Trade ideas
US30 – Key Levels Ahead of NFP | Bearish Below 46420–46600US30 – Market Outlook | Bearish Below 46420, Bullish Above 46600
US30 is set for high volatility today as traders react to the NFP report.
Below 46420 / 46600: Bearish continuation toward 46250 → 46000 → 45680
Above 46600: Bullish breakout toward 46920 → 47080
Pivot: 46420
Support: 46250 · 46000 · 45680
Resistance: 46600 · 46910 · 47080
US30 stays bearish while below 46420–46600; only a confirmed close above 46600 will shift momentum to the upside.
Dow Weakens Under Key Resistance | Sellers in ControlUS30 | Overview
The Dow Jones maintains a bearish trend while trading below 46410, with momentum favoring a move toward 46000, and a further decline toward 45680 if that level breaks.
A bullish recovery will only be possible if the price closes above 46600, which would open the path toward 46920.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 46410
Support: 46000 · 45800 · 45290
Resistance: 46600 · 46910
Outlook:
US30 remains bearish while below 46410, targeting 46000–45680.
A confirmed break above 46600 would shift momentum toward 46920.
US 30 heading towards possible correction ?Hi Guys,
The US indices all bounced after undercutting daily lows and perhaps trapping some short sellers who had taken the undercut as a break of a H & S pattern that was taking shape. A significant rally has ensued from the current low and the US 30 is heading towards an area that may see some resistance, perhaps enough to warrant a major correction.
The red box on the chart is that area and there is good confluence to make it a possible trading zone to keep an eye on.
Firstly the fib retracement of the bear market high to low of 2.618 lands precisely within that area as does the 1.618 retrace of the tarrif correction from early this year. These are two significant fib measurements of two important events landing at precisely same location. The most recent daily high to low also has its 1.618 and 2.0 retrace land in that area (the former being the bottom of the red box, the latter being top of the red box.
Secondly what makes these measurements that much more important is that they both land at the 50000 mark. No need to say much more about this number being a highly likely trading zone.
Lastly there is an upper resistance trend line that the dow has had a few good reactions from which also leads into the mentioned area.
All in all there is good reason to suggest that we may get some good trading opportunities if the dow does reach the 50000 + mark.
Low risk high reward trades using lower time frames and chart pattern, candlestick patter, price could result in profitable trades . patience and sticking to whatever rules conditions that are set for your trading style/ strategy will be key.
Safe Trading all
Dow Jones (US30) grinds higher within the choppy 5th wave
We have seen mixed price action for the last four days, with rallies finding sellers and dips finding buyers
The intraday chart highlights a 261.8% extension level at 48,013. A move to this zone would be analysed as the completion of a bullish 5 Wave count (Elliott Wave).
The current mixed daily results look to be forming a Crab pattern. That will be completed on a move to 48,111.
Conclusion: the medium-term bias is bearish. The preferred stance would be to sell into rallies within the 48,013-48,111 zone.
US30 SELL 4HUS30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
chart shows a well-structured bearish scenario, followed by a medium-term bullish reversal setup. combining Fibonacci retracement levels, time cycles, moving averages, and projected wave paths to map the market direction.
Below is a detailed breakdown:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
Price recently reached a local top near 48,127.
After this, the chart suggests expect a significant downward correction.
Price is fluctuating above the:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue 200 MA (long-term)
projected path shows a breakdown below these moving averages soon.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Important Zones)
From the recent high, your Fibonacci retracement levels are:
0.25 → 46,699
0.5 → 45,274
0.75 → 43,950
These levels align with your expected downward waves.
Major Support Zone
Large green zone near 41,700 – 42,200
This is where your final bearish wave ends
It also overlaps with a long-term Fibonacci cluster
This suggests it is the target bottom of the correction.
3️⃣ Bearish Projection (Red Wave Path)
chart shows multiple downward swings:
Initial drop from 48,127 → 45,274
Bounce to retest resistance
Deeper decline toward 44,000 – 43,500
Another bounce
Final capitulation to 41,700
🟥 Final Bearish Target:
~41,700
This matches the blue horizontal support line.
🔹 Duration of Bearish Cycle
174 bars (~41 days)
This suggests the decline completes around late January 2026.
