highs.
Historically, after large impulsive drops, the stock market tends to open in green, as investors take advantage of discounted prices. If momentum shifts, the Nasdaq could quickly reclaim lost ground.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ – Bullish Triangle Breakout LoadingI’m currently seeing a bullish ascending triangle forming on the Nasdaq indicating a strong accumulation phase before a potential breakout to the upside price has already started to bounce upward from this compression zone suggesting that buyers are taking control and preparing for a clean bullish continuation
If the breakout confirms, my target is around 27750$ aligns with
The projected target of the ascending triangle
A strong technical resistance zone
A logical extension given the current bullish structure
As long as price stays above the triangle support the bullish scenario remains the primary expectation
USNAS100: Key Breakdown Levels Ahead — 24150 Next?USNAS100 | Technical Overview
The Nasdaq index continues to show weakness below 24460, keeping bearish pressure dominant in the short and medium term.
Technical Outlook
As long as the price remains below the pivot line at 24460, the bearish momentum is expected to continue toward 24150.
A break below 24150 opens the door for a deeper move toward 23930.
If the market closes a 4H candle below 23930, this will confirm a stronger bearish trend targeting 23700.
On the other hand, bullish momentum will only be activated if the price closes a 1H or 4H candle above 24760, which would signal a reversal toward higher levels.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 24460
Support: 24150 · 23930 · 23700
Resistance: 24580 · 24760 · 25200
Could the drop be over?Technical: The index is sitting around 22,078 points, dropping approximately 2.15%.
Fundamental: The decline is linked to a reversal of momentum after NVIDIA Corporation’s strong earnings; although the results were solid, the market interpreted that risks related to interest rates and valuations may still persist.
Key: Keep an eye on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the evolution of employment data, as the market remains sensitive to whether rate cuts will occur or not.
NAS100 –Long Liquidation, Short Squeeze,LVN Above Still a MagnetNasdaq futures just went through a classic two-step sequence:
Thursday – long liquidation (b-profile)
Fast drop from ~25 200 down to ~23 700.
Single-print style profile, almost no rotations, no absorption.
Price sliced straight through a low-volume void (LVN) between 25 150 → 24 650 – basically “air”.
Friday – short covering (P-profile)
Buyers stepped in around 23 700–23 900 and pushed price back to ~24 5xx.
The daily/session profile built a clear P-shape:
fat upper node around 24 380–24 480, long lower tail.
This is typical short squeeze / covering, not clean accumulation.
From a market-profile / order-flow perspective, that big LVN above is still unfinished business. Markets usually like to come back and “repair” such areas after a liquidation event.
Key Profile Levels
🔵 Thursday VPOC / support: 23 950–24 050
🔵 Friday HVN / acceptance: 24 380–24 480
🔵 Major LVN (thin air): 24 650 → 25 150
🔵 Pre-liquidation VPOC / destination: ~25 150
The rotation path that makes the most sense for me is:
23 950 → 24 380 → 24 650 → 25 150
…as long as we don’t get a fresh macro shock.
Trading Plan (not a signal, just how I see it)
Bias:
Cautiously bullish as long as price holds above 23 950–24 000, looking for the market to rotate back into the LVN above.
1️⃣ Long scenario (base case)
Ideal: early dip / chop above 23 950–24 050, then rotation higher.
First magnet: 24 380–24 480 (Friday HVN).
If price accepts above that zone (multiple 15m / 1H closes and volume building there), I expect a push into the 24 650 LVN edge, with potential extension toward 25 000–25 150 to “repair” the pre-crash profile.
2️⃣ Retest-lower scenario
If sellers hit us right from the open and we break below 24 100, I’m watching 23 950–24 000 as must-hold support.
A clean bounce from there still fits the rotation idea toward 24 380 → 24 650.
Acceptance below 23 900 would invalidate the bullish repair scenario for me and re-open the door to the weekly low 23 700 and even 23 150 HTF demand.
Invalidation
For this LVN-fill view I consider it wrong if:
We build value below 23 900,
Or we see a fresh b-profile / liquidation day under Thursday’s low.
In that case I’d step aside and reassess – that would mean the market is not finished with the downside.
How I’ll Use Order Flow
On intraday order-flow charts (NQ futures):
Looking for buying imbalances / absorption around 23 950–24 050 if we retest it.
Watching 24 380–24 480 for the battle between new sellers and short covering:
Acceptance above → bullish continuation toward 24 650+.
