Small Caps: Finally a Breakout?The Russell 2000 has been stuck in a rut for years, but some traders may think the small-cap index has finally achieved escape velocity.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the November 2021 high around 2,460, where prices stalled last November. RUT has gotten above it this month and refused to stay below. Is a breakout finally underway?
Second is the September 25 low of 2,394. Prices tested and held that level last week, which may confirm support is in place.
Third, the index had a bullish inside candle after Friday’s selloff, followed by a bullish outside bar. That may reflect buyers are gaining control.
Next, RUT has apparently broken a trendline that began with the high on October 6.
Finally, consider this weekly ratio chart of the Russell 2000 against the Nasdaq-100. Notice how RUT outperformed in late 2023 and July 2024. Both of those moments saw expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. (Such moves often favor small caps.) Notice how the ratio is climbing again at the same time that investors look for more dovishness from the central bank.
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Is Smart Money Accumulating in US2000 Before the Next Move?🎯 RUSSELL 2000: Institutions Loading Up While You Sleep! 💰
📊 Asset Overview
US2000 / RUSSELL 2000 Index CFD - The small-cap kingmaker is showing serious institutional footprints!
🔥 The Setup: Bullish Retest at SMA
The Russell is doing that classic "look weak, go strong" move! 📈
We're seeing a textbook retest pullback at the Simple Moving Average - and guess who's quietly accumulating? The big money institutions! 🏦 While retail traders are panicking, the smart money is silently entering positions like ninjas in the night. 🥷
Translation: The trend is your friend, and right now that friend is buying the dip!
💎 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Plan
Layered Entry Approach 🎯
This isn't your grandma's single-entry strategy! We're using multiple limit orders (aka "The Thief Layering Method"):
Layer 1: 2440
Layer 2: 2460
Layer 3: 2480
Pro tip: Scale in like you're building a pyramid scheme, except this one actually makes money! 😂
Or: Jump in at current market price if you're feeling spicy 🌶️
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss: 2420
⚠️ Thief's Disclaimer: This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance. You do you! Manage your own risk like the responsible adult trader you are (or aspire to be). Take what makes sense for YOUR account size and sleep-at-night level.
🎯 Target Zone
Take Profit: 2600 🚀
Here's where it gets interesting - we've got a POLICE BARRICADE situation brewing! 🚨
What's a Police Barricade? It's when you've got:
✅ Strong resistance level
✅ Overbought conditions
✅ Potential trap zone for late buyers
The Game Plan: Secure those gains before the party gets too crowded! When you see 2600, that's your cue to take profits and live to trade another day.
Another Thief Disclaimer: This is MY target. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 If you want to take profits earlier or let it ride longer, that's YOUR call. Make money, then TAKE money - at your own risk and discretion!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these correlated instruments:
AMEX:IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF)
Direct ETF tracking the Russell 2000
Higher liquidity for stock traders
Mirrors US2000 movement almost perfectly
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
Broad market correlation
Risk-on sentiment indicator
When SPY pumps, Russell often follows (with extra volatility!)
AMEX:DIA (Dow Jones ETF)
Blue-chip correlation check
Divergence signals can warn of small-cap weakness
NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF)
Tech sector correlation
Russell 2000 often leads or lags based on risk appetite
📌 Key Correlation Insight: Russell 2000 is the risk-on barometer! When investors feel confident, small-caps outperform. When fear creeps in, they sell off harder than large-caps. Watch the broader indices for confirmation of market sentiment!
🎓 Technical Summary
Bias: Bullish 🐂
Setup Type: Retest/Pullback Entry
Strategy: Layered Entry (Thief Method)
Risk/Reward: Favorable with defined stops
Institutional Activity: Accumulation phase detected 🏦
⚡ The Bottom Line
This setup screams institutional accumulation! The smart money doesn't announce their entries on CNBC - they quietly load up while everyone else is distracted. Be the thief, not the victim! 🎭
Remember: Markets reward patience and punish FOMO. Layer in, manage your risk, and let the trade come to you!
