US Dollar: Looking For Higher Prices This WeekWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD had a bearish week overall, but Friday's bullish close may hint towards the bias for this week. Potentially, we may see some continuation to the upside over the next couple of days.
Look at how price pulled back into the Daily Demand. This is a great place for the retracement to end ... and the new bullish leg to begin.
Wait for confirmations... like the failure of the -FVG. Then buys become valid.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Trade ideas
Dollar Index (DXY): New Bullish Wave Confirmed?!
Here a quick follow-up for my recent idea for Dollar Index.
The price retested a recently broken major horizontal structure cluster
and even went below that with a bearish trap.
A rising trend line was respected as a strong vertical support
and we see a bullish continuation now.
I think that we can expect a rise at least to 99.3 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📅 Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DOLLAR INDEX- WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS We're looking at the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the weekly timeframe, and what’s happening here can be broken down step-by-step:
---
🔍 1. Overall Structure
The chart shows a major downtrend that started after the last high around 110.176.
Since then, price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish momentum.
---
🧭 2. Current Price Action (Recent Weeks)
Current price: 98.816
Recent low: 96.218
You can see a base forming between 96.2 – 99.0, which looks like a potential accumulation zone.
Price has bounced off that 96.2 support, showing buyers are defending that level.
---
📊 3. What It Means
The long red candles earlier show strong bearish control (USD weakening).
But now, the smaller green candles and wicks indicate loss of bearish momentum — sellers are no longer as aggressive.
This often hints that institutions might be building long positions for a potential correction or reversal.
---
🧩 4. Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 96.00 – 97.00 → where buyers stepped in.
Resistance Zone: 100.00 – 101.50 → the next test area for price.
If price breaks above 99.50–100.00 and holds, that confirms bullish continuation toward 101 – 103.
But if it rejects again near 99.50 and drops below 97.00, expect further bearish continuation toward 95.00 or even 93.50.
---
💡 5. Institutional Insight
Given the prolonged drop:
Smart money could be accumulating USD longs around the 96 – 98 range.
They typically buy when retail traders still expect further decline — so this could be an early reversal phase.
---
🧭 6. Summary
Direction Status Key Levels Signal
Long-Term Trend Bearish 110 → 96 Still dominant
Medium-Term Accumulation 96 – 99 Possible reversal forming
Short-Term Bullish Attempt 99 – 101 Needs breakout to confirm
🟦 Institutional Buy Zone (96.0 – 98.0)
This blue region represents institutional accumulation.
Large players (smart money) began building long positions here after a long decline.
The repeated rejection wicks around 96.2–97.5 indicate strong buying interest and liquidity absorption.
This zone acts as a major support area — any retest into it could trigger renewed bullish reactions.
---
🟥 Institutional Sell Zone (100.0 – 101.5)
The red zone marks institutional distribution or short positioning.
Historically, price rallies into this area have been met with strong rejection, suggesting liquidity grabs before downside continuation.
This zone now serves as a major resistance level, where sellers may re-enter.
---
⚖️ Interpretation
The current price (98.8) sits between these two zones — meaning DXY is at a decision point.
A break above 100.0–101.5 would confirm bullish strength, targeting 103–105.
But a rejection near 99–100 and fall below 97.0 would signal bearish continuation back toward 95.0–94.0.
---
🔍 Trading Insight
As long as DXY holds above 96.0–97.0, expect possible accumulation or reversal structure.
Institutions tend to use this stage to trap retail sellers, then push the market higher toward the sell zone.
DXY - TRADING WEEK 20 - 24 OCTOBER 2025This week i expect the DXY to pullback to the 98.800/98.900 level of resistance and consequencially selloff to the 97.700 - 97.600 level of support closing the gap created two weeks ago, I don't exclude a lower test in the 97.000 area, this will be up to the strenght of the USD coming out from data at the start of the week.
The test of 97.700 - 97.600 could provide excellent trading setup and entries for GOLD, EUR USD, USD CHF and related USD pairs.
I expect the index to rally up and achieve the 99.600 and 100.200 level of resistance.
Please like/comment/share this idea - i will follow up through the week.