Sharp rejection with heavy sell imbalances → we might just be in a bigger range and the LVN can stay unfilled longer.
Final Thoughts
Thursday looked like forced-out longs (b-profile).
Friday looked like shorts scrambling to cover (P-profile).
There is still a huge LVN above, and these areas are often magnets once the panic phase is over.
As always, this is not financial advice, just my personal read of the auction.
Manage your own risk and sizing – especially after such high-volatility days.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has swept internal liquidity and is now approaching the horizontal supply but hasn’t retested it yet. If the retest confirms distribution, SMC flow favors a drop toward the next sell-side liquidity zone.
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Stop Loss: 25,288
Take Profit: 24,756
Entry: 25,076
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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Nasdaq : 24,000 Holds Strong — Next Stop 25,800?Price action on the Nasdaq 100 is telling a clear story: 24,000 (AVWAP + HVN confluence + Round number) is acting like a magnet for institutional buyers.
This suggests that accumulation is happening at these levels, positioning for a potential run toward 25,800 if momentum holds.
Are we front-running a breakout, or should we wait for confirmation above 25,000 first?
Nasdaq NAS100 Analysis: The Conditions I Need Before Going ShortI'm keeping a close eye on NAS100 (Nasdaq) right now. 📉✨ On the 4H timeframe, price remains in a clean, sustained bearish trend, and I'm anticipating a potential continuation lower.
If price rejects the current level and fails to retrace through the 1H imbalance, and we see a rotation followed by a bearish break of structure, I'll be preparing for a short opportunity. 📊🔻
Not financial advice.
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NAS100How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
NAS100 Future | The Bullish Liquidity RuTrading isn't about chasing green candles; it's about anticipating where the "smart money" needs to go to fill their orders. On this NAS100 1H chart, we are stalking a potential Bullish Model #1 setup by waiting for price to revisit the discount zone.
Here is the CRT (Candle Range Theory) breakdown of the projected path:
1. The Trap: Turtle Soup at CRTL 🐢
The chart projects a drop below the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 24,664. This is the classic "Turtle Soup" mechanic.
The Logic: As the book states, "Turtle Soup is when the market tricks traders by briefly breaking through a level, then reversing".
The Goal: Smart money needs to "run stops... below old lows" to accumulate a long position. We want to see price stab this low to trap late sellers.
2. The Confluence: Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🧲
Notice that the sweep of the lows aligns perfectly with a Bullish FVG (the grey box).
Why it matters: "When Model #1 appears with an FVG... it becomes even more powerful". This gap acts as a magnet to pull price down before the real expansion begins.
3. The Objective: CRTH 🎯
If the trap is set and price reclaims the level (confirming the reversal), the draw on liquidity becomes the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,307.
The Cycle: Market moves from range to manipulation (Turtle Soup) to trend. The target is simply the opposing side of the range.
🧠 Trader's Mindset: "Patience is your greatest trading asset". Right now, the chart suggests we are in the waiting phase. Do not try to catch the falling knife. Wait for the sweep of the CRTL, look for the strong reaction (Model #1 confirmation), and then execute.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Candle Range Theory concepts for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Next Step: Set an alert at 24,720. Are you watching for the sweep or buying the dip early? Let me know your plan below! 👇
NAS100 – Strong Order Block Explained | High-Volume Breakout & CA Strong Bearish Order Block formed on NAS100 after a powerful bearish Marubozu breakout candle, showing clear displacement and confirming aggressive institutional selling pressure.
1. Large Breakout Candle (Marubozu)
A strong bearish candle broke through previous structure with real displacement.
This is the first sign of a valid Order Block — a move driven by actual institutional flow, not just a liquidity sweep.
2. Clean Imbalance (IMB) Created
Right after the breakout, price left behind a clean Imbalance.
This IMB highlights urgency and confirms that big players were actively pushing the market.
3. Price Returned to the Strong Order Block
After the breakout, price slowly retraced back to the origin of the move — the Strong Order Block.
Once price tapped the OB, it reacted sharply and immediately moved lower, showing that institutional sellers were defending this level.
4. Volume Confirmation
Volume during the breakout was significantly higher than average.
This reinforces that the move was driven by institutional order flow, not retail traders.
🔑 Key Takeaways
This setup is a textbook Strong Bearish Order Block, meeting all core criteria:
Clear displacement
Clean Imbalance formation
Strong volume confirmation
Price returning to the OB and reacting decisively
A high-probability bearish setup built on structure, volume, and institutional footprints.
