TSLA Triple TopTriple tops = market drop!
As soon as the market tanks, TSLA is in major trouble!
For 5 long years, people have been trying to pump this stock with no good results. Instead, they got a -75% decline and a -66% decline for their efforts.
This stock will fall bidless! All hype with no substance.
The question is, will the market stay up long enough to push it up one more time and sucker in the last fools before the kiss of death? We shall see!
It's now or never!
I am proudly shorting it! As I have successfully done twice before with huge gains. I am telling you, fanboys, point-blank before I get all the hate posts. ))
Trade ideas
TSLA Catalysts Ranking: Q1 2026 Outlook PT 600 USD________________________________________
TSLA: Updated Outlook (Nov-2025)
Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
this was updated for Q1 2026 with all the viable market data.
________________________________________
🤖 1) Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution — 9.2/10 (↑)
• What changed: Tesla’s invite-only Austin robotaxi pilot kept running through the summer; Tesla also says it launched a Bay Area ride-hailing service using Robotaxi tech (Q3 deck). FSD v14 (Supervised) began rolling out in Oct with broader model upgrades; Tesla claims billions of supervised miles and AI training capacity lifted to ~81k H100-equivalents.
• Offsetting risk: NHTSA opened a fresh probe (Oct-2025) into ~2.9M Teslas over traffic-safety violations when using FSD; investigation cites 58 reports incl. crashes/injuries.
• Why the bump: Real pilots in two metros + visible AI scale-up keep autonomy the center of the bull case—even with elevated regulatory risk.
________________________________________
🌍 2) EV Demand & Geographic Mix — 8.6/10 (↘ )
• What changed: Q3-25 delivered record vehicles and record energy storage deployments, with record revenue and near-record free cash flow. Still, we’re past the U.S. tax-credit pull-forward and China/Europe pricing remains competitive.
• Read-through: Momentum into Q4 looks better than 1H-25, but regional price discipline and mix will matter.
________________________________________
💸 3) U.S. EV Tax Credits & Incentives — 6.0/10 (↘)
• What changed: Federal new/used EV credits ended for vehicles acquired after Sept 30, 2025 under OBBB. Buyers can still qualify if a binding contract + payment was made by 9/30 and the car is placed in service later (“time-of-sale” reporting). This creates a limited after-deadline tail into late ’25/early ’26 but the program has sunset for new acquisitions.
• Implication: Pull-forward demand helped Q3; near-term becomes tougher without the credit.
________________________________________
📉 4) Rates & Credit Conditions — 6.5/10 (↔)
• Rate-cut expectations have eased financing costs M/M, but absolute affordability still binds EV uptake. (Macro-sensitive; no single decisive print.)
________________________________________
🎯 5) Affordable Model / Next-Gen Platform — 8.0/10 (↔)
• Q3 deck emphasized Model 3/Y “Standard” variants to expand entry price points; true next-gen remains staged, with execution risk.
________________________________________
🔋 6) Battery Cost & Margin Levers — 8.3/10 (↑)
• What changed: Q3 total GAAP GM improved vs 1H; energy revenue +44% YoY; free cash flow ~$4.0B. Scale/learning and supply-chain localization called out.
________________________________________
⚡ 7) Energy, AI & Optimus Optionality — 8.7/10 (↑)
• Record storage deployments, Megapack 3 / Megablock unveiled; expanding AI inference/training and a U.S. semi-conductor deal noted. This is the clearest re-rating vector beyond autos.
________________________________________
🛡️ 8) Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk — 7.5/10 (risk) (↑ risk)
• New NHTSA probe into FSD reporting/behavior escalates headline risk; audit scrutiny persists. Interpret higher score here as more material risk to multiple.
________________________________________
🚩 9) Competition & Global Share — 6.2/10 (↔)
• Competitive intensity in China/EU remains high; Q3 execution improved but pricing power still contested.
________________________________________
🌐 10) Macro & Trade/Policy — 6.5/10 (↑)
• Policy shifts (e.g., OBBB tax-credit sunset; tariff/trade uncertainty) remain a swing factor for cost & demand corridors.