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research, manage your own risk, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk! 🎲
#Russell2000 #US2000 #SmallCaps #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PullbackEntry #InstitutionalTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #CFDTrading #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #SMARetest #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #IWM #MarketAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction
Nasdaq Becoming the New Gold? The AI Boom and Market RotationSince 2020, the Nasdaq has completely pulled away from the pack. Compared to the S&P 500, Russell 2000, the dollar, and even gold, it’s been the clear leader — fueled by the AI boom and the massive flows into tech giants like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta. While gold used to be the classic safe haven, lately it feels like investors see the Nasdaq as their new store of value.
The twist, of course, is that gold doesn’t need earnings to shine, but the Nasdaq does. As long as the AI narrative keeps delivering, it could keep playing this “new gold” role. But if that story cracks, the downside will look very different than a sideways-moving metal.
Why I Believe the Small Cap Market Might Be Bearish TodayLooking at the current 1-hour chart of the US Russell 2000 Index, several technical factors suggest that the small-cap market may be leaning toward a bearish sentiment in the short term.
First, price action has formed a descending triangle pattern, a structure that often signals potential downside continuation. The upper trendline (shown in red) indicates consistent lower highs, suggesting selling pressure is gradually increasing. Meanwhile, the green ascending trendline underneath shows that buyers have been defending support—but each bounce has been weaker than the last.
The index is currently consolidating near a critical resistance level around 2,479, a zone that has rejected price multiple times. Failure to break above this resistance could trigger a move back toward the 2,459–2,460 support area or even lower if selling accelerates.
Additionally, the short-term moving averages (EMA 20 and 50) are flattening and showing early signs of a potential crossover below the longer EMAs (100/200), a classic bearish signal that often precedes downward momentum.
In summary, while the long-term trendline support remains intact, the combination of a descending triangle, resistance rejection, and weakening momentum makes the small-cap market vulnerable to a short-term bearish move unless buyers reclaim the 2,480 zone decisively.
US2000 – Bullish Continuation Setup Confirmed on 4H ChartThe US2000 (Russell 2000 Index) is showing a clear sign of bullish continuation after forming a Bullish Engulfing Candle on the daily timeframe. This candle acts as a strong entry confirmation signal, indicating that buyers are stepping back into control following a period of consolidation.
US2000 – Bullish Continuation Setup Confirmed on 4H ChartThe US2000 (Russell 2000 Index) is showing a clear sign of bullish continuation after forming a Bullish Engulfing Candle on the daily timeframe. This candle acts as a strong entry confirmation signal, indicating that buyers are stepping back into control following a period of consolidation.
Key Technical Points:
Daily Bias: Overall bullish structure, supported by recent higher highs and higher lows.
4H Confirmation: A strong bullish engulfing candle formed right above a key support zone (highlighted in purple), confirming rejection of lower prices and renewed bullish momentum.
Structure Respect: Price successfully retested the previous resistance area (now turned support), showing clean structure respect before the bullish reaction.
Entry Zone: The entry was based on the engulfing confirmation within the retest zone, aligning perfectly with higher-timeframe bullish sentiment.
Target Objective: The projection area sits around the 2,600.00 level, which represents the next key resistance zone and potential profit-taking area for swing traders.
Invalidation: A 4H candle close below the support region around 2,475.00 would invalidate this setup and suggest possible short-term weakness.
Trade Narrative:
This setup exemplifies the power of waiting for multi-timeframe alignment—daily trend bias first, followed by a 4H entry confirmation. The Bullish Engulfing Candle serves as both a momentum and sentiment shift indicator, showing that buyers have absorbed recent selling pressure.
Patience and disciplined execution remain key. As long as price holds above the 2,475 support, bullish momentum is expected to persist toward 2,600 and beyond.
Ethereum VS. Russell 2000 Russell 2000 index and Ethereum charts follow a strikingly similar pattern.
Both assets peaked in November 2021 and then entered a prolonged correction. Interestingly, both formed major lows around April 2025.
The Russell 2000, just before breaking through the 2021 ATH resistance area, retested the demand zone, just as CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently doing.
This similarity suggests that Ethereum could be poised for a strong breakout, following in the footsteps of the Russell 2000.
