DXY trade ideas
DXY: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.220 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.105 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bearish drop?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.64
1st Support: 97.11
1st Resistance: 100.20
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DXY 4Hour TF - August 10th, 2025🟦 DXY 4H Analysis
📅 August 10, 2025
Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bullish
• 4H – Bearish
The Dollar Index is consolidating near the 98.00 support zone after a sustained downtrend on the higher timeframes. Daily shows some bullish relief, but 4H remains under short-term pressure.
🔍 Key Zone: 98.00
This level is a critical decision point, acting as current support and aligning with a trendline from previous swing lows. A break or bounce here will likely set the tone for the next move.
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
If price holds above 98.00 and breaks above the current pattern
Look for continuation into 98.75
Extended target: 99.25 resistance
This would be a countertrend move on the higher timeframes but aligns with the daily bullish structure.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes below 98.00
Watch for retest rejection to confirm
Target: 97.15 support
This setup aligns with the overall HTF bearish bias and would signal downside continuation.
🧠 Final Notes
• 98.00 is the line in the sand for short-term direction
• Blue path is valid only on confirmed breakout; orange path is trend aligned
• Let price action at this key level confirm before committing
DXY 1H Sell AnalysisThe dollar index has induced (IDM) and taken out the buy side liquidity, after that the market rapidly came back in with high volume creating a gap. Now we focus on the Price leg it created which has 1H order block +_ fvg, if/when price pulls back to area (1H OB + fvg) then will have selling or buying opportunities on ***USD pairs and vice versa this coming week.
On the edge of massive inflation or complete collapse. Even though SPX and Bitcoin are at macro life-cycle top trends, it appears there is panic buying on the potential threat of impending inflation. Institutional ETFs, 401K crypto investments, and negative dollar sentiment may be giving rise to weakening of the dollar.
Simultaneously, the Trump administration and the Fed appear to be attempting to head off a potential recession by trying to stimulate growth via quantitative easing. Long-term, this will contribute to a much sharper collapse, but it appears the financiers are keeping us in line with the traditional 4 year cycle and driving equities and crypto against massive selling at legacy market tops.
It will be quite a ride so expect massive volatility until .96 breaks down or the current bottom trend since 2008 is regained. I have the determinant factors for bull or bear clearly delineated to offer a clear picture to those who are feeling confused about overall market direction. If the weekly stochastic RSI does cross downward and we confirm below .96, the market rally will continue in line with the standard 4 year cycle and should see the bear arriving in early 2026 unless DXY 17 year bottom trend is regained and recession abruptly cuts off the cycle.
DXY: Trump's Goal is to Devalue the Dollar!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a selling opportunity around 98.300 zone, DXY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 98.300 support and resistance area. On the other hand Trump is looking towards devaluing the dollar in order to refinance the US depth and stimulate the economy.
Trade safe, Joe.
DXY Analysis – August 10, 2025
After the prolonged downtrend in the US Dollar Index that started back in January,
recent political developments seem to have had a short-term impact on its trajectory.
I believe we could soon see a short-term correction in the dollar.
However, after months of decline, this recovery won’t be straightforward —
expect stop hunts targeting buyers before any sustained move higher.
For this week, a short-term sell setup could be considered
— with proper risk management — before the broader bullish trend resumes.
US Dollar: Bullish For The Near Term?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USD Index
The US Dollar has been weakened by bad employment numbers, the expectation for interest rate cuts in the next FED meeting, and inflation sneaking higher. CPI Data is coming Tuesday, and a soft number will add to selling pressure.
However, price is at levels where a the bearish retracement could end, and the higher low could be established.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
All the Triggers You Need to Watch This Weekyo its Skeptic from Skeptic Lab 🩵
Quick breakdown of my weekly watchlist — from forex pairs to commodities — including the exact levels and triggers I’m watching for potential setups this week. Whether you trade breakouts or reversals, this list will keep you ahead of the moves.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Forex Forecast & Bias | 11th–15th Aug 2025 | CMCMARKETS:EURUSD In this week’s Forex outlook (11th–15th August 2025), I break down my directional bias for the major currency pairs, highlight key POIs (Points of Interest), and outline which markets I’ll be watching closely.
You’ll see:
✅ Pairs that are ready to trade this week
🚫 Pairs to avoid based on market structure & volatility
📍 High-probability POIs for entries & exits
🎯 My directional bias for each major pair going into next week
This analysis is based on technical structure, higher-timeframe confluence, and key market zones. Perfect for swing and day traders looking for a weekly plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
DXYHere’s the English description of the two scenarios in your chart:
Scenario 1 (Green Path):
Price drops from the current level (~98.26) towards the demand zone around 97.50–97.60, finds support, and then rallies sharply, breaking above the 98.80–99.00 resistance zone and continuing higher toward the 100.20–100.40 level.
Scenario 2 (Orange Path):
Price first pushes upward toward the 98.80–99.00 supply zone, faces rejection, then falls sharply to the demand zone around 97.50–97.60, before reversing and rallying strongly toward the 100.20–100.40 target.
DXY Trend AnalysisTechnicals:
The DXY is sitting near its pivot, with technical momentum remaining mildly bearish, but oversold conditions suggest a potential for a bullish bounce. If the 97.55 support is broken decisively, further downside is likely. Upside is capped by resistance at 98.64; a break above this may confirm a short-term reversal to the upside.
Key Levels to Watch
Pivot Level: 98.12
Key Support: 97.55
Key Resistance: 98.64
Fundamentals:
- Persistent US twin deficits, reduced safe-haven flows, and a global trend of diversifying away from dollar assets all present headwinds.
- The spread between US yields and foreign peers is at historic highs, but with the Fed expected to ease and global growth forecasts improving, the dollar's advantage is eroding.
- Safe-haven demand could temporarily support the dollar in response to global shocks, but is not expected to reverse the broader downtrend this year.
Analysis by Terence Hove Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY Dollar Index Review: The US Dollar flexes its muscles again.
Chart analysis suggests a medium-term uptrend in the dollar index, signaling growing strength in the U.S. dollar. The current price range between 96 and 97 has effectively prevented further declines and has acted as a strong support and demand zone.
For any further downward move to occur, the price would first need to retest and break this zone—but only after a temporary rise and corrective upward movement, which may take some time to unfold.
Further analysis points to price stabilization in the medium term, with a potential for a sideways to upward trend developing within the 97 to 110 range.
In this scenario, three potential price targets can be outlined:
First and most probable target: 100.30 – 101.70
Second, possible target: 103.20 – 104.30
Third and final target: 107.10 – 110.10
Current price: 98.31
Stop loss: Below 95.90