________________________________________
✅ 11) Commodities/Inputs — 5.5/10 (↔)
• Mixed moves across lithium/nickel; no single driver eclipses execution/AI narrative near term.
________________________________________
Updated Catalyst Scorecard (ranked by impact)
1. Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution — 9.2
2. Energy, AI & Optimus Optionality — 8.7
3. EV Demand & Geographic Mix — 8.6
4. Battery Cost & Margin Levers — 8.3
5. Affordable Model / Next-Gen — 8.0
6. U.S. EV Incentives — 6.0
7. Rates & Credit — 6.5
8. Macro/Trade — 6.5
9. Competition/Share — 6.2
10. Safety/Reg/Gov Risk — 7.5 (risk flag)
11. Commodities — 5.5
(Key Q3 facts from Tesla’s deck; probe/tax-credit items from NHTSA/IRS reporting.)
________________________________________
📊 Analyst Rankings & Price Targets
• Street consensus (near-term 12-mo): ~$391 average target; consensus rating: Hold across ~46 firms.
• Bull camp: Wedbush (Dan Ives) $600 PT (reiterated Nov-5; Street-high; thesis = embodied-AI/robotics optionality + robotaxi). Benchmark $475 Buy (post-Q3).
• Cautious/negative: UBS $247 Sell (raised from $215 but still bearish on deliveries/margins).
• Tape-check from Tesla: Q3-25 revenue $28.1B, non-GAAP EPS $0.50, record FCF, record deliveries & storage. (EPS miss vs some expectations; revenue beat.)
________________________________________
🔍 Headlines that moved the needle
• NHTSA opens new FSD probe (scope ~2.9M vehicles).
• FSD v14 (Supervised) broad rollout; AI capacity to ~81k H100-eq; Bay Area robotaxi ride-hailing noted (Q3 deck).
• OBBB EV tax credits sunset 9/30/25; binding-contract/time-of-sale guidance enables limited post-deadline claims.
• Q3 print: record deliveries, record energy storage, record FCF; EPS light vs some models but narrative shifts to AI/energy.
________________________________________
🧭 Technicals: Levels & Structure (weekly focus)
Primary structure: since late-2022, TSLA’s traded inside a contracting wedge, with noteworthy compression into 2H-2025—typical of late-stage accumulation before a decisive break. Momentum divergences are improving on weekly frames even as price consolidates.
________________________________________
Key levels (spot-agnostic):
• Support: $360–$370 (prior breakdown area/weekly shelf); $330–$345 (multi-touch base/pivot); $310–$320 (cycle risk zone).
• Resistance: $405–$420 (range top & supply), $450–$475 (post-robotaxi pop zone / analyst PT cluster), $500 (psych), then $600–$650 (LT measured target band).
• Roadmap Expect one more downside probe into $310–$320 in Q1-2026 to complete the wedge, then trend break and resume bull leg toward $600/$650 over the subsequent cycle (≈ ~100% off the projected low).
• Risk markers: sustained weekly closes < $305 would postpone the “final low” timing and force a re-mark to the 200-week MA cluster; weekly closes > $475 accelerate the upside timing toward the $500/$600 handles.
________________________________________
Cases unchanged framework
• Bull: Robotaxi expands to more metros, regulators settle into a supervised-AV regime, energy/AI scale continues; market re-rates to $475–$600 (Benchmark/Wedbush anchors).
• Base: Solid execution across autos + energy, FCF stays healthy, autonomy rolls out cautiously under oversight; stock tracks Street $350–$400 band.
• Bear: Delivery softness post-credit-sunset, tougher pricing in China/EU, or adverse NHTSA actions; retest of $300–$330 zone before trend resolution.
________________________________________
What to watch next (60–90 days)
1. NHTSA probe path and any software/recall remedies.
2. Robotaxi geographic expansion cadence and any shift from safety-monitor to remote-assist ops.
3. Energy bookings & Megapack 3/Megablock ramp against utility RFP calendars.
4. Delivery run-rate post-credit sunset and mix of Standard trims.
________________________________________
TSLA Plunging? The Fake Rebound Before the Real Crash!Tesla (TSLA) is entering a challenging phase as a wave of negative news hits from both fundamental and technical sides. Sales in China — Tesla’s second-largest market — have dropped to their lowest level in three years , sparking fears that real demand for EVs is cooling. At the same time, Elon Musk’s massive $1 trillion compensation package has raised concerns among investors who believe Tesla’s current valuation far exceeds its actual profit potential.