Wishing you all a great trading week!
DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe.
After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest.
At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios:
1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range.
2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement.
I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 99.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
4th Quarter Madness In a world where there's a government shut down, technology is changing at a rapid pace, finances are changing at a rapid pace, I see short term bullishness for DXY. This daily chart outlines the year 2025 in quarters and as we sit in the 4th quarter, I see a reason to believe we will be bullish targeting the consolidation high sitting at 100.250 then the high found in Q2 which sits at 102 institutional level.
DXY: Last Dip Before Lift-Off?Previous roadmap played out well — time to refresh the view.
Global (1W)
TVC:DXY remains in an uptrend. Since 2008 we’ve built a textbook five-wave impulse.
Since 2022/2023 that impulse has been in correction — base read: a single zigzag (SimpleZ).
Base case: correction completes → trend resumes with new highs ahead.
Alternatives
Flat: push toward 114–115, then a deep pullback.
Double zigzag (W–X–Y): bounce first, then one more leg down.
Local (12H)
Finishing ABC where C likely prints an ending diagonal → expecting the down leg to terminate and a rising phase to begin (either corrective or impulsive).
Price Action
Imbalances below may still get tapped; we’re below a key level, but the core scenario is dollar strength ahead.
What’s your take? Which path do you favor — Base (new highs), Flat (114–115 then pullback), or W–X–Y (one more leg lower)?
DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767.
Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level.
A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15.
The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward.
Wishing you profitable trades!
DXY SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅DXY Price is retracing toward the supply level, where a reaction is likely once the imbalance gets filled. A rejection from this zone could confirm the retest before continuation lower toward the 98.30 target area. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical OutlookUS Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Outlook
DXY has shown a clean bullish structure shift, breaking above previous highs and confirming multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) around the 99.00–99.20 zone.
Currently, price is trading at 99.33, inside the premium zone, and testing the weak high area near 99.40–99.60.
📊 Market Structure:
The structure has turned bullish after a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) and a clean BOS above 98.80.
The equilibrium zone (98.40–98.60) previously acted as strong demand and was respected multiple times.
Price is now in a premium range, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback before further continuation.
🎯 Key Levels:
Premium / Supply Zone: 99.40–99.60 (possible liquidity grab or rejection zone)
Equilibrium / Demand Zone: 98.40–98.60 (ideal re-entry zone for continuation buys)
PDH (Previous Day High): 99.40
PDL (Previous Day Low): 98.60
🧭 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-term Rejection:
If DXY rejects the 99.40–99.60 supply area, expect temporary USD weakness.
This could cause pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD to bounce up short-term.
Scenario 2 – Continuation Buy:
If price pulls back into 98.60 equilibrium zone and forms bullish confirmation, expect continuation toward 99.80–100.00.
Supported by the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (yellow) dynamic trend alignment.
📈 Momentum Indicators:
RSI/Stochastic are both near overbought zones, indicating short-term exhaustion.
A minor retracement is likely before continuation of the bullish leg.
Summary:
The DXY remains structurally bullish but short-term overextended.
Look for a pullback toward equilibrium (98.60 zone) before the next impulse move.
This macro setup supports short-term pullbacks on USD pairs, but the broader trend remains USD bullish
DXY ShortsWe have entered a new month of trading which means new opportunities! May the month of November be a great month of trading for all.
For DXY, the overall high timeframe trend is bearish. The most current swing high has been indicated by a dashed line labelled 'Protected High'. For market to respect the high time frame downtrend, price should not break that high.
At the close of last week, price reached a supply zone at which price is likely to start the new downtrend. I will be looking for entry confirmations at the supply zone. There are two things to take into consideration once price respects the supply zone:
1. Price may have a corrective nature indicating another move up before the main sell off. If price moves this way, I will update the analysis and indicate the demand zone at which price may begin to buy from.
2. Price may be impulsive indicating major sell off as expected.
With either scenario, my perspective on DXY is still bearish. The only way I will change this view is if market impulsively breaks the protected high.
Kindly manage risk. Best Of Luck!
-TD
DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY






