Bullish signalsThe price is bouncing from 100-day EMA and VWAP from late June low on US100 chart (not on NDX though). WXY correction structure looks complete. It can still go lower to test 0.618 fib from August 1 low to top or August 13 peak. RSI shows 2h bullish divergence on all Nasdaq and S&P500 charts. A reversal to new ATH is highly probable from this area (or atleast a high bounce to draw another right shoulder).
US100 Reversal Map – Hull MA + Heikin Ashi Confirmation🧠 US100 / NASDAQ100 Profit Pathway Setup — The Thief’s Bullish Escape Plan! 💰🚀
📊 Market Bias: Bullish (Day Trade Setup)
The Thief Trader has spotted a golden pathway in the NASDAQ100 (US100)!
Here’s the breakdown of the plan — straight from the thief’s vault 🕵️♂️📈
🎯 Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish continuation confirmed
Technical Confirmation:
✅ Double Pullback on Hull Moving Average
✅ Retest Zone successfully defended
✅ Heikin Ashi Bullish Doji signaled a trend reversal confirmation
💡 Momentum is shifting upward — the trend has officially changed!
💎 Entry Strategy (Layered Thief Style)
The Thief Strategy applies a layered entry method — multiple buy limits to average into strength.
📥 Buy Limit Layers:
25,300
25,400
25,500
25,600
(Traders can adjust or add more layers based on risk appetite and confirmation zones.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss Setup
This is the Thief SL @ 25,100
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL as your SL — always customize risk and secure your own bag. Manage your position with discipline and independence! 💼
🎯 Take-Profit Zone
Target: 26,200
🚨 The Police Barricade Zone acts as a strong resistance — overbought levels spotted and potential bull trap alert!
Kindly exit with profit before the officers arrive. 😎
⚠️ Note: Profit-taking is at your discretion. Book and Run!
📈 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
NASDAQ:NDX / CAPITALCOM:US100 / NASDAQ:QQQ : All mirror NASDAQ movement.
SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY : Often correlate with NASDAQ’s momentum (watch divergence for clues).
TVC:VIX : If volatility spikes, expect pullbacks on tech-heavy indices.
TVC:DXY : A weak dollar often fuels US100 bullish legs — keep an eye on it.
NASDAQ:AAPL / NASDAQ:MSFT / NASDAQ:NVDA : Leading drivers of NASDAQ — if they pump, the index follows. 💪
🧩 Key Insights
Hull MA alignment confirms momentum shift.
Retest + bullish Heikin Ashi Doji = market reversal confirmation.
Layered entries give flexibility in volatile intraday conditions.
Dynamic risk management is key — never marry a position.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #ThiefTrader #DayTrading #IndexTrading #HullMA #HeikinAshi #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #PriceAction #MarketReversal #TradingCommunity #BullishPlan #SmartMoneyFlow #TradeIdeas #ThiefStrategy
NAS 2 MOON ?Ok so i made my oblivion call
where i expect incomprehensible shorting wothon the us stock market however i see one last impulse cooking up might react at the red levels and tank there before it goes my way idk but my bias is bullish and $27295 is my target
weekly timeframe keeps making higher highs if it breaks structure well game over
Nasdaq (sell)**Disclaimer (Smart Money Concepts Analysis)**
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and represents only the analyst’s personal perspective. All marked levels, scenarios, and the two potential entry points are provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice, investment guidance, or a buy/sell signal.
Any trade you choose to take is entirely your own decision and must be executed with proper risk management and full personal responsibility. Market conditions may shift at any time and may invalidate the outlined scenarios.
This analysis is not a substitute for professional financial or investment advice. It is recommended to:
* Always use a **stop-loss**
* Follow a **clear risk management plan**
* Verify setups with your own analysis
* Be aware that the market can move unpredictably
By using this analysis, you acknowledge that all trading decisions and outcomes are solely your responsibility.
Nasdaq Short: Ride the wave 3 of 3 of 3In this video, I updated the Elliott Wave counts for Nasdaq and shows how wave 3 has formed as a series of sub-waves. I also showed that the last wave up (wave 2 of 3 of 3) was stopped at 50% retracement of wave 1 of 3 of 3. So my expectation is that next week we are going to crash in a wave 3 of 3 of 3.
Set the stop for this idea will be above wave 2 of 3 of 3 (around $24,540).
Good luck!






















