DXY - will we see a bullish divergence?Hello, dear traders. We can observe an interesting situation on the Dollar Index.
What we see:
1. An uptrend on the weekly timeframe.
2. The price is at the support level.
3. Over the 18 years of this trend, all impulses from the support level originated after MACD divergence. For divergence, we need at least two troughs, but now we are seeing only one.
Therefore, I expect another decline in the Dollar Index with an update of the low on closed weekly candles. After that, for a reversal according to my author's FRL concept, it is necessary to form a multi-day reversal pattern. At the moment, the neck level is at 100.200, as this is where the last impulse of the last downtrend originated. If the price does indeed update the low and form a divergence, the neck level will be at 99.500.
How do you rate this idea and what are your thoughts on it?
Trade ideas
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Confirmed Bullish ContinuationThe DOLLAR INDEX appears to be showing bullish tendencies from both daily and intraday perspectives.
From a daily timeframe, I observe a confirmed breakout of a resistance line within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a trend violation and continuation.
On an hourly timeframe, we see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern, followed by a strong bullish movement.
I anticipate that the market will continue to grow.
The next resistance level is identified at 99.53.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W44 | D30| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D30| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋
On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress.
The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target.
However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher.
Overall, my bias remains bullish for now.
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🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation Ahead of FOMC
Dollar Index weakens ahead of FED rate decision today.
The market formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a daily.
A breakout of one of its boundaries after an interest rate decision
announcement will accurately indicate a future direction of the market.
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Dxy Analysis Pre-FOMC 29-Oct-25The Dxy has been rejecting the 99 level since last week.
With the lack of economic data due to US Government Shutdown, the markets main focus now is on todays FOMC meeting.
25Bps is already priced in, so what will be more important is the tone and forward guidance we could get from Jerome Powell.
* If we see a surprising 50Bps cut, or the 25 bps cut with dovish tone: this could lead dollar index to break below 98.3 & test the 97.3 level. Even with potential to break lower into the 96 price level once again.
* 25bps with neutral tone: Since already priced in, and nothing new will be given to the markets, Dxy could be testing the 99 level, and keep trading in a consolidation range between the 98 and 99.
* No cut, or 25bps with hawkish tone: Dxy could break above the 99 price level, with next area of interest to test which is the 100 level.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): More Growth Ahead
A quick follow-up for the yesterday's idea for Dollar Index.
The market successfully violated a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle
pattern on a daily time frame.
We see its retest this morning.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH on an hourly time frame gives us a strong
intraday bullish confirmation.
There is a high chance that the Index will continue rising.
Goal - 99.35
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DOLLAR INDEX DXYWHAT IS DXY /DOLLAR INDEX
The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the United States dollar against a weighted basket of six major foreign currencies: the Euro (57.6%), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%), and Swiss Franc (3.6%). It is calculated as a weighted geometric mean of these currencies' exchange rates relative to the dollar. The DXY indicates the overall strength or weakness of the US dollar in the global market.
The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) represents the return on investment for US government debt maturing in 10 years. It reflects market expectations for interest rates, inflation, and economic growth.
How DXY and US10Y interact:
When US10Y rises, reflecting tighter monetary conditions or inflation concerns, US interest rates become more attractive, which often strengthens the US dollar, leading to a higher DXY.
Conversely, when US10Y falls, lower yields can reduce dollar appeal, causing DXY to weaken.
Movements in DXY and US10Y are intertwined through monetary policy expectations and global capital flows.
For example, a rising US10Y can boost capital inflows into US assets, strengthening the dollar and pushing the DXY higher.
This interplay influences foreign exchange markets, commodity prices, and international investment decisions.
DOLLAR INDEX ON RETEST TO THE 4HR TRENDLINE WILL GO LONG .
TRADE REASON IS ON THE CHART,MARKET KEEPING LONG SENTIMENT AFTER RATE CUT WITH NO HOPE OF CUTTING AGAIN .
The Dollar Index (DXY) paradoxically rose despite the Federal Reserve's rate cut to 3.75%-4.00% on October 29, 2025, due to several nuanced reasons:
Market Expectations vs Reality: The rate cut was widely anticipated and mostly priced in before the announcement. When the Fed delivered the expected 25 basis point cut without signaling more aggressive easing ahead, it reassured markets about the US economic outlook.
Dovish but Cautious Fed Tone: Fed Chair Powell emphasized a cautious approach, highlighting uncertainties but not committing to a rapid series of cuts. This balanced tone supported confidence in the dollar.
Safe-Haven Demand: Global economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks boosted demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven currency, pushing the DXY higher.
Relative Monetary Policy: While the Fed cut rates, other major central banks like the ECB and BOJ remained more dovish or on hold, keeping the dollar relatively attractive.
Technical Buying: The DXY had technical support around current levels, triggering algorithmic and institutional buying on dips.
the DXY's rise reflects that investors viewed the rate cut as a pragmatic, measured step rather than a sign of economic weakness, supporting dollar strength despite the easing.
KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT TODAY FROM UNITED STATES .
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown.
The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all.
This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech.
Key points from his speech:
The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices.
Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting.
Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated.
