NSDQ100 bullish reaction to rate-cut expectationsUS CPI and a sharp rise in jobless claims (+263k vs. +235k expected, Texas-driven distortions aside) reinforced the narrative of a cooling labour market. Equities rallied on the lower rates outlook: S&P 500 (+0.85%) and Nasdaq (+0.72%) closed at fresh records, with the Magnificent 7 up +1.13%. Breadth was strong (436 S&P advancers, Russell 2000 +1.83%). Oracle (-6.23%) was a notable laggard after recent gains. Meanwhile, OpenAI’s potential $100bn+ restructuring with Microsoft and a UK data center buildout highlight continued AI momentum. On the geopolitical front, US-China talks (Bessent–He Lifeng) and a possible Xi-Trump meeting, plus progress with India, suggest tentative thawing in trade and tech relations.
Conclusion (Nasdaq-100):
The combination of softer labour data, rate-cut expectations, and sustained AI optimism is a constructive backdrop for the Nasdaq-100. Short-term pullbacks (e.g., Oracle) appear stock-specific, while breadth and AI-linked capex support further upside. Near-term, dips remain buyable unless geopolitics disrupt risk sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24200
Resistance Level 2: 24380
Resistance Level 3: 24600
Support Level 1: 23500
Support Level 2: 23320
Support Level 3: 23125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 trade ideas
UPDATE: USTEC100 ready to rally through stratosphere to 24,936 USTEC100 is priming itself for some great upside on the daily.
Which means investors are piling into stocks which will drive the prices up and send the index through the stratosphere.
The technicals are very basic, W Formation - Price broken above the 20MA and 200MA and above the neckline.
And so we can easily see the target of 24,936.
🚀 Fed easing hopes → Softer inflation + weak PPI/PPI data raise chances for interest rate cuts, which tend to boost growth/high valuation tech stocks.
💡 AI & innovation tailwinds → Big tech companies keep delivering in AI, semis, cloud etc., giving strong fundamental support.
📈 Strong technicals / trend structure → Price breaking past resistance zones, holding trendline support, indicating bulls are stepping in.
🌍 Risk-on sentiment & dollar weakness → When investors are more willing to take risk (and the USD softens), tech tends to benefit more.
⏳ Pullbacks seen as buying opportunities → Dips have been shallow, and support zones are holding, giving room for further advance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq Eyes 24,240 ATH as PPI LoomsUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 maintained bullish momentum, retesting support at 23,695 before pushing higher again.
Technical Outlook:
📈 As long as price trades above the 23,870 pivot, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward a new ATH at 24,090 → 24,240.
📉 If the PPI release comes in hotter than expected, it may weigh on the index. A confirmed stabilization below 23,860 would open the way for a pullback toward 23,690.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 – 24,240
Support: 23,695 – 23,510
Bias: Bullish above 23,870; bearish correction only if price stabilizes below 23,860, with deeper downside toward 23,690
Nas100 – Today’s Key Trading ZonesTrading zones
Zone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,014 – 24,026)
This zone sits at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity hunts are often at their peak. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and hold above would indicate strong buyer conviction and could open the door for further momentum into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (23,920 – 23,930)
This demand zone represents a high-liquidity pocket created by prior consolidation. Buyers are expected to step in here on pullbacks, providing potential long setups. However, if the zone fails to hold, it may flip into resistance and trigger continuation downside moves.
With price trading near all-time highs, only two zones are marked today. Volatility at record levels makes price action less structured, leaving limited data to build reliable zones from. As a result, focus remains on the all-time high supply zone above and the high-liquidity demand zone below as the key areas for potential reaction.
Sentiment in the US100 is cautiously positive but fragile. Strong tech momentum and expectations of Fed rate cuts support the index, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices ease pressure on yields. Still, higher-than-expected CPI reminds investors that inflation risks remain, keeping markets on edge near all-time highs.
Daily Trade Plan: US100Trade Plan: US100
Date:9/12/2025
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Smaller Timeframe : Bullish
Medium Timeframe : Neutral Bullish
Larger Timeframe : Bullish
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If price trying to break higher but fail. Price should pull back to 2 day HVN level. Especially "Yesterday value area low" zone. It coud be set as a lounching point of bullish move to make a new all time high.
US100 Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keep trading in
A strong uptrend and
The index is now trying
To breakout the key
Horizontal level of 23,940
So IF the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Futures rise as traders await inflation data, Fed cuts in focusFutures rise as traders await inflation data, Fed cuts in focus
U.S. stock index futures rose slightly on Thursday as traders awaited key consumer price data at 8:30 a.m. ET, expected to show higher August inflation. Wednesday’s softer PPI report fueled bets on Fed rate cuts next week, with markets fully pricing in a 25-bps move and assigning a 10% chance of 50 bps.
Weak labor data reinforced easing expectations, while jobless claims numbers are also due today. The AI trade revived midweek, lifting chipmakers and utilities tied to data centers. Oracle gained 1.6% premarket, while gun stocks extended gains after news of a campus shooting. Despite September’s poor historical record, Wall Street has opened the month on a strong note, with strategists seeing Fed cuts as the key driver of market direction.
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close.
💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
NAS100 Trading Zones – Volatility at All-Time HighsZone 1 – 23,980 – 23,991
This zone sits just below the all-time high, making it a critical supply area where volatility tends to spike. Sellers are likely to defend here aggressively, and false breakouts are common as liquidity is swept around all-time highs. A clean breakout and hold above would signal strong buyer conviction and could fuel a momentum push into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – 23,765 – 23,781
This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in to defend intraday lows. A sharp bounce here would confirm renewed buying interest, while a decisive break below would shift control back to sellers and could trigger a deeper correction.
With price trading near all-time highs, caution is warranted. Volatility often spikes in these areas, as liquidity hunts and false breakouts are common. Traders should be selective, waiting for clear confirmation before committing to new positions.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously positive, supported by strong momentum in select tech names and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts after softer labor data and a sharp drop in producer prices. Lower input costs are viewed as supportive for corporate margins in the near term, while falling yields continue to benefit growth stocks. Still, the broader backdrop is fragile, as weaker job revisions and signs of cooling demand remind investors that economic momentum is slowing.
Nasdaq 100 Eyes New ATH if CPI Undershoots ExpectationsUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq will trade under CPI pressure today, with volatility expected around the release.
📉 Bearish scenario: While below 23,870, momentum favors a move toward 23,695, with further downside risk to 23,510 → 23,280.
📈 Bullish scenario: A reversal and stabilization above 23,870–23,940 would open the path toward 24,090 and a new ATH near 24,240.
⚠️ CPI impact:
Below 2.9% → supports bullish continuation for indices.
Above 2.9% → likely triggers bearish momentum.
Key Levels
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 – 24,240
Support: 23,695 – 23,510 – 23,280
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals⚖️ CAPITALCOM:US100 Fundamental Impact today
• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook.
Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control.
Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards.
Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market:
1. What is the trend?
2. Support and resistance, which is it?
You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart.
The Trend
Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end.
Support & resistance
Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag.
The Put / Call ratio
Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal.
Why 26000?
The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity.
Previous years:
Conclusion
Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation.
A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different.
If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000.
Ww