History is sometimes more than just a coincidence…
US2000 H4 | Price Rebounds from Key Support LevelUS2000 has bounced off the buy entry at 2,500.10, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 2,473.28, which is a pullback support that lines up with he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 2,572.42, which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish Divergence Builds in U.S. Small CapsThe U.S. small-cap contract has struggled above 2492 recently, delivering multiple failed bullish breakouts from the high established on September 23. With bearish divergence between price and RSI (14) evident, the longer this iffy price action persists, the more it may encourage bears to seek out a larger downside flush.
Should we see another failed breakout attempt above 2492, shorts could be established beneath the level with a stop above the recent highs to protect against reversal. 2450 is the first downside level of note, albeit a minor one. For shorter-term types, it’s a potential target, although uptrend support running from September 2 screens as a more important level should we see a pullback. If the price were to crack that level convincingly, it may spark a faster unwind towards the 50-day moving average, which the contract bounced strongly from the last two times it was tested. Both levels provide targets for longer-term traders.
As a reminder, the underlying Russell 2000 index remains very much a play on the U.S. interest rate outlook and, consequently, broader domestic economic conditions. With nearly four rate cuts priced by the Fed’s September meeting next year, it’s provided meaningful tailwinds for non-profitable, capital-reliant firms without sparking any real concern about a looming U.S. recession.
However, with few signs the government shutdown will end anytime soon, coupled with prominent headlines surrounding private debt markets and iffy price action in other riskier asset classes, it’s not difficult to see potential macro landmines. Tailwinds from any increase in rate cuts would likely be overridden quickly if driven by concerns about increased volatility stemming from another economic downturn.
For small-cap bulls, there is such a thing as too much of a good thing when it comes to the magnitude and speed of rate cuts. Be careful what you wish for.
US2000 H4 | Potential Bullish Continuation AheadBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 2,448.62, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from his level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 2,395.18, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 2,505.45, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Russell hits new highsSo much for the government shutdown. US equity indices have rallied again today, thanks to ongoing bullish momentum and AI optimism. Bets that the Fed easing will continue to support corporate earnings are keeping the bulls fully in charge with traders continuing to take the ongoing US gov shutdown in their stride..
While tech stocks continue to shine -- led by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which soared after signing a deal with OpenAI to roll out AI infrastructure -- small caps are doing great too ahead of the earnings season.
The Russell has been printing lots of bullish price action lately and we have called for new highs on the index. It has not let us down and today climbed to a new high, after taking out a long-term resistance zone between 2461 and 2468, marking the highs from 2021 and 2024.
The breakout means the index has also poked its head above last week's high at 2491, thus invalidating the bearish-looking inverted hammer candle that had pointed to a potential top. Well that candle only preceded a modest pullback, as the index has now hit a new record. 2500, 2600 could be the next upside targets from. Key support levels below that 2461-2468 range are marked on the chart.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
US2000 Layered LSMA Pullback Strategy – Bullish Opportunity🚀 US2000 Index – Thief Plan: LSMA Pullback + Layered Entries 📊
📌 Trading Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
Strategy: Bullish LSMA moving average pullback plan 📈
Thief Style Entries (Layering Method):
Multiple buy-limit layers at 2340 / 2350 / 2360 / 2370
You can increase layers based on your own strategy & risk 🧩
Stop Loss (SL): Thief SL @ 2310 (adjust based on your own plan & risk) 🛡️
Target (TP): Strong resistance at 2450 ⚠️ – “Police barricade” 🚓
Note: This is not a fixed TP recommendation. Thief OG’s 🎭, take profits where it fits your risk and reward. 💰
❓ Why This Plan? (Thief Logic)
🔹 Technical (Thief Strategy)
Bulls loading pressure with LSMA pullback signals 🐂.
Layered entries reduce timing risk and allow multiple profit grabs.
Strong resistance ahead at 2450 = escape zone before “police barricade” 🚨.
🔹 Sentimental Reasoning
Retail sentiment 58% bullish 🟢 vs. 32% bearish 🔴 → optimism is leaning upward.
Institutions also show 52% bullish bias, confirming retail direction ⚖️.
Fear & Greed index at 52/100 = Neutral 😐 → balanced emotions, not overheated.