The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation.
The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1.
Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course.
Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed.
He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions.
Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
#GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
US Dollar: Bullish-Neutral. Buys Are Valid As +FVG Holds!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD didn't move a lot last week, but it did move higher with Monday and Tuesday moves. The rest of the week was sideways, but it held above the +FVG. As long as the +FVG holds, prices should continue higher.
A candle body close below the +FVG will be a bearish indication.
Mindful that FOMC is Wednesday. That is decision day for the markets. Don't jump into long term moves until after the announcements for Wednesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone.
The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance.
Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Forex Traders Focus on Central Bank DecisionsForex Traders Focus on Central Bank Decisions
As expected, the Federal Reserve yesterday cut the Federal Funds Rate from 4.25% to 4.00%, while Jerome Powell’s remarks reduced the likelihood of further rate cuts. Meanwhile, decisions by other key central banks are also influencing the currency markets, according to Forex Factory:
→ The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate from 2.50% to 2.25%, in line with market expectations. Its official statement highlighted risks of slower GDP growth, “continued weakness in the economy”, and concerns over U.S. trade relations and tariffs.
→ The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept interest rates unchanged but signalled readiness to raise borrowing costs if economic conditions allow. This has shifted traders’ focus towards a possible rate hike as early as December.
→ The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to leave its key rate steady, with the decision due at 16:15 GMT+3 today.
→ Next week, both the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of England are scheduled to announce their policy decisions.
Against this backdrop, attention is increasingly turning to the Dollar Index (DXY) chart today.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
On 19 September, we conducted a key analysis of the DXY chart, noting that:
→ The long-term downward channel (shown in red) remains relevant, divided into quarters by the intermediate QL and QH lines.
→ The index had rebounded from the QL line (marked by an arrow).
→ A bullish scenario was emerging.
Following that rebound, the price began to form an upward trajectory, reaching the upper boundary of the channel by 10 October — which, as anticipated, acted as strong resistance.
Currently, the DXY chart displays a narrowing triangle pattern, where:
→ The resistance is defined by the upper edge of the long-term descending channel that has contained the index’s 2025 movements.
→ The short-term upward channel from the September low remains intact.
This formation may reflect both the current balance of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies and the uncertainty among analysts about its future direction.
Given the combination of central bank decisions, the U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical risks, and trade tensions, a breakout from this triangle could mark the start of a major trend lasting several weeks or even months.
Yesterday’s Fed decision strengthened the dollar, breaking through a local Bullish Flag pattern (shown in blue) and increasing the likelihood of further upward momentum.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DXY Bullish move 99.00 (Readmore)...💹 #DXY Analysis (1H Timeframe) 💹
🟢 Bullish Momentum Building Up!
Price showing strong buying pressure from the key support zone at 99.00 📈
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 99.300 – First target
2️⃣ 99.500 – Second target
📊 As long as price holds above 99.00, bullish bias remains intact.
#DXY #USDIndex #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup 🚀
DXY Breakout Beyond 98.6 — Fed Cuts 25bps, New Structural Terrai🧭 Context
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has pushed above 98.6 for the first time , powered by heavy institutional volume and a fresh wave of macro catalysts.
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25 bps rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range to 4.75 – 5.00 % — its first reduction since the easing cycle began in September.
Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that further cuts will depend on data trajectory, particularly inflation and employment stability.
Bond markets reacted swiftly:
10-year Treasury yield: dipped from 4.18 % → 4.05 %.
S&P 500 futures: modestly higher (+0.3 %) as lower yields eased risk pressure.
Gold (XAU/USD): steady near $2 435 as traders weighed dollar strength against yield softness.
📊 Technical Frame
If close > 98.80: confirms bullish structural regime — fresh momentum across USD pairs.
If re-enter < 98.60: false break → likely liquidity retest.
Volume expansion validates the move
Cross-asset implication: risk pairs (EUR/USD, XAU/USD, BTC/USD) now operate on new structural geometry.
🗓 Fundamental Pulse
✅ Today: FOMC Rate Decision (-25 bps)
🕓 Powell Presser: cautious tone, data-dependent policy
📅 Tomorrow: U.S. GDP (Q3 advance) + Unemployment Claims
📅 Friday: Core PCE — key Fed inflation gauge
Each print will shape the next confirmation wave of this breakout.
💭 Mindset
News creates noise. Structure creates order.
Volume shows intent, but confirmation proves it.
The disciplined trader waits for structure to speak before taking action.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
DXY RISING TRENDLINE BELOW|LONG|
✅DXY Price is respecting the rising trendline, showing consistent higher lows. Expect bullish continuation toward the target zone after the retest, as price seeks to rebalance inefficiency left from prior impulsive moves. Time Frame 7H.
LONG🚀
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DXY: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.412 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.328 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY key levels to look out for this week (WC 26/10)DXY key levels for the following week ahead.
Key fundementals this week includes FOMC on Wednesday highlighted in red, and Euro main refinancing Rate on Thursday 1315.
Looking at the 4hTF, we are currently ranging at this moment between 98.80 support and 99.10 Wednesdays HL.






