On the daily chart, TSLA is showing clear signs of weakness after an extended uptrend. The price is now testing the medium-term ascending trendline around the $430 zone . If buying pressure fails to hold this level, there’s a strong chance the price will break the trendline and enter a deeper correction phase .
In the short term, Tesla could continue to drop toward the $400 area , where strong support and the Ichimoku cloud base converge. Any rebounds, especially near the $450 resistance zone, should be viewed as opportunities for sellers to re-enter rather than signs of recovery.
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA Setting Up for a Big Move This Week (Nov 10–14)Here’s the full multi-timeframe outlook for TSLA based on SMC structure, channels, BOS/CHoCH shifts, momentum, and the GEX map. Each section is separated so you can attach the matching chart under it.
1. Weekly Timeframe (1W)
Macro Structure
TSLA is still holding its bigger weekly breakout after clearing the long-term descending trendline. The pullback off 480 looks like a standard retest rather than a reversal.
Weekly demand at 368–402 hasn’t been touched, so the broader trend still favors the upside as long as price stays above that region. Weekly MACD momentum continues to rise while Stoch RSI cools off, signaling consolidation rather than weakness.
Weekly Trade View
As long as TSLA stays above 402, the weekly bias remains bullish with potential to retest 486 once shorter timeframes settle.
Weekly GEX View
Large positive GEX above 470–480 slows upside momentum.
Large negative GEX under 420 accelerates downside moves.
TSLA currently sits between these zones, so whichever side breaks gets momentum.
2. Daily Timeframe (1D)
Daily Trend
The daily chart just printed a downside CHoCH inside the ascending channel. That confirms short-term weakness even though the weekly remains bullish.
The key line is 411–415. Losing this level flips the daily fully bearish. Holding it keeps the pullback healthy.
Daily MACD is red and still heading down. Stoch RSI is oversold but hasn’t curled up yet, meaning momentum hasn’t turned.
Daily Trade View
Hold 411 → potential bounce into 438 then 455.
Break 411 → opens a move toward 392–368.
Daily GEX View
Multiple put walls at 421–425 and 400.
These usually act as magnets during pullbacks because of dealer hedging.
3. 1-Hour Timeframe (1H)
Short-Term Structure
TSLA remains in a descending channel on the 1H. The most recent BOS was bearish, and the CHoCH didn’t reclaim any major highs.
The short-term pivot is 439. If TSLA stays under that line, momentum stays bearish.
MACD is flattening and Stoch RSI is trying to curl, hinting at a potential early-week bounce.
1H Trade View
Below 439 → bearish continuation.
Above 439 → opens a move into 447–455.
If TSLA can’t reclaim 432–439 early, expect another test toward 425–421.
4. 15-Minute Timeframe (15M)
Intraday Structure
The 15M shows a clean descending channel. Bulls attempted a small CHoCH, but without an upside BOS, momentum is still controlled by sellers.
The main intraday battle is 432–438.
Break above → intraday reversal.
Reject → continuation lower.
MACD is trying to turn but hasn’t built momentum yet.
15M Trade View
Break above 437–438 → scalp long toward 445.
Reject 432–434 → scalp short toward 425 and 421.
5. GEX Map & Options Strategy
GEX Interpretation for the Week
Positive GEX sits above 455–480
Negative GEX increases under 425
Major put wall at 421.88
Call walls thin around 445–465
What that means:
Upside above 455 slows down
Downside below 430 sharpens
421 is a strong gravitational level
A clean break below 421 increases volatility rapidly
Options Strategy
If TSLA fails to reclaim 438:
Short-dated puts targeting 421 make sense.
If TSLA reclaims 439 and holds:
Short-dated calls into 445–455 are reasonable.
Avoid deep OTM calls above 470 because price tends to stall in strong positive GEX zones.