🔹 Fundamental Reasoning
Earnings growth ~12% expected in 2025 💼 supporting equity demand.
Consumer spending still rising (+0.5% in July) 🛍️ keeps the economy resilient.
Fed policy steady at 4.25%–4.50% 🏦 = stable environment for stocks.
🔹 Macro Reasoning
Inflation above Fed target (Core PCE 2.9% y/y) 📈 = caution flag.
Trade tariffs 🌐 add uncertainty, but no crash-level risk.
Fed rate cut expected in September 🔽 = bullish fuel if confirmed.
👉 Thief Conclusion: Fundamentals 💼 + Sentiment 🧠 + Macro 🌍 align with a slightly bullish thief setup. The layering style plan matches the market bias → stack the layers, steal the profits, and escape before 2450 barricade hits 🚀💰.
*********************************************************************************************************************
📊 US2000 Index CFD Data Report – September 5, 2025
🕒 Real-Time Snapshot
Daily Change: +0.89% (+19.12 pts) 🚀
Monthly Trend: +3.28% 📅
Yearly Trend: +18.21% 🌟
😊 Investor Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish: 58% 🐂
Bearish: 32% 🐻
Neutral: 10% ⚖️
Institutional Traders:
Bullish: 52% 🐂
Bearish: 38% 🐻
Neutral: 10% ⚖️
🌡️ Fear & Greed Index
Current: 52/100 (Neutral) 😐
Fear: Below 45
Greed: Above 55
Market mood balanced ⚖️
📈 Fundamental Score: 72/100
Corporate earnings growth ~12% (2025 outlook) 💼
Consumer spending resilient (+0.5% in July) 🛍️
Fed funds steady at 4.25%–4.50% 🏦
🌍 Macro Score: 65/100
Inflation still above target (Core PCE 2.9% y/y) 📈
Tariff policies = trade uncertainty 🌐
Fed rate cut expected September 🔽
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook: Slightly Bullish
Score: 68/100 🐂
Reason: Strong earnings + consumer demand support upside, but tariffs + inflation cap growth. Expect consolidation with bullish tilt 🚀
🔑 Key Takeaways
Neutral → bullish tilt 😐➡️🐂
Retail + institutional both lean optimistic ⚖️
Fundamentals strong 💼, macro mixed 🌍
Payroll data = key Fed signal today 📊
Thief Plan aligns with market bias & LSMA pullback 📈
👀 Related Pairs to Watch
CAPITALCOM:US30
FOREXCOM:SPX500
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
TVC:DXY
TVC:VIX
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#US2000 #Russell2000 #IndexTrading #ThiefPlan #SwingTrade #DayTrading #StockIndices #MarketOutlook #FearAndGreed #TradingStrategy
Russell eases to test key short-term supportThe Russell has bounce off its lows a tiny bit but could we now see a more decisive recovery heading deeper into the U.S. session?
The markets have been holding firm with tech sector leading the spx500 to a new high today, even though the index then came off earlier highs amid profit taking with government shutdown making things complicated.
Still, the trend is clearly bullish and we could well see the small cap index hold support here around 2435 which was prior resistance.
On the upside 2468 is the main level to watch. Break this and a new ATH above 2491 could be on the cards.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Can Small Caps Outperform as US2000 Approaches Resistance?📊 US2000 Index – Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – here’s a fresh layering entry plan for US2000 with a bullish outlook. This is my playful "Thief Strategy" style — multiple entries, multiple chances, and yes… multiple exits too. 😎
🔑 Plan: Bullish Bias
💸 Entry (Layering Style):
Limit Buy Orders: 2430 / 2440 / 2450
You can expand layers further depending on your own risk appetite.
👉 This layered entry style (a.k.a. Thief Strategy) spreads out execution points to reduce risk of missing the move.
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL parked at 2410
⚠️ Note: This is my risk level. Please set your SL according to your own money management.
🎯 Target (TP):
2490 → “Voltage Lock” Zone ⚡ (Strong resistance barrier + overbought levels + possible trap area).
⚠️ Note: Not financial advice. I’m sharing my target, but your TP is your choice — secure profits as you see fit.