4️⃣ Bullish Reversal Phase (Green + Black Path)
After reaching the bottom around 41,700, your chart shows two phases:
Phase 1 – Strong Rebound (Black Path)
A sharp rally into early February:
First rally to around 44,500 – 45,000
Short-term pullback
Then continuation higher
Phase 2 – Trend Recovery (Green Path)
Long-term green path shows:
A steady upward channel
Price aiming toward 48,000 – 49,000 again
The green dotted lines show alternative bullish scenarios
🔹 Total Recovery Time
258 bars (~58 days)
Targeting mid-March 2026 for a full recovery.
5️⃣ Interpretation of Moving Averages
Price will break below the moving averages during the correction.
Long-term recovery will push back above the:
50 MA (green)
100 MA (red)
200 MA (blue)
This confirms a trend reversal after the bottom is hit.
6️⃣ Summary of Your Outlook
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Price expected to drop from the top
Multiple lower highs / lower lows
Target bottom: 41,700
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Consolidation & Reversal
Strong bounce after the bottom
Wave structure suggests accumulation
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
Recovery back toward all-time highs
Market structure returns to an uptrend by March 2026
✔️ Final Conclusion
chart suggests a full cycle:
Top formation near 48,127
Multi-wave decline (target 41,700)
41-day bearish cycle
Strong bullish reversal
Full recovery within ~58 days
This is a very clean Elliott-wave-style projection supported by Fibonacci and time cycles.
Dow Jones Attempts to Reach New HighsThe index has managed to maintain a gain of more than 2% over the past six trading sessions, attempting once again to approach its historical highs as the market holds a consistent short-term bullish bias. For now, buying pressure has remained supported by a temporary rebound in market confidence, driven by expectations of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve next week. If this improvement in confidence continues, current buying pressure could remain dominant in the sessions ahead.
Uptrend Line Remains Relevant
The long-term upward trendline visible in the Dow Jones has continued to hold despite recent fluctuations, and so far, no meaningful bearish correction has emerged to threaten its structure in the short term. As a result, it remains the most important technical factor to watch, especially if price manages to reach the previous high zone again, which would confirm a dominant bullish bias heading into year-end.
RSI
The RSI continues to fluctuate slightly above the neutral 50 level, suggesting that average buying momentum over the last 14 sessions remains dominant. If the RSI line continues to show steady growth, buying pressure could strengthen further.
MACD
The MACD remains very close to the neutral zero line, reflecting a sense of neutrality in the strength of short-term moving averages. Although there is buying pressure in the Dow Jones, the lack of a clear recovery in the histogram may lead to a period of consistent indecision, producing narrow-range candles and signaling a possible pause in the bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
48,248 points – Major resistance
This level corresponds to the historical highs and remains the most important bullish barrier. Buying movements approaching this zone could reactivate a strong bullish bias and extend the current upward trendline.
46,821 points – Nearby barrier
A level aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. It may serve as a key area to monitor in case of potential short-term bearish corrections.
45,677 points – Primary support
This level corresponds to the recent lows. If price approaches this zone again through bearish movements, it could signal the end of the current uptrend and open the door to a more meaningful bearish bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
US30Hello,
In this session, we’re taking a brief technical look at the Dow Jones index on the 15-minute timeframe.
Price structure shows a bearish trend beginning to form, signaling a potentially high-probability opportunity for a sell entry. There is a clear chance that price could continue lower toward the nearest support zone.
Momentum tools add weight to this view as well. The MACD indicator has recently transitioned into a downward curve, reflecting increasing selling pressure.
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing & Future Level for 01st- 02nd Dec 25DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing & Future Level for 01st Dec - 02nd Dec 2025 (2:30 am)
Future LEVELS:
LONG > 47885
TGT#1 47972
TGT#2 48042
TGT#3 48112
TGT#4 48211
TGT#5 48271
TGT#6 48414
TGT#7 48500
TGT#8 48584
TGT9 48705
SHORT < 47605
TGT#1 47518
TGT#2 47448
TGT#3 47378
TGT#4 47279
TGT#5 47219
TGT#6 47076
TGT#7 46990
TGT#8 46906
TGT#9 46785
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
US30 Trade Set Up Dec 1 2025Price is overall bullish but there are bullish daily FVGs that i will expect price to fill before continuing bullish so i will wait for London high and bearish FVG to be swept to then look for internal 1m-5m IFVG/CISD to target. But if price tests the daily FVG first, i will then look for internal structure to take buys to BSL
#DJI - 3,000 Points on Cards?Date: 01-12-2025
DJI - Current Price: $47,716
Pivot Point: $46,292.84 Support: $45,500.29 Resistance: $47,091.03
Upside Levels:
L1: $47,819.76 L2: $48,548.48 L3: $49,394.35 L4: $50,240.21
Downside Levels:
L1: $44,768.74 L2: $44,037.20 L3: $43,191.34 L4: $42,345.47
#TradingView #Nifty #BankNifty #DJI #NDQ #SENSEX #DAX #USOIL #GOLD #SILVER
US30 BiasM & W: Uptrend, respecting the lows
D: Uptrend, price retraced 78.6%
4H: Uptrend, price made a lower low, possibly trending short
1H: Uptrend, price hit H4 resistance zone + RSI showing oversold and bearish divergence.