My Thought
TSLA is sitting at a major inflection point. The weekly chart still leans bullish, but the daily and intraday structure are showing short-term weakness. This entire week will revolve around how price reacts around 438.
Rejecting 438 favors continuation into 425 and 421.
Reclaiming 438 puts 447–455 back into play.
Keep the levels simple. Let 438 decide the direction for the week.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk. If you want a breakdown for another ticker, just let me know.
1 trillion dollar pay package to elon muskTesla shareholders agreed to pay Elon Musk a package of 1 trillion dollars, and that's 12% of total gains if he reached his promised goal to shareholders of making Tesla the most valuable company in the world, and it stays that way for 5 years. If Musk delivers, the stock price should jump to 1000 dollars price per share in 5 years.
PS: If Musk misses the target but a few thousand dollars, he gets nothing. Hence, the current most valuable company is now Nvidia with a 5 billion dollar evaluation, and Tesla is currently worth 1.35 trillion.
Tesla prints a weekly Key Reversal as part of a triple topTesla has been a volatile stock this year - and difficult to trade because of that.
However I now see that we've printed a weekly bearish key reversal as part of a double/ triple top. Is this now indication that we're likely to flow lower in the immediate future?
Well I am expecting some giddiness if they manage to end the US Gov't Shutdown, so it may help push prices higher for a day or two...and then the trend re-exerts itself?
Bearish in the short term after the relief rally bump.
Musk Could Earn a Trillion: How Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares ReactingMusk Could Earn a Trillion: How Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Reacting?
According to media reports, earlier this month Tesla shareholders approved a new 10-year compensation package for Elon Musk worth up to $1 trillion. But is this good or bad news for TSLA shares?
→ On the plus side, Musk is now firmly “tied” to the company and highly motivated to achieve extraordinary goals — such as reaching a market capitalisation of $8.5 trillion and launching mass production of Optimus robots.
→ On the downside, the price of this decision could be high. The targets appear almost fantastical, and their achievement would mean dilution of existing shareholders’ stakes through the issuance of new options.
As a result, Tesla’s share price has been fluctuating, reflecting market indecision and consolidating after the news. A closer look at the TSLA chart offers clues as to what may happen next.
Technical Analysis of TSLA
From a bullish perspective, Tesla’s share price remains within an upward-sloping trend channel, where:
→ the median line is showing signs of acting as support;
→ the sharp rally in September formed a demand zone, where an imbalance between buyers and sellers triggered a strong move higher — the upper boundary of this channel, around the psychological $400 mark, could act as a support level going forward.
From a bearish point of view, the key barrier remains the current all-time high, which continues to cap the ongoing rally (roughly +100% from this year’s low).
Given these factors, it is reasonable to assume that TSLA is currently in a consolidation phase. The situation could eventually resolve in favour of the bulls if the price holds the lower boundary of the channel — as seen previously, when a similar consolidation period preceded a breakout above the $360 resistance level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA next leg up.RSI- is looking good for a move up because of the descending tops, once you break the resistance line you will fly.
Moving averages- My yellow and blue are good for telling longer term upside, and they are at the point of where the blue will be above the yellow.
Repetition- a lot of patterns end in threes, so assuming this looking back in time we have seen two legs up, and we are due for a third. The orange vertical lines pinpoint these areas.
Clear rising trend lines over years.
The price targets are up to you, but mine are 4000-7500.
Tesla faces critical resistance near $435 – traders eye key leveCurrent Price: $429.52
Direction: SHORT
Confidence Level: 60%
Targets:
- T1 = $414.62
- T2 = $396.69
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $439.99
- S2 = $445.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from multiple professional traders, providing a clear picture of Tesla’s price action and technical setup. The wisdom of the trading community has highlighted key resistance at $435 and broader concerns of bearish momentum driven by recent price patterns and fundamental signals. While no clear bullish sentiment has emerged, the majority of snippets suggest downside risks if Tesla fails to reclaim critical levels, with a focus on aggressive short-term trading opportunities this week.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla is currently under pressure, as highlighted by many professional traders referring to breakdowns from key technical levels. The invalidation of a bullish cup-and-handle pattern after Tesla's close below $439.99 this week signals further bearish sentiment in the stock market. In addition, traders have repeatedly commented on the recent failure to hold above the 50-day moving average, which is critical to bolster further upward momentum. Prices over the weekend consolidated between $414 and $445, reflecting Tesla’s rangebound yet volatile price action.