📌 Correlation Watchlist / Related Pairs:
OANDA:SPX500USD (S&P 500) → often leads the broader market sentiment.
TVC:DJI (Dow Jones 30) → check rotation between large caps vs small caps.
NASDAQ:NDX (Nasdaq 100) → tech moves can spill over into Russell small caps.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) → higher volatility can impact layered entries & SL triggers.
Correlation tip: When SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX are pumping together, US2000 often follows with strong momentum. But if TVC:VIX spikes, layered buys can get trapped near support levels.
📖 Key Notes:
Layering helps spread entries across multiple levels to avoid emotional panic buys.
The "Voltage Lock" resistance at 2490 is my escape zone. Don’t marry the trade — date it, profit, and leave. 💍➡️💵
This is a strategy style I use — not a recommendation. Trade safe.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📌 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — shared just for fun & educational purposes. Not financial advice.
#US2000 #Russell2000 #SP500 #NASDAQ100 #DowJones #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
US2000 H4 | Continuation of bullish momentumBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 2,419.82, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Stop loss is at 2,373.86, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 2,489.87, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Russell 2000 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound OutlookIf you ahven`t bought the Double Bottom on RUT 2K:
Now the Russell 2000 Index (RUT), which tracks small-cap stocks, has recently entered oversold territory, signaling that a potential technical rebound could be on the horizon. Oversold conditions typically occur when selling pressure becomes excessive, driving the index below its fundamental value and creating an opportunity for a corrective bounce.
Several technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have fallen below the 30 level — a classic oversold signal. Historically, similar setups have led to strong short-term recoveries as buying interest returns once the selling momentum exhausts itself.
Additionally, market breadth indicators suggest that the recent pullback has been broad-based, with a high percentage of RUT 2K components trading below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This type of widespread weakness often precedes a period of mean reversion, where prices bounce back toward key resistance levels.
Given these technical signals, my price target for RUT 2K is $2,450 by the end of the year. A rebound toward this level would represent a recovery of approximately 10-12% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index. If broader market sentiment stabilizes and small caps benefit from improving economic conditions or easing rate hike pressures, the path toward this target becomes increasingly plausible.
While downside risks remain — including ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions — the technical setup suggests that RUT 2K is primed for a recovery in the coming months.
RUT vs SPX - A clear mirror of the 2000 Dot Com CrashTechnicals:
Here we compare the SPX in pink to the RUT in blue. You can see the last time the SPX overtook the RUT was in 1998-2002, if history repeats this puts us squarely in the late 1998. Unlike 1998, we see the RUT has made a higher high after it's V-shaped recovery which looks more promising for it this time around. We could have an everything bubble forming here as money supply inflation and speculation trickle down into smaller companies and people look to diversify outside of the already booming precious metals, crypto, and SPX markets. So far the market has not had a lot of breadth, but it's starting to diversify
Fundamentals:
Looking at the companies that form the RUT, I was surprised to learn that larger ones like AMD are in there. Other notables include utility and the health care which were hit hard earlier this year. Now that there is rotation out of some tech into these 2 sectors I think we may see the RUT really start to perform, but... is it worth buying?
Well the fact is, in this 38 year chart history the RUT has outperformed the SPX for 26 years. The RUT's longest run outperforming the SPX was following the 2000 crash, bottoming in 2002 before surpassing the SPX in 2003-2020. Personally, I'll be looking into this index in 2028/2029
3 times a lady! Knock knock knocking on heavens door ...Bearish on the Russel
looks kind of toppy to me
love that if it goes back to the bottom of the range if so it falls 31.2% a fib number
Not advice - just for educational purposes
Oh there are next to no bears left out there out in the cold just feels like me!
you will need to count 5 small impulse waves down from this level before you could justify putting on shorts unless you are bit early as bull blow off moves go further than anyone of our time can know
Look for volume to pick up on down days
Surprises come to the downside if the market turns bearish
if it moves roughly 32% down then there should be some nice bear equities in that index to feast short on as more bears come out of hibernation, and they will be very hungry!
However the counter side is that companies have put in their best profits in for like the past 25 years so don't rule out bull continuation.






