CURRENTLY: I'm looking for price to go short to retest H1 trendline, @previous resistance, and continue long.
IF price breaks below H1 trend, I'll look for price to continue short to previous major support area
Technical Analysis: US Indices Continuation PatternsTechnical Analysis: US Indices Continuation Patterns 📈
Based on the provided chart, which displays the US Wall St 30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD), the DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average), and the DJTA (Dow Jones Transportation Average), a clear technical pattern suggests a continuation of the bullish trend across all three indices.
1. Pattern Identification: Ascending Triangles
The dominant chart pattern observed across the US Wall St 30, the DJI, and the DJTA is the Ascending Triangle formation.
Structure: This is a bullish continuation pattern characterized by a relatively flat horizontal resistance line (the highs) and a rising lower trendline (the lows).
Interpretation: The horizontal resistance indicates a level where selling pressure is persistent. The rising lower trendline, connecting progressively higher lows, demonstrates that buyers are becoming more aggressive over time, consistently stepping in to buy at higher prices. This indicates a buildup of buying pressure (accumulation) beneath the resistance level.
Resolution: The pattern is confirmed upon a decisive breakout above the horizontal resistance line, signaling that the buyers have finally overwhelmed the sellers and the prior uptrend is set to continue. The chart illustrates a potential breakout phase for all three indices, indicated by the upward arrows extending from the apex of the triangles.
2. Validation of Dow Theory Conditions
The relationship between the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) is a key component of Dow Theory. The theory posits that for a major trend to be confirmed, both the Industrial and Transportation averages must move in the same direction.
Condition: An advance in the Industrial Average must be accompanied by a corresponding advance in the Transportation Average.
Chart Evidence:
DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average): Shows the formation of a clear ascending triangle pattern, indicating an expected move to the upside (continuation of the uptrend).
DJTA (Dow Jones Transportation Average): Displays a very similar and concurrent ascending triangle pattern, also forecasting a move to the upside.
Conclusion: Since both the DJI and DJTA are exhibiting simultaneous, strong bullish continuation patterns (Ascending Triangles) and are currently posturing for a coordinated upward breakout, the charts provide a powerful confirmation of the primary bullish trend as per the requirements of Dow Theory. The technical setup across the major averages is congruent, strengthening the bullish thesis for the broader US market.
3. Price Targets and Confluence
The traditional method for setting a price target following an ascending triangle breakout is to measure the height of the back of the triangle (the widest part) and project that distance vertically from the point of the breakout.
US Wall St 30 (Top Panel):
The recent consolidation phase (Ascending Triangle) is preceded by a strong multi-year uptrend.
Fibonacci extension levels are marked above the resistance, which act as potential price targets following a breakout: 15.72% and 19.34% are visible targets, indicating a significant expected price movement upon confirmation.
The consolidation is occurring near recent all-time highs, suggesting a period of accumulation before the next leg higher.
Summary and Outlook
The technical analysis strongly supports a bullish continuation outlook for the indices. The presence of the Ascending Triangle continuation pattern on all three major US averages, coupled with the alignment of the DJI and DJTA, provides robust confirmation of the overall primary uptrend as per Dow Theory. A definitive breakout above the horizontal resistance lines would trigger the next major move higher, with price targets set by the measured move of the pattern and confirmed by the visible Fibonacci extension levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on the provided chart and established technical analysis principles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and professional advice should be sought before making any investment decisions.
US30: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
US30
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US30
Entry Level - 47705
Sl - 47798
Tp - 47509
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 28 November 2025
- Dow Jones broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 48300.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 47000.00 and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse c from the start of November.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave (iii).
Given strong multi-month uptrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 48300.00, which stopped the previous waves i and b.
DowJones key trading levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 47648
Resistance Level 2: 47830
Resistance Level 3: 48000
Support Level 1: 47130
Support Level 2: 47000
Support Level 3: 46867
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