Many traders also noted the potential for Tesla to test lower bound support levels, including the key zone between $396 and $401. Furthermore, the approval of Elon Musk’s $1 trillion incentive pay package has created mixed views about the near-term outlook, with the news interpreted as overambitious in its goals related to autonomous technology. This has led to increasing skepticism over Tesla shares sustaining high valuations in the face of volatility across technology stocks.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s stock saw a 3.68% decline last Friday, closing at $429.52 compared to $445.91 earlier in the week. The broader tech sector exhibited weakness, with key indices such as NASDAQ experiencing one of its worst weeks of 2023 due to sell-offs across top technology names. Comparisons to other tech giants like Meta (-17.4%) and Nvidia (-7%) highlight Tesla’s relative weakness, while broader concerns tied to valuation adjustments and profit-taking have weighed heavily on tech leadership trading.
Tesla’s recent rejection at $439-$440 has reinforced bearish signals, with many traders eyeing prices retesting the $414-$420 zone. Signs of rangebound movement between $410 and $470 were referenced, but consistent failure to move above $445 suggests bearish control this week.
**Expert Analysis:**
Several professional traders highlighted Tesla’s inability to reclaim the pivot level of $439.99. This invalidated a cup-and-handle formation, confirming bearish momentum. Tesla’s near-term outlook points to a settlement below $414.62 as a potential catalyst for accelerated downside to test $396-$400 levels. Traders also noted Tesla has historically bounced near $420 as part of a consolidation range – though failing to hold this level could open up considerable downside.
Specific technical indicators such as the MACD histogram, RSI, and stochastic oscillator further confirm bearish setups, with no immediate signs of reversal. Traders are also watching for critical support levels around the 50-day moving average, where failure to stabilize could unlock sharper declines toward the mid-$380 zone.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s approval of a $1 trillion pay package for Elon Musk has amplified bearish sentiment as traders assess high-risk growth metrics tied to emerging technologies like humanoid robots and robo-taxis. While the long-term implications for Tesla’s EV dominance are unclear, recent sales declines in Germany and Scandinavian markets have raised concerns about pressures on revenue and valuation sustainability.
Broader macroeconomic volatility, compounded by sector-wide risks in technology, also weighs heavily on Tesla. Market sentiment has leaned negative as fear and greed indices reflect heightened caution among investors. These factors further reduce Tesla’s chances of breaking bullish through near-term resistance levels like $439-$445, leaving the stock vulnerable to further decline.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Looking at Tesla’s technical setup and broader sentiment, I recommend a SHORT position this week with price targets at $414.62 and $396.69. A decisive failure to hold above $439.99 confirms bearish continuation, while stops set near $445 provide logical risk management against unexpected rebounds. With mixed signals across trading analyses but consistent downside references, this setup favors traders focused on managing short-term volatility.
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$TSLA - Reaching $1050 in 2026 is NOT a Dream!I can't ignore how bullish Tesla stocks chart looks right now. A massive ascending triangle with horizontal resistance ($430) was broken upwards and currently the price is consolidating above it, the resistance also perfectly correlates with the 0.786 lvl by Fibo.
Taking into account the overall company's plan regarding its growth (talking about recent news that 75% of shareholders voted in favour of a compensation plan that could award Musk up to $1T in stock if Tesla could achieve $8.5T market capitalization) , we can easily expect NASDAQ:TSLA to reach point 1 by Fibo ($1050 mark) .
By the way, by pointing out to the news about providing $1T, I don't mean that Tesla could really achieve $8.5T market capitalization any time soon, if only in 10 years as the overall money supply is drastically increasing. This news highlights the plan, in other words - creative way of sharing what is their "plan maximum" in terms of 10 years.
I believe Tesla will cost $2T in 2026.
TSLA Coiling Inside a Gamma Cage: Major Break Imminent Nov 12-15Some stocks move with momentum.
TSLA moves with intention.
Over the last week, TSLA has been compressing inside a tightening structure — the candles look quiet, but the pressure underneath is anything but calm. When you dig deeper, it becomes obvious that this slow, controlled drift is not caused by buyers or sellers alone… it’s caused by GEX compression.
TSLA is sitting in one of the cleanest gamma setups of the month — and when it breaks, it will not be a small move.
This is the story.
4H Chart — The Wedge of Indecision Meets Hidden Liquidity
TSLA has been moving within a narrowing wedge, with every bounce and rejection happening at nearly perfect structural zones:
* Strong CHoCH and BOS levels from late October
* Major liquidity sweeps around 430–435
* A rising lower trendline that keeps defending price
* A tightening upper trendline blocking upside around 455–460
But here’s the key:
TSLA is reacting EXACTLY where GEX shifts from neutral to positive.
The 4H wedge isn’t just a shape — it’s the visual footprint of gamma pressure tightening around price.
Every time TSLA taps the wedge boundaries, hedging flows change.
That’s why TSLA hasn’t broken yet — the gamma cage is holding it.
1H Chart — A Slow Grind That Hides Big Tension
On the 1H chart, TSLA is trading inside a narrow band between:
* 435–440 (light resistance)
* 425–428 (light support)
This is a neutral GEX pocket, where:
* Volatility decreases
* Movement becomes mechanical
* Price drifts instead of trending
* Candles look clean but lack conviction
This is exactly the kind of price action that precedes explosive resolution — because gamma is absorbing volatility until it can’t anymore.
GEX Data — The REAL TSLA Battlefield
This is where TSLA’s entire setup becomes crystal clear.
🔹 A massive positive GEX wall sits at 450–455
This is THE key magnet above current price.
If TSLA moves into this zone, hedging flows slow the move but support upward continuation.
This is why TSLA always struggles near 450 — it’s a gamma ceiling.
🔹 Neutral GEX zone between 425–440
This is where TSLA is stuck now.
This pocket absorbs volatility → price chops.
This is the “gamma cage.”
🔹 Heavy negative GEX zone at 420–421 and below
This is the danger zone.
Below 421, dealers must hedge aggressively → downside acceleration.
If TSLA loses 421–425, the fall can be fast.
🔥 Trading Suggestions Based on Structure + GEX
📌 Bullish Breakout Play (Higher Probability Above 440)
TSLA needs to reclaim 438–440 with strength.
ENTRY:
438–440 reclaim (1H strong green candle, sweep + rejection)
TARGETS:
* 445 (first gamma magnet)
* 450 (GEX wall)
* 455 (highest positive NET GEX shelf)
* 460 (upper wedge target)
STOP-LOSS:
Below 431
WHY IT WORKS:
Once TSLA enters the 445–455 zone, positive GEX supports a controlled uptrend, guiding price toward call-heavy areas.
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If TSLA Loses 425)
This is the sharp-move scenario.
ENTRY:
Break and back-test below 425
TARGETS:
* 421 (first negative GEX shelf)
* 415 (deep negative gamma)
* 405–410 (liquidity pocket)
STOP-LOSS:
Above 432
WHY IT WORKS:
Under 425, TSLA enters a negative GEX field, where hedging accelerates downward moves dramatically.
🔥 Options Trading Suggestions (GEX-Based)
📌 Bullish Options Play
If TSLA reclaims 440+:
Buy:
TSLA 450C or 455C (1–2 weeks out)
Reason:
These contracts sit right on top of the positive GEX wall → bullish drift is supported.
Safer Play:
440/455 Call Debit Spread
Perfect for riding gamma-supported upside.
📌 Bearish Options Play
If TSLA breaks 425:
Buy:
TSLA 420P or 415P
Reason:
Once TSLA enters the negative GEX zone, price becomes slippery — puts expand FAST.
Safer Spread:
425/415 Put Debit Spread
📌 Neutral Play (if TSLA stays 425–440)
Sell Premium:
* Iron Condor
* Credit Spread
* Calendar Spread
* Short Strangle (advanced)
Neutral GEX pockets = volatility compression = easy seller’s market.
My Thought
TSLA is inside one of the clearest gamma cages we’ve seen all month. Price is being controlled — held tight between neutral pockets and major positive/negative GEX shelves.
This compression will not last long.
When TSLA escapes the 425–440 range, the move will be clean, decisive, and directional.
The map is simple:
* Above 440 → price drifts toward 450–455
* Below 425 → TSLA slides into negative gamma
* Inside 425–440 → chop, decay, and indecision
GEX has already drawn the roadmap — price is simply waiting for the signal.
This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your plan.
TSLA eyes on $448 above 409 below: Dual Goldens will tell ALLTSLA range bound and looking for direction.
Again testing a Golden Covid fib at $448.01
Support below is a Golden Genesis at $409.56
What happens here will signal TOP or Continuation.
Bulls want a Break-n-Retest of the dashed Covid fib.
Bears want a B-n-R of the solid golden Genesis below.
Tesla - Here comes the third breakout!🚀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past four years, Tesla has been trading in a very clear ascending triangle pattern. But just last month, we finally saw the expected bullish triangle breakout. Considering all of the previous triangle breakouts, Tesla is setting up for another parabolic rally soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$450
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TESLA Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 429.39
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 446.44
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06
🎯 NEWS-DRIVEN MOMENTUM DETECTED
AI News Analysis Results
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
💰 NEWS MOMENTUM SIGNALS
Generated: November 06, 2025 at 10:45 PM
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 5 Total Opportunities • ✅ 5 Ready to Trade • ⏸️ 0 Monitor
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #1 ✅ NYSE:JNJ • Score: 75/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 42 days
│ 🟢 Risk Level: Low Risk (2/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: High-impact FDA approval for DARZALEX FASPRO, creating immediate revenue potential
│ 📊 Setup: Stock consolidating near $187 with regulatory catalyst providing breakout fuel
│ 🎯 Target: $195-200 within 2-3 weeks following approval momentum
│ 📈 Options: $190 CALL exp 2025-12-19
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: Broad market weakness or unexpected regulatory hurdles for new drug adoption
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #2 ✅ NASDAQ:AVGO • Score: 70/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst bullishness on AI-driven growth prospects from Mizuho
│ 📊 Setup: At key $357 support level with institutional accumulation evident
│ 🎯 Target: $375-385 within 10-14 days on AI momentum continuation
│ 📈 Options: $360 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: AI sentiment shift or broader semiconductor sector rotation
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #3 ✅ NYSE:TSM • Score: 65/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 35 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Needham Buy rating with N3 capacity boost accelerating revenue growth
│ 📊 Setup: Testing $290 resistance with positive analyst momentum
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│ 🎯 Target: $305-310 within 3-4 weeks on capacity expansion news flow
│ 📈 Options: $295 CALL exp 2025-12-12
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Geopolitical Taiwan tensions or semiconductor demand slowdown
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #4 ✅ NYSE:XOM • Score: 60/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 21 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (6/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Dividend hike and record output milestones despite recent earnings pressure
│ 📊 Setup: Oversold at $114 after earnings sell-off, dividend catalyst provides support
│ 🎯 Target: $120-122 within 2 weeks on dividend attraction and output momentum
│ 📈 Options: $117.50 CALL exp 2025-11-28
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Continued oil price weakness overwhelming positive company-specific news
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #5 ✅ NYSE:BAC • Score: 55/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🔴 Risk Level: High Risk (10/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst pick status with earnings season bank sector rotation potential
│ 📊 Setup: Neutral at $53 but positioned for financial sector leadership shift
│ 🎯 Target: $56-57 within 10 days on sector rotation and analyst conviction
│ 📈 Options: $54 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Interest rate uncertainty or broader financial sector weakness
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📖 QUICK GUIDE:
✅ ENTER NOW → High probability setup, optimal timing, low-medium risk
⏸️ WAIT → Monitor for better entry or catalyst resolution
🟢 Low Risk → Heat 1-3 (stable, far from catalysts)
🟡 Med Risk → Heat 4-6 (moderate volatility)
🔴 High Risk → Heat 7-10 (near catalysts, high volatility)
💎 Position Sizing: 2-5% per trade • Max 2-3 concurrent positions
🎯 Exit Strategy: Take profit at 50%
max gain or stop at 2x loss
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TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07
TSLA Weekly Signal | 2025-11-07
• Direction: NEUTRAL | Confidence: 55%
• Expiry: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
• Strike Focus: $400.00
• Entry Range: $4.07
• Target 1: $6.07
• Stop Loss: $2.43
• Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+2.18% 1W)
• Flow Intel: Bearish (High P/C Ratio) | PCR 3.24
• Max Pain: $452.50 (-0.1% vs spot)
• 🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational commentary for QS Premium members only. No financial advice.
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 55%
Conviction Level: LOW
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: NEUTRAL (50% confidence) with bearish bias - Target $445.95 (-1.5% downside), Stop Loss $459.69 (+1.5% upside)
Technical Analysis: Current price $452.90 trading near weekly range midpoint (62.0%). MACD momentum bullish but mixed timeframe signals. Strong trending regime (100% strength) supports swing trades. Key resistance at $474.07, support at $435.09.
News Sentiment: Mixed - Roadster reveal and Robotaxi expansion (bullish) offset by Musk pay package criticism and political headwinds. News flow suggests cautious sentiment.
Options Flow: Extremely bearish - Put/Call Ratio 3.24 indicates heavy institutional put buying. Max pain at $452.50 (-0.1% from spot), high volume at $468 put. Flow suggests downside protection.
Risk Level: MODERATE - Conflicting signals require careful risk management. Neutral AI confidence limits upside conviction.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry Date: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
Recommended Strike: $400.00
Entry Price: $4.05 - $4.10
Target 1: $6.07 (50% gain from entry)
Target 2: $8.10 (100% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $2.43 (40% loss from entry)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Bearish options flow (PCR 3.24) provides contrarian edge against mixed technicals. Max pain align
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QS Analyst
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— 10:49 PM
ment near current price creates favorable gamma positioning.
Timing Advantage: Thursday positioning with 8 days to expiry allows for volatility capture during weekly momentum confirmation.
Risk Mitigation: Conservative delta (-0.138) provides defined risk exposure. Stop loss at 40% protects capital in neutral environment.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Katy AI's neutral confidence (50%) limits directional conviction - treat as speculative trade
Conflicting signals between bullish MACD and bearish flow require careful monitoring
Position size should remain minimal given low conviction level
Be prepared to exit early if technicals flip bullish or options flow reverses
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: TSLA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 400.00
💵 Entry Price: 4.07
🎯 Profit Target: 6.07
🛑 Stop Loss: 2.43
📅 Expiry: 2025-11-14
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 55%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-07 01:49:31 EST
🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: $TSLA) Eyes Breakout Above $490Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is approaching a critical technical juncture as price action consolidates near the upper end of its ascending trendline. After rebounding strongly from the $180–$200 demand zone earlier this year, Tesla has maintained a steady uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs — a classic bullish structure.
Currently trading near $440, Tesla has encountered resistance below the $490–$492 zone, which marks the previous swing high. The chart shows a clear ascending support line extending from the April low, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment. As long as the stock holds above $420, bulls remain in control. A confirmed breakout above $492 could ignite the next leg higher, targeting the $520–$540 region in the medium term.
Volume analysis shows healthy participation during recent rallies, while the RSI hovering around 50 suggests moderate strength without signs of overbought conditions. This balance indicates potential for further upside before exhaustion sets in.
The projected path shown on the chart outlines a short-term pullback toward support, followed by a continuation rally through resistance. Such a move would confirm bullish momentum and possibly trigger a new wave of investor confidence as Tesla heads into the next earnings season.
However, if Tesla fails to maintain the ascending trendline, a dip below $410 could expose the stock to deeper retracement toward $380, testing previous breakout levels.
Overall, Tesla’s structure remains technically constructive. The uptrend is intact, supported by volume and strong higher-lows formation. Traders are closely watching for a decisive breakout above $492, which could mark the beginning of a fresh rally phase as market sentiment leans bullish on tech and EV momentum.